Illawarra Hawks vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 28 Feb 2025

Hawks to Cover the Spread?

Our prediction is for Illawarra to cover the attractive -7 line when they play South East Melbourne. The favorites should be able to triumph by a more comfortable margin and -114 is available on the spread.

Phoenix Came Out on Top in Previous H2H

Illawarra Hawks won their last game, beating Sydney Kings at home by a 95-75 scoreline.

South East Melbourne Phoenix previous game saw them claim a 85-75 home win over Adelaide 36ers.

Head-to-Head Statistics

South East Melbourne have landed back-to-back wins against Illawarra. A home encounter saw them win 103-100 and they triumphed 110-105 on the road. The past 10 H2H games have seen Illawarra land six wins.

NBL	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Illawarra Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
8  SEM Phoenix	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-

View Full Standings

Illawarra Hawks vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Prediction & Betting Tips

Illawarra really stand out in this NBL matchup. Back the betting favorites at -7 on the spread with the confidence that they cover the line at -114.

The NBL picks are only provided once we have a handle on the team news and the latest form guide. We are also on point when it comes to the most valuable stats.

Key Illawarra vs South East Melbourne league stats:

• The -7 line has been covered by Illawarra in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -7 line has been covered by Illawarra in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -7 line has been covered by Illawarra in 4 consecutive games at home.
• The +7 line hasn’t been covered by SEM Phoenix in 11 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The +7 line hasn’t been covered by SEM Phoenix in 2 consecutive games on the road.

Hawks -7 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 53.2% chance of landing a return. Based on our analysts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this basketball bet.

A Bet Builder provides you with the opportunity to combine Illawarra on the spread with other picks. For every additional selection, the odds are boosted.

Best Bet

Illawarra -7 @ -114 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Matthew Hurt Under 7.5 Rebounds -139

Matthew Hurt (South East Melbourne) can be wagered to record Under 7.5 rebounds at -139. There’s every chance that he will go Under as we’re confident he’ll fail to cover the Player Rebounds line.

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Sam Froling Over 14.5 Points -115

Sam Froling (Illawarra) can be wagered to register Over 14.5 points at -115. We’ll place a bet that he is able to cover an appealing total for this Player Points wager.

Correct Score Prediction

Illawarra Hawks 106 - 95 SEM Phoenix

Rather than betting on Illawarra Hawks to win, there’s the option to try your luck when it comes to the correct score lines. Take a chance on a 106-95 triumph in their favor.

Illawarra Hawks vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Hawks Trading at Shorter Odds Than Phoenix

Illawarra Hawks have the shortest price to win this NBL game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 75% probability due to their -294 Moneyline betting odds. South East Melbourne Phoenix are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +225.

The spread currently stands at 7 and the total points line is 196.5. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you're keen on Over 196.5, this selection is available at -111.

If you’re wagering on the National Basketball League, we recommend heading to the betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of game lines and team props. There’s a chance to bet pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Illawarra

-294

SEM Phoenix

+225

Point Spread

Illawarra -7

-111

SEM Phoenix +7

-111

Total Points

Under 196.5

-111

Over 196.5

-111

Matthew Hurt Favorite to Score the Most Points

In terms of hitting the most buckets, favorite Matthew Hurt is available at -125 to rack up Over 19.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -105 is available.

Matthew Hurt (SEM Phoenix)

Over 19.5

-125

Under 19.5

-105

Nathan Sobey (SEM Phoenix)

Over 19.5

-100

Under 19.5

-133

Tyler Harvey (Illawarra)

Over 18.5

-125

Under 18.5

-105

Trey Kell (Illawarra)

Over 18.5

-105

Under 18.5

-125

Sam Froling (Illawarra)

Over 14.5

-115

Under 14.5

-115

Derrick Walton Jr. (SEM Phoenix)

Over 14.5

-115

Under 14.5

-115

Darius Days (Illawarra)

Over 11.5

-115

Under 11.5

-115

Joe Wieskamp (SEM Phoenix)

Over 9.5

-125

Under 9.5

-105

William Hickey (Illawarra)

Over 9.5

-115

Under 9.5

-115

Jordan Hunter (SEM Phoenix)

Over 9.5

-115

Under 9.5

-115

Derrick Walton Jr. (SEM Phoenix)

Over 5.5

-139

Under 5.5

+105

Nathan Sobey (SEM Phoenix)

Over 4.5

+115

Under 4.5

-154

Trey Kell (Illawarra)

Over 4.5

+120

Under 4.5

-159

Tyler Harvey (Illawarra)

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-133

Matthew Hurt (SEM Phoenix)

Over 7.5

+105

Under 7.5

-139

Sam Froling (Illawarra)

Over 6.5

-133

Under 6.5

-100

Jordan Hunter (SEM Phoenix)

Over 6.5

-125

Under 6.5

-105

Trey Kell (Illawarra)

Over 4.5

-118

Under 4.5

-111

Micro Betting

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to NBL micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Field Goal. Check out the live player, score and team props to see if you can find an angle.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest 0 regular season and play-off games stats.

Illawarra Hawks Stats

SEM Phoenix Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 191.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 198.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 194.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 194.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 101.60 pts and allowed 90.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 107.00 pts and allowed 91.20 pts in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 195.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 205.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 194.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 194.5 on the Road: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 99.20 pts and allowed 96.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 101.20 pts and allowed 104.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

NBL Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/20201997

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Adelaide 36ers	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
2  Brisbane Bullets	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
3  Cairns Taipans	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
4  Illawarra Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
5  Melbourne United	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
6  NZ Breakers	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
7  Perth Wildcats	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
8  SEM Phoenix	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
9  Sydney Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
10  JackJumpers	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-