Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Tuesday

NBA Betting Preview: Nuggets vs Pelicans

The Denver Nuggets meet the New Orleans Pelicans in this NBA contest. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

We’re bullish about the Nuggets on the spread at -3. They should be able to win by a comfortable margin against the Pelicans and you can get -108.

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Denver Nuggets have enjoyed back-to-back road victories. In their previous game, they beat Milwaukee Bucks at home, winning 108-104 at Ball Arena. Tim Hardaway Jr. poured in 25 points, with Aaron Gordon contributing 23 and Peyton Watson adding 19.

New Orleans Pelicans have suffered defeat in their last five home games. Most recently, they lost 128-118 on the road at Kia Center against Orlando Magic. Offensively, Zion Williamson led the way, scoring 22, while Jordan Poole added 21 and Trey Murphy 21.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Nuggets won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 125-118 victory was registered against the Pelicans at Smoothie King Center. The Nuggets have racked up five straight victories over the Pelicans. On the head-to-head front, they have won 7 of the past 10.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	26	13	0.667	122.7	117.5	5.2	11-6	15-7	4-1	16-7	5-5	1W
Pelicans	9	32	0.22	114.9	122.4	-7.5	6-17	3-15	3-6	4-23	1-9	1L

View Full Standings

5 wins and 5 losses in the past 10 games. The Nuggets are averaging 115.4 points, 40.8 rebounds, 25.7 assists, 5.7 steals and 4.6 blocks while shooting 46.4% from the field and 80.9% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 120.3 points and 45.6 rebounds per contest.

Peyton Watson is averaging 20.1 points and 5.9 rebounds, Jamal Murray 7.0 assists and Tim Hardaway Jr. 3.1 (38.8%) 3-pointers.

The Pelicans have won 1 and lost 9 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 112.9 points, 42.2 rebounds, 25.1 assists, 8.9 steals and 6.8 blocks per game while shooting 46.6% from the field and 73.4% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 121.2 points and 45.9 rebounds.

Zion Williamson is averaging 24.2 points, with Trey Murphy making 3.8 (43.2%) 3-pointers per contest. Derik Queen has an average of 8.2 rebounds and 4.6 assists.

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction & Picks

We cover the essential Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, correct score pick, top player prop plays and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re confident of backing Nuggets to cover the -3 spread. This is a generous line and the favorites look a great bet at -108 for this NBA contest.

Our NBA handicappers study recent form and take injuries into account when assessing each matchup. Before delivering a verdict, we combine that insight with the latest stats to strengthen our analysis.

Key Nuggets vs Pelicans stats:

• The -3 line has been covered by Nuggets in 12 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The +3 line hasn’t been covered by Pelicans in 5 consecutive games at home.
• The +3 line hasn’t been covered by Pelicans in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +3 line hasn’t been covered by Pelicans in 14 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -3 line has been covered by Nuggets in 5 consecutive games against Pelicans.

Nuggets -3 Probability

The best NBA betting sites imply that our pick has a 51.8% prospect of winning. However, our cappers research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

Selling points can be a great option and allows bettors to enjoy a bigger return on the same selection. For a more conservative spread pick, you can alternatively buy points.

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Our Game Prediction

Nuggets -3 @ -108 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Peyton Watson Over 20.5 Points -105

Peyton Watson (Nuggets) has racked up Over 20.5 points in 5 straight games on the road. It makes sense to bet on him to cover the line and there are odds of -105 available for this Player Points wager.

Latest Peyton Watson Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 20.5

-105

Under 20.5

-120

Assists

Over 2.5

-112

Under 2.5

-118

Rebounds

Over 7.5

+112

Under 7.5

-147

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Jeremiah Fears Over 3.5 Rebounds -135

Jeremiah Fears (Pelicans) has recorded Over 3.5 rebounds in 4 straight games. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Player Rebounds and you can get -135 that he goes over the line.

