Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Picks & Odds | 12 Jan 2025

Back Mavs to Run Their Opponents Close

Our best bet is the Mavericks at +3.5 on the spread. A win or narrow defeat against the Nuggets would mean our wager at -110 lands a return.

Mavs Won 123-120 in Teams’ Last Matchup

Denver Nuggets have won their previous two games. The latest was a 124-105 home triumph at Ball Arena against Brooklyn Nets. Nikola Jokic produced a triple-double masterclass by scoring 35 points, 15 assists and 12 rebounds.

Dallas Mavericks won their last game 117-111, making it successive victories. This was a home win at American Airlines Center against Portland Trail Blazers. Jaden Hardy scored 25 points, PJ Washington registered 23 points and 14 rebounds, while Dereck Lively bagged 21 points and 16 rebounds.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw the Mavs claim a 123-120 win over the Nuggets at Ball Arena. The previous 10 games have seen both teams achieve five victories.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

View Full Standings

The Nuggets have 6 wins and 4 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 122.8 points, 45.5 rebounds, 32.0 assists, 8.4 steals and 4.7 blocks while shooting 50.4% from the field and 78.8% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 117.1 points and 43.6 rebounds per contest.

Nikola Jokic is averaging 27.0 points, 11.6 rebounds and 8.3 assists, while Michael Porter Jr. averages 3.6 (47.4%) 3-pointers made.

The Mavs have won 4 and lost 6 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 111.1 points, 43.9 rebounds, 23.1 assists, 7.0 steals and 7.1 blocks per game while shooting 46.3% from the field and 79.3% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 110.9 points and 45.6 rebounds.

Kyrie Irving is averaging 14.1 points, Dereck Lively 6.5 rebounds and Spencer Dinwiddie 4.0 assists, while Klay Thompson has an average of 2.4 (35.3%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets lineup: Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr., Russell Westbrook, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray.

Dallas Mavericks lineup: Dereck Lively, Naji Marshall, PJ Washington, Spencer Dinwiddie, Klay Thompson.

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Picks

Mavericks should be able to battle hard and our pick is that they will cover the line in this NBA matchup. It’s set at an attractive +3.5 and you can get -110.

The team news that filters through can have a knock-on effect as far as the NBA betting lines and odds are concerned. We use this information along with the form guide, while some key stats are also taken into consideration.

Key Nuggets vs Mavericks stats:

• The +3.5 line has been covered by Mavs in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +3.5 line has been covered by Mavs in 14 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +3.5 line has been covered by Mavs in 2 consecutive games.
• The -3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Nuggets in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Nuggets in 12 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The +3.5 line has been covered by Mavs in 3 consecutive games against Nuggets.

Mavs +3.5 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of landing a return. However, our cappers think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we can recommend this wager.

There are options to buy and sell different amounts of points and effectively choose the line which makes the most appeal. It all comes down to how safe or risky you want to play things.

Best Bet

Mavericks +3.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Quentin Grimes Over 3.5 Assists +118

Quentin Grimes (Mavs) has had Over 3.5 assists in 4 straight games. Using this stat, we can therefore back him at +118 when it comes to a Player Assists wager and hope that Overs comes in.

Latest Quentin Grimes Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

-101

Under 14.5

-128

Assists

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-130

Rebounds

Over 4.5

+117

Under 4.5

-152

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Jamal Murray Over 3.5 Rebounds +125

Jamal Murray (Nuggets) has covered the 3.5 rebounds total in 4 straight games on the road. If you agree with our verdict that he can cover the line again, then you can land odds of +125 that this happens.

Latest Jamal Murray Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 18.5

-112

Under 18.5

-118

Assists

Over 5.5

-154

Under 5.5

+116

Rebounds

Over 3.5

+118

Under 3.5

-156

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Correct Score Prediction

Nuggets 116 - 119 Mavericks

There are huge odds available when it comes to the Mavericks landing a 119-116 win. A close game is anticipated between two evenly-matched teams.

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Nuggets Moneyline Odds Suggest Victory

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Denver Nuggets as -250 favorites for this NBA game, implying that they are 71% likely to win. For those wanting to back Dallas Mavericks, you will find +205 about the underdogs.

6.5 is the spread and 231 is the total points line. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 231 at -110.

The Nuggets are available at odds of -160 when it comes to beating the opposition to 20 points. Underdogs Mavs are chalked up at +130 to reach this total first.

