Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Picks & Odds | 05 Jun 2025

Mercury Primed for Convincing Win

The Valkyries visit the Mercury in this Commissioner's Cup matchup at PHX Arena.

We’re bullish about the Mercury on the spread at -6.5. The favorites should be able to win by a comfortable margin against the Valkyries and you can get -108.

Two Teams Defeated in Last Game

Golden State Valkyries were defeated in their previous game. The Bay Area franchise were beaten at home to Minnesota Lynx by a 86-75 scoreline at Chase Center.

Phoenix Mercury were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 88-65 reverse against Minnesota Lynx at Target Center.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L
8  Valkyries	23	21	3420	3359	61	14-8	9-13	3L

View Full Standings

Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks

We are confident that the favorites will cover the spread in this WNBA contest. -6.5 seems a generous line and you can get -108 that Mercury will win by a bigger margin.

A good deal of research goes into our WNBA predictions. We start by studying the latest form and getting a handle on injuries. The key stats can then be used as the missing piece of the jigsaw.

Key Valkyries vs Mercury stats:

• The +6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Valkyries in 3 of their last 6 games.

Mercury -6.5 Probability

According to the sportsbooks, our pick has a 51.8% chance of winning. Based on our cappers in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

If the price on display doesn’t appeal, you can make the choice to secure bigger odds by moving the line for your selection. It’s a case of taking a view which you are happy with.

Best Bet

Mercury -6.5 @ -108 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Veronica Burton Under 3.5 Assists -128

Veronica Burton (Valkyries) can be backed to register Under 3.5 assists at -128. It might well be the case that she doesn’t cover the line and this Player Assists bet is appealing.

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Satou Sabally Over 2.5 Assists -167

Satou Sabally (Mercury) can be wagered to register Over 2.5 assists at -167. We feel pretty confident that she will be able to cover the Player Assists total which looks generous.

Correct Score Prediction

Valkyries 76 - 85 Mercury

There are stacks of correct score lines available and we’re looking at the Mercury to achieve a winning scoreline of 85-76 where a huge potential return is on the cards.

Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Giving Mercury Plenty of Respect

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Phoenix Mercury as -263 favorites for this WNBA game, implying that they are 72% likely to win. Golden State Valkyries are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +205.

The spread is currently 6.5, with the total points line at 157. A wager on the Totals allows basketball bettors to use the latest data to good effect. The Over 157 selection is available to back at -110.

Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game, you can feast on a huge selection of team props and game lines. The options are practically endless and it’s great to have so many alternatives.

Moneyline

Valkyries

+205

Mercury

-263

Point Spread

Valkyries +6.5

-110

Mercury -6.5

-110

Total Points

Under 157

-110

Over 157

-110

Satou Sabally Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

Satou Sabally is the market leader to rack up the most points. You can back -114 that she gets Over 22.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -119.

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 22.5

-114

Under 22.5

-119

Janelle Salaün (Valkyries)

Over 11.5

-116

Under 11.5

-116

Kayla Thornton (Valkyries)

Over 11.5

-102

Under 11.5

-132

Veronica Burton (Valkyries)

Over 9.5

-103

Under 9.5

-132

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 3.5

+135

Under 3.5

-185

Veronica Burton (Valkyries)

Over 3.5

-135

Under 3.5

-100

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-105

Under 8.5

-128

Janelle Salaün (Valkyries)

Over 6.5

-110

Under 6.5

-123

Kayla Thornton (Valkyries)

Over 5.5

-149

Under 5.5

+110

Veronica Burton (Valkyries)

Over 3.5

-156

Under 3.5

+114

Micro Betting

There are always opportunities to enjoy micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find team and player props in-game and basketball bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as if the next shot will be a Two or Three-Pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Golden State Valkyries Stats

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +6 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +6 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -6 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -6 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 151.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 155.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 154.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 154.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.80 pts and allowed 74.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 77.70 pts and allowed 77.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 163.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 164.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 154.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 154.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.60 pts and allowed 81.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 86.60 pts and allowed 77.40 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	34	10	3787	3373	414	20-2	14-8	1W
2  Aces	30	14	3680	3552	128	17-5	13-9	16W
3  Dream	30	14	3712	3378	334	16-6	14-8	6W
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L
5  Liberty	27	17	3713	3534	179	17-5	10-12	3W
6  Fever	24	20	3734	3586	148	13-9	11-11	3W
7  Storm	23	21	3614	3524	90	10-12	13-9	1W
8  Valkyries	23	21	3420	3359	61	14-8	9-13	3L
9  Sparks	21	23	3769	3882	-113	9-13	12-10	1L
10  Mystics	16	28	3394	3589	-195	10-12	6-16	10L
11  Sun	11	33	3337	3782	-445	7-15	4-18	2L
12  Sky	10	34	3335	3777	-442	6-16	4-18	4L
13  Wings	10	34	3594	3871	-277	6-16	4-18	1W