Latest Jeremiah Fears Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 13.5

-119

Under 13.5

-108

Assists

Over 3.5

-118

Under 3.5

-112

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-135

Under 3.5

+103

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Correct Score Prediction

Nuggets 120 - 112 Pelicans

There are stacks of correct score lines available and we’re looking at the Nuggets to achieve a winning scoreline of 120-112 where a huge potential return is on the cards.

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

With a 61% chance of securing victory, Denver Nuggets are favorites for this NBA game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -154. New Orleans Pelicans are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +130.

3 is where the spread lies, with total points being 235.5 right now. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. Those expecting a low total can back Under 235.5 at -105.

NBA fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the huge selection of team props and game lines which are available for every contest on the coupon. Head to the top basketball sportsbooks and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

Nuggets

-154

Pelicans

+130

Point Spread

Nuggets -3

-108

Pelicans +3

-112

Total Points

Under 235.5

-105

Over 235.5

-115

Jamal Murray is the favorite to hit the most buckets. You can back -108 that he gets Over 27.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -120.

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 27.5

-108

Under 27.5

-120

Zion Williamson (Pelicans)

Over 22.5

-119

Under 22.5

-108

Trey Murphy III (Pelicans)

Over 21.5

-114

Under 21.5

-112

Peyton Watson (Nuggets)

Over 20.5

-105

Under 20.5

-120

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 19.5

-119

Under 19.5

-108

Jeremiah Fears (Pelicans)

Over 13.5

-119

Under 13.5

-108

Derik Queen (Pelicans)

Over 12.5

-111

Under 12.5

-115

Jalen Pickett (Nuggets)

Over 10.5

-104

Under 10.5

-123

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 8.5

-133

Under 8.5

+102

Jalen Pickett (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

-123

Under 5.5

-106

Derik Queen (Pelicans)

Over 4.5

-147

Under 4.5

+112

Zion Williamson (Pelicans)

Over 3.5

-123

Under 3.5

-108

Trey Murphy III (Pelicans)

Over 3.5

-122

Under 3.5

-108

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-147

Jeremiah Fears (Pelicans)

Over 3.5

-118

Under 3.5

-112

Peyton Watson (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

-112

Under 2.5

-118

Derik Queen (Pelicans)

Over 8.5

-111

Under 8.5

-119

Peyton Watson (Nuggets)

Over 7.5

+112

Under 7.5

-147

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 7.5

-108

Under 7.5

-123

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-145

Zion Williamson (Pelicans)

Over 5.5

-123

Under 5.5

-106

Trey Murphy III (Pelicans)

Over 5.5

-108

Under 5.5

-122

Jalen Pickett (Nuggets)

Over 4.5

+111

Under 4.5

-147

Jeremiah Fears (Pelicans)

Over 3.5

-135

Under 3.5

+103

The Pelicans have been on the losing end in five consecutive games at Smoothie King Center. They are 4-6 in their last 10 home games, putting up 121.40 points on average and giving up 120.60.

The Nuggets own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 games on the road, putting up 119.80 points per contest and giving up 119.30.

The Nuggets earned a 125-118 win over the Pelicans the last time they played at Smoothie King Center. Across 10 head-to-head clashes at Smoothie King Center, the Nuggets have posted seven victories, while the Pelicans have managed three.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O235.5	U235.5
New Orleans Pelicans Home Stats		4-6	242.00	121.40	120.60	6	4
Denver Nuggets Away Stats		5-5	239.10	119.80	119.30	6	4

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O235.5 = Games Over 235.5 Points
• U235.5 = Games Under 235.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Denver Nuggets Stats

New Orleans Pelicans Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -3 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -3 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +3 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games
• +3 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 235.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 239.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 235.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 235.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 115.40 pts and allowed 120.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 119.80 pts and allowed 119.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 234.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 242.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 235.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 235.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 112.90 pts and allowed 121.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 121.40 pts and allowed 120.60 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 25.80 (52%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.20 (39%)
• Free Throws Made: 21.20 (80.92%)
• Rebounds: Total 40.8, Offensive 8.70, Defensive 32.10
• Assists: 25.70
• Blocks: 4.60
• Steals: 5.70
• Turnovers : 12.00
• Personal Fouls: 17.80

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.00 (58%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.30 (40%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.90 (78.75%)
• Rebounds: Total 38.9, Offensive 8.40, Defensive 30.50
• Assists: 28.40
• Blocks: 3.70
• Steals: 6.50
• Turnovers : 11.40
• Personal Fouls: 18.70

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 31.70 (54%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 10.70 (33%)
• Free Throws Made: 17.40 (73.42%)
• Rebounds: Total 42.2, Offensive 11.40, Defensive 30.80
• Assists: 25.10
• Blocks: 6.80
• Steals: 8.90
• Turnovers : 15.00
• Personal Fouls: 20.00

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 35.90 (57%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 9.30 (31%)
• Free Throws Made: 21.70 (80.37%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.8, Offensive 13.10, Defensive 31.70
• Assists: 26.60
• Blocks: 5.50
• Steals: 9.10
• Turnovers : 12.30
• Personal Fouls: 20.40

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Knicks	25	14	0.641	119.5	114.9	4.6	16-4	9-10	5-3	18-11	5-5	1W
Celtics	24	15	0.615	116.6	110.1	6.5	12-7	12-8	6-4	17-9	6-4	2L
Raptors	24	17	0.585	113.9	112.3	1.6	13-9	11-8	4-8	21-12	6-4	1L
76ers	22	16	0.579	117.1	115.2	1.9	10-9	12-7	8-4	17-13	6-4	1W
Nets	11	26	0.297	108.7	113.8	-5.1	5-15	6-11	3-7	8-16	3-7	4L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	28	10	0.737	117.8	111.2	6.6	15-4	13-6	7-3	20-6	6-4	1L
Cavaliers	22	19	0.537	119.8	117.7	2.1	14-10	8-9	7-3	14-13	5-5	1L
Bulls	18	20	0.474	117.3	120.8	-3.5	11-9	7-11	3-7	13-14	5-5	1W
Bucks	17	22	0.436	112.9	115.1	-2.2	9-9	8-13	5-4	13-14	6-4	1L
Pacers	9	31	0.225	110.8	118.4	-7.6	7-15	2-16	2-7	7-19	3-7	3W

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Magic	22	18	0.55	116.2	115	1.2	13-7	9-11	5-4	15-14	5-5	1W
Heat	20	19	0.513	119.4	117.7	1.7	13-6	7-13	3-3	12-11	5-5	3L
Hawks	20	21	0.488	118.4	118.4	0	7-11	13-10	4-3	10-15	5-5	3W
Hornets	14	26	0.35	116.1	116.7	-0.6	7-12	7-14	4-4	11-18	4-6	1L
Wizards	10	28	0.263	112.8	124	-11.2	6-13	4-15	2-4	7-18	5-5	3L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	33	7	0.825	121.4	108.4	13	19-3	14-4	7-2	26-6	7-3	3W
Nuggets	26	13	0.667	122.7	117.5	5.2	11-6	15-7	4-1	16-7	5-5	1W
Timberwolves	26	14	0.65	119.9	114.8	5.1	15-6	11-8	4-4	14-10	6-4	1W
Trail Blazers	19	21	0.475	116.3	118.9	-2.6	10-10	9-11	4-4	16-13	7-3	1L
Jazz	14	25	0.359	119.1	126.9	-7.8	9-12	5-13	0-8	8-18	4-6	1W

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	23	14	0.622	115.8	116.5	-0.7	10-7	13-7	4-5	18-10	4-6	3L
Suns	24	15	0.615	114.7	111.8	2.9	14-5	10-10	8-4	20-13	8-2	3W
Warriors	21	19	0.525	115.4	113.6	1.8	13-6	8-13	5-3	14-12	6-4	1L
Clippers	16	23	0.41	112.1	113.5	-1.4	10-9	6-14	4-4	10-14	8-2	3W
Kings	10	30	0.25	110.2	121.2	-11	7-13	3-17	2-7	8-24	3-7	2W

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	27	12	0.692	118.1	112.6	5.5	13-5	14-7	7-1	15-10	5-5	1L
Rockets	22	14	0.611	117.9	110.8	7.1	11-2	11-12	2-4	12-13	5-5	3L
Grizzlies	17	22	0.436	114.9	116.2	-1.3	9-11	8-11	5-3	14-13	4-6	1W
Mavericks	15	25	0.375	113	116.8	-3.8	11-10	4-15	3-6	8-17	4-6	1W
Pelicans	9	32	0.22	114.9	122.4	-7.5	6-17	3-15	3-6	4-23	1-9	1L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	28	10	0.737	117.8	111.2	6.6	15-4	13-6	7-3	20-6	6-4	1L
Knicks	25	14	0.641	119.5	114.9	4.6	16-4	9-10	5-3	18-11	5-5	1W
Celtics	24	15	0.615	116.6	110.1	6.5	12-7	12-8	6-4	17-9	6-4	2L
Raptors	24	17	0.585	113.9	112.3	1.6	13-9	11-8	4-8	21-12	6-4	1L
76ers	22	16	0.579	117.1	115.2	1.9	10-9	12-7	8-4	17-13	6-4	1W
Magic	22	18	0.55	116.2	115	1.2	13-7	9-11	5-4	15-14	5-5	1W
Cavaliers	22	19	0.537	119.8	117.7	2.1	14-10	8-9	7-3	14-13	5-5	1L
Heat	20	19	0.513	119.4	117.7	1.7	13-6	7-13	3-3	12-11	5-5	3L
Hawks	20	21	0.488	118.4	118.4	0	7-11	13-10	4-3	10-15	5-5	3W
Bulls	18	20	0.474	117.3	120.8	-3.5	11-9	7-11	3-7	13-14	5-5	1W
Bucks	17	22	0.436	112.9	115.1	-2.2	9-9	8-13	5-4	13-14	6-4	1L
Hornets	14	26	0.35	116.1	116.7	-0.6	7-12	7-14	4-4	11-18	4-6	1L
Nets	11	26	0.297	108.7	113.8	-5.1	5-15	6-11	3-7	8-16	3-7	4L
Wizards	10	28	0.263	112.8	124	-11.2	6-13	4-15	2-4	7-18	5-5	3L
Pacers	9	31	0.225	110.8	118.4	-7.6	7-15	2-16	2-7	7-19	3-7	3W

