Boise State vs South Florida Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Aug 2025
College Football Betting Preview: Boise State vs South Florida
Boise State meet South Florida in this NCAAF Week 1 matchup at Raymond James Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 17:30 on Thursday, August 28. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.
Under 62.5 points looks like an attractive total wager. South Florida and Boise State might not be able to reach this combined amount and we can profit with this pick at -105.
Boise State Broncos were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to Penn State Nittany Lions by a 31-14 scoreline at State Farm Stadium.
South Florida got the win in their last game. A 41-39 triumph occurred at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex when meeting San Jose State Spartans.
Quarterbacks
Maddux Madsen
Byrum Brown
Boise State vs South Florida Prediction & Picks
Our Boise State vs South Florida preview includes expert betting advice on all fronts — from a match prediction and correct score guidance to player prop selections and a bet builder tailored for value.
Game Prediction
In our opinion, the teams are unlikely to reach the 62.5 points line. Therefore, chance an Under bet at -105 and hope the number isn’t reached in this college football showdown.
The CFB handicappers at Sportsgambler.com start by analyzing recent form and staying on top of injury news before making any picks. From there, we interpret the story the stats are telling to help shape our predictions.
Key Boise State vs South Florida stats:
Under 62.5 Probability
The top betting apps are suggesting that our pick has a 51.3% chance of delivering a return. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.
The sportsbooks will allow you to shoot for bigger odds on your Under bet. By moving the line and going for a lower Total, there’s the chance to get more juice.
Before placing your next bet, explore our trusted bonus guide featuring top free bets and generous sign-up offers.
Player Prop Picks
Maddux Madsen (Boise) can be backed at -114 to finish with fewer than 225.5 passing yards. It’s reasonable to expect he may fall short, making the QB Passing Yards line appealing.
You can place a bet on Keshaun Singleton (South Florida) at -114 to have less than 54.5 receiving yards. We’re confident he’ll fall short of the Player Receiving Yards line, as the total looks too high.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve got a same game parlay with three options: Under 62.5 points, Boise State -5.5 and Maddux Madsen (Boise State) to have Under 225.5 passing yards.
Many betting sites now allow you to place a same game parlay on each individual football game. It means that you can create a personalised wager at bigger odds, with there generally being no limit as to the number of picks.
Correct Score Prediction
34
-
20
South Florida
There are stacks of correct score lines available and we’re looking at Boise State to achieve a winning scoreline of 34-20 where a massive potential return is on the cards.
Boise State vs South Florida Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Boise State have the shortest price to win this college game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 67% probability due to their -200 Moneyline betting odds. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, South Florida are trading at +164.
5.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 61.5 right now. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. Those expecting a low total can back Under 61.5 at -110.
The good news is that you can access a wide range of team props and game lines for most college football clashes. The top betting sites offer a great selection of pre-game and in-game wagering options.
There is -233 available that Sire Gaines scores a touchdown anytime. If you’re interested in the favorite to score the first TD, then you are able to secure +450.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with college football fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, player and team props. Sometimes these are two-way lines where you can bet on the Next Play or Next Drive.
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Boise State Broncos Stats
South Florida Stats
- 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- -5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road
- +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- +5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 52.70 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 60.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 62.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
- Over 62.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 33.10 pts and allowed 19.60 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 35.50 pts and allowed 24.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 62.30 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 58.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 62.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 62.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 30.50 pts and allowed 31.80 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 30.20 pts and allowed 27.90 pts in the last 10 home games
| American Athletic | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tulane
|
11 | 2 | 378 | 294 | 84 | 7-0 | 4-2 | 5W |
North Texas
|
11 | 2 | 582 | 324 | 258 | 6-1 | 5-1 | 1L |
Navy
|
10 | 2 | 374 | 312 | 62 | 7-0 | 3-2 | 3W |
|
South Florida
|
9 | 3 | 516 | 280 | 236 | 6-0 | 3-3 | 2W |
East Carolina
|
8 | 4 | 402 | 244 | 158 | 5-1 | 3-3 | 1W |
Memphis
|
8 | 4 | 415 | 270 | 145 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 3L |
Army
|
6 | 6 | 269 | 265 | 4 | 2-3 | 4-3 | 1L |
UTSA
|
6 | 6 | 405 | 355 | 50 | 4-2 | 2-4 | 1L |
Temple
|
5 | 7 | 334 | 356 | -22 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 4L |
Rice
|
5 | 7 | 238 | 387 | -149 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2L |
Florida Atlantic
|
4 | 8 | 354 | 436 | -82 | 3-3 | 1-5 | 3L |
UAB
|
4 | 8 | 317 | 459 | -142 | 3-3 | 1-5 | 1W |
Tulsa
|
4 | 8 | 278 | 347 | -69 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1L |
Charlotte
|
1 | 11 | 172 | 436 | -264 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 9L |
| Mountain West | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UNLV
|
10 | 3 | 467 | 375 | 92 | 5-1 | 5-2 | 1L |
New Mexico
|
9 | 3 | 335 | 270 | 65 | 6-0 | 3-3 | 6W |
San Diego State
|
9 | 3 | 296 | 151 | 145 | 6-0 | 3-3 | 1L |
|
Boise State
|
9 | 4 | 408 | 299 | 109 | 6-1 | 3-3 | 3W |
Fresno State
|
8 | 4 | 317 | 241 | 76 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 1W |
Hawaii
|
8 | 4 | 342 | 282 | 60 | 6-1 | 2-3 | 1W |
Utah State
|
6 | 6 | 381 | 339 | 42 | 5-1 | 1-5 | 1L |
Air Force
|
4 | 8 | 358 | 364 | -6 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1W |
Wyoming
|
4 | 8 | 192 | 246 | -54 | 3-3 | 1-5 | 4L |
Nevada
|
3 | 9 | 211 | 330 | -119 | 2-4 | 1-5 | 1L |
San Jose State
|
3 | 9 | 257 | 390 | -133 | 3-3 | 0-6 | 4L |
Colorado State
|
2 | 10 | 222 | 370 | -148 | 2-5 | 0-5 | 6L |
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