Georgia Southern vs Arkansas State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 05 Mar 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Georgia Southern vs Arkansas State

The Georgia Southern Eagles face the Arkansas State Red Wolves, with tip-off scheduled for 20:30 on Thursday, March 5.

There are good reasons for anticipating that the Georgia Southern and Arkansas State points tally will be lower than the line. If you agree with our prediction of Under 168.5, you will find -115 available.

Georgia Southern Eagles won their previous game which was at home. It was a 88-84 triumph against Old Dominion Monarchs.

Arkansas State Red Wolves won their last game which was at home. It was a 81-58 triumph against Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Arkansas State have landed back-to-back victories against Georgia Southern. A home matchup saw them triumph 109-83 and they won 85-68 on the road. It’s been six Arkansas State wins in the past 9 games between these teams.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Arkansas State	20-11	2578	2391	187	11-4	9-7	4W
Georgia Southern	17-15	2581	2560	21	10-6	7-9	2W

View Full Standings

Georgia Southern vs Arkansas State Prediction & Picks

Our Georgia Southern vs Arkansas State betting guide delivers expert insight, including a main match pick, our correct score angle and bet builder recommendations. Dive into each section below for more.

Game Prediction

We’re not sure that the two teams will collectively reach a certain points threshold. Our pick is to take the -115 that there are Under 168.5 points in this college matchup.

The formbook is always a smart starting point when making basketball predictions. Up-to-date college hoops team news is just as important, while the stats we provide often reveal valuable insights.

Key Georgia Southern vs Arkansas State stats:

• The 168.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 GA Southern games on the road.
• The 168.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 GA Southern games.
• The 168.5 line hasn’t been covered in 15 of the last 20 AR State games at home.
• The 168.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 AR State games at home.

Under 168.5 Probability

If you go by the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 53.5% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

The bigger odds can be found if you combine your Under bet on the Totals with other picks in a Bet Builder. This is great way of wagering on multiple outcomes in a single game.

Give yourself a head start. Find betting offers that include generous free bets and welcome packages in our bonus guide.

Our Game Prediction

Under 168.5 Points @ -115 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 5, 05:03). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Georgia Southern 76 - 86 Arkansas State

If you want to take a chance on a correct score, then Arkansas State to enjoy a 86-76 win could be along the right lines. There are enormous odds for this particular outcome.

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Georgia Southern vs Arkansas State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Arkansas State are regarded as having a 74% chance of winning this college game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -278. At +225, Georgia Southern are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The spread is currently 6.5, with the total points line at 167.5. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. Those expecting a low total can back Under 167.5 at -105.

The top basketball sportsbooks offer a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to most college games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

GA Southern

+225

AR State

-278

Point Spread

GA Southern +6.5

-110

AR State -6.5

-110

Total Points

Under 167.5

-105

Over 167.5

-115

Should you be more interested in a specific individual who is competing, check out the gambling sites’ prop bets where you can pick out player lines that focus on performance rather than the game result.

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with college basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, player and team props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Georgia Southern Stats

Arkansas State Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 156.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 158.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 168.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 168.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.70 pts and allowed 79.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 77.90 pts and allowed 80.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 156.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 156.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 168.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 168.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 83.50 pts and allowed 72.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 82.70 pts and allowed 73.70 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Sun Belt	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
South Alabama	21-10	2302	2140	162	12-4	9-6	1L
Troy	20-11	2494	2281	213	10-4	10-7	2W
Arkansas State	20-11	2578	2391	187	11-4	9-7	4W
Appalachian State	19-12	2232	2028	204	12-4	7-8	1L
Marshall	19-12	2518	2415	103	13-4	6-8	1L
Texas State	19-12	2288	2190	98	16-2	3-10	1W
Coastal Carolina	19-12	2274	2227	47	8-5	11-7	3W
James Madison	18-14	2380	2351	29	13-4	5-10	1W
Georgia Southern	17-15	2581	2560	21	10-6	7-9	2W
Southern Miss	16-15	2292	2277	15	12-3	4-12	1W
Old Dominion	12-21	2514	2570	-56	8-6	4-15	1L
Louisiana	11-22	2101	2332	-231	8-8	3-14	1L
Georgia State	10-22	2253	2391	-138	7-8	3-14	4L
UL Monroe	4-28	2318	2685	-367	3-12	1-16	8L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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