Golden State Warriors vs LA Lakers Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Oct 2025

NBA Betting Preview: Warriors vs Lakers

The Golden State Warriors clash with the LA Lakers in this NBA opening night matchup at Crypto.com Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Tuesday, October 21. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and the official starting lineups.

Low-Scoring Contest On the Cards?

We’re confident about the number of points to be scored when the Warriors go up against the Lakers. Therefore, the prediction is Under 225.5 which is available at -110.

Agree with our Totals prediction? Make sure you’ve got the latest BetMGM promo code, then check out our in-depth review ahead of your wager.

Warriors Overcame Lakers in Last Meeting

The Golden State Warriors closed out their 2024–25 campaign with a 4–1 series loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves in the Western Conference Semifinals. In Game 5, they fell 121–110 on the road at Target Center. Brandin Podziemski scored 28 points, with Jonathan Kuminga getting 26 and Jimmy Butler 17.

The LA Lakers ended last season with a 103–96 home loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 5 of the first round of the playoffs at Crypto.com Arena, losing the series 4–1. On the points front, Luka Doncic recorded 28, Rui Hachimura 23 and LeBron James 22.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was the Warriors who came out on top when they last played the Lakers. At Crypto.com Arena, a 123-116 win was recorded. Both teams have won five games when it comes to the previous 10 H2H meetings.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

View Full Standings

The Warriors have 4 wins and 6 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 104.8 points, 39.4 rebounds, 22.5 assists, 8.2 steals and 4.0 blocks while shooting 43.1% from the field and 77.3% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 107.9 points and 41.1 rebounds per matchup.

Jimmy Butler is averaging 16.9 points, 6.0 rebounds and 4.5 assists, while Buddy Hield averages 3.2 (44.4%) 3-pointers made.

The Lakers have won 4 and lost 6 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 108.1 points, 40.6 rebounds, 22.3 assists, 6.7 steals and 4.5 blocks per game while shooting 46.9% from the field and 76.8% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 108.7 points and 42.8 rebounds.

Luka Doncic is averaging 28.8 points, 5.3 assists and 3.6 (43.4%) 3-pointers made, while LeBron James has an average of 6.6 rebounds.

Golden State Warriors vs LA Lakers Prediction & Picks

We’ve broken down Golden State Warriors vs LA Lakers from every angle, offering our expert match prediction, expected final score, best player prop recommendations and a well-constructed bet builder.

Game Prediction

The -110 for Under 225.5 points to be scored in this NBA game looks like great value. Our pick is that the teams might not collectively reach this total.

Our basketball predictions are built after tracking the latest team news and reviewing recent form. We also dive into up-to-date NBA stats, which often serve as a solid barometer for how the action might unfold.

Key Warriors vs Lakers stats:

• The 225.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Warriors games.
• The 225.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Warriors games.
• The 225.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Lakers games.
• The 225.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Lakers games.
• The 225.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Lakers games at home.

Under 225.5 Probability

If you go by the top NBA sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of delivering a return. However, our analysts in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

The bigger odds can be found if you combine your Under wager on the Totals with other picks in a Bet Builder. This is popular way of betting on multiple outcomes in a single game.

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Best Bet

Under 225.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jimmy Butler Over 5.5 Rebounds +110

Jimmy Butler (Warriors) has racked up Over 5.5 rebounds in 5 straight games. We’re going to take him on the Overs for Player Rebounds, with this line making appeal at odds of +110.

Latest Jimmy Butler Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 18.5

-106

Under 18.5

-125

Assists

Over 5.5

+102

Under 5.5

-135

Rebounds

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-147

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Austin Reaves Under 21.5 Points -106

Austin Reaves (Lakers) has totaled an average of 16.2 points in the past 5 games. Should you expect this trend to continue, you can secure odds of -106 that he doesn’t reach this total.

Latest Austin Reaves Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 21.5

-125

Under 21.5

-106

Assists

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-133

Rebounds

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-106

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Correct Score Prediction

Warriors 110 - 111 Lakers

A close game could be on the cards. We’ll wager the Lakers to secure a 111-110 win at massive odds and this correct score pick should hopefully be a fun one.

Golden State Warriors vs LA Lakers Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Predicting a Close-Run Battle

The betting odds about LA Lakers winning is +116, with Golden State Warriors priced up at -135 to achieve victory. The hosts have a 46% chance of victory in the eyes of the most popular NBA sportsbooks.

2 is the spread and 225.5 is the total points line. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball wagers. If you want to bet Under 225.5, there are odds of -108.

The good news is that you can access hundreds of team props and game lines for most basketball contests. The best betting apps have a massive range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

Warriors

-135

Lakers

+116

Point Spread

Warriors -2

-114

Lakers +2

-106

Total Points

Under 225.5

-108

Over 225.5

-112

Luka Doncic Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

Luka Doncic is favorite when it comes to hitting the most buckets. You can get -108 that he goes Over 30.5 points and -123 when it comes to Under.

