Golden State Valkyries
Basketball WNBA PHX Arena Fri 22 Aug 22:00
Phoenix Mercury
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Player Props
  5. Team Stats
  6. Standings

WNBA Betting Preview: Valkyries vs Mercury

The Golden State Valkyries meet the Phoenix Mercury in this WNBA matchup at PHX Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Friday, August 22. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

Mercury Facing Tough Test

We’re delighted to see the Valkyries have been given a headstart on the spread. Take the +6 at -108 when they clash with the Mercury.

Backing our spread pick? Don’t forget to check out our exclusive BetMGM promo code and full site review before locking in your selection.

98-91 Mercury Triumph in Previous H2H

Golden State Valkyries lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Phoenix Mercury 98-91 at Chase Center.

Phoenix Mercury suffered a defeat in their last game. A 83-61 scoreline occurred on the road at Michelob Ultra Arena against Las Vegas Aces.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 98-91 win for the Mercury at Chase Center when they last played the Valkyries. The Mercury have won on the past 3 times these teams have gone H2H.

WNBA W L PF PA N. Pts Home Away Strk
Mercury 27 17 3643 3525 118 15-7 12-10 3L
Valkyries 23 21 3420 3359 61 14-8 9-13 3L
View Full Standings

Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks

This expert Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury betting breakdown features our match prediction, a correct score tip, player prop suggestions and a carefully constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Game Prediction

Our pick is that Valkyries will be able to cover the spread in this WNBA contest, with +6 looking favorable for our wager. Take the -108 that is currently available.

We put solid research behind every basketball prediction, starting with recent form and a clear read on injuries. From there, key WNBA stats and advanced metrics help complete the picture and support smarter betting decisions.

Key Valkyries vs Mercury stats:

  • The +6 line has been covered by Valkyries in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
  • The +6 line has been covered by Valkyries in 7 of their last 10 games.
  • The +6 line has been covered by Valkyries in 2 consecutive games on the road.
  • The -6 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 4 of their last 5 games.
  • The -6 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 6 of their last 10 games.
  • The -6 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 2 consecutive games at home.

Valkyries +6 Probability

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 51.8% chance of delivering a return. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

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Best Bet

Valkyries +6 @ -108 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Published 02:52, 22 August 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Veronica Burton Over 11.5 Points -127 BetMGM logo

Veronica Burton (Valkyries) can be backed to register Over 11.5 points at -127. She should be capable of going over the total which looks attractive when it comes to having a bet on Player Points.

Latest Veronica Burton Player Prop Odds

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Tiffany Hayes Over 3.5 Rebounds -161 BetMGM logo

Tiffany Hayes (Valkyries) can be wagered to record Over 3.5 rebounds at -161. The best bet could be to go for a Player Rebounds wager as we think she will cover the total.

Latest Tiffany Hayes Player Prop Odds

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Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Valkyries +6
Totals Over 154.5
Player Points Veronica Burton Over 11.5

Our same game parlay pick is Valkyries +6 on the spread, Over 154.5 and Veronica Burton (Valkyries) to score Over 11.5 points.

Should you want to back different outcomes for the same basketball game, then a same game parlay will suit your needs. The betting sites create this personalised wagering tool where you can make different picks and combine the odds together.

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Correct Score Prediction

Valkyries Valkyries logo 78 - 82 Mercury logo Mercury

There’s every chance that this is going to be a close contest and we’ll have a play on the Mercury enjoying a 82-78 winning scoreline. Hopefully this can go close.

Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Make Mercury Likelier Winners

The Phoenix Mercury odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -294 betting favorites to land victory in this WNBA game which means a 75% chance of winning. Golden State Valkyries are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +225.

There is a spread of 7 and total points has a line of 154.5. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. If you’re wanting to back Over 154.5, the odds are -110.

If you’re planning to place a women's hoops wager, visit the best basketball sportsbooks and check out the huge selection of available team props and game lines. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Betting Lines & Odds

Satou Sabally Favorite to Score the Most Points

Satou Sabally is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can get -120 that she scores Over 16.5 points or -108 that she goes Under.

Player Points
Satou Sabally (Mercury)
Over 16.5
-120
Under 16.5
-108
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Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)
Over 15.5
+104
Under 15.5
-135
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Veronica Burton (Valkyries)
Over 12.5
-109
Under 12.5
-119
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Tiffany Hayes (Valkyries)
Over 11.5
-130
Under 11.5
-100
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Player Assists
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)
Over 8.5
-167
Under 8.5
+128
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Veronica Burton (Valkyries)
Over 5.5
-111
Under 5.5
-116
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Satou Sabally (Mercury)
Over 2.5
-149
Under 2.5
+115
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Tiffany Hayes (Valkyries)
Over 2.5
-175
Under 2.5
+135
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Player Rebounds
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)
Over 8.5
-125
Under 8.5
-103
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Satou Sabally (Mercury)
Over 5.5
-143
Under 5.5
+110
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Janelle Salaun (Valkyries)
Over 5.5
+104
Under 5.5
-135
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Veronica Burton (Valkyries)
Over 4.5
+107
Under 4.5
-139
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Micro Betting

Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on basketball. There are a huge range of live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen. Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer are among the options.

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Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Golden State Valkyries logo Golden State Valkyries Stats
Phoenix Mercury logo Phoenix Mercury Stats
Moneyline
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points

WNBA Table Select Season

Team W L PF PA N. Pts Home Away Strk
Lynx 34 10 3787 3373 414 20-2 14-8 1W
Aces 30 14 3680 3552 128 17-5 13-9 16W
Dream 30 14 3712 3378 334 16-6 14-8 6W
Mercury 27 17 3643 3525 118 15-7 12-10 3L
Liberty 27 17 3713 3534 179 17-5 10-12 3W
Fever 24 20 3734 3586 148 13-9 11-11 3W
Storm 23 21 3614 3524 90 10-12 13-9 1W
Valkyries 23 21 3420 3359 61 14-8 9-13 3L
Sparks 21 23 3769 3882 -113 9-13 12-10 1L
10  Mystics 16 28 3394 3589 -195 10-12 6-16 10L
11  Sun 11 33 3337 3782 -445 7-15 4-18 2L
12  Sky 10 34 3335 3777 -442 6-16 4-18 4L
13  Wings 10 34 3594 3871 -277 6-16 4-18 1W