Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Bet Builder Tips & Odds | NBA, 09 Mar 2025

Back Thunder For a Convincing Win

Place a wager on the Thunder with a -6.5 spread when they play the Nuggets. We’re confident they can cover this appealing line at odds of -110.

Nuggets 124-122 Victory in Previous H2H Meeting

Denver Nuggets made it back-to-back wins after a 149-141 (OT) home success over Phoenix Suns at Ball Arena. Nikola Jokic delivered a dominant triple-double performance, recording 31 points, 22 assists and 21 rebounds.

Oklahoma City Thunder were winners for the sixth straight time in their last game. Landing a 107-89 home victory against Portland Trail Blazers at Paycom Center. On the points front, Aaron Wiggins recorded 30, Alex Caruso 17 and Isaiah Joe 16.

The last head-to-head saw the Nuggets claim a 124-122 win over the Thunder at Ball Arena. The H2H over the past 10 games have seen five wins for both teams.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

View Full Standings

The Nuggets have 7 wins and 3 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 124.6 points, 46.0 rebounds, 32.2 assists, 7.5 steals and 4.0 blocks while shooting 51.7% from the field and 78.3% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 119.3 points and 41.3 rebounds per matchup.

Jamal Murray is averaging 26.1 points and 3.7 (50.7%) 3-pointers made, while Nikola Jokic averages 14.2 rebounds and 11.8 assists.

The Thunder have won 8 and lost 2 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 126.3 points, 45.4 rebounds, 30.3 assists, 9.3 steals and 6.2 blocks per game while shooting 49.2% from the field and 84.8% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 116.9 points and 47.3 rebounds.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 30.2 points and 6.6 assists, while Isaiah Hartenstein has an average of 8.2 rebounds and Aaron Wiggins 2.6 (46.4%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets lineup: Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon.

Oklahoma City Thunder lineup: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein.

Expert NBA Analysis

The basketball predictions are created after keeping tabs on the latest team news along with the form guide. We also delve into the latest stats which can provide a barometer for how the NBA action might play out.

Key Nuggets vs Thunder stats:

• The -6.5 line has been covered by Thunder in all of their last 5 games.
• The -6.5 line has been covered by Thunder in 18 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -6.5 line has been covered by Thunder in 6 consecutive games.

Nuggets vs Thunder Prediction

OKC Thunder should be taken against the spread at -6.5 with our pick being for the favorites to achieve a comfortable margin of victory in this NBA contest. Back them at the odds of -110 that are available.

Bigger prices can be secured for bettors who are prepared to move the line. The odds increase according to how much risk you are prepared to have with your wager.

Thunder -6.5 Probability

The sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 52.4% likelihood of this pick winning. Based on our analysts in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

Our Pick

Thunder -6.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Props

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 32.5 Points -114

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) has totaled an average of 38.5 points in the past 4 games. On this basis, we are happy to back Overs at -114 when it comes to his Player Points, with the line making plenty of appeal.

Latest Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 32.5

-114

Under 32.5

-118

Assists

Over 6.5

-130

Under 6.5

-103

Rebounds

Over 4.5

-128

Under 4.5

-104

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Nikola Jokic Over 12.5 Rebounds -108

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets) has covered the 12.5 rebounds total in 5 straight games. He should be capable of covering the line when it comes to this player prop and odds of -108 are now available.

Latest Nikola Jokic Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 26.5

-114

Under 26.5

-118

Assists

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-118

Rebounds

Over 12.5

-115

Under 12.5

-115

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Correct Score Prediction

Nuggets 114 - 125 Thunder

There’s the chance to land amazing odds when it comes to the Thunder winning on the correct score lines. We’ll try a 125-114 victory in their favor and this should be in the right ball park.

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Moneyline Odds Suggest Thunder Victory

The sportsbooks have Oklahoma City Thunder at -323 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the favorites are 76% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Denver Nuggets are trading at +260.

The spread is 7.5 and the total points line is currently 243.5. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. Those who wager Under 243.5 can get -110.

The Thunder can be backed in lots of ways and that includes Race to 20 Points where they are -155 favorites. The Nuggets are +125 should you think they’ll make this total first instead.

If you’re planning to place a basketball bet, visit the betting sites and check out the hundreds of available team props and game lines. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Betting Lines & Odds

Moneyline

Nuggets

+260

Thunder

-323

Point Spread

Nuggets +7.5

-110

Thunder -7.5

-110

Total Points

Under 243.5

-110

Over 243.5

-110

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Favorite to Get Most Points

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the favorite to hit the most buckets. You can get -114 that he scores Over 32.5 points or -118 that he goes Under.

Player Points

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 32.5

-114

Under 32.5

-118

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 26.5

-114

Under 26.5

-118

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 20.5

-108

Under 20.5

-123

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 19.5

-120

Under 19.5

-109

Michael Porter Jr (Nuggets)

Over 16.5

-110

Under 16.5

-120

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 15.5

-127

Under 15.5

-105

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 14.5

-112

Under 14.5

-120

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 14.5

-100

Under 14.5

-132

Aaron Wiggins (Thunder)

Over 12.5

-114

Under 12.5

-118

Russell Westbrook (Nuggets)

Over 10.5

-130

Under 10.5

-103

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 9.5

-123

Under 9.5

-108

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 8.5

-135

Under 8.5

+102

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 7.5

-110

Under 7.5

-118

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 6.5

-108

Under 6.5

-120

Player Assists

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-118

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 6.5

-130

Under 6.5

-103

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 5.5

+125

Under 5.5

-167

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

-106

Under 5.5

-127

Russell Westbrook (Nuggets)

Over 4.5

-108

Under 4.5

-123

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 3.5

+118

Under 3.5

-154

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

-123

Under 2.5

-104

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

-115

Under 2.5

-112

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 2.5

-123

Under 2.5

-105

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

+127

Player Rebounds

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 12.5

-115

Under 12.5

-115

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 9.5

-103

Under 9.5

-130

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 7.5

-141

Under 7.5

+106

Michael Porter Jr (Nuggets)

Over 6.5

-137

Under 6.5

+104

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 4.5

-128

Under 4.5

-104

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 4.5

-105

Under 4.5

-127

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 4.5

-159

Under 4.5

+118

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 4.5

-133

Under 4.5

-100

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

+117

Under 3.5

-156

Aaron Wiggins (Thunder)

Over 3.5

-139

Under 3.5

+105

Russell Westbrook (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

-137

Under 3.5

+104

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 3.5

+123

Under 3.5

-164

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 2.5

-115

Under 2.5

-112

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 2.5

-111

Under 2.5

-116

Micro Betting

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder Confirmed Lineup

2 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

5 Luguentz Dort

7 Chet Holmgren

8 Jalen Williams

55 Isaiah Hartenstein

Denver Nuggets Confirmed Lineup

0 Christian Braun

1 Michael Porter Jr.

15 Nikola Jokic

27 Jamal Murray

32 Aaron Gordon

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Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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