If you’re planning to place a basketball wager, visit the betting sites and check out the huge selection of available team props and game lines. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Nuggets

-250

Mavericks

+205

Point Spread

Nuggets -6.5

-110

Mavericks +6.5

-110

Total Points

Under 231

-110

Over 231

-110

Nikola Jokic Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

In terms of scoring most points, favorite Nikola Jokic is available at -120 to rack up Over 29.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -110 is available.

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 29.5

-120

Under 29.5

-110

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 18.5

-112

Under 18.5

-118

Michael Porter Jr (Nuggets)

Over 17.5

-106

Under 17.5

-125

P.J. Washington (Mavericks)

Over 16.5

-130

Under 16.5

-103

Spencer Dinwiddie (Mavericks)

Over 16.5

-106

Under 16.5

-125

Klay Thompson (Mavericks)

Over 14.5

-120

Under 14.5

-112

Quentin Grimes (Mavericks)

Over 14.5

-101

Under 14.5

-128

Naji Marshall (Mavericks)

Over 12.5

-114

Under 12.5

-118

Jaden Hardy (Mavericks)

Over 12.5

-108

Under 12.5

-120

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 10.5

-125

Under 10.5

-106

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 10.5

+102

Under 10.5

-133

Dereck Lively II (Mavericks)

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-112

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 9.5

-104

Under 9.5

-128

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

-154

Under 5.5

+116

Spencer Dinwiddie (Mavericks)

Over 5.5

-120

Under 5.5

-112

Quentin Grimes (Mavericks)

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-130

Naji Marshall (Mavericks)

Over 3.5

+141

Under 3.5

-185

Dereck Lively II (Mavericks)

Over 3.5

+138

Under 3.5

-185

Klay Thompson (Mavericks)

Over 2.5

+126

Under 2.5

-164

Jaden Hardy (Mavericks)

Over 2.5

-149

Under 2.5

+115

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

+108

Under 2.5

-143

P.J. Washington (Mavericks)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

+145

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 12.5

-132

Under 12.5

-100

Dereck Lively II (Mavericks)

Over 8.5

-141

Under 8.5

+106

P.J. Washington (Mavericks)

Over 7.5

-112

Under 7.5

-120

Michael Porter Jr (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

-156

Under 5.5

+118

Quentin Grimes (Mavericks)

Over 4.5

+117

Under 4.5

-152

Naji Marshall (Mavericks)

Over 4.5

+123

Under 4.5

-164

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 4.5

+107

Under 4.5

-141

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

+118

Under 3.5

-156

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

-147

Under 3.5

+112

Spencer Dinwiddie (Mavericks)

Over 2.5

-182

Under 2.5

+135

Klay Thompson (Mavericks)

Over 2.5

-179

Under 2.5

+130

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Denver Nuggets Stats

Dallas Mavericks Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -4 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• -4 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +4 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +4 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 240.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 240.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 230.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 230.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 124.00 pts and allowed 116.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 122.00 pts and allowed 118.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 219.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 225.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 230.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 230.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 108.00 pts and allowed 111.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 114.70 pts and allowed 111.20 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 35.30 (57%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.10 (38%)
• Free Throws Made: 17.10 (78.44%)
• Rebounds: Total 46.4, Offensive 10.80, Defensive 35.60
• Assists: 32.30
• Blocks: 5.00
• Steals: 8.70
• Turnovers : 11.40
• Personal Fouls: 17.90

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 38.50 (59%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 9.20 (31%)
• Free Throws Made: 17.40 (72.5%)
• Rebounds: Total 49.9, Offensive 12.90, Defensive 37.00
• Assists: 32.20
• Blocks: 4.80
• Steals: 9.10
• Turnovers : 14.00
• Personal Fouls: 18.40

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 25.80 (51%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.10 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 17.10 (80.28%)
• Rebounds: Total 43.5, Offensive 10.50, Defensive 33.00
• Assists: 23.10
• Blocks: 7.20
• Steals: 6.70
• Turnovers : 14.00
• Personal Fouls: 18.20

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 27.70 (53%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.10 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 20.00 (77.22%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.6, Offensive 12.30, Defensive 32.30
• Assists: 25.00
• Blocks: 5.00
• Steals: 7.60
• Turnovers : 13.20
• Personal Fouls: 18.40

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Dallas Mavericks Confirmed Lineup

2 Dereck Lively

13 Naji Marshall

25 PJ Washington

26 Spencer Dinwiddie

31 Klay Thompson

Denver Nuggets Confirmed Lineup

0 Christian Braun

1 Michael Porter Jr.

4 Russell Westbrook

15 Nikola Jokic

27 Jamal Murray

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Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak