Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Wednesday

NBA Betting Preview: Rockets vs Nuggets

The Houston Rockets take the floor against the Denver Nuggets in this NBA contest. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

We’re confident that the Rockets can either win or suffer a narrow defeat. That makes the underdogs at +5 the best play when they face the Nuggets and -106 are available.

Houston Rockets claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 113-99 win occurred against Toronto Raptors at Toyota Center. Kevin Durant poured in 29 points, with Amen Thompson contributing 23 and Jabari Smith adding 23.

Denver Nuggets lost on the road in their last game, making it back-to-back defeats. Oklahoma City Thunder won 129-126 at Paycom Center. Nikola Jokic put on a great show with a triple-double performance, scoring 32 points, 14 rebounds and 13 assists.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Rockets beat the Nuggets when the teams last met. It was a 115-101 scoreline at Ball Arena. In the previous 10 games between the teams, they have won five apiece.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	40	24	0.625	114.6	109.7	4.9	22-8	18-16	6-6	22-18	6-4	1W
Nuggets	39	26	0.6	120.3	116.6	3.7	17-13	22-13	6-5	23-14	4-6	2L

View Full Standings

6 wins and 4 losses in the past 10 games. The Rockets are averaging 115.2 points, 47.0 rebounds, 25.3 assists, 7.7 steals and 5.8 blocks while shooting 50.0% from the field and 79.7% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 110.9 points and 37.4 rebounds per contest.

Kevin Durant is averaging 26.6 points, with Reed Sheppard making 4.0 (43.0%) 3-pointers per game. Alperen Sengun averages 8.4 rebounds and 5.2 assists.

The Nuggets have won 4 and lost 6 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 119.7 points, 46.4 rebounds, 28.2 assists, 6.5 steals and 2.9 blocks per game while shooting 47.5% from the field and 78.5% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 118.3 points and 42.2 rebounds.

Nikola Jokic is averaging 29.7 points, 13.4 rebounds and 9.0 assists, while Jamal Murray has an average of 3.2 (43.8%) 3-pointers made.

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks

Our Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets betting guide delivers expert insight, including a main match pick, our correct score angle and bet builder recommendations. Dive into each section below for more.

Game Prediction

We wouldn’t be surprised to see the Rockets triumph in this NBA matchup. In terms of landing extra value, it makes sense to take +5 when it comes to the spread at -106.

Recent form is always part of the equation and we combine it with team news as soon as it’s available. To deliver expert basketball picks, our handicappers also analyze the latest NBA stats to ensure we’re working with the best information possible.

Key Rockets vs Nuggets stats:

• The +5 line has been covered by Rockets in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +5 line has been covered by Rockets in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -5 line hasn’t been covered by Nuggets in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -5 line hasn’t been covered by Nuggets in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -5 line hasn’t been covered by Nuggets in 2 consecutive games.
• The -5 line hasn’t been covered by Nuggets in 3 consecutive games against Rockets.

Rockets +5 Probability

If you go by the top NBA sportsbooks, our pick has a 51.5% chance of landing a return. In the opinion of our cappers, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

Selling points can be a great option and allows bettors to enjoy a bigger return on the same selection. For a more conservative spread pick, you can alternatively buy points.

Before you bet, make sure to check out the latest offers. Our guide is packed with the best welcome bonuses from leading sportsbooks.

Our Game Prediction

Rockets +5 @ -106 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 11, 02:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Rockets 115 - 118 Nuggets

We’re expecting a close game so it might be worth going for the Nuggets to win by a 118-115 scoreline. You can get a huge price and we should hopefully get a run for our money.

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Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Denver Nuggets as -200 favorites for this NBA game, implying that they are 67% likely to win. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Houston Rockets are trading at +168.

The spread is calculated to be 5, while total points comes in at 228.5. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball wagers. The Over 228.5 selection is available to back at -114.

Consider every angle when placing your bets. The best basketball betting sites offer a huge selection of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the game.

Moneyline

Rockets

+168

Nuggets

-200

Point Spread

Rockets +5

-106

Nuggets -5

-114

Total Points

Under 228.5

-106

Over 228.5

-114

If you have a view on Total Points, Three-Pointers, Assists, Double-Doubles or Triple-Doubles, then the player prop betting could be up your street. It’s a great way of wagering on individual performance.

