Florida State vs Dayton Prediction, Picks & Odds | 16 Dec 2025

College Basketball Betting Preview: Florida State vs Dayton

The Florida State Seminoles square off against the Dayton Flyers, with tip-off scheduled for 19:00 on Tuesday, December 16.

Let’s shoot for a total bet between Florida State and Dayton, with Under 164.5 points available at odds of -110. This betting prediction has plenty of juice in the price.

Going with our Totals pick? Grab the latest BetMGM promo code and check our comprehensive betting review to make a more informed wager.

Florida State Seminoles lost their previous game, being beaten at home to UMass Minutemen 103-95.

Dayton Flyers were winners last time out. It was a 84-61 home victory against North Florida Ospreys.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Dayton	8-3	877	781	96	7-1	1-2	1W
Florida State	5-5	853	809	44	5-3	0-2	4L

View Full Standings

Florida State vs Dayton Prediction & Picks

We’ve lined up expert Florida State vs Dayton betting tips, from our main match prediction and correct score call to bet builder advice. Read on for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

Totals wagering for this college contest provides lots of value at -110. The line is set at 164.5 and we’d be surprised if the combined points total exceeds that amount.

Injuries are always factored in by the handicappers at Sportsgambler.com. Our basketball predictions are also shaped by recent form, with up-to-date college hoops stats playing a key role before any selections are locked in.

Key Florida State vs Dayton stats:

• The 164.5 line hasn’t been covered in 18 of the last 20 FSU games on the road.
• The 164.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 FSU games on the road.
• The 164.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 FSU games on the road.
• The 164.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 7 Dayton games.
• The 164.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Dayton games.
• The 164.5 line hasn’t been covered in 18 of the last 20 Dayton games.

Under 164.5 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of landing a return. However, our analysts have this number closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Those looking for larger odds can include an Under selection with other picks when they place a Bet Builder. A bigger potential payout could be on the cards with this bet.

Before you bet, take a look at our complete guide to the best free bets and new customer bonuses on offer now.

Our Game Prediction

Under 164.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Florida State 75 - 86 Dayton

There’s a huge payout on the cards should you correctly predict the correct score. We’re siding with Dayton to claim a 86-75 win which will hopefully go close.

Florida State vs Dayton Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Dayton as -294 favorites for this college game, implying that they are 75% likely to win. Florida State are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +230.

6.5 is the spread and 164.5 is the total points line. Basketball bettors love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. Those that want to back Under 164.5 can find odds of -110 available.

If you’re planning to place a bet on a college basketball contest, visit the best sportsbooks and check out the wide range of team props and game lines. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

FSU

+230

Dayton

-294

Point Spread

FSU +6.5

-110

Dayton -6.5

-110

Total Points

Under 164.5

-110

Over 164.5

-110

If you have a view on Rebounds, Steals, Blocks, Assists or Points, then the player props could be an option. It’s a fantastic way of betting on a player to perform well and the gambling sites provide lots of choice.

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some bettors prefer to look at the college basketball micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Florida State Stats

Dayton Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 166.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 147.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 164.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 164.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.30 pts and allowed 80.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 69.00 pts and allowed 78.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 152.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 152.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 164.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
• Over 164.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.90 pts and allowed 73.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 81.90 pts and allowed 70.20 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic 10	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
George Mason	10-1	874	714	160	8-0	2-1	1W
Saint Louis	9-1	909	701	208	8-1	1-0	3W
Richmond	9-1	856	711	145	7-0	2-1	4W
St. Bonaventure	10-2	927	825	102	7-0	3-2	1L
Davidson	8-2	764	671	93	6-2	2-0	1W
Dayton	8-3	877	781	96	7-1	1-2	1W
Fordham	8-4	916	750	166	7-2	1-2	2W
George Washington	8-4	1042	907	135	6-2	2-2	2L
VCU	7-4	921	777	144	6-2	1-2	1W
Rhode Island	7-4	830	753	77	4-2	3-2	2L
Saint Joseph's	5-4	689	672	17	5-0	0-4	1L
Duquesne	6-5	920	884	36	6-2	0-3	2L
La Salle	3-7	671	680	-9	3-3	0-4	4L
Loyola Chicago	3-8	751	835	-84	3-6	0-2	1L

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	10-0	868	596	272	7-0	3-0	10W
California	10-1	909	761	148	10-0	0-1	7W
Louisville	9-1	943	681	262	7-0	2-1	2W
Virginia	9-1	871	675	196	7-0	2-1	4W
North Carolina	9-1	811	647	164	8-0	1-1	3W
Virginia Tech	10-2	998	863	135	8-0	2-2	4W
Miami	9-2	960	732	228	7-1	2-1	4W
SMU	9-2	975	849	126	8-0	1-2	1L
Stanford	8-2	823	732	91	5-2	3-0	1W
Notre Dame	9-3	928	817	111	8-0	1-3	4W
Clemson	8-3	900	730	170	7-0	1-3	1W
Wake Forest	8-3	953	800	153	6-1	2-2	2W
NC State	7-4	964	804	160	6-2	1-2	1L
Syracuse	6-4	726	650	76	5-1	1-3	1L
Georgia Tech	6-4	724	692	32	6-2	0-2	1W
Florida State	5-5	853	809	44	5-3	0-2	4L
Boston College	5-6	774	742	32	4-5	1-1	1L
Pittsburgh	5-6	779	772	7	5-3	0-3	3L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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