Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Oct 2025

NBA Betting Preview: Rockets vs Thunder

The Houston Rockets take on the defending NBA champions Oklahoma City Thunder at Paycom Center, with tip-off scheduled for 19:30 on Tuesday, October 21. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and the official starting lineups.

Get Under 227.5 as the Value Bet

The Rockets and the Thunder are unlikely to reach the 227.5 points line in our opinion. Therefore, chance an Under bet at -115 and hope the teams don’t reach that number.

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Rockets Overcame Thunder in Previous Clash

The Houston Rockets were beaten in their last outing, falling 103–89 to the Golden State Warriors at the Toyota Center in Game 7 of the first round of the playoffs. Amen Thompson scored 24 points, with Alperen Sengun getting 21 and Fred VanVleet 17.

The Oklahoma City Thunder were crowned NBA champions in their last game, defeating the Indiana Pacers 103–91 in Game 7 of the NBA Finals at the Paycom Center. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander recorded 29 points and 12 assists, with Jalen Williams scoring 20 points and Chet Holmgren 18.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 125-111 win for the Rockets at Toyota Center when they last played the Thunder. The past 10 games between the teams have seen the Thunder win six times.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

View Full Standings

3 wins and 7 losses in the past 10 games. The Rockets are averaging 106.5 points, 44.6 rebounds, 21.5 assists, 7.5 steals and 4.9 blocks while shooting 45.4% from the field and 69.9% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 112.8 points and 40.9 rebounds per matchup.

Alperen Sengun is averaging 16.0 points, 8.8 rebounds and 4.1 assists, while Fred VanVleet averages 3.0 (42.9%) 3-pointers made.

The Thunder have won 6 and lost 4 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 111.8 points, 40.6 rebounds, 19.0 assists, 10.8 steals and 5.7 blocks per game while shooting 45.1% from the field and 82.6% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 110.9 points and 43.1 rebounds.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 30.0 points and 6.3 assists, while Chet Holmgren has an average of 8.1 rebounds and Luguentz Dort 2.4 (43.6%) 3-pointers made.

Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Picks

Be fully equipped for Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder with our betting guide, offering a key match prediction, a correct score recommendation, top player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

We’re going for a modest total for this upcoming NBA matchup. Under 227.5 points could be on the money and our pick is currently available at odds of -115.

Injuries can influence the outcome and our NBA handicappers factor that in alongside the latest form guide. We apply the same approach to the stats to build the clearest picture of how the game might unfold.

Key Rockets vs Thunder stats:

• The 227.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Rockets games.
• The 227.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Rockets games.
• The 227.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Rockets games on the road.
• The 227.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Thunder games.
• The 227.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Thunder games at home.
• The 227.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Thunder games.

Under 227.5 Probability

According to the best NBA sportsbooks, our pick has a 53.5% chance of delivering a return. However, our analysts have this number closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

If you’re wanting to bet Under on the Totals, then you can aim for bigger odds. In order to do this, you simply move the line to where you feel a winning return can still be found.

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Best Bet

Under 227.5 Points @ -115 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Aaron Wiggins Under 11.5 Points -105

Aaron Wiggins (Thunder) has an average of 4 points in the past 5 games. This is a telling statistic and we’re happy to back him to fall short of the line once again, with odds of -105 available.

Latest Aaron Wiggins Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 11.5

-123

Under 11.5

-105

Rebounds

Over 3.5

+103

Under 3.5

-133

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Jalen Williams Over 3.5 Rebounds -161

Jalen Williams (Thunder) has had Over 3.5 rebounds in 5 straight home games. We’re expecting history to repeat itself and for him to cover the Player Rebounds line at -161.

Latest Jalen Williams Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 20.5

-114

Under 20.5

-114

Assists

Over 4.5

-109

Under 4.5

-119

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-161

Under 3.5

+120

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Correct Score Prediction

Rockets 106 - 115 Thunder

There are lots of different betting angles including the chance to back the Thunder on the correct score lines. For example, a 115-106 win in their favor is available at massive odds.

Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Make Thunder Moneyline Favorites

Oklahoma City Thunder are regarded as having a 75% chance of winning this NBA game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -294. Houston Rockets are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +235.

The spread is calculated to be 7, while total points comes in at 227.5. There are many ways to wager on basketball including the Totals. If you want to bet Under 227.5, there are odds of -115.

There are a wide range of team props and game lines when it comes to wagering on this exciting league and we recommend visiting the best basketball sportsbooks to find the wager that matches your view on the contest.

Moneyline

Rockets

+235

Thunder

-294

Point Spread

Rockets +7

-110

Thunder -7

-110

Total Points

Under 227.5

-115

Over 227.5

-105

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can back -118 that he gets Over 31.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -114.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 31.5

-118

Under 31.5

-114

Kevin Durant (Rockets)

Over 23.5

-118

Under 23.5

-114

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 20.5

-114

Under 20.5

-114

Alperen Sengun (Rockets)

Over 18.5

-104

Under 18.5

-128

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 16.5

-110

Under 16.5

-120

Amen Thompson (Rockets)

Over 15.5

-108

Under 15.5

-123

Jabari Smith Jr (Rockets)

Over 12.5

-106

Under 12.5

-127

Aaron Wiggins (Thunder)

Over 11.5

-123

Under 11.5

-105

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 10.5

-125

Under 10.5

-108

Tari Eason (Rockets)

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-108

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 9.5

-112

Under 9.5

-120

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 9.5

-103

Under 9.5

-125

Reed Sheppard (Rockets)

Over 8.5

-118

Under 8.5

-114

Isaiah Joe (Thunder)

Over 8.5

-112

Under 8.5

-115

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 7.5

-135

Under 7.5

+104

Steven Adams (Rockets)

Over 5.5

-125

Under 5.5

-103

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 6.5

-103

Under 6.5

-130

Alperen Sengun (Rockets)

Over 5.5

-147

Under 5.5

+110

Amen Thompson (Rockets)

Over 5.5

+114

Under 5.5

-152

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 4.5

-109

Under 4.5

-119

Kevin Durant (Rockets)

Over 3.5

-132

Under 3.5

-100

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-159

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 2.5

-120

Under 2.5

-108

Reed Sheppard (Rockets)

Over 2.5

-108

Under 2.5

-122

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 2.5

+106

Under 2.5

-137

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-145

Jabari Smith Jr (Rockets)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-208

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-208

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 8.5

-127

Under 8.5

-106

Alperen Sengun (Rockets)

Over 8.5

-143

Under 8.5

+107

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 7.5

+104

Under 7.5

-139

Amen Thompson (Rockets)

Over 7.5

+110

Under 7.5

-147

Steven Adams (Rockets)

Over 7.5

+109

Under 7.5

-141

Jabari Smith Jr (Rockets)

Over 6.5

+107

Under 6.5

-141

Tari Eason (Rockets)

Over 5.5

+112

Under 5.5

-145

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 4.5

-105

Under 4.5

-127

Kevin Durant (Rockets)

Over 4.5

-132

Under 4.5

-100

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 3.5

-161

Under 3.5

+120

Aaron Wiggins (Thunder)

Over 3.5

+103

Under 3.5

-133

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 3.5

-120

Under 3.5

-110

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 2.5

-161

Under 2.5

+124

Reed Sheppard (Rockets)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-156

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-103

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Houston Rockets Stats

Oklahoma City Thunder Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +7 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +7 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -7 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -7 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 219.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 222.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 227.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 227.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 106.50 pts and allowed 112.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 111.50 pts and allowed 111.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 222.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 220.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 227.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 227.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 111.80 pts and allowed 110.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 119.80 pts and allowed 100.70 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 26.40 (50%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.40 (38%)
• Free Throws Made: 16.50 (69.92%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.6, Offensive 12.40, Defensive 32.20
• Assists: 21.50
• Blocks: 4.90
• Steals: 7.50
• Turnovers : 12.80
• Personal Fouls: 17.90

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.10 (51%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.60 (41%)
• Free Throws Made: 14.50 (65.61%)
• Rebounds: Total 45.3, Offensive 12.50, Defensive 32.80
• Assists: 23.50
• Blocks: 5.10
• Steals: 9.40
• Turnovers : 13.20
• Personal Fouls: 16.50

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 27.30 (51%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 11.50 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 22.70 (82.55%)
• Rebounds: Total 40.6, Offensive 10.90, Defensive 29.70
• Assists: 19.00
• Blocks: 5.70
• Steals: 10.80
• Turnovers : 13.00
• Personal Fouls: 21.40

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.00 (54%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.40 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 22.60 (82.48%)
• Rebounds: Total 43.2, Offensive 10.90, Defensive 32.30
• Assists: 24.70
• Blocks: 6.10
• Steals: 12.40
• Turnovers : 10.10
• Personal Fouls: 20.90

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak