Dayton vs Chattanooga Prediction, Picks & Odds | 22 Mar 2025

Chattanooga Mocs (25-9, 15-3 SoCon) host Dayton Flyers (23-10, 12-6 A-10) in this NIT Tournament second round matchup at McKenzie Arena.

Dayton and Chattanooga should be able to accumulate enough points for our prediction to win. We’re forecasting Over 149.5 and odds of -110 are available for this outcome.

Dayton Flyers won their previous game, beating Florida Atlantic Owls at home. It was a 86-79 win.

Chattanooga Mocs triumphed in their last game. It was on the road where Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders were beaten 109-103 (OT).

NCAAB Regular Season	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Dayton	8-3	877	781	96	7-1	1-2	1W
Chattanooga	5-6	873	782	91	4-2	1-4	1L

View Full Standings

Dayton vs Chattanooga Prediction & Picks

We’ll take a chance on a total bet after finding that the line is set at a generous 149.5 points. Expect this number to be surpassed at -110 for this college matchup.

The college basketball predictions stem from knowing the team news and the latest form for each team. We work hard to unearth the most pertinent stats which can also act as a guide.

Key Dayton vs Chattanooga stats:

• The 149.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Dayton games on the road.
• The 149.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Dayton games on the road.
• The 149.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Chattanooga games.
• The 149.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Chattanooga games.
• The 149.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Chattanooga games.

Over 149.5 Probability

According to the sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

There are ways to get bigger odds by betting Over on the Totals. Bettors often look to move the line so they can land a more profitable return if the selection wins.

Our Game Prediction

Over 149.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Dayton 77 - 79 Chattanooga

There’s every chance that this is going to be a close game and we’ll have a play on Chattanooga enjoying a 79-77 winning scoreline. Hopefully this can go close.

Dayton vs Chattanooga Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

There’s the opportunity to back Chattanooga at +112 on the Moneyline although Dayton are priced up at betting odds of -133. The leading sportsbooks give the hosts a 47% chance of success.

2.5 is the spread and 154.5 is the total points line. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. If you’re going for Over 154.5, then the odds are -115.

The good news is that you can access a wide range of team props and game lines for most college basketball contests. The betting sites have a huge range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

Dayton

-133

Chattanooga

+112

Point Spread

Dayton -2.5

-104

Chattanooga +2.5

-118

Total Points

Under 154.5

-105

Over 154.5

-115

If you have a view on Total Points, Three-Pointers, Assists, Double-Doubles or Triple-Doubles, then the player prop betting could be up your street. It’s a great way of wagering on individual performance.

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, college basketball micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to wager on the Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Dayton Stats

Chattanooga Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 151.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 151.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 149.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 149.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 77.70 pts and allowed 73.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 75.90 pts and allowed 75.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 158.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 156.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 149.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 149.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 84.00 pts and allowed 74.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 81.90 pts and allowed 74.90 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Regular Season Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
E. Tennessee St.	8-3	888	720	168	7-0	1-3	1L
Mercer	7-3	825	741	84	5-0	2-3	1L
Furman	7-4	863	771	92	6-2	1-2	3W
Wofford	6-4	736	759	-23	4-1	2-3	1L
Chattanooga	5-6	873	782	91	4-2	1-4	1L
Samford	5-6	813	886	-73	2-1	3-5	1W
VMI	5-7	925	894	31	4-1	1-6	2W
Western Carolina	4-6	768	783	-15	4-0	0-6	2L
Citadel	3-8	780	824	-44	3-4	0-4	1L
UNC Greensboro	3-8	823	904	-81	2-2	1-6	2W

Atlantic 10	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
George Mason	10-1	874	714	160	8-0	2-1	1W
Saint Louis	9-1	909	701	208	8-1	1-0	3W
Richmond	9-1	856	711	145	7-0	2-1	4W
St. Bonaventure	10-2	927	825	102	7-0	3-2	1L
Davidson	8-2	764	671	93	6-2	2-0	1W
Dayton	8-3	877	781	96	7-1	1-2	1W
Fordham	8-4	916	750	166	7-2	1-2	2W
George Washington	8-4	1042	907	135	6-2	2-2	2L
Rhode Island	7-4	830	753	77	4-2	3-2	2L
VCU	6-4	837	719	118	5-2	1-2	1L
Saint Joseph's	5-4	689	672	17	5-0	0-4	1L
Duquesne	6-5	920	884	36	6-2	0-3	2L
La Salle	3-7	671	680	-9	3-3	0-4	4L
Loyola Chicago	3-7	676	751	-75	3-5	0-2	2W

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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