Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Prediction, Picks & Odds | 30 Apr 2025

Expect Points Between Warriors and Rockets

No. 7 Golden State Warriors (48-34, 24-17 Away) square off against No. 2 Houston Rockets (52-30, 29-12 at Home) in this NBA Playoffs first round game at Toyota Center. The Warriors lead the series 3-1.

We’re heading to the totals after finding that the line is set at a generous 204 points. Expect the Warriors and the Rockets to surpass this number at -110.

7 Wins for Warriors in Past 10 H2H Games

Golden State Warriors and Houston Rockets went head-to-head on Monday night, with the Warriors triumphing 109-106 at Chase Center.

The top Warriors scorer was Jimmy Butler with 27 points, with Brandin Podziemski getting 26 and Stephen Curry 17. Alperen Sengun recorded 31 points and 10 rebounds for the Rockets, with Fred VanVleet scoring 25 points and Amen Thompson on 17.

Head-to-Head Statistics

In the past 10 games between the teams, the Warriors have won seven.

NBA Reg. Season	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	4	2	0.667	119	116	3	3-0	1-2	2-0	4-1	4-2	1L
Rockets	2	2	0.5	127.8	117.5	10.3	1-1	1-1	0-0	0-1	2-2	2W

View Full Standings

The Warriors have 6 wins and 4 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 108.5 points, 40.5 rebounds, 26.9 assists, 11.0 steals and 3.8 blocks while shooting 44.6% from the field and 79.3% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 103.4 points and 46.8 rebounds per matchup.

Stephen Curry is averaging 24.9 points, 5.6 assists and 4.0 (39.2%) 3-pointers made, while Draymond Green averages 5.7 rebounds.

The Rockets have won 4 and lost 6 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 110.4 points, 46.9 rebounds, 23.5 assists, 7.4 steals and 5.0 blocks per game while shooting 46.7% from the field and 65.1% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 111.4 points and 39.8 rebounds.

Alperen Sengun is averaging 16.8 points and 8.1 rebounds, Amen Thompson 3.8 assists and Jalen Green 2.2 (34.9%) 3-pointers.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors lineup: Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, Jimmy Butler, Draymond Green, Stephen Curry.

Houston Rockets lineup: Amen Thompson, Jalen Green, Fred VanVleet, Dillon Brooks, Alperen Sengun.

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Prediction & Picks

Over 204 points seems like a realistic outcome for this NBA matchup. We’re taking odds of -110 considering that the total line looks to be too low here.

The NBA predictions are only provided once we have a handle on the team news and the latest form guide. We are also on point when it comes to the most valuable stats.

Key Warriors vs Rockets stats:

• The 204 line has been covered in 15 of the last 20 Warriors games on the road.
• The 204 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Warriors games on the road.
• The 204 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Rockets games at home.
• The 204 line has been covered in 14 of the last 20 Rockets games.

Over 204 Probability

According to the sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. However, our analysts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Looking for a bigger payout on your Total wager? Consider the Match Result & Total lines where you combine the winning franchise and Over a certain number of points.

Best Bet

Over 204 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jalen Green Over 15.5 Points -108

Jalen Green (Rockets) has an average of 20.6 points in the past 5 games at home. There’s an opportunity to wager on Player Points and the line looks attractive, with -108 available that it’s covered.

Latest Jalen Green Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

-127

Under 14.5

-105

Assists

Over 2.5

-156

Under 2.5

+118

Rebounds

Over 4.5

+117

Under 4.5

-156

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Stephen Curry Over 4.5 Rebounds -112

Stephen Curry (Warriors) has recorded Over 4.5 rebounds in 4 straight games on the road. We’re going to take him on the Overs for Player Rebounds, with this line making appeal at odds of -112.

Latest Stephen Curry Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 25.5

-109

Under 25.5

-122

Assists

Over 4.5

-133

Under 4.5

-100

Rebounds

Over 4.5

-114

Under 4.5

-118

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Correct Score Prediction

Warriors 105 - 106 Rockets

There might not be too much between these teams, with our correct score prediction being a 106-105 win for the Rockets. There are enormous odds available when it comes to this pick.

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Think Rockets Likeliest to Win

With the sportsbooks giving them a 65% probability of winning this NBA game, Houston Rockets might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -185 Moneyline betting odds. The market suggests that Golden State Warriors are least likely to win at +156.

4 is the spread and 203.5 is the total points line. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball wagers. If you're keen on Over 203.5, this selection is available at -110.

Consider every angle when placing your basketball bets. The betting sites offer a huge selection of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the game.

Moneyline

Warriors

+156

Rockets

-185

Point Spread

Warriors +4

-108

Rockets -4

-112

Total Points

Under 203.5

-110

Over 203.5

-110

Stephen Curry Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

Stephen Curry is the market leader to rack up the most points. You can back -109 that he gets Over 25.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -122.

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 25.5

-109

Under 25.5

-122

Alperen Sengun (Rockets)

Over 21.5

-127

Under 21.5

-106

Jimmy Butler (Warriors)

Over 20.5

-118

Under 20.5

-114

Jalen Green (Rockets)

Over 14.5

-127

Under 14.5

-105

Fred VanVleet (Rockets)

Over 14.5

-108

Under 14.5

-123

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

Over 13.5

-118

Under 13.5

-114

Dillon Brooks (Rockets)

Over 12.5

-122

Under 12.5

-109

Amen Thompson (Rockets)

Over 11.5

-130

Under 11.5

-103

Buddy Hield (Warriors)

Over 9.5

-127

Under 9.5

-106

Jabari Smith Jr (Rockets)

Over 8.5

-125

Under 8.5

-106

Tari Eason (Rockets)

Over 7.5

-133

Under 7.5

+102

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 7.5

-123

Under 7.5

-108

Moses Moody (Warriors)

Over 4.5

-141

Under 4.5

+106

Jimmy Butler (Warriors)

Over 5.5

+105

Under 5.5

-139

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 4.5

-133

Under 4.5

-100

Alperen Sengun (Rockets)

Over 4.5

+104

Under 4.5

-139

Fred VanVleet (Rockets)

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-109

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

Over 3.5

-118

Under 3.5

-114

Amen Thompson (Rockets)

Over 3.5

-139

Under 3.5

+105

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 3.5

-159

Under 3.5

+120

Jalen Green (Rockets)

Over 2.5

-156

Under 2.5

+118

Dillon Brooks (Rockets)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-141

Alperen Sengun (Rockets)

Over 11.5

+102

Under 11.5

-135

Amen Thompson (Rockets)

Over 6.5

-133

Under 6.5

-100

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 6.5

-130

Under 6.5

-103

Jimmy Butler (Warriors)

Over 5.5

-120

Under 5.5

-110

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

Over 5.5

-106

Under 5.5

-125

Jabari Smith Jr (Rockets)

Over 5.5

+102

Under 5.5

-135

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 4.5

-114

Under 4.5

-118

Jalen Green (Rockets)

Over 4.5

+117

Under 4.5

-156

Fred VanVleet (Rockets)

Over 3.5

+123

Under 3.5

-164

Dillon Brooks (Rockets)

Over 3.5

+102

Under 3.5

-133

Buddy Hield (Warriors)

Over 3.5

+118

Under 3.5

-159

Micro Betting

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to basketball micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Field Goal. Check out the live team, score and player props to see if you can find an angle.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Golden State Warriors Stats

Houston Rockets Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 215.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 220.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 203.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 203.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 107.90 pts and allowed 107.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 114.30 pts and allowed 106.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 220.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 232.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 203.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 203.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 108.20 pts and allowed 112.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 119.70 pts and allowed 112.80 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 22.50 (52%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 15.00 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 17.90 (79.2%)
• Rebounds: Total 39.3, Offensive 10.90, Defensive 28.40
• Assists: 26.10
• Blocks: 4.40
• Steals: 10.00
• Turnovers : 12.40
• Personal Fouls: 21.70

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 24.10 (54%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 15.70 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.00 (79.5%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.7, Offensive 13.50, Defensive 31.20
• Assists: 27.40
• Blocks: 3.20
• Steals: 11.10
• Turnovers : 12.70
• Personal Fouls: 18.60

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 27.10 (51%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.80 (38%)
• Free Throws Made: 15.60 (67.53%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.3, Offensive 12.60, Defensive 31.70
• Assists: 22.70
• Blocks: 5.10
• Steals: 8.10
• Turnovers : 13.20
• Personal Fouls: 18.00

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.20 (54%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.60 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.50 (74%)
• Rebounds: Total 50.2, Offensive 15.80, Defensive 34.40
• Assists: 25.00
• Blocks: 4.90
• Steals: 7.00
• Turnovers : 11.60
• Personal Fouls: 18.90

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Houston Rockets Confirmed Lineup

1 Amen Thompson

4 Jalen Green

5 Fred VanVleet

9 Dillon Brooks

28 Alperen Sengun

Golden State Warriors Confirmed Lineup

2 Brandin Podziemski

7 Buddy Hield

10 Jimmy Butler

23 Draymond Green

30 Stephen Curry

NBA Regular Season Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
76ers	4	0	1	129.3	123.8	5.5	2-0	2-0	1-0	4-0	4-0	4W
Knicks	2	2	0.5	110.5	110.5	0	2-0	0-2	1-0	2-2	2-2	2L
Celtics	2	3	0.4	114.2	107.2	7	1-1	1-2	0-2	1-3	2-3	2W
Raptors	1	4	0.2	121.4	127.8	-6.4	0-2	1-2	0-0	1-1	1-4	4L
Nets	0	5	0	113.8	127.8	-14	0-2	0-3	0-0	0-3	0-5	5L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	4	0	1	119.8	111.3	8.5	3-0	1-0	1-0	3-0	4-0	4W
Bucks	4	1	0.8	121.8	115	6.8	3-0	1-1	0-1	3-1	4-1	2W
Cavaliers	3	2	0.6	116.2	115.2	1	1-0	2-2	2-0	3-2	3-2	1L
Pistons	3	2	0.6	115	114.2	0.8	2-1	1-1	0-2	2-2	3-2	1W
Pacers	0	4	0	113.3	122.5	-9.2	0-1	0-3	0-0	0-0	0-4	4L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Heat	3	2	0.6	125.4	114	11.4	2-0	1-2	1-1	2-1	3-2	1L
Hornets	2	3	0.4	124	124.4	-0.4	1-1	1-2	1-2	2-3	2-3	2L
Hawks	2	3	0.4	113.8	120.4	-6.6	0-2	2-1	1-0	2-2	2-3	1W
Magic	2	4	0.333	115.5	120	-4.5	1-2	1-2	2-1	2-4	2-4	1W
