Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Sunday

Final day clinching scenarios: The Nuggets clinch a playoff spot with a win against the Rockets or a loss by either the Wolves or the Warriors.

The best bet could involve backing the Rockets against the spread. There’s a generous +8.5 available at -110 that the underdogs cover the line against the Nuggets and that has to be our pick.

Denver Nuggets beat Memphis Grizzlies in their previous game, making it back-to-back victories. It was a 117-109 home win at Ball Arena. Nikola Jokic delivered a dominant triple-double performance, recording 26 points, 16 rebounds and 13 assists.

Houston Rockets have won three home games on the spin. On the road at Crypto.com Arena in their last game, they were beaten 140-109 by LA Lakers. Cam Whitmore was able to score 34 points, with Reed Sheppard getting 14 and Jeenathan Williams 12.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was the Nuggets who came out on top when they last played the Rockets. At Toyota Center, a 116-111 win was recorded. Both teams have won five games when it comes to the previous 10 H2H meetings.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	17	6	0.739	125	116.3	8.7	6-4	11-2	2-1	12-5	7-3	3W
Rockets	15	6	0.714	120.9	110.3	10.6	7-2	8-4	2-2	8-5	7-3	1L

View Full Standings

The Nuggets have 5 wins and 5 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 120.1 points, 47.1 rebounds, 31.6 assists, 6.8 steals and 5.9 blocks while shooting 50.9% from the field and 73.3% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 117.1 points and 43.1 rebounds per matchup.

Nikola Jokic is averaging 24.7 points, 8.9 rebounds and 7.2 assists, while Michael Porter Jr. averages 2.0 (37.0%) 3-pointers made.

The Rockets have won 6 and lost 4 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 119.9 points, 47.6 rebounds, 25.7 assists, 8.0 steals and 5.0 blocks per game while shooting 48.3% from the field and 73.0% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 113.9 points and 40.5 rebounds.

Jalen Green is averaging 21.4 points and 2.5 (36.8%) 3-pointers made, while Alperen Sengun has an average of 7.9 rebounds and 4.3 assists.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets lineup: Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon.

Houston Rockets lineup: Amen Thompson, Jalen Green, Fred VanVleet, Dillon Brooks, Alperen Sengun.

Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Prediction & Picks

We’re expecting a spirited performance from Rockets which leads us to backing the underdogs against the spread for this NBA matchup. They should be able to cover the +8.5 line where -110 can be found.

It's important to understand the players who are unavailable for the upcoming action and the respective form of each franchise. If you want stats, you have come to the right place and they form the basis of our NBA picks.

Key Nuggets vs Rockets stats:

• The +8.5 line has been covered by Rockets in all of their last 10 games at home.
• The +8.5 line has been covered by Rockets in all of their last 5 games at home.
• The +8.5 line has been covered by Rockets in 10 consecutive games at home.
• The -8.5 line hasn’t been covered by Nuggets in any of their last 5 games.
• The -8.5 line hasn’t been covered by Nuggets in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -8.5 line hasn’t been covered by Nuggets in 6 consecutive games.
• The +8.5 line has been covered by Rockets in 3 consecutive games against Nuggets.

Rockets +8.5 Probability

According to the sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

In the quest to secure bigger odds, there’s the possibility of moving the line. There are plenty of choices when it comes to doing this, so you can choose the option that suits you.

Our Game Prediction

Rockets +8.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Aaron Gordon Over 2.5 Assists -161

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets) has covered the 2.5 assists total in 4 straight games on the road. He therefore looks capable of covering the line when it comes our Player Assists bet, with odds of -161 available.

Latest Aaron Gordon Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 15.5

-122

Under 15.5

-109

Assists

Over 2.5

-161

Under 2.5

+123

Rebounds

Over 4.5

-130

Under 4.5

-103

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Aaron Gordon Under 15.5 Points -108

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets) has totaled Under 15.5 points in 5 of the past 8 games. We can use this stat to our advantage and back him to fall short of the Player Points line at -108.

Latest Aaron Gordon Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 15.5

-122

Under 15.5

-109

Assists

Over 2.5

-161

Under 2.5

+123

Rebounds

Over 4.5

-130

Under 4.5

-103

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Correct Score Prediction

Nuggets 121 - 115 Rockets

For those looking to get more bang for their buck, consider a correct score wager on the Nuggets. Backing them to win 121-115 means you can land a potential monster return.

Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Denver Nuggets are -250 favorites and that means a 71% chance of winning this NBA game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. The market suggests that Houston Rockets are least likely to win at +205.

The current spread is 6.5 and the total points line is 236. The Totals offers basketball bettors an alternative way of getting involved. If you fancy Over 236, this outcome can be backed at -110.

The Nuggets are available at odds of -145 when it comes to beating the opposition to 20 points. Underdogs Rockets are chalked up at +115 to reach this total first.

Consider every angle when placing your basketball bets. The betting sites offer a huge selection of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the game.

Moneyline

Nuggets

-250

Rockets

+205

Point Spread

Nuggets -6.5

-108

Rockets +6.5

-112

Total Points

Under 236

-110

Over 236

-110

Nikola Jokic is the market leader to land the most baskets. He is priced at -114 to score Over 28.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -118.

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 28.5

-114

Under 28.5

-118

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 18.5

-120

Under 18.5

-112

Michael Porter Jr (Nuggets)

Over 16.5

-108

Under 16.5

-123

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 15.5

-122

Under 15.5

-109

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 14.5

-104

Under 14.5

-128

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-118

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 4.5

-152

Under 4.5

+114

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

-161

Under 2.5

+123

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

-152

Under 2.5

+114

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 12.5

-109

Under 12.5

-122

Michael Porter Jr (Nuggets)

Over 6.5

-133

Under 6.5

-100

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 4.5

-130

Under 4.5

-103

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 4.5

-112

Under 4.5

-120

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

+102

Under 3.5

-135

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some basketball bettors prefer to look at the micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Denver Nuggets Stats

Houston Rockets Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +2 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +2 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -2 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• -2 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 236.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 236.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 234.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 234.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 123.20 pts and allowed 113.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 116.90 pts and allowed 120.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 235.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 223.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 234.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 234.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 123.90 pts and allowed 111.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 116.40 pts and allowed 107.50 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 32.30 (58%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 11.80 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 23.20 (81.98%)
• Rebounds: Total 47.4, Offensive 11.90, Defensive 35.50
• Assists: 28.20
• Blocks: 3.90
• Steals: 7.90
• Turnovers : 12.60
• Personal Fouls: 18.70

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.00 (56%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.40 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 21.70 (82.2%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.7, Offensive 11.60, Defensive 33.10
• Assists: 24.30
• Blocks: 3.80
• Steals: 7.10
• Turnovers : 15.30
• Personal Fouls: 21.40

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 32.80 (52%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.70 (43%)
• Free Throws Made: 20.20 (78.29%)
• Rebounds: Total 51.8, Offensive 17.10, Defensive 34.70
• Assists: 26.20
• Blocks: 5.60
• Steals: 9.10
• Turnovers : 14.70
• Personal Fouls: 19.70

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.20 (51%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 11.60 (39%)
• Free Throws Made: 21.20 (77.09%)
• Rebounds: Total 49, Offensive 15.50, Defensive 33.50
• Assists: 22.50
• Blocks: 4.80
• Steals: 9.40
• Turnovers : 11.80
• Personal Fouls: 19.40

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Houston Rockets Confirmed Lineup

1 Amen Thompson

4 Jalen Green

5 Fred VanVleet

9 Dillon Brooks

28 Alperen Sengun

Denver Nuggets Confirmed Lineup

0 Christian Braun

1 Michael Porter Jr.

15 Nikola Jokic

27 Jamal Murray

32 Aaron Gordon

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Knicks	17	7	0.708	120.5	111.9	8.6	13-1	4-6	5-1	13-7	8-2	4W
Celtics	15	9	0.625	117.3	110.6	6.7	8-4	7-5	4-4	11-6	8-2	5W
Raptors	15	11	0.577	115.8	113.9	1.9	8-6	7-5	3-4	13-7	4-6	4L
76ers	13	10	0.565	116.9	116.1	0.8	7-7	6-3	5-2	11-9	5-5	1L
Nets	6	17	0.261	109.4	117.2	-7.8	2-10	4-7	1-7	5-13	4-6	1W

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	19	5	0.792	118.7	113.3	5.4	11-2	8-3	5-3	14-5	7-3	2W
Cavaliers	14	11	0.56	118.6	115.4	3.2	9-6	5-5	6-0	11-8	4-6	1L
Bucks	10	15	0.4	115.1	118	-2.9	7-7	3-8	3-4	8-11	2-8	2L
Bulls	9	14	0.391	117.3	122.6	-5.3	6-5	3-9	1-5	6-10	2-8	7L
Pacers	6	18	0.25	111.3	118.8	-7.5	5-8	1-10	2-5	4-9	5-5	2W

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Magic	15	10	0.6	117.8	113.4	4.4	10-4	5-6	5-2	12-8	7-3	1W
Hawks	14	11	0.56	118	116.5	1.5	4-6	10-5	4-1	8-7	5-5	1W
Heat	14	11	0.56	121.7	118.2	3.5	10-3	4-8	2-3	8-6	5-5	4L
Hornets	7	17	0.292	114.2	118.3	-4.1	5-7	2-10	1-4	6-11	3-7	1L
Wizards	3	19	0.136	112.4	128.3	-15.9	2-8	1-11	1-3	2-15	2-8	3L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	24	1	0.96	123.6	106.2	17.4	12-0	12-1	5-1	20-1	10-0	16W
Nuggets	17	6	0.739	125	116.3	8.7	6-4	11-2	2-1	12-5	7-3	3W
Timberwolves	15	9	0.625	119.6	114.8	4.8	8-4	7-5	3-3	10-8	6-4	1L
Trail Blazers	9	15	0.375	117.4	120.6	-3.2	3-6	6-9	3-3	7-10	3-7	2L
Jazz	8	15	0.348	117.6	125.8	-8.2	6-7	2-8	0-5	4-11	3-7	2L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	17	7	0.708	118.3	116.8	1.5	7-4	10-3	2-2	12-5	7-3	1L
Suns	14	11	0.56	114.8	114.4	0.4	8-4	6-7	5-2	13-10	5-5	1L
Warriors	13	12	0.52	113.5	111.7	1.8	7-3	6-9	3-1	10-7	4-6	2W
Kings	6	18	0.25	111.4	122	-10.6	3-7	3-11	1-3	4-15	3-7	1L
Clippers	6	18	0.25	111.6	116.8	-5.2	3-7	3-11	1-4	4-11	2-8	2L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	15	6	0.714	120.9	110.3	10.6	7-2	8-4	2-2	8-5	7-3	1L
Spurs	17	7	0.708	120.1	115.4	4.7	9-2	8-5	7-0	11-6	7-3	2W
Grizzlies	11	13	0.458	113.6	115.3	-1.7	6-6	5-7	4-3	10-7	7-3	2W
Mavericks	9	16	0.36	111.8	116.1	-4.3	6-9	3-7	2-5	5-11	5-5	1W
Pelicans	3	22	0.12	113	123.7	-10.7	2-12	1-10	1-6	1-19	1-9	7L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	19	5	0.792	118.7	113.3	5.4	11-2	8-3	5-3	14-5	7-3	2W
Knicks	17	7	0.708	120.5	111.9	8.6	13-1	4-6	5-1	13-7	8-2	4W
Celtics	15	9	0.625	117.3	110.6	6.7	8-4	7-5	4-4	11-6	8-2	5W
Magic	15	10	0.6	117.8	113.4	4.4	10-4	5-6	5-2	12-8	7-3	1W
Raptors	15	11	0.577	115.8	113.9	1.9	8-6	7-5	3-4	13-7	4-6	4L
76ers	13	10	0.565	116.9	116.1	0.8	7-7	6-3	5-2	11-9	5-5	1L
Cavaliers	14	11	0.56	118.6	115.4	3.2	9-6	5-5	6-0	11-8	4-6	1L
Heat	14	11	0.56	121.7	118.2	3.5	10-3	4-8	2-3	8-6	5-5	4L
Hawks	14	11	0.56	118	116.5	1.5	4-6	10-5	4-1	8-7	5-5	1W
Bucks	10	15	0.4	115.1	118	-2.9	7-7	3-8	3-4	8-11	2-8	2L
Bulls	9	14	0.391	117.3	122.6	-5.3	6-5	3-9	1-5	6-10	2-8	7L
Hornets	7	17	0.292	114.2	118.3	-4.1	5-7	2-10	1-4	6-11	3-7	1L
Nets	6	17	0.261	109.4	117.2	-7.8	2-10	4-7	1-7	5-13	4-6	1W
Pacers	6	18	0.25	111.3	118.8	-7.5	5-8	1-10	2-5	4-9	5-5	2W
Wizards	3	19	0.136	112.4	128.3	-15.9	2-8	1-11	1-3	2-15	2-8	3L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	24	1	0.96	123.6	106.2	17.4	12-0	12-1	5-1	20-1	10-0	16W
Nuggets	17	6	0.739	125	116.3	8.7	6-4	11-2	2-1	12-5	7-3	3W
Rockets	15	6	0.714	120.9	110.3	10.6	7-2	8-4	2-2	8-5	7-3	1L
Lakers	17	7	0.708	118.3	116.8	1.5	7-4	10-3	2-2	12-5	7-3	1L
Spurs	17	7	0.708	120.1	115.4	4.7	9-2	8-5	7-0	11-6	7-3	2W
Timberwolves	15	9	0.625	119.6	114.8	4.8	8-4	7-5	3-3	10-8	6-4	1L
Suns	14	11	0.56	114.8	114.4	0.4	8-4	6-7	5-2	13-10	5-5	1L
Warriors	13	12	0.52	113.5	111.7	1.8	7-3	6-9	3-1	10-7	4-6	2W
Grizzlies	11	13	0.458	113.6	115.3	-1.7	6-6	5-7	4-3	10-7	7-3	2W
Trail Blazers	9	15	0.375	117.4	120.6	-3.2	3-6	6-9	3-3	7-10	3-7	2L
Mavericks	9	16	0.36	111.8	116.1	-4.3	6-9	3-7	2-5	5-11	5-5	1W
Jazz	8	15	0.348	117.6	125.8	-8.2	6-7	2-8	0-5	4-11	3-7	2L
Kings	6	18	0.25	111.4	122	-10.6	3-7	3-11	1-3	4-15	3-7	1L
Clippers	6	18	0.25	111.6	116.8	-5.2	3-7	3-11	1-4	4-11	2-8	2L
Pelicans	3	22	0.12	113	123.7	-10.7	2-12	1-10	1-6	1-19	1-9	7L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	24	1	0.96	123.6	106.2	17.4	12-0	12-1	5-1	20-1	10-0	16W
Pistons	19	5	0.792	118.7	113.3	5.4	11-2	8-3	5-3	14-5	7-3	2W
Nuggets	17	6	0.739	125	116.3	8.7	6-4	11-2	2-1	12-5	7-3	3W
Rockets	15	6	0.714	120.9	110.3	10.6	7-2	8-4	2-2	8-5	7-3	1L
Lakers	17	7	0.708	118.3	116.8	1.5	7-4	10-3	2-2	12-5	7-3	1L
Knicks	17	7	0.708	120.5	111.9	8.6	13-1	4-6	5-1	13-7	8-2	4W
Spurs	17	7	0.708	120.1	115.4	4.7	9-2	8-5	7-0	11-6	7-3	2W
Celtics	15	9	0.625	117.3	110.6	6.7	8-4	7-5	4-4	11-6	8-2	5W
Timberwolves	15	9	0.625	119.6	114.8	4.8	8-4	7-5	3-3	10-8	6-4	1L
Magic	15	10	0.6	117.8	113.4	4.4	10-4	5-6	5-2	12-8	7-3	1W
Raptors	15	11	0.577	115.8	113.9	1.9	8-6	7-5	3-4	13-7	4-6	4L
76ers	13	10	0.565	116.9	116.1	0.8	7-7	6-3	5-2	11-9	5-5	1L
Hawks	14	11	0.56	118	116.5	1.5	4-6	10-5	4-1	8-7	5-5	1W
Cavaliers	14	11	0.56	118.6	115.4	3.2	9-6	5-5	6-0	11-8	4-6	1L
Heat	14	11	0.56	121.7	118.2	3.5	10-3	4-8	2-3	8-6	5-5	4L
Suns	14	11	0.56	114.8	114.4	0.4	8-4	6-7	5-2	13-10	5-5	1L
Warriors	13	12	0.52	113.5	111.7	1.8	7-3	6-9	3-1	10-7	4-6	2W
Grizzlies	11	13	0.458	113.6	115.3	-1.7	6-6	5-7	4-3	10-7	7-3	2W
Bucks	10	15	0.4	115.1	118	-2.9	7-7	3-8	3-4	8-11	2-8	2L
Bulls	9	14	0.391	117.3	122.6	-5.3	6-5	3-9	1-5	6-10	2-8	7L
Trail Blazers	9	15	0.375	117.4	120.6	-3.2	3-6	6-9	3-3	7-10	3-7	2L
Mavericks	9	16	0.36	111.8	116.1	-4.3	6-9	3-7	2-5	5-11	5-5	1W
Jazz	8	15	0.348	117.6	125.8	-8.2	6-7	2-8	0-5	4-11	3-7	2L
Hornets	7	17	0.292	114.2	118.3	-4.1	5-7	2-10	1-4	6-11	3-7	1L
Nets	6	17	0.261	109.4	117.2	-7.8	2-10	4-7	1-7	5-13	4-6	1W
Pacers	6	18	0.25	111.3	118.8	-7.5	5-8	1-10	2-5	4-9	5-5	2W
Clippers	6	18	0.25	111.6	116.8	-5.2	3-7	3-11	1-4	4-11	2-8	2L
Kings	6	18	0.25	111.4	122	-10.6	3-7	3-11	1-3	4-15	3-7	1L
Wizards	3	19	0.136	112.4	128.3	-15.9	2-8	1-11	1-3	2-15	2-8	3L
Pelicans	3	22	0.12	113	123.7	-10.7	2-12	1-10	1-6	1-19	1-9	7L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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