Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Friday

The -110 about Under 234.5 points makes plenty of appeal and represents value in our eyes. We’re not sure if the Nuggets and the Warriors can combine to reach that total.

Denver Nuggets have lost in back-to-back outings. In a recent home game at Ball Arena, they were turned over 113-106 by San Antonio Spurs. Jalen Pickett delivered a fantastic performance when recording a triple-double that featured 17 points, 11 rebounds and 10 assists.

Golden State Warriors got a fourth straight win in their last game. It was a 123-116 road triumph at Crypto.com Arena when meeting LA Lakers. Stephen Curry was able to score 37 points, with Brandin Podziemski getting 28 and Jonathan Kuminga 18.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last matchup between the Nuggets and the Warriors saw the former win. It was a 114-105 scoreline at Chase Center. It’s been nine victories on the bounce for the Nuggets when playing the Warriors. On the head-to-head front, they have won 9 of the past 10.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	18	6	0.75	125.5	115.9	9.6	6-4	12-2	2-1	13-5	7-3	4W
Warriors	13	13	0.5	113.7	112.3	1.4	7-4	6-9	3-1	10-8	4-6	1L

View Full Standings

4 wins and 6 losses in the past 10 games. The Nuggets are averaging 119.0 points, 46.0 rebounds, 31.4 assists, 8.4 steals and 6.2 blocks while shooting 49.7% from the field and 73.1% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 118.2 points and 43.1 rebounds per contest.

Nikola Jokic is averaging 16.7 points, with Michael Porter Jr. landing 5.9 rebounds and 2.2 (39.3%) 3-pointers. Russell Westbrook averages 7.7 assists.

The Warriors have won 7 and lost 3 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 114.0 points, 43.8 rebounds, 28.2 assists, 10.2 steals and 4.0 blocks per game while shooting 44.9% from the field and 79.8% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 109.3 points and 43.0 rebounds.

Stephen Curry is averaging 19.0 points and 3.3 (40.2%) 3-pointers made. Draymond Green has an average of 6.9 rebounds and Jimmy Butler 6.3 assists.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets lineup: Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr., Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Aaron Gordon.

Golden State Warriors lineup: Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler, Draymond Green, Stephen Curry.

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Picks

The -110 for Under 234.5 points to be scored in this NBA game looks like great value. Our pick is that the teams might not collectively reach this total.

The formbook is always a good place to start ahead of making NBA picks. Team news is also an important port of call, while the stats we present always tell an interesting story.

Key Nuggets vs Warriors stats:

• The 234.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Nuggets games on the road.
• The 234.5 line hasn’t been covered in 12 of the last 20 Nuggets games on the road.
• The 234.5 line hasn’t been covered in any of the last 5 Warriors games at home.
• The 234.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Warriors games at home.
• The 234.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 5 Warriors games at home.
• The 234.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 games between these teams.

Under 234.5 Probability

The sportsbooks make it a 52.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our analysts have this probability close to 60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this wager.

Those looking for bigger odds can include an Under selection with other picks when they place a Bet Builder. A bigger potential payout could be on the cards with this wager.

Our Game Prediction

Under 234.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Stephen Curry Under 27.5 Points -115

Stephen Curry (Warriors) has an average of 19 points in the past 4 home games. We are therefore keen to back the -115 that he fails to cover this total when it comes to Player Points.

Latest Stephen Curry Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 26.5

-105

Under 26.5

-125

Assists

Over 5.5

-118

Under 5.5

-110

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-164

Under 3.5

+125

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Jimmy Butler Over 5.5 Assists -149

Jimmy Butler (Warriors) has racked up Over 5.5 assists in 5 straight games at home. He therefore looks capable of covering the line when it comes our Player Assists bet, with odds of -149 available.