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, basketball micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to wager on the Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

The Nuggets have a 5-5 record in their last 10 home games, putting up 112.00 points per contest and giving up 113.30.

The Rockets have seven wins and three losses in the last 10 road games, scoring 111.70 points per matchup and conceding 110.50.

The Rockets beat the Nuggets 115-101 when they last met at Ball Arena. In their past 10 head-to-head matchups at Ball Arena, the Nuggets have recorded seven victories, while the Rockets have managed three.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O228.5	U228.5
Denver Nuggets Home Stats		5-5	225.30	112.00	113.30	6	4
Houston Rockets Away Stats		7-3	222.20	111.70	110.50	3	7

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O228.5 = Games Over 228.5 Points
• U228.5 = Games Under 228.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Houston Rockets Stats

Denver Nuggets Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 226.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 222.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 228.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 228.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 115.20 pts and allowed 110.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 111.70 pts and allowed 110.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 238.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 225.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 228.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 228.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 119.70 pts and allowed 118.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 112.00 pts and allowed 113.30 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 31.80 (57%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 11.30 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 17.70 (79.73%)
• Rebounds: Total 47, Offensive 12.60, Defensive 34.40
• Assists: 25.30
• Blocks: 5.80
• Steals: 7.70
• Turnovers : 16.70
• Personal Fouls: 19.00

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.60 (55%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 10.10 (33%)
• Free Throws Made: 20.20 (80.16%)
• Rebounds: Total 46.6, Offensive 13.80, Defensive 32.80
• Assists: 22.90
• Blocks: 6.70
• Steals: 8.60
• Turnovers : 14.00
• Personal Fouls: 17.90

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.60 (56%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.40 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 22.30 (78.52%)
• Rebounds: Total 46.4, Offensive 10.80, Defensive 35.60
• Assists: 28.20
• Blocks: 2.90
• Steals: 6.50
• Turnovers : 14.20
• Personal Fouls: 18.60

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 27.30 (54%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.10 (38%)
• Free Throws Made: 21.10 (76.17%)
• Rebounds: Total 43.4, Offensive 9.60, Defensive 33.80
• Assists: 26.50
• Blocks: 3.30
• Steals: 5.20
• Turnovers : 13.10
• Personal Fouls: 17.70

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	43	22	0.662	114.5	107.2	7.3	21-10	22-12	9-5	28-14	7-3	1L
Knicks	41	25	0.621	116.9	110.8	6.1	23-9	18-16	11-3	27-15	6-4	2L
Raptors	36	28	0.563	113.5	111.7	1.8	17-16	19-12	4-10	27-16	4-6	1L
76ers	35	30	0.538	115.9	116.3	-0.4	18-16	17-14	8-7	21-22	5-5	1W
Nets	17	48	0.262	107	115.9	-8.9	9-23	8-25	3-10	12-29	2-8	1L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	46	18	0.719	117	109.6	7.4	24-8	22-10	10-4	31-10	5-5	1W
Cavaliers	40	25	0.615	118.7	114.6	4.1	22-12	18-13	8-5	26-16	6-4	1W
Bucks	27	37	0.422	111.1	116	-4.9	15-18	12-19	8-5	19-24	3-7	2L
Bulls	27	38	0.415	115.6	119.9	-4.3	16-18	11-20	4-10	17-26	3-7	1W
Pacers	15	50	0.231	111.4	119.9	-8.5	10-22	5-28	3-9	11-30	0-10	10L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Heat	37	29	0.561	120.6	116.7	3.9	22-11	15-18	7-5	21-18	8-2	6W
Magic	35	28	0.556	115.1	113.6	1.5	20-12	15-16	7-5	21-19	7-3	4W
Hawks	34	31	0.523	117.8	117.2	0.6	16-16	18-15	7-6	19-21	8-2	7W
Hornets	33	33	0.5	115.7	112.3	3.4	14-17	19-16	9-5	20-22	7-3	1W
Wizards	16	48	0.25	112.5	123.7	-11.2	11-22	5-26	2-11	11-29	1-9	9L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	51	15	0.773	118.8	107.9	10.9	27-7	24-8	10-3	36-9	9-1	6W
Timberwolves	40	25	0.615	118.4	114.5	3.9	22-12	18-13	8-5	24-18	7-3	2L
Nuggets	39	26	0.6	120.3	116.6	3.7	17-13	22-13	6-5	23-14	4-6	2L
Trail Blazers	31	35	0.47	115.1	117.8	-2.7	17-16	14-19	5-7	23-19	4-6	1L
Jazz	20	45	0.308	117.4	124.9	-7.5	12-21	8-24	1-10	11-30	2-8	1W

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	40	25	0.615	115.9	114.9	1	21-12	19-13	8-7	27-16	6-4	3W
Suns	38	27	0.585	112.3	111	1.3	22-13	16-14	10-6	25-18	6-4	3W
Clippers	32	32	0.5	112.8	112.3	0.5	17-13	15-19	8-5	20-19	6-4	2W
Warriors	32	33	0.492	115.2	114.2	1	19-14	13-19	6-6	22-21	3-7	3L
Kings	16	50	0.242	110.7	120.9	-10.2	11-22	5-28	2-10	10-34	4-6	2W

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	48	17	0.738	118.7	111.6	7.1	25-6	23-11	11-3	28-13	9-1	5W
Rockets	40	24	0.625	114.6	109.7	4.9	22-8	18-16	6-6	22-18	6-4	1W
Grizzlies	23	41	0.359	115.9	118.3	-2.4	12-19	11-22	6-6	18-26	2-8	5L
Mavericks	21	44	0.323	113	117.8	-4.8	14-19	7-25	3-10	11-29	2-8	8L
Pelicans	21	45	0.318	115.5	120.2	-4.7	12-21	9-24	6-7	13-29	6-4	1W

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	46	18	0.719	117	109.6	7.4	24-8	22-10	10-4	31-10	5-5	1W
Celtics	43	22	0.662	114.5	107.2	7.3	21-10	22-12	9-5	28-14	7-3	1L
Knicks	41	25	0.621	116.9	110.8	6.1	23-9	18-16	11-3	27-15	6-4	2L
Cavaliers	40	25	0.615	118.7	114.6	4.1	22-12	18-13	8-5	26-16	6-4	1W
Raptors	36	28	0.563	113.5	111.7	1.8	17-16	19-12	4-10	27-16	4-6	1L
Heat	37	29	0.561	120.6	116.7	3.9	22-11	15-18	7-5	21-18	8-2	6W
Magic	35	28	0.556	115.1	113.6	1.5	20-12	15-16	7-5	21-19	7-3	4W
76ers	35	30	0.538	115.9	116.3	-0.4	18-16	17-14	8-7	21-22	5-5	1W
Hawks	34	31	0.523	117.8	117.2	0.6	16-16	18-15	7-6	19-21	8-2	7W
Hornets	33	33	0.5	115.7	112.3	3.4	14-17	19-16	9-5	20-22	7-3	1W
Bucks	27	37	0.422	111.1	116	-4.9	15-18	12-19	8-5	19-24	3-7	2L
Bulls	27	38	0.415	115.6	119.9	-4.3	16-18	11-20	4-10	17-26	3-7	1W
Nets	17	48	0.262	107	115.9	-8.9	9-23	8-25	3-10	12-29	2-8	1L
Wizards	16	48	0.25	112.5	123.7	-11.2	11-22	5-26	2-11	11-29	1-9	9L
Pacers	15	50	0.231	111.4	119.9	-8.5	10-22	5-28	3-9	11-30	0-10	10L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	51	15	0.773	118.8	107.9	10.9	27-7	24-8	10-3	36-9	9-1	6W
Spurs	48	17	0.738	118.7	111.6	7.1	25-6	23-11	11-3	28-13	9-1	5W
Rockets	40	24	0.625	114.6	109.7	4.9	22-8	18-16	6-6	22-18	6-4	1W
Lakers	40	25	0.615	115.9	114.9	1	21-12	19-13	8-7	27-16	6-4	3W
Timberwolves	40	25	0.615	118.4	114.5	3.9	22-12	18-13	8-5	24-18	7-3	2L
Nuggets	39	26	0.6	120.3	116.6	3.7	17-13	22-13	6-5	23-14	4-6	2L
Suns	38	27	0.585	112.3	111	1.3	22-13	16-14	10-6	25-18	6-4	3W
Clippers	32	32	0.5	112.8	112.3	0.5	17-13	15-19	8-5	20-19	6-4	2W
Warriors	32	33	0.492	115.2	114.2	1	19-14	13-19	6-6	22-21	3-7	3L
Trail Blazers	31	35	0.47	115.1	117.8	-2.7	17-16	14-19	5-7	23-19	4-6	1L
Grizzlies	23	41	0.359	115.9	118.3	-2.4	12-19	11-22	6-6	18-26	2-8	5L
Mavericks	21	44	0.323	113	117.8	-4.8	14-19	7-25	3-10	11-29	2-8	8L
Pelicans	21	45	0.318	115.5	120.2	-4.7	12-21	9-24	6-7	13-29	6-4	1W
Jazz	20	45	0.308	117.4	124.9	-7.5	12-21	8-24	1-10	11-30	2-8	1W
Kings	16	50	0.242	110.7	120.9	-10.2	11-22	5-28	2-10	10-34	4-6	2W

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	51	15	0.773	118.8	107.9	10.9	27-7	24-8	10-3	36-9	9-1	6W
Spurs	48	17	0.738	118.7	111.6	7.1	25-6	23-11	11-3	28-13	9-1	5W
Pistons	46	18	0.719	117	109.6	7.4	24-8	22-10	10-4	31-10	5-5	1W
Celtics	43	22	0.662	114.5	107.2	7.3	21-10	22-12	9-5	28-14	7-3	1L
Rockets	40	24	0.625	114.6	109.7	4.9	22-8	18-16	6-6	22-18	6-4	1W
Knicks	41	25	0.621	116.9	110.8	6.1	23-9	18-16	11-3	27-15	6-4	2L
Cavaliers	40	25	0.615	118.7	114.6	4.1	22-12	18-13	8-5	26-16	6-4	1W
Lakers	40	25	0.615	115.9	114.9	1	21-12	19-13	8-7	27-16	6-4	3W
Timberwolves	40	25	0.615	118.4	114.5	3.9	22-12	18-13	8-5	24-18	7-3	2L
Nuggets	39	26	0.6	120.3	116.6	3.7	17-13	22-13	6-5	23-14	4-6	2L
Suns	38	27	0.585	112.3	111	1.3	22-13	16-14	10-6	25-18	6-4	3W
Raptors	36	28	0.563	113.5	111.7	1.8	17-16	19-12	4-10	27-16	4-6	1L
Heat	37	29	0.561	120.6	116.7	3.9	22-11	15-18	7-5	21-18	8-2	6W
Magic	35	28	0.556	115.1	113.6	1.5	20-12	15-16	7-5	21-19	7-3	4W
76ers	35	30	0.538	115.9	116.3	-0.4	18-16	17-14	8-7	21-22	5-5	1W
Hawks	34	31	0.523	117.8	117.2	0.6	16-16	18-15	7-6	19-21	8-2	7W
Hornets	33	33	0.5	115.7	112.3	3.4	14-17	19-16	9-5	20-22	7-3	1W
Clippers	32	32	0.5	112.8	112.3	0.5	17-13	15-19	8-5	20-19	6-4	2W
Warriors	32	33	0.492	115.2	114.2	1	19-14	13-19	6-6	22-21	3-7	3L
Trail Blazers	31	35	0.47	115.1	117.8	-2.7	17-16	14-19	5-7	23-19	4-6	1L
Bucks	27	37	0.422	111.1	116	-4.9	15-18	12-19	8-5	19-24	3-7	2L
Bulls	27	38	0.415	115.6	119.9	-4.3	16-18	11-20	4-10	17-26	3-7	1W
Grizzlies	23	41	0.359	115.9	118.3	-2.4	12-19	11-22	6-6	18-26	2-8	5L
Mavericks	21	44	0.323	113	117.8	-4.8	14-19	7-25	3-10	11-29	2-8	8L
Pelicans	21	45	0.318	115.5	120.2	-4.7	12-21	9-24	6-7	13-29	6-4	1W
Jazz	20	45	0.308	117.4	124.9	-7.5	12-21	8-24	1-10	11-30	2-8	1W
Nets	17	48	0.262	107	115.9	-8.9	9-23	8-25	3-10	12-29	2-8	1L
Wizards	16	48	0.25	112.5	123.7	-11.2	11-22	5-26	2-11	11-29	1-9	9L
Kings	16	50	0.242	110.7	120.9	-10.2	11-22	5-28	2-10	10-34	4-6	2W
Pacers	15	50	0.231	111.4	119.9	-8.5	10-22	5-28	3-9	11-30	0-10	10L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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