Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Saturday

NBA Betting Preview: Pistons vs Heat

The Detroit Pistons face the Miami Heat in this NBA game. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

The -110 for Under 238.5 points to be scored looks like great value. Our prediction is that the Pistons and the Heat might not collectively reach this total.

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Detroit Pistons have lost in back-to-back outings. In a recent home game at Little Caesars Arena, they were turned over 112-109 by Orlando Magic. Cade Cunningham delivered a dominant triple-double performance when scoring 39 points, 13 rebounds and 11 assists.

Miami Heat last game was a 106-103 home win. This victory over Milwaukee Bucks at Kaseya Center was their sixth successive victory. Tyler Herro racked up 29 points, Bam Adebayo 17 points and 11 rebounds, with Kel'el Ware bagging 11 points.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Pistons won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 116-113 victory was registered against the Heat at Kaseya Center. The Pistons have three straight wins against the Heat. However, they have lost 7 of the 10 previous head-to-head meetings.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	15	4	0.789	118.8	112.8	6	8-2	7-2	4-2	11-4	8-2	2L
Heat	13	6	0.684	122.9	117.2	5.7	9-1	4-5	2-1	8-3	8-2	6W

View Full Standings

The Pistons have 8 wins and 2 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 120.7 points, 45.4 rebounds, 26.6 assists, 10.1 steals and 5.9 blocks while shooting 49.0% from the field and 76.2% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 114.7 points and 41.1 rebounds per matchup.

Cade Cunningham is averaging 23.1 points and 6.4 assists, while Jalen Duren averages 9.9 rebounds and Duncan Robinson 3.6 (41.4%) 3-pointers made.

The Heat have won 8 and lost 2 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 123.1 points, 49.6 rebounds, 30.8 assists, 8.4 steals and 5.3 blocks per game while shooting 46.4% from the field and 78.3% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 117.7 points and 51.0 rebounds.

Norman Powell is averaging 22.6 points and 2.8 (41.2%) 3-pointers made. Kel'el Ware has an average of 14.2 rebounds and Davion Mitchell 7.3 assists.

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks

We dive into the best Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat betting angles, including a key match prediction, our correct score forecast and a value-focused bet builder. Read on for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

Let’s go Under the 238.5 points total as we think this number is unlikely to be reached in this NBA contest. The two teams could well end up falling short and -110 can be backed.

Sportsgambler.com brings strong NBA expertise, built on knowing the team news as soon as it’s confirmed. Recent form plays a big part in our basketball predictions and we always back it up with the most relevant stats.

Key Pistons vs Heat stats:

• The 238.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Pistons games on the road.
• The 238.5 line hasn’t been covered in 16 of the last 20 Pistons games on the road.
• The 238.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Pistons games.
• The 238.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Heat games at home.
• The 238.5 line hasn’t been covered in 16 of the last 20 Heat games at home.
• The 238.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Heat games at home.

Under 238.5 Probability

If you go by the best betting sites, our pick has a 52.4% chance of landing a return. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

Bigger odds are always a good thing and bettors can regularly move the line when it comes to betting Under on the Totals. Choose the option which suits you best.

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Our Game Prediction

Under 238.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Pistons 117 - 116 Heat

We’re expecting a close game so it might be worth going for the Pistons to win by a 117-116 scoreline. You can get a huge price and we should hopefully get a run for our money.

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Sportsbooks’ favorites Miami Heat are regarded as likeliest victors for this NBA game and the -154 about them triumphing means a 61% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. Detroit Pistons are the underdogs at +130 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The spread currently stands at 3.5 and the total points line is 238.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. There’s the chance to back Under 238.5 at -110.

NBA fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the huge selection of team props and game lines which are available for every contest on the coupon. Head to the top basketball sportsbooks and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

Pistons

+130

Heat

-154

Point Spread

Pistons +3.5

-112

Heat -3.5

-108

Total Points

Under 238.5

-110

Over 238.5

-110

As an alternative to the game lines, check out the player prop bets that are available. It’s especially great if you have a view when it comes to Turnovers, Steals, Blocks and Points, while there are lots of other options.

Among the various options for wagering on basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.

The Heat have rattled off four straight wins at Kaseya Center. They have nine wins and one loss in the last 10 games at home, averaging 121.40 points scored and 114.50 points allowed.

The Pistons are 8-2 in their last 10 road games, averaging 116.70 points scored and 111.20 points allowed.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O238.5	U238.5
Miami Heat Home Stats		9-1	235.90	121.40	114.50	4	6
Detroit Pistons Away Stats		8-2	227.90	116.70	111.20	2	8

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O238.5 = Games Over 238.5 Points
• U238.5 = Games Under 238.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Detroit Pistons Stats

Miami Heat Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 235.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 227.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 238.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 238.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 120.70 pts and allowed 114.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 116.70 pts and allowed 111.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 240.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 235.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 238.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 238.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 123.10 pts and allowed 117.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 121.40 pts and allowed 114.50 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 31.30 (56%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.20 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 21.50 (76.24%)
• Rebounds: Total 45.4, Offensive 13.20, Defensive 32.20
• Assists: 26.60
• Blocks: 5.90
• Steals: 10.10
• Turnovers : 15.50
• Personal Fouls: 21.40

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 31.80 (57%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 10.60 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 21.30 (72.7%)
• Rebounds: Total 43.7, Offensive 11.30, Defensive 32.40
• Assists: 25.70
• Blocks: 6.60
• Steals: 9.50
• Turnovers : 13.50
• Personal Fouls: 22.30

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 32.10 (53%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.30 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 22.00 (78.29%)
• Rebounds: Total 49.6, Offensive 12.50, Defensive 37.10
• Assists: 30.80
• Blocks: 5.30
• Steals: 8.40
• Turnovers : 13.60
• Personal Fouls: 20.50

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 32.20 (54%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.40 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.80 (82.5%)
• Rebounds: Total 46.3, Offensive 10.00, Defensive 36.30
• Assists: 30.10
• Blocks: 4.90
• Steals: 8.50
• Turnovers : 13.70
• Personal Fouls: 19.60

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Raptors	14	5	0.737	119.2	112.5	6.7	7-2	7-3	3-1	13-2	9-1	9W
Knicks	12	6	0.667	120.7	114	6.7	9-1	3-5	3-0	9-6	7-3	3W
76ers	10	8	0.556	117.3	117.6	-0.3	5-5	5-3	5-2	9-8	5-5	1W
Celtics	10	8	0.556	114.8	110.2	4.6	6-4	4-4	2-4	7-6	7-3	2W
Nets	3	15	0.167	108.9	119.4	-10.5	0-9	3-6	1-7	3-12	2-8	3L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	15	4	0.789	118.8	112.8	6	8-2	7-2	4-2	11-4	8-2	2L
Cavaliers	12	8	0.6	119	115.5	3.5	8-3	4-5	5-0	10-7	5-5	2L
Bulls	9	9	0.5	121	124.2	-3.2	6-2	3-7	1-3	6-6	3-7	2L
Bucks	8	12	0.4	115.5	118.6	-3.1	5-6	3-6	2-3	6-8	2-8	7L
Pacers	3	16	0.158	110.1	119.5	-9.4	3-6	0-10	0-4	2-8	2-8	1W

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Heat	13	6	0.684	122.9	117.2	5.7	9-1	4-5	2-1	8-3	8-2	6W
Hawks	12	8	0.6	117.8	115.7	2.1	4-4	8-4	3-1	6-6	7-3	1W
Magic	12	8	0.6	119.3	114.1	5.2	7-3	5-5	3-2	9-7	8-2	2W
Hornets	5	14	0.263	115.7	120.6	-4.9	4-6	1-8	1-4	4-9	2-8	1W
Wizards	2	16	0.111	112.4	127.7	-15.3	1-6	1-10	1-2	1-12	1-9	1L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	19	1	0.95	122.2	106.3	15.9	10-0	9-1	3-1	15-1	10-0	11W
Nuggets	13	5	0.722	124.5	115.2	9.3	6-3	7-2	2-1	11-4	7-3	1L
Timberwolves	10	8	0.556	118.8	114.2	4.6	5-3	5-5	3-3	6-7	6-4	3L
Trail Blazers	8	11	0.421	118.4	121.1	-2.7	3-5	5-6	3-2	7-8	3-7	1L
Jazz	6	12	0.333	118.6	125.2	-6.6	5-5	1-7	0-4	3-9	3-7	1W