Wizards	1	4	0.2	118.4	129	-10.6	0-2	1-2	0-1	0-3	1-4	3L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	6	0	1	119.7	110.3	9.4	3-0	3-0	0-0	3-0	6-0	6W
Nuggets	3	1	0.75	128.3	112.5	15.8	2-0	1-1	1-0	3-1	3-1	3W
Trail Blazers	3	2	0.6	123.6	118.6	5	1-1	2-1	1-1	3-2	3-2	2W
Jazz	2	2	0.5	126.3	120.8	5.5	2-1	0-1	0-1	2-2	2-2	1L
Timberwolves	2	3	0.4	114.2	119	-4.8	1-2	1-1	1-1	1-3	2-3	2L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	4	2	0.667	119	116	3	3-0	1-2	2-0	4-1	4-2	1L
Lakers	3	2	0.6	117.6	117.2	0.4	1-2	2-0	1-1	3-2	3-2	1W
Clippers	2	2	0.5	107.5	109	-1.5	2-0	0-2	1-1	2-2	2-2	1L
Suns	1	4	0.2	116	126	-10	1-1	0-3	1-1	1-4	1-4	4L
Kings	1	4	0.2	111	116.8	-5.8	1-1	0-3	0-2	1-3	1-4	3L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	5	0	1	118.2	103.8	14.4	3-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	5-0	5W
Grizzlies	3	2	0.6	120.4	123	-2.6	2-1	1-1	1-0	2-1	3-2	1W
Rockets	2	2	0.5	127.8	117.5	10.3	1-1	1-1	0-0	0-1	2-2	2W
Mavericks	2	3	0.4	107.8	115.4	-7.6	2-3	0-0	0-1	0-2	2-3	1W
Pelicans	0	4	0	104	123	-19	0-2	0-2	0-2	0-3	0-4	4L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	4	0	1	119.8	111.3	8.5	3-0	1-0	1-0	3-0	4-0	4W
76ers	4	0	1	129.3	123.8	5.5	2-0	2-0	1-0	4-0	4-0	4W
Heat	3	2	0.6	125.4	114	11.4	2-0	1-2	1-1	2-1	3-2	1L
Bucks	4	1	0.8	121.8	115	6.8	3-0	1-1	0-1	3-1	4-1	2W
Cavaliers	3	2	0.6	116.2	115.2	1	1-0	2-2	2-0	3-2	3-2	1L
Pistons	3	2	0.6	115	114.2	0.8	2-1	1-1	0-2	2-2	3-2	1W
Knicks	2	2	0.5	110.5	110.5	0	2-0	0-2	1-0	2-2	2-2	2L
Hawks	2	3	0.4	113.8	120.4	-6.6	0-2	2-1	1-0	2-2	2-3	1W
Hornets	2	3	0.4	124	124.4	-0.4	1-1	1-2	1-2	2-3	2-3	2L
Celtics	2	3	0.4	114.2	107.2	7	1-1	1-2	0-2	1-3	2-3	2W
Magic	2	4	0.333	115.5	120	-4.5	1-2	1-2	2-1	2-4	2-4	1W
Raptors	1	4	0.2	121.4	127.8	-6.4	0-2	1-2	0-0	1-1	1-4	4L
Wizards	1	4	0.2	118.4	129	-10.6	0-2	1-2	0-1	0-3	1-4	3L
Pacers	0	4	0	113.3	122.5	-9.2	0-1	0-3	0-0	0-0	0-4	4L
Nets	0	5	0	113.8	127.8	-14	0-2	0-3	0-0	0-3	0-5	5L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	6	0	1	119.7	110.3	9.4	3-0	3-0	0-0	3-0	6-0	6W
Spurs	5	0	1	118.2	103.8	14.4	3-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	5-0	5W
Nuggets	3	1	0.75	128.3	112.5	15.8	2-0	1-1	1-0	3-1	3-1	3W
Warriors	4	2	0.667	119	116	3	3-0	1-2	2-0	4-1	4-2	1L
Trail Blazers	3	2	0.6	123.6	118.6	5	1-1	2-1	1-1	3-2	3-2	2W
Lakers	3	2	0.6	117.6	117.2	0.4	1-2	2-0	1-1	3-2	3-2	1W
Grizzlies	3	2	0.6	120.4	123	-2.6	2-1	1-1	1-0	2-1	3-2	1W
Jazz	2	2	0.5	126.3	120.8	5.5	2-1	0-1	0-1	2-2	2-2	1L
Clippers	2	2	0.5	107.5	109	-1.5	2-0	0-2	1-1	2-2	2-2	1L
Rockets	2	2	0.5	127.8	117.5	10.3	1-1	1-1	0-0	0-1	2-2	2W
Timberwolves	2	3	0.4	114.2	119	-4.8	1-2	1-1	1-1	1-3	2-3	2L
Mavericks	2	3	0.4	107.8	115.4	-7.6	2-3	0-0	0-1	0-2	2-3	1W
Suns	1	4	0.2	116	126	-10	1-1	0-3	1-1	1-4	1-4	4L
Kings	1	4	0.2	111	116.8	-5.8	1-1	0-3	0-2	1-3	1-4	3L
Pelicans	0	4	0	104	123	-19	0-2	0-2	0-2	0-3	0-4	4L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	4	0	1	119.8	111.3	8.5	3-0	1-0	1-0	3-0	4-0	4W
Thunder	6	0	1	119.7	110.3	9.4	3-0	3-0	0-0	3-0	6-0	6W
76ers	4	0	1	129.3	123.8	5.5	2-0	2-0	1-0	4-0	4-0	4W
Spurs	5	0	1	118.2	103.8	14.4	3-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	5-0	5W
Bucks	4	1	0.8	121.8	115	6.8	3-0	1-1	0-1	3-1	4-1	2W
Nuggets	3	1	0.75	128.3	112.5	15.8	2-0	1-1	1-0	3-1	3-1	3W
Warriors	4	2	0.667	119	116	3	3-0	1-2	2-0	4-1	4-2	1L
Cavaliers	3	2	0.6	116.2	115.2	1	1-0	2-2	2-0	3-2	3-2	1L
Pistons	3	2	0.6	115	114.2	0.8	2-1	1-1	0-2	2-2	3-2	1W
Lakers	3	2	0.6	117.6	117.2	0.4	1-2	2-0	1-1	3-2	3-2	1W
Grizzlies	3	2	0.6	120.4	123	-2.6	2-1	1-1	1-0	2-1	3-2	1W
Heat	3	2	0.6	125.4	114	11.4	2-0	1-2	1-1	2-1	3-2	1L
Trail Blazers	3	2	0.6	123.6	118.6	5	1-1	2-1	1-1	3-2	3-2	2W
Rockets	2	2	0.5	127.8	117.5	10.3	1-1	1-1	0-0	0-1	2-2	2W
Clippers	2	2	0.5	107.5	109	-1.5	2-0	0-2	1-1	2-2	2-2	1L
Knicks	2	2	0.5	110.5	110.5	0	2-0	0-2	1-0	2-2	2-2	2L
Jazz	2	2	0.5	126.3	120.8	5.5	2-1	0-1	0-1	2-2	2-2	1L
Hawks	2	3	0.4	113.8	120.4	-6.6	0-2	2-1	1-0	2-2	2-3	1W
Celtics	2	3	0.4	114.2	107.2	7	1-1	1-2	0-2	1-3	2-3	2W
Hornets	2	3	0.4	124	124.4	-0.4	1-1	1-2	1-2	2-3	2-3	2L
Mavericks	2	3	0.4	107.8	115.4	-7.6	2-3	0-0	0-1	0-2	2-3	1W
Timberwolves	2	3	0.4	114.2	119	-4.8	1-2	1-1	1-1	1-3	2-3	2L
Magic	2	4	0.333	115.5	120	-4.5	1-2	1-2	2-1	2-4	2-4	1W
Suns	1	4	0.2	116	126	-10	1-1	0-3	1-1	1-4	1-4	4L
Kings	1	4	0.2	111	116.8	-5.8	1-1	0-3	0-2	1-3	1-4	3L
Raptors	1	4	0.2	121.4	127.8	-6.4	0-2	1-2	0-0	1-1	1-4	4L
Wizards	1	4	0.2	118.4	129	-10.6	0-2	1-2	0-1	0-3	1-4	3L
Nets	0	5	0	113.8	127.8	-14	0-2	0-3	0-0	0-3	0-5	5L
Pacers	0	4	0	113.3	122.5	-9.2	0-1	0-3	0-0	0-0	0-4	4L
Pelicans	0	4	0	104	123	-19	0-2	0-2	0-2	0-3	0-4	4L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak