Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Monday

No. 2 Houston Rockets (52-30, 23-17 Away) face No. 7 Golden State Warriors (48-34, 24-17 at Home) in this NBA Playoffs first round game at Chase Center. The Warriors lead the series 2-1.

Get with the Warriors with a -3.5 spread. We’re backing the favorites at -112 to enjoy a solid victory when they go head to head with the Rockets.

When Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors met on Saturday night, the Warriors claimed a 104-93 win at Chase Center.

Stephen Curry led the way for the Warriors with 36 points, while Buddy Hield and Gary Payton II had 17 and 16. For the Rockets, Fred VanVleet managed 17 points, Alperen Sengun recorded 15 points and 11 rebounds, with Dillon Brooks scoring 13 points.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved the Warriors winning seven times.

NBA Reg. Season	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	16	6	0.727	120.6	110.4	10.2	8-2	8-4	2-2	9-5	7-3	1W
Warriors	13	13	0.5	113.7	112.3	1.4	7-4	6-9	3-1	10-8	4-6	1L

View Full Standings

The Rockets have 4 wins and 6 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 109.6 points, 47.9 rebounds, 24.3 assists, 7.5 steals and 4.9 blocks while shooting 46.0% from the field and 67.4% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 110.9 points and 40.9 rebounds per contest.

Jalen Green is averaging 15.4 points and 2.2 (35.5%) 3-pointers made. Alperen Sengun averages 7.8 rebounds and Amen Thompson 4.0 assists.

The Warriors have won 6 and lost 4 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 109.4 points, 40.7 rebounds, 26.7 assists, 11.7 steals and 3.8 blocks per game while shooting 45.3% from the field and 78.9% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 103.2 points and 46.5 rebounds.

Stephen Curry is averaging 26.8 points, 5.5 rebounds, 5.8 assists and 4.5 (41.3%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Houston Rockets lineup: Amen Thompson, Jalen Green, Fred VanVleet, Dillon Brooks, Alperen Sengun.

Golden State Warriors lineup: Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, Jimmy Butler, Draymond Green, Stephen Curry.

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Picks

Our pick is that Warriors are going to cover the -3.5 on the spread. You can get -112 that there’s a bigger margin of victory in this NBA showdown.

It's important to understand the players who are unavailable for the upcoming action and the respective form of each franchise. If you want stats, you have come to the right place and they form the basis of our NBA picks.

Key Rockets vs Warriors stats:

• The -3.5 line has been covered by Warriors in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by Warriors in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by Warriors in 2 consecutive games at home.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Rockets in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Rockets in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Rockets in 3 consecutive games on the road.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by Warriors in 7 of their last 10 games against Rockets.

Warriors -3.5 Probability

According to the sportsbooks, there’s a 52.9% likelihood of our pick landing a return. However, we have this number closer to 60% based on our in-depth research. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

If you’re looking for a bigger potential return on your stake, there is always the option to move the line. Consider the odds and whether each line can be covered.

Our Game Prediction

Warriors -3.5 @ -112 Bet Now

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Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jalen Green Under 17.5 Points -106

Jalen Green (Rockets) has totaled an average of 10.2 points in the past 5 games on the road. His Player Points might once again fall below the line, with this bet offering plenty of appeal and you can back -106.

Latest Jalen Green Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 18.5

-118

Under 18.5

-114

Assists

Over 3.5

+105

Under 3.5

-139

Rebounds

Over 4.5

-135

Under 4.5

+102

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Jimmy Butler Over 20.5 Points -106

Jimmy Butler (Warriors) has an average of 27.25 points in the past 4 games at home. We are therefore going to choose a Player Points prop bet at odds of -106 which will hopefully see this him cover the line.

Latest Jimmy Butler Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 19.5

-122

Under 19.5

-109

Assists

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-133

Rebounds

Over 5.5

-127

Under 5.5

-105

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Correct Score Prediction

Rockets 100 - 106 Warriors

If you want to achieve a big return from your stake, then it’s worth checking out the correct score lines. The Warriors to claim a 106-100 victory is available at huge odds.

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The sportsbooks have Golden State Warriors at -175 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the favorites are 64% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. The market suggests that Houston Rockets are least likely to win at +148.

The current spread is 4 and total points is 203.5. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you're keen on Over 203.5, this selection is available at -110.

There are a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to wagering on this fantastic league and we recommend visiting the top betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the game.

Moneyline

Rockets

+148

Warriors

-175

Point Spread

Rockets +4

-110

Warriors -4

-110

Total Points

Under 203.5

-110

Over 203.5

-110

The favorite to land the most baskets is Stephen Curry. Odds of -120 can be found for him scoring Over 26.5 points and there is -110 for him to go Under.

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 26.5

-120

Under 26.5

-110

Jimmy Butler (Warriors)

Over 19.5

-122

Under 19.5

-109

Alperen Sengun (Rockets)

Over 18.5

-120

Under 18.5

-112

Jalen Green (Rockets)

Over 18.5

-118

Under 18.5

-114

Fred VanVleet (Rockets)

Over 13.5

-115

Under 13.5

-115

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

Over 12.5

-115

Under 12.5

-115

Dillon Brooks (Rockets)

Over 12.5

-105

Under 12.5

-127

Amen Thompson (Rockets)

Over 11.5

-128

Under 11.5

-104

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 8.5

-132

Under 8.5

-100

Jabari Smith Jr (Rockets)

Over 8.5

-128

Under 8.5

-104

Tari Eason (Rockets)

Over 8.5

-120

Under 8.5

-110

Moses Moody (Warriors)

Over 7.5

-122

Under 7.5

-109

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 5.5

-125

Under 5.5

-108

Jimmy Butler (Warriors)

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-133

Alperen Sengun (Rockets)

Over 4.5

+117

Under 4.5

-156

Fred VanVleet (Rockets)

Over 4.5

+106

Under 4.5

-141

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 4.5

-123

Under 4.5

-108

Jalen Green (Rockets)

Over 3.5

+105

Under 3.5

-139

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

Over 3.5

+115

Under 3.5

-154

Amen Thompson (Rockets)

Over 3.5

-167

Under 3.5

+125

Dillon Brooks (Rockets)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-189

Alperen Sengun (Rockets)

Over 11.5

-104

Under 11.5

-128

Amen Thompson (Rockets)

Over 7.5

+112

Under 7.5

-147

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 6.5

-112

Under 6.5

-120

Jimmy Butler (Warriors)

Over 5.5

-127

Under 5.5

-105

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

Over 5.5

-114

Under 5.5

-118

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 4.5

-141

Under 4.5

+106

Jalen Green (Rockets)

Over 4.5

-135

Under 4.5

+102

Fred VanVleet (Rockets)

Over 3.5

+114

Under 3.5

-152

Dillon Brooks (Rockets)

Over 3.5

-103

Under 3.5

-130

Moses Moody (Warriors)

Over 2.5

+104

Under 2.5

-139

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, basketball micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to wager on the Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Houston Rockets Stats

Golden State Warriors Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +2 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +2 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -2 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -2 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 229.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 230.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 224.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 224.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 119.50 pts and allowed 109.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 119.60 pts and allowed 110.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 229.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 226.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 224.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 224.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 114.40 pts and allowed 114.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 116.90 pts and allowed 109.60 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 32.50 (51%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.20 (40%)
• Free Throws Made: 17.90 (79.2%)
• Rebounds: Total 49.4, Offensive 17.20, Defensive 32.20
• Assists: 24.80
• Blocks: 4.30
• Steals: 9.70
• Turnovers : 14.20
• Personal Fouls: 20.90

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.30 (52%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.40 (43%)
• Free Throws Made: 21.90 (77.66%)
• Rebounds: Total 48.1, Offensive 14.90, Defensive 33.20
• Assists: 25.20
• Blocks: 5.30
• Steals: 9.00
• Turnovers : 16.20
• Personal Fouls: 20.20

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 23.10 (54%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 16.10 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.90 (80.24%)
• Rebounds: Total 43.4, Offensive 12.40, Defensive 31.00
• Assists: 26.80
• Blocks: 4.70
• Steals: 11.10
• Turnovers : 15.40
• Personal Fouls: 20.00

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 25.70 (55%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 15.40 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.10 (79.58%)
• Rebounds: Total 41.1, Offensive 11.00, Defensive 30.10
• Assists: 27.60
• Blocks: 4.40
• Steals: 9.60
• Turnovers : 13.00
• Personal Fouls: 20.70

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors Confirmed Lineup

2 Brandin Podziemski

7 Buddy Hield

10 Jimmy Butler

23 Draymond Green

30 Stephen Curry

Houston Rockets Confirmed Lineup

1 Amen Thompson

4 Jalen Green

5 Fred VanVleet

9 Dillon Brooks

28 Alperen Sengun

NBA Regular Season Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Knicks	18	7	0.72	121	112.2	8.8	13-1	5-6	5-1	14-7	9-1	5W
Celtics	15	10	0.6	116.6	110.8	5.8	8-4	7-6	4-4	11-7	7-3	1L
76ers	14	10	0.583	116.8	115.7	1.1	8-7	6-3	5-2	12-9	6-4	1W
Raptors	15	11	0.577	115.8	113.9	1.9	8-6	7-5	3-4	13-7	4-6	4L
Nets	6	18	0.25	109.5	117.3	-7.8	2-10	4-8	1-7	5-13	4-6	1L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	20	5	0.8	119.6	113.3	6.3	12-2	8-3	5-3	15-5	7-3	3W
Cavaliers	15	11	0.577	119	115.8	3.2	9-6	6-5	6-0	12-8	5-5	1W
Bucks	11	15	0.423	115.1	117.3	-2.2	8-7	3-8	3-4	9-11	3-7	1W
Bulls	10	14	0.417	117.8	122.7	-4.9	6-5	4-9	1-5	7-10	2-8	1W
Pacers	6	19	0.24	111	118.7	-7.7	5-8	1-11	2-5	4-10	4-6	1L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Magic	15	11	0.577	117.9	114.1	3.8	10-5	5-6	5-2	12-9	6-4	1L
Heat	14	11	0.56	121.7	118.2	3.5	10-3	4-8	2-3	8-6	5-5	4L
Hawks	14	12	0.538	117.9	117.5	0.4	4-6	10-6	4-1	8-8	5-5	1L
Hornets	7	18	0.28	114.7	118.7	-4	5-8	2-10	1-4	6-12	3-7	2L
Wizards	3	20	0.13	113	128.3	-15.3	2-9	1-11	1-3	2-16	2-8	4L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	24	2	0.923	123	106.3	16.7	12-1	12-1	5-1	20-2	9-1	1L
Nuggets	18	6	0.75	125.5	115.9	9.6	6-4	12-2	2-1	13-5	7-3	4W
Timberwolves	16	9	0.64	119.9	115	4.9	8-4	8-5	3-3	11-8	6-4	1W
Jazz	9	15	0.375	118.1	125.8	-7.7	6-7	3-8	0-5	5-11	4-6	1W
Trail Blazers	9	16	0.36	117.5	121.5	-4	3-6	6-10	3-3	7-11	3-7	3L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	17	7	0.708	118.3	116.8	1.5	7-4	10-3	2-2	12-5	7-3	1L
Suns	14	11	0.56	114.8	114.4	0.4	8-4	6-7	5-2	13-10	5-5	1L
Warriors	13	13	0.5	113.7	112.3	1.4	7-4	6-9	3-1	10-8	4-6	1L
Kings	6	19	0.24	111.2	122.6	-11.4	3-8	3-11	1-3	4-16	3-7	2L
Clippers	6	19	0.24	111.6	116.7	-5.1	3-7	3-12	1-4	4-12	2-8	3L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	16	6	0.727	120.6	110.4	10.2	8-2	8-4	2-2	9-5	7-3	1W
Spurs	18	7	0.72	119.7	115.1	4.6	9-2	9-5	7-0	12-6	7-3	3W
Grizzlies	11	14	0.44	114.1	115.9	-1.8	6-7	5-7	4-3	10-8	7-3	1L
Mavericks	10	16	0.385	112.1	115.9	-3.8	7-9	3-7	2-5	5-11	6-4	2W
Pelicans	4	22	0.154	114.2	123.5	-9.3	3-12	1-10	1-6	2-19	2-8	1W

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	20	5	0.8	119.6	113.3	6.3	12-2	8-3	5-3	15-5	7-3	3W
Knicks	18	7	0.72	121	112.2	8.8	13-1	5-6	5-1	14-7	9-1	5W
Celtics	15	10	0.6	116.6	110.8	5.8	8-4	7-6	4-4	11-7	7-3	1L
76ers	14	10	0.583	116.8	115.7	1.1	8-7	6-3	5-2	12-9	6-4	1W
Raptors	15	11	0.577	115.8	113.9	1.9	8-6	7-5	3-4	13-7	4-6	4L
Cavaliers	15	11	0.577	119	115.8	3.2	9-6	6-5	6-0	12-8	5-5	1W
Magic	15	11	0.577	117.9	114.1	3.8	10-5	5-6	5-2	12-9	6-4	1L
Heat	14	11	0.56	121.7	118.2	3.5	10-3	4-8	2-3	8-6	5-5	4L
Hawks	14	12	0.538	117.9	117.5	0.4	4-6	10-6	4-1	8-8	5-5	1L
Bucks	11	15	0.423	115.1	117.3	-2.2	8-7	3-8	3-4	9-11	3-7	1W
Bulls	10	14	0.417	117.8	122.7	-4.9	6-5	4-9	1-5	7-10	2-8	1W
Hornets	7	18	0.28	114.7	118.7	-4	5-8	2-10	1-4	6-12	3-7	2L
Nets	6	18	0.25	109.5	117.3	-7.8	2-10	4-8	1-7	5-13	4-6	1L
Pacers	6	19	0.24	111	118.7	-7.7	5-8	1-11	2-5	4-10	4-6	1L
Wizards	3	20	0.13	113	128.3	-15.3	2-9	1-11	1-3	2-16	2-8	4L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	24	2	0.923	123	106.3	16.7	12-1	12-1	5-1	20-2	9-1	1L
Nuggets	18	6	0.75	125.5	115.9	9.6	6-4	12-2	2-1	13-5	7-3	4W
Rockets	16	6	0.727	120.6	110.4	10.2	8-2	8-4	2-2	9-5	7-3	1W
Spurs	18	7	0.72	119.7	115.1	4.6	9-2	9-5	7-0	12-6	7-3	3W
Lakers	17	7	0.708	118.3	116.8	1.5	7-4	10-3	2-2	12-5	7-3	1L
Timberwolves	16	9	0.64	119.9	115	4.9	8-4	8-5	3-3	11-8	6-4	1W
Suns	14	11	0.56	114.8	114.4	0.4	8-4	6-7	5-2	13-10	5-5	1L
Warriors	13	13	0.5	113.7	112.3	1.4	7-4	6-9	3-1	10-8	4-6	1L
Grizzlies	11	14	0.44	114.1	115.9	-1.8	6-7	5-7	4-3	10-8	7-3	1L
Mavericks	10	16	0.385	112.1	115.9	-3.8	7-9	3-7	2-5	5-11	6-4	2W
Jazz	9	15	0.375	118.1	125.8	-7.7	6-7	3-8	0-5	5-11	4-6	1W
Trail Blazers	9	16	0.36	117.5	121.5	-4	3-6	6-10	3-3	7-11	3-7	3L
Kings	6	19	0.24	111.2	122.6	-11.4	3-8	3-11	1-3	4-16	3-7	2L
Clippers	6	19	0.24	111.6	116.7	-5.1	3-7	3-12	1-4	4-12	2-8	3L
Pelicans	4	22	0.154	114.2	123.5	-9.3	3-12	1-10	1-6	2-19	2-8	1W

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	24	2	0.923	123	106.3	16.7	12-1	12-1	5-1	20-2	9-1	1L
Pistons	20	5	0.8	119.6	113.3	6.3	12-2	8-3	5-3	15-5	7-3	3W
Nuggets	18	6	0.75	125.5	115.9	9.6	6-4	12-2	2-1	13-5	7-3	4W
Rockets	16	6	0.727	120.6	110.4	10.2	8-2	8-4	2-2	9-5	7-3	1W
Knicks	18	7	0.72	121	112.2	8.8	13-1	5-6	5-1	14-7	9-1	5W
Spurs	18	7	0.72	119.7	115.1	4.6	9-2	9-5	7-0	12-6	7-3	3W
Lakers	17	7	0.708	118.3	116.8	1.5	7-4	10-3	2-2	12-5	7-3	1L
Timberwolves	16	9	0.64	119.9	115	4.9	8-4	8-5	3-3	11-8	6-4	1W
Celtics	15	10	0.6	116.6	110.8	5.8	8-4	7-6	4-4	11-7	7-3	1L
76ers	14	10	0.583	116.8	115.7	1.1	8-7	6-3	5-2	12-9	6-4	1W
Cavaliers	15	11	0.577	119	115.8	3.2	9-6	6-5	6-0	12-8	5-5	1W
Magic	15	11	0.577	117.9	114.1	3.8	10-5	5-6	5-2	12-9	6-4	1L
Raptors	15	11	0.577	115.8	113.9	1.9	8-6	7-5	3-4	13-7	4-6	4L
Heat	14	11	0.56	121.7	118.2	3.5	10-3	4-8	2-3	8-6	5-5	4L
Suns	14	11	0.56	114.8	114.4	0.4	8-4	6-7	5-2	13-10	5-5	1L
Hawks	14	12	0.538	117.9	117.5	0.4	4-6	10-6	4-1	8-8	5-5	1L
Warriors	13	13	0.5	113.7	112.3	1.4	7-4	6-9	3-1	10-8	4-6	1L
Grizzlies	11	14	0.44	114.1	115.9	-1.8	6-7	5-7	4-3	10-8	7-3	1L
Bucks	11	15	0.423	115.1	117.3	-2.2	8-7	3-8	3-4	9-11	3-7	1W
Bulls	10	14	0.417	117.8	122.7	-4.9	6-5	4-9	1-5	7-10	2-8	1W
Mavericks	10	16	0.385	112.1	115.9	-3.8	7-9	3-7	2-5	5-11	6-4	2W
Jazz	9	15	0.375	118.1	125.8	-7.7	6-7	3-8	0-5	5-11	4-6	1W
Trail Blazers	9	16	0.36	117.5	121.5	-4	3-6	6-10	3-3	7-11	3-7	3L
Hornets	7	18	0.28	114.7	118.7	-4	5-8	2-10	1-4	6-12	3-7	2L
Nets	6	18	0.25	109.5	117.3	-7.8	2-10	4-8	1-7	5-13	4-6	1L
Pacers	6	19	0.24	111	118.7	-7.7	5-8	1-11	2-5	4-10	4-6	1L
Clippers	6	19	0.24	111.6	116.7	-5.1	3-7	3-12	1-4	4-12	2-8	3L
Kings	6	19	0.24	111.2	122.6	-11.4	3-8	3-11	1-3	4-16	3-7	2L
Pelicans	4	22	0.154	114.2	123.5	-9.3	3-12	1-10	1-6	2-19	2-8	1W
Wizards	3	20	0.13	113	128.3	-15.3	2-9	1-11	1-3	2-16	2-8	4L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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