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	14	4	0.778	118.9	115.1	3.8	6-2	8-2	2-1	11-3	8-2	6W
Suns	12	8	0.6	116.9	113.2	3.7	8-3	4-5	4-2	11-7	7-3	1L
Warriors	10	10	0.5	115.1	114.5	0.6	6-2	4-8	3-1	9-6	5-5	1L
Clippers	5	14	0.263	111.9	117.9	-6	3-6	2-8	1-4	4-8	2-8	3L
Kings	5	15	0.25	112	123.3	-11.3	3-6	2-9	1-3	4-13	2-8	2L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	12	4	0.75	121.1	110.4	10.7	5-2	7-2	2-1	5-3	8-2	2W
Spurs	13	5	0.722	119.2	112.9	6.3	8-2	5-3	5-0	8-5	7-3	2W
Grizzlies	8	12	0.4	113.3	117	-3.7	4-6	4-6	4-2	7-6	4-6	2W
Mavericks	5	15	0.25	110	116.2	-6.2	4-9	1-6	1-5	2-10	2-8	3L
Pelicans	3	16	0.158	111.5	122.5	-11	2-9	1-7	1-5	1-14	1-9	1L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	15	4	0.789	118.8	112.8	6	8-2	7-2	4-2	11-4	8-2	2L
Raptors	14	5	0.737	119.2	112.5	6.7	7-2	7-3	3-1	13-2	9-1	9W
Heat	13	6	0.684	122.9	117.2	5.7	9-1	4-5	2-1	8-3	8-2	6W
Knicks	12	6	0.667	120.7	114	6.7	9-1	3-5	3-0	9-6	7-3	3W
Hawks	12	8	0.6	117.8	115.7	2.1	4-4	8-4	3-1	6-6	7-3	1W
Cavaliers	12	8	0.6	119	115.5	3.5	8-3	4-5	5-0	10-7	5-5	2L
Magic	12	8	0.6	119.3	114.1	5.2	7-3	5-5	3-2	9-7	8-2	2W
76ers	10	8	0.556	117.3	117.6	-0.3	5-5	5-3	5-2	9-8	5-5	1W
Celtics	10	8	0.556	114.8	110.2	4.6	6-4	4-4	2-4	7-6	7-3	2W
Bulls	9	9	0.5	121	124.2	-3.2	6-2	3-7	1-3	6-6	3-7	2L
Bucks	8	12	0.4	115.5	118.6	-3.1	5-6	3-6	2-3	6-8	2-8	7L
Hornets	5	14	0.263	115.7	120.6	-4.9	4-6	1-8	1-4	4-9	2-8	1W
Nets	3	15	0.167	108.9	119.4	-10.5	0-9	3-6	1-7	3-12	2-8	3L
Pacers	3	16	0.158	110.1	119.5	-9.4	3-6	0-10	0-4	2-8	2-8	1W
Wizards	2	16	0.111	112.4	127.7	-15.3	1-6	1-10	1-2	1-12	1-9	1L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	19	1	0.95	122.2	106.3	15.9	10-0	9-1	3-1	15-1	10-0	11W
Lakers	14	4	0.778	118.9	115.1	3.8	6-2	8-2	2-1	11-3	8-2	6W
Rockets	12	4	0.75	121.1	110.4	10.7	5-2	7-2	2-1	5-3	8-2	2W
Spurs	13	5	0.722	119.2	112.9	6.3	8-2	5-3	5-0	8-5	7-3	2W
Nuggets	13	5	0.722	124.5	115.2	9.3	6-3	7-2	2-1	11-4	7-3	1L
Suns	12	8	0.6	116.9	113.2	3.7	8-3	4-5	4-2	11-7	7-3	1L
Timberwolves	10	8	0.556	118.8	114.2	4.6	5-3	5-5	3-3	6-7	6-4	3L
Warriors	10	10	0.5	115.1	114.5	0.6	6-2	4-8	3-1	9-6	5-5	1L
Trail Blazers	8	11	0.421	118.4	121.1	-2.7	3-5	5-6	3-2	7-8	3-7	1L
Grizzlies	8	12	0.4	113.3	117	-3.7	4-6	4-6	4-2	7-6	4-6	2W
Jazz	6	12	0.333	118.6	125.2	-6.6	5-5	1-7	0-4	3-9	3-7	1W
Clippers	5	14	0.263	111.9	117.9	-6	3-6	2-8	1-4	4-8	2-8	3L
Kings	5	15	0.25	112	123.3	-11.3	3-6	2-9	1-3	4-13	2-8	2L
Mavericks	5	15	0.25	110	116.2	-6.2	4-9	1-6	1-5	2-10	2-8	3L
Pelicans	3	16	0.158	111.5	122.5	-11	2-9	1-7	1-5	1-14	1-9	1L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	19	1	0.95	122.2	106.3	15.9	10-0	9-1	3-1	15-1	10-0	11W
Pistons	15	4	0.789	118.8	112.8	6	8-2	7-2	4-2	11-4	8-2	2L
Lakers	14	4	0.778	118.9	115.1	3.8	6-2	8-2	2-1	11-3	8-2	6W
Rockets	12	4	0.75	121.1	110.4	10.7	5-2	7-2	2-1	5-3	8-2	2W
Raptors	14	5	0.737	119.2	112.5	6.7	7-2	7-3	3-1	13-2	9-1	9W
Nuggets	13	5	0.722	124.5	115.2	9.3	6-3	7-2	2-1	11-4	7-3	1L
Spurs	13	5	0.722	119.2	112.9	6.3	8-2	5-3	5-0	8-5	7-3	2W
Heat	13	6	0.684	122.9	117.2	5.7	9-1	4-5	2-1	8-3	8-2	6W
Knicks	12	6	0.667	120.7	114	6.7	9-1	3-5	3-0	9-6	7-3	3W
Hawks	12	8	0.6	117.8	115.7	2.1	4-4	8-4	3-1	6-6	7-3	1W
Cavaliers	12	8	0.6	119	115.5	3.5	8-3	4-5	5-0	10-7	5-5	2L
Magic	12	8	0.6	119.3	114.1	5.2	7-3	5-5	3-2	9-7	8-2	2W
Suns	12	8	0.6	116.9	113.2	3.7	8-3	4-5	4-2	11-7	7-3	1L
Celtics	10	8	0.556	114.8	110.2	4.6	6-4	4-4	2-4	7-6	7-3	2W
Timberwolves	10	8	0.556	118.8	114.2	4.6	5-3	5-5	3-3	6-7	6-4	3L
76ers	10	8	0.556	117.3	117.6	-0.3	5-5	5-3	5-2	9-8	5-5	1W
Bulls	9	9	0.5	121	124.2	-3.2	6-2	3-7	1-3	6-6	3-7	2L
Warriors	10	10	0.5	115.1	114.5	0.6	6-2	4-8	3-1	9-6	5-5	1L
Trail Blazers	8	11	0.421	118.4	121.1	-2.7	3-5	5-6	3-2	7-8	3-7	1L
Grizzlies	8	12	0.4	113.3	117	-3.7	4-6	4-6	4-2	7-6	4-6	2W
Bucks	8	12	0.4	115.5	118.6	-3.1	5-6	3-6	2-3	6-8	2-8	7L
Jazz	6	12	0.333	118.6	125.2	-6.6	5-5	1-7	0-4	3-9	3-7	1W
Hornets	5	14	0.263	115.7	120.6	-4.9	4-6	1-8	1-4	4-9	2-8	1W
Clippers	5	14	0.263	111.9	117.9	-6	3-6	2-8	1-4	4-8	2-8	3L
Mavericks	5	15	0.25	110	116.2	-6.2	4-9	1-6	1-5	2-10	2-8	3L
Kings	5	15	0.25	112	123.3	-11.3	3-6	2-9	1-3	4-13	2-8	2L
Nets	3	15	0.167	108.9	119.4	-10.5	0-9	3-6	1-7	3-12	2-8	3L
Pacers	3	16	0.158	110.1	119.5	-9.4	3-6	0-10	0-4	2-8	2-8	1W
Pelicans	3	16	0.158	111.5	122.5	-11	2-9	1-7	1-5	1-14	1-9	1L
Wizards	2	16	0.111	112.4	127.7	-15.3	1-6	1-10	1-2	1-12	1-9	1L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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