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	33	7	0.825	121.4	108.4	13	19-3	14-4	7-2	26-6	7-3	3W
Spurs	27	12	0.692	118.1	112.6	5.5	13-5	14-7	7-1	15-10	5-5	1L
Nuggets	26	13	0.667	122.7	117.5	5.2	11-6	15-7	4-1	16-7	5-5	1W
Timberwolves	26	14	0.65	119.9	114.8	5.1	15-6	11-8	4-4	14-10	6-4	1W
Lakers	23	14	0.622	115.8	116.5	-0.7	10-7	13-7	4-5	18-10	4-6	3L
Suns	24	15	0.615	114.7	111.8	2.9	14-5	10-10	8-4	20-13	8-2	3W
Rockets	22	14	0.611	117.9	110.8	7.1	11-2	11-12	2-4	12-13	5-5	3L
Warriors	21	19	0.525	115.4	113.6	1.8	13-6	8-13	5-3	14-12	6-4	1L
Trail Blazers	19	21	0.475	116.3	118.9	-2.6	10-10	9-11	4-4	16-13	7-3	1L
Grizzlies	17	22	0.436	114.9	116.2	-1.3	9-11	8-11	5-3	14-13	4-6	1W
Clippers	16	23	0.41	112.1	113.5	-1.4	10-9	6-14	4-4	10-14	8-2	3W
Mavericks	15	25	0.375	113	116.8	-3.8	11-10	4-15	3-6	8-17	4-6	1W
Jazz	14	25	0.359	119.1	126.9	-7.8	9-12	5-13	0-8	8-18	4-6	1W
Kings	10	30	0.25	110.2	121.2	-11	7-13	3-17	2-7	8-24	3-7	2W
Pelicans	9	32	0.22	114.9	122.4	-7.5	6-17	3-15	3-6	4-23	1-9	1L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	33	7	0.825	121.4	108.4	13	19-3	14-4	7-2	26-6	7-3	3W
Pistons	28	10	0.737	117.8	111.2	6.6	15-4	13-6	7-3	20-6	6-4	1L
Spurs	27	12	0.692	118.1	112.6	5.5	13-5	14-7	7-1	15-10	5-5	1L
Nuggets	26	13	0.667	122.7	117.5	5.2	11-6	15-7	4-1	16-7	5-5	1W
Timberwolves	26	14	0.65	119.9	114.8	5.1	15-6	11-8	4-4	14-10	6-4	1W
Knicks	25	14	0.641	119.5	114.9	4.6	16-4	9-10	5-3	18-11	5-5	1W
Lakers	23	14	0.622	115.8	116.5	-0.7	10-7	13-7	4-5	18-10	4-6	3L
Celtics	24	15	0.615	116.6	110.1	6.5	12-7	12-8	6-4	17-9	6-4	2L
Suns	24	15	0.615	114.7	111.8	2.9	14-5	10-10	8-4	20-13	8-2	3W
Rockets	22	14	0.611	117.9	110.8	7.1	11-2	11-12	2-4	12-13	5-5	3L
Raptors	24	17	0.585	113.9	112.3	1.6	13-9	11-8	4-8	21-12	6-4	1L
76ers	22	16	0.579	117.1	115.2	1.9	10-9	12-7	8-4	17-13	6-4	1W
Magic	22	18	0.55	116.2	115	1.2	13-7	9-11	5-4	15-14	5-5	1W
Cavaliers	22	19	0.537	119.8	117.7	2.1	14-10	8-9	7-3	14-13	5-5	1L
Warriors	21	19	0.525	115.4	113.6	1.8	13-6	8-13	5-3	14-12	6-4	1L
Heat	20	19	0.513	119.4	117.7	1.7	13-6	7-13	3-3	12-11	5-5	3L
Hawks	20	21	0.488	118.4	118.4	0	7-11	13-10	4-3	10-15	5-5	3W
Trail Blazers	19	21	0.475	116.3	118.9	-2.6	10-10	9-11	4-4	16-13	7-3	1L
Bulls	18	20	0.474	117.3	120.8	-3.5	11-9	7-11	3-7	13-14	5-5	1W
Grizzlies	17	22	0.436	114.9	116.2	-1.3	9-11	8-11	5-3	14-13	4-6	1W
Bucks	17	22	0.436	112.9	115.1	-2.2	9-9	8-13	5-4	13-14	6-4	1L
Clippers	16	23	0.41	112.1	113.5	-1.4	10-9	6-14	4-4	10-14	8-2	3W
Mavericks	15	25	0.375	113	116.8	-3.8	11-10	4-15	3-6	8-17	4-6	1W
Jazz	14	25	0.359	119.1	126.9	-7.8	9-12	5-13	0-8	8-18	4-6	1W
Hornets	14	26	0.35	116.1	116.7	-0.6	7-12	7-14	4-4	11-18	4-6	1L
Nets	11	26	0.297	108.7	113.8	-5.1	5-15	6-11	3-7	8-16	3-7	4L
Wizards	10	28	0.263	112.8	124	-11.2	6-13	4-15	2-4	7-18	5-5	3L
Kings	10	30	0.25	110.2	121.2	-11	7-13	3-17	2-7	8-24	3-7	2W
Pacers	9	31	0.225	110.8	118.4	-7.6	7-15	2-16	2-7	7-19	3-7	3W
Pelicans	9	32	0.22	114.9	122.4	-7.5	6-17	3-15	3-6	4-23	1-9	1L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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