Luka Doncic (Lakers)

Over 30.5

-108

Under 30.5

-123

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 26.5

-114

Under 26.5

-118

Austin Reaves (Lakers)

Over 21.5

-125

Under 21.5

-106

Jimmy Butler (Warriors)

Over 18.5

-106

Under 18.5

-125

Deandre Ayton (Lakers)

Over 14.5

-105

Under 14.5

-127

Jonathan Kuminga (Warriors)

Over 13.5

-116

Under 13.5

-111

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

Over 12.5

-115

Under 12.5

-115

Rui Hachimura (Lakers)

Over 12.5

-108

Under 12.5

-125

Buddy Hield (Warriors)

Over 9.5

-102

Under 9.5

-127

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 8.5

-122

Under 8.5

-109

Marcus Smart (Lakers)

Over 8.5

-101

Under 8.5

-128

Gabe Vincent (Lakers)

Over 7.5

-114

Under 7.5

-114

Al Horford (Warriors)

Over 7.5

-114

Under 7.5

-118

Jake LaRavia (Lakers)

Over 5.5

-110

Under 5.5

-120

Jarred Vanderbilt (Lakers)

Over 4.5

+115

Under 4.5

-154

Luka Doncic (Lakers)

Over 7.5

-143

Under 7.5

+110

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 5.5

+104

Under 5.5

-139

Austin Reaves (Lakers)

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-133

Jimmy Butler (Warriors)

Over 5.5

+102

Under 5.5

-135

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 4.5

-154

Under 4.5

+116

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

Over 3.5

-108

Under 3.5

-125

Marcus Smart (Lakers)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

+110

Deandre Ayton (Lakers)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-130

Jonathan Kuminga (Warriors)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

+134

Rui Hachimura (Lakers)

Over 1.5

+175

Under 1.5

-233

Buddy Hield (Warriors)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-208

Gabe Vincent (Lakers)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-208

Al Horford (Warriors)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

+115

Jake LaRavia (Lakers)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-189

Jarred Vanderbilt (Lakers)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+145

Deandre Ayton (Lakers)

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-118

Luka Doncic (Lakers)

Over 8.5

-108

Under 8.5

-125

Jimmy Butler (Warriors)

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-147

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

Over 5.5

+108

Under 5.5

-143

Rui Hachimura (Lakers)

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-147

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 5.5

-118

Under 5.5

-114

Al Horford (Warriors)

Over 5.5

+108

Under 5.5

-143

Jarred Vanderbilt (Lakers)

Over 5.5

+118

Under 5.5

-154

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 4.5

+102

Under 4.5

-135

Austin Reaves (Lakers)

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-106

Jonathan Kuminga (Warriors)

Over 4.5

+112

Under 4.5

-145

Buddy Hield (Warriors)

Over 2.5

+103

Under 2.5

-133

Jake LaRavia (Lakers)

Over 2.5

-164

Under 2.5

+125

Marcus Smart (Lakers)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

+110

Gabe Vincent (Lakers)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-108

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Golden State Warriors Stats

LA Lakers Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -2 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -2 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +2 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +2 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 212.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 210.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 225.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 225.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 104.80 pts and allowed 107.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 106.90 pts and allowed 103.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 216.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 220.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 225.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 225.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 108.10 pts and allowed 108.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 109.30 pts and allowed 111.50 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 22.90 (50%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.70 (34%)
• Free Throws Made: 15.70 (77.34%)
• Rebounds: Total 39.4, Offensive 12.30, Defensive 27.10
• Assists: 22.50
• Blocks: 4.00
• Steals: 8.20
• Turnovers : 12.50
• Personal Fouls: 20.50

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 21.80 (51%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.00 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 16.10 (74.88%)
• Rebounds: Total 41.6, Offensive 11.80, Defensive 29.80
• Assists: 23.60
• Blocks: 3.70
• Steals: 9.90
• Turnovers : 13.00
• Personal Fouls: 16.90

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 23.40 (53%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.80 (39%)
• Free Throws Made: 16.90 (76.82%)
• Rebounds: Total 40.6, Offensive 10.00, Defensive 30.60
• Assists: 22.30
• Blocks: 4.50
• Steals: 6.70
• Turnovers : 14.10
• Personal Fouls: 18.70

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 24.00 (55%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.50 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 17.80 (79.82%)
• Rebounds: Total 40.1, Offensive 9.70, Defensive 30.40
• Assists: 23.50
• Blocks: 3.10
• Steals: 7.40
• Turnovers : 13.60
• Personal Fouls: 18.80

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak