Evansville vs Valparaiso Prediction, Picks & Odds | 06 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Evansville vs Valparaiso

The Evansville Purple Aces square off against the Valparaiso Beacons, with tip-off scheduled for 20:00 on Friday, February 6.

We’re predicting that Valparaiso will be superior to Evansville and that’s why we’re backing them on the spread at -10.5. Take the -110 that the big favorites are able to cover this line.

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Evansville Purple Aces lost when they last took to the court. They were turned over 84-63 at home to Indiana State Sycamores.

Valparaiso Beacons were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 72-65 reverse against Bradley Braves.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw Evansville claim a 79-69 win over Valparaiso. Evansville have four straight victories against Valparaiso. They’ve also claimed 5 wins in the past 10 head-to-head meetings.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Valparaiso	10-12	1537	1558	-21	8-4	2-8	1L
Evansville	5-18	1541	1713	-172	3-10	2-8	5L

View Full Standings

Evansville vs Valparaiso Prediction & Picks

We dive into the best Evansville vs Valparaiso betting angles, including a key match prediction, our correct score forecast and a value-focused bet builder. Read on for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

Our wager is the big favorites against the spread. Back Valparaiso off -10.5 at odds of -110 and be confident that the market leaders can cover the line in this college contest.

We closely track recent form and look for patterns that may impact the outcome. The same goes for injuries to key players. When combined with the most relevant college hoops stats, this gives us a strong foundation for accurate basketball picks.

Key Evansville vs Valparaiso stats:

• The +10.5 line hasn’t been covered by Evansville in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +10.5 line hasn’t been covered by Evansville in 2 consecutive games.

Valpo -10.5 Probability

The top betting sites are estimating that there is a 52.4% likelihood of this pick winning. However, our analysts in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

It’s possible to move the line for your selection and this allows bettors to get increasingly bigger odds. If you’re looking for more juice, then this option could tick the boxes.

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Our Game Prediction

Valparaiso -10.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Evansville 59 - 74 Valparaiso

You don’t need a big stake to enjoy a huge payout by getting this correct score right. We’re going for the Beacons to achieve a 74-59 victory and hopefully this goes close.

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Evansville vs Valparaiso Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks are taking no chances with their Moneyline odds of -556 about Valparaiso which reflects they have a 85% chance of winning this college game. Evansville are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +400.

The spread is currently 9.5, with the total points line at 135.5. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you’re going for Under 135.5, this outcome can be backed at -105.

Consider every angle when placing your college hoops bets. The top basketball betting sites offer a huge selection of game lines and team props, and it’s all about finding a wager that fits your prediction of the game.

Moneyline

Evansville

+400

Valpo

-556

Point Spread

Evansville +9.5

-110

Valpo -9.5

-110

Total Points

Under 135.5

-105

Over 135.5

-115

Prop betting is very popular, with bettors looking to wager on player props such as Points, Assists, Rebounds, Steals and Three-Pointers. It’s a great way of betting on individual player performance and the gambling sites will provide lots of options.

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to college basketball micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Evansville Stats

Valparaiso Stats

Moneyline

• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +10.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -10.5 Betting Line: Have not covered the spread in any of the last 10 games
• -10.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 140.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 139.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 137.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 137.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 63.90 pts and allowed 76.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 63.00 pts and allowed 76.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 141.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 134.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 137.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 137.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 70.70 pts and allowed 70.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 70.00 pts and allowed 64.20 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Missouri Valley	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Belmont	21-3	2016	1719	297	12-2	9-1	8W
Murray State	17-7	2066	1897	169	13-1	4-6	1W
Bradley	16-8	1868	1750	118	13-3	3-5	2W
Illinois State	15-8	1754	1527	227	11-3	4-5	1L
Northern Iowa	14-9	1544	1390	154	10-3	4-6	1W
UIC	13-11	1802	1689	113	8-4	5-7	1L
Drake	12-12	1865	1782	83	7-8	5-4	2L
Valparaiso	10-12	1537	1558	-21	8-4	2-8	1L
Southern Illinois	10-13	1694	1633	61	6-5	4-8	1W
Indiana State	10-14	1816	1793	23	7-4	3-10	1W
Evansville	5-18	1541	1713	-172	3-10	2-8	5L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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