Latest Jimmy Butler Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 17.5

-125

Under 17.5

-105

Assists

Over 5.5

-149

Under 5.5

+110

Rebounds

Over 5.5

-130

Under 5.5

-105

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Correct Score Prediction

Nuggets 112 - 116 Warriors

The Warriors are available at huge odds to register a 116-112 victory and they might have the edge. This should be a close contest and there won’t be much between the teams.

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The betting odds about Golden State Warriors winning is -104, with Denver Nuggets priced up at -112 to achieve victory. The hosts have a 51% chance of victory in the eyes of the most popular NBA sportsbooks.

1 is where the spread lies, with total points being 235.5 right now. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. Those who wager Under 235.5 can get -108.

You can back the Warriors to make a fast start and hit the 20-point mark first. The favorites are -115 to achieve this, with the Nuggets -115 to win the race to this total.

Consider every angle when placing your basketball wagers. The betting sites have a huge selection of team props and game lines and it’s all about finding a bet which matches your prediction of the contest.

Moneyline

Nuggets

-112

Warriors

-104

Point Spread

Nuggets -1

-110

Warriors +1

-110

Total Points

Under 235.5

-108

Over 235.5

-112

Nikola Jokic is favorite when it comes to landing the most baskets. You can get -109 that he goes Over 31.5 points and -120 when it comes to Under.

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 31.5

-109

Under 31.5

-120

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 26.5

-105

Under 26.5

-125

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 20.5

-105

Under 20.5

-125

Jimmy Butler (Warriors)

Over 17.5

-125

Under 17.5

-105

Michael Porter Jr (Nuggets)

Over 17.5

-109

Under 17.5

-122

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 15.5

-118

Under 15.5

-114

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 14.5

-106

Under 14.5

-125

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

Over 14.5

-105

Under 14.5

-125

Moses Moody (Warriors)

Over 11.5

-125

Under 11.5

-105

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 10.5

-100

Under 10.5

-135

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-112

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 5.5

-118

Under 5.5

-110

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-135

Jimmy Butler (Warriors)

Over 5.5

-149

Under 5.5

+110

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 5.5

-115

Under 5.5

-115

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

Over 3.5

-118

Under 3.5

-110

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

-149

Under 2.5

+114

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

+110

Michael Porter Jr (Nuggets)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-105

Moses Moody (Warriors)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

+120

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 11.5

-132

Under 11.5

-100

Michael Porter Jr (Nuggets)

Over 6.5

-132

Under 6.5

-103

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 6.5

-115

Under 6.5

-115

Jimmy Butler (Warriors)

Over 5.5

-130

Under 5.5

-105

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

+112

Under 5.5

-147

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 4.5

-122

Under 4.5

-109

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

Over 4.5

-154

Under 4.5

+115

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 3.5

-164

Under 3.5

+125

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

-120

Under 3.5

-110

Moses Moody (Warriors)

Over 2.5

-149

Under 2.5

+115

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, basketball micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to wager on the Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Denver Nuggets Stats

Golden State Warriors Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +2 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +2 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -2 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -2 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 223.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 224.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 232.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 232.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 110.00 pts and allowed 113.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 106.80 pts and allowed 117.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 215.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 218.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 232.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
• Over 232.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 106.30 pts and allowed 109.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 109.20 pts and allowed 109.70 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 26.50 (52%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.60 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.20 (78.37%)
• Rebounds: Total 47, Offensive 12.20, Defensive 34.80
• Assists: 22.20
• Blocks: 5.00
• Steals: 7.60
• Turnovers : 14.90
• Personal Fouls: 20.90

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.00 (53%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 11.10 (33%)
• Free Throws Made: 17.50 (79.55%)
• Rebounds: Total 45.1, Offensive 12.80, Defensive 32.30
• Assists: 23.40
• Blocks: 4.50
• Steals: 6.50
• Turnovers : 15.60
• Personal Fouls: 19.00

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 22.50 (50%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.10 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 17.10 (78.8%)
• Rebounds: Total 38.9, Offensive 12.20, Defensive 26.70
• Assists: 22.80
• Blocks: 3.80
• Steals: 8.30
• Turnovers : 13.40
• Personal Fouls: 21.10

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 24.00 (52%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.20 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.60 (81.94%)
• Rebounds: Total 38.6, Offensive 11.60, Defensive 27.00
• Assists: 26.00
• Blocks: 3.70
• Steals: 9.60
• Turnovers : 13.20
• Personal Fouls: 21.30

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors Confirmed Lineup

2 Brandin Podziemski

4 Moses Moody

10 Jimmy Butler

23 Draymond Green

30 Stephen Curry

Denver Nuggets Confirmed Lineup

0 Christian Braun

1 Michael Porter Jr.

8 Peyton Watson

15 Nikola Jokic

32 Aaron Gordon

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Knicks	18	7	0.72	121	112.2	8.8	13-1	5-6	5-1	14-7	9-1	5W
Celtics	15	10	0.6	116.6	110.8	5.8	8-4	7-6	4-4	11-7	7-3	1L
76ers	14	10	0.583	116.8	115.7	1.1	8-7	6-3	5-2	12-9	6-4	1W
Raptors	15	11	0.577	115.8	113.9	1.9	8-6	7-5	3-4	13-7	4-6	4L
Nets	6	18	0.25	109.5	117.3	-7.8	2-10	4-8	1-7	5-13	4-6	1L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	20	5	0.8	119.6	113.3	6.3	12-2	8-3	5-3	15-5	7-3	3W
Cavaliers	15	11	0.577	119	115.8	3.2	9-6	6-5	6-0	12-8	5-5	1W
Bucks	11	15	0.423	115.1	117.3	-2.2	8-7	3-8	3-4	9-11	3-7	1W
Bulls	10	14	0.417	117.8	122.7	-4.9	6-5	4-9	1-5	7-10	2-8	1W
Pacers	6	19	0.24	111	118.7	-7.7	5-8	1-11	2-5	4-10	4-6	1L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Magic	15	11	0.577	117.9	114.1	3.8	10-5	5-6	5-2	12-9	6-4	1L
Heat	14	11	0.56	121.7	118.2	3.5	10-3	4-8	2-3	8-6	5-5	4L
Hawks	14	12	0.538	117.9	117.5	0.4	4-6	10-6	4-1	8-8	5-5	1L
Hornets	7	18	0.28	114.7	118.7	-4	5-8	2-10	1-4	6-12	3-7	2L
Wizards	3	20	0.13	113	128.3	-15.3	2-9	1-11	1-3	2-16	2-8	4L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	24	2	0.923	123	106.3	16.7	12-1	12-1	5-1	20-2	9-1	1L
Nuggets	18	6	0.75	125.5	115.9	9.6	6-4	12-2	2-1	13-5	7-3	4W
Timberwolves	16	9	0.64	119.9	115	4.9	8-4	8-5	3-3	11-8	6-4	1W
Jazz	9	15	0.375	118.1	125.8	-7.7	6-7	3-8	0-5	5-11	4-6	1W
Trail Blazers	9	16	0.36	117.5	121.5	-4	3-6	6-10	3-3	7-11	3-7	3L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	17	7	0.708	118.3	116.8	1.5	7-4	10-3	2-2	12-5	7-3	1L
Suns	14	11	0.56	114.8	114.4	0.4	8-4	6-7	5-2	13-10	5-5	1L
Warriors	13	13	0.5	113.7	112.3	1.4	7-4	6-9	3-1	10-8	4-6	1L
Kings	6	19	0.24	111.2	122.6	-11.4	3-8	3-11	1-3	4-16	3-7	2L
Clippers	6	19	0.24	111.6	116.7	-5.1	3-7	3-12	1-4	4-12	2-8	3L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	16	6	0.727	120.6	110.4	10.2	8-2	8-4	2-2	9-5	7-3	1W
Spurs	18	7	0.72	119.7	115.1	4.6	9-2	9-5	7-0	12-6	7-3	3W
Grizzlies	11	14	0.44	114.1	115.9	-1.8	6-7	5-7	4-3	10-8	7-3	1L
Mavericks	10	16	0.385	112.1	115.9	-3.8	7-9	3-7	2-5	5-11	6-4	2W
Pelicans	4	22	0.154	114.2	123.5	-9.3	3-12	1-10	1-6	2-19	2-8	1W

