Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Picks & Odds | 22 Aug 2025

WNBA Betting Preview: Valkyries vs Mercury

The Valkyries meet the Mercury in this WNBA matchup at PHX Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Friday, August 22, 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

Mercury Facing Tough Test

We’re delighted to see the Valkyries have been given a headstart on the spread. Take the +6 at -108 when they clash with the Mercury.

Backing our spread pick? Don’t forget to check out our exclusive BetMGM promo code and full site review before locking in your selection.

98-91 Mercury Triumph in Previous H2H

Golden State Valkyries lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Phoenix Mercury 98-91 at Chase Center.

Phoenix Mercury suffered a defeat in their last game. A 83-61 scoreline occurred on the road at Michelob Ultra Arena against Las Vegas Aces.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 98-91 win for the Mercury at Chase Center when they last played the Valkyries. The Mercury have won on the past 3 times these teams have gone H2H.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
5  Mercury	21	14	2904	2807	97	11-6	10-8	1L
7  Valkyries	18	17	2736	2710	26	10-7	8-10	2L

View Full Standings

Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Betting Tips

This expert Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury betting breakdown features our match prediction, a correct score tip, player prop suggestions and a carefully constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Game Prediction

Our pick is that Valkyries will be able to cover the spread in this WNBA contest, with +6 looking favorable for our wager. Take the -108 that is currently available.

We put solid research behind every basketball prediction, starting with recent form and a clear read on injuries. From there, key WNBA stats and advanced metrics help complete the picture and support smarter betting decisions.

Key Valkyries vs Mercury stats:

• The +6 line has been covered by Valkyries in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +6 line has been covered by Valkyries in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +6 line has been covered by Valkyries in 2 consecutive games on the road.
• The -6 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -6 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -6 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 2 consecutive games at home.

Valkyries +6 Probability

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 51.8% chance of delivering a return. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

Buying and selling points with a sportsbook gives you the opportunity to choose different lines. The former will mean shorter odds, while a sell leads to a bigger potential return.

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Our Pick

Valkyries +6 @ -108 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Veronica Burton Over 11.5 Points -127

Veronica Burton (Valkyries) can be backed to register Over 11.5 points at -127. She should be capable of going over the total which looks attractive when it comes to having a bet on Player Points.

Latest Veronica Burton Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 11.5

-127

Under 11.5

-102

Assists

Over 5.5

-102

Under 5.5

-127

Rebounds

Over 4.5

+132

Under 4.5

-172

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Tiffany Hayes Over 3.5 Rebounds -161

Tiffany Hayes (Valkyries) can be wagered to record Over 3.5 rebounds at -161. The best bet could be to go for a Player Rebounds wager as we think she will cover the total.

Latest Tiffany Hayes Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 11.5

-114

Under 11.5

-114

Assists

Over 2.5

-172

Under 2.5

+133

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-161

Under 3.5

+124

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Correct Score Prediction

Valkyries 78 - 82 Mercury

There’s every chance that this is going to be a close contest and we’ll have a play on the Mercury enjoying a 82-78 winning scoreline. Hopefully this can go close.

Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Make Mercury Likelier Winners

The Phoenix Mercury odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -263 betting favorites to land victory in this WNBA game which means a 72% chance of winning. Golden State Valkyries are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +205.

There is a spread of 6 and total points has a line of 154.5. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. If you’re wanting to back Over 154.5, the odds are -112.

If you’re planning to place a women's hoops wager, visit the best basketball sportsbooks and check out the huge selection of available team props and game lines. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Betting Lines & Odds

Moneyline

Valkyries

+205

Mercury

-263

Point Spread

Valkyries +6

-110

Mercury -6

-110

Total Points

Under 154.5

-108

Over 154.5

-112

Satou Sabally Favorite to Score the Most Points

Satou Sabally is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can get -130 that she scores Over 16.5 points or -100 that she goes Under.

Player Points

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 16.5

-130

Under 16.5

-100

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 15.5

-108

Under 15.5

-120

Veronica Burton (Valkyries)

Over 11.5

-127

Under 11.5

-102

Janelle Salaun (Valkyries)

Over 11.5

-118

Under 11.5

-110

Tiffany Hayes (Valkyries)

Over 11.5

-114

Under 11.5

-114

Player Assists

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-132

Under 8.5

+102

Veronica Burton (Valkyries)

Over 5.5

-102

Under 5.5

-127

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 2.5

-169

Under 2.5

+130

Tiffany Hayes (Valkyries)

Over 2.5

-172

Under 2.5

+133

Player Rebounds

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-135

Under 8.5

+104

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 5.5

-154

Under 5.5

+119

Janelle Salaun (Valkyries)

Over 5.5

+112

Under 5.5

-145

Veronica Burton (Valkyries)

Over 4.5

+132

Under 4.5

-172

Tiffany Hayes (Valkyries)

Over 3.5

-161

Under 3.5

+124

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	28	7	3017	2660	357	17-1	11-6	2L
2  Dream	23	13	3001	2787	214	11-5	12-8	1W
3  Aces	23	14	3057	3033	24	14-5	9-9	9W
4  Liberty	22	14	3110	2940	170	14-5	8-9	1L
5  Mercury	21	14	2904	2807	97	11-6	10-8	1L
6  Fever	19	16	2973	2870	103	10-8	9-8	1W
7  Valkyries	18	17	2736	2710	26	10-7	8-10	2L
8  Storm	18	18	2953	2891	62	8-10	10-8	1W
9  Sparks	17	18	3024	3098	-74	7-10	10-8	1W
10  Mystics	16	20	2828	2901	-73	10-8	6-12	2L
11  Sky	9	26	2651	3018	-367	5-13	4-13	1W
12  Wings	9	27	2955	3138	-183	5-13	4-14	3L
13  Sun	8	27	2632	2988	-356	6-12	2-15	2W

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