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	20	5	0.8	119.6	113.3	6.3	12-2	8-3	5-3	15-5	7-3	3W
Knicks	18	7	0.72	121	112.2	8.8	13-1	5-6	5-1	14-7	9-1	5W
Celtics	15	10	0.6	116.6	110.8	5.8	8-4	7-6	4-4	11-7	7-3	1L
76ers	14	10	0.583	116.8	115.7	1.1	8-7	6-3	5-2	12-9	6-4	1W
Raptors	15	11	0.577	115.8	113.9	1.9	8-6	7-5	3-4	13-7	4-6	4L
Cavaliers	15	11	0.577	119	115.8	3.2	9-6	6-5	6-0	12-8	5-5	1W
Magic	15	11	0.577	117.9	114.1	3.8	10-5	5-6	5-2	12-9	6-4	1L
Heat	14	11	0.56	121.7	118.2	3.5	10-3	4-8	2-3	8-6	5-5	4L
Hawks	14	12	0.538	117.9	117.5	0.4	4-6	10-6	4-1	8-8	5-5	1L
Bucks	11	15	0.423	115.1	117.3	-2.2	8-7	3-8	3-4	9-11	3-7	1W
Bulls	10	14	0.417	117.8	122.7	-4.9	6-5	4-9	1-5	7-10	2-8	1W
Hornets	7	18	0.28	114.7	118.7	-4	5-8	2-10	1-4	6-12	3-7	2L
Nets	6	18	0.25	109.5	117.3	-7.8	2-10	4-8	1-7	5-13	4-6	1L
Pacers	6	19	0.24	111	118.7	-7.7	5-8	1-11	2-5	4-10	4-6	1L
Wizards	3	20	0.13	113	128.3	-15.3	2-9	1-11	1-3	2-16	2-8	4L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	24	2	0.923	123	106.3	16.7	12-1	12-1	5-1	20-2	9-1	1L
Nuggets	18	6	0.75	125.5	115.9	9.6	6-4	12-2	2-1	13-5	7-3	4W
Rockets	16	6	0.727	120.6	110.4	10.2	8-2	8-4	2-2	9-5	7-3	1W
Spurs	18	7	0.72	119.7	115.1	4.6	9-2	9-5	7-0	12-6	7-3	3W
Lakers	17	7	0.708	118.3	116.8	1.5	7-4	10-3	2-2	12-5	7-3	1L
Timberwolves	16	9	0.64	119.9	115	4.9	8-4	8-5	3-3	11-8	6-4	1W
Suns	14	11	0.56	114.8	114.4	0.4	8-4	6-7	5-2	13-10	5-5	1L
Warriors	13	13	0.5	113.7	112.3	1.4	7-4	6-9	3-1	10-8	4-6	1L
Grizzlies	11	14	0.44	114.1	115.9	-1.8	6-7	5-7	4-3	10-8	7-3	1L
Mavericks	10	16	0.385	112.1	115.9	-3.8	7-9	3-7	2-5	5-11	6-4	2W
Jazz	9	15	0.375	118.1	125.8	-7.7	6-7	3-8	0-5	5-11	4-6	1W
Trail Blazers	9	16	0.36	117.5	121.5	-4	3-6	6-10	3-3	7-11	3-7	3L
Kings	6	19	0.24	111.2	122.6	-11.4	3-8	3-11	1-3	4-16	3-7	2L
Clippers	6	19	0.24	111.6	116.7	-5.1	3-7	3-12	1-4	4-12	2-8	3L
Pelicans	4	22	0.154	114.2	123.5	-9.3	3-12	1-10	1-6	2-19	2-8	1W

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	24	2	0.923	123	106.3	16.7	12-1	12-1	5-1	20-2	9-1	1L
Pistons	20	5	0.8	119.6	113.3	6.3	12-2	8-3	5-3	15-5	7-3	3W
Nuggets	18	6	0.75	125.5	115.9	9.6	6-4	12-2	2-1	13-5	7-3	4W
Rockets	16	6	0.727	120.6	110.4	10.2	8-2	8-4	2-2	9-5	7-3	1W
Knicks	18	7	0.72	121	112.2	8.8	13-1	5-6	5-1	14-7	9-1	5W
Spurs	18	7	0.72	119.7	115.1	4.6	9-2	9-5	7-0	12-6	7-3	3W
Lakers	17	7	0.708	118.3	116.8	1.5	7-4	10-3	2-2	12-5	7-3	1L
Timberwolves	16	9	0.64	119.9	115	4.9	8-4	8-5	3-3	11-8	6-4	1W
Celtics	15	10	0.6	116.6	110.8	5.8	8-4	7-6	4-4	11-7	7-3	1L
76ers	14	10	0.583	116.8	115.7	1.1	8-7	6-3	5-2	12-9	6-4	1W
Cavaliers	15	11	0.577	119	115.8	3.2	9-6	6-5	6-0	12-8	5-5	1W
Magic	15	11	0.577	117.9	114.1	3.8	10-5	5-6	5-2	12-9	6-4	1L
Raptors	15	11	0.577	115.8	113.9	1.9	8-6	7-5	3-4	13-7	4-6	4L
Heat	14	11	0.56	121.7	118.2	3.5	10-3	4-8	2-3	8-6	5-5	4L
Suns	14	11	0.56	114.8	114.4	0.4	8-4	6-7	5-2	13-10	5-5	1L
Hawks	14	12	0.538	117.9	117.5	0.4	4-6	10-6	4-1	8-8	5-5	1L
Warriors	13	13	0.5	113.7	112.3	1.4	7-4	6-9	3-1	10-8	4-6	1L
Grizzlies	11	14	0.44	114.1	115.9	-1.8	6-7	5-7	4-3	10-8	7-3	1L
Bucks	11	15	0.423	115.1	117.3	-2.2	8-7	3-8	3-4	9-11	3-7	1W
Bulls	10	14	0.417	117.8	122.7	-4.9	6-5	4-9	1-5	7-10	2-8	1W
Mavericks	10	16	0.385	112.1	115.9	-3.8	7-9	3-7	2-5	5-11	6-4	2W
Jazz	9	15	0.375	118.1	125.8	-7.7	6-7	3-8	0-5	5-11	4-6	1W
Trail Blazers	9	16	0.36	117.5	121.5	-4	3-6	6-10	3-3	7-11	3-7	3L
Hornets	7	18	0.28	114.7	118.7	-4	5-8	2-10	1-4	6-12	3-7	2L
Nets	6	18	0.25	109.5	117.3	-7.8	2-10	4-8	1-7	5-13	4-6	1L
Pacers	6	19	0.24	111	118.7	-7.7	5-8	1-11	2-5	4-10	4-6	1L
Clippers	6	19	0.24	111.6	116.7	-5.1	3-7	3-12	1-4	4-12	2-8	3L
Kings	6	19	0.24	111.2	122.6	-11.4	3-8	3-11	1-3	4-16	3-7	2L
Pelicans	4	22	0.154	114.2	123.5	-9.3	3-12	1-10	1-6	2-19	2-8	1W
Wizards	3	20	0.13	113	128.3	-15.3	2-9	1-11	1-3	2-16	2-8	4L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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