Illinois vs Michigan State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 07 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Illinois vs Michigan State

The Illinois Fighting Illini battle the Michigan State Spartans, with tip-off scheduled for 20:00 on Saturday, February 7.

Our betting prediction is that there will be home-court advantage when Michigan State play Illinois. You can currently get -118 about this happening which look like attractive odds.

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Illinois Fighting Illini previous game saw them claim a 84-44 home win over Northwestern Wildcats.

Michigan State Spartans lost on the road in their last game. Minnesota Golden Gophers won 76-73.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw Michigan State claim a 79-65 win over Illini. Michigan State have three straight victories against Illini. They have won 6 of the 10 previous head-to-head matchups.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Illinois	20-3	1946	1545	401	13-3	7-0	12W
Michigan State	19-4	1814	1493	321	13-2	6-2	2L

View Full Standings

Illinois vs Michigan State Prediction & Picks

This Illinois vs Michigan State betting breakdown features a main match prediction, a correct score insight, expert player prop picks and a sharply constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Game Prediction

There is a strong case that Michigan State will end up winning and that means heading to the Moneyline. You can get a juicy -118 that they win this college showdown.

The college basketball handicappers at Sportsgambler.com stay on top of injuries and team form that could impact the outcome. We also leave no stone unturned when analyzing the latest stats to support every prediction.

Key Illinois vs Michigan State stats:

• MSU have won 17 of their last 20 games at home.
• MSU have won 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• MSU have won the last 3 games between these teams.

Michigan State Moneyline Probability

The best betting apps make it a 54.1% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, we think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

A betting alternative to support Michigan State is the Double Result. You can get bigger odds by siding with them to lead at the halfway phase before running out winners.

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Our Game Prediction

Michigan State Moneyline @ -118 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (18:56, 07 February 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jaxon Kohler Over 12.5 Points -114

Jaxon Kohler (Michigan State) is available at -114 to register Over 12.5 points. He should be capable of going over the total which looks attractive when it comes to having a bet on Player Points.

Latest Jaxon Kohler Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 12.5

-114

Under 12.5

-114

Rebounds

Over 7.5

-112

Under 7.5

-115

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Coen Carr Over 11.5 Points -110

Coen Carr (Michigan State) can be backed to total Over 11.5 points at -110. We’ve found an opportunity to bet on Player Points where we’re able to back him to cover the line.

Latest Coen Carr Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 11.5

-110

Under 11.5

-118

Rebounds

Over 6.5

+186

Under 6.5

-250

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Illinois 72 - 77 Michigan State

For those looking to get more bang for their buck, consider a correct score wager on the Spartans. Backing them to win 77-72 means you can land a potential monster return.

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Illinois vs Michigan State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Michigan State are available at Moneyline odds of -118, while opponents Illinois can be backed at -102. The sportsbook traders give the road team a 51% probability of success.

1.5 is the spread and 143.5 is the total points line. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. If you want to back Over 143.5, it’s -106.

College hoops fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of team props and game lines which are available for every contest on the coupon. Head to the top basketball sportsbooks and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

Illinois

-102

MSU

-118

Point Spread

Illinois +1.5

-115

MSU -1.5

-105

Total Points

Under 143.5

-114

Over 143.5

-106

Keaton Wagler is favorite when it comes to getting the most points. You can get -103 that he goes Over 18.5 points and -125 when it comes to Under.

Keaton Wagler (Illinois)

Over 18.5

-103

Under 18.5

-125

Jeremy Fears Jr. (MSU)

Over 14.5

-103

Under 14.5

-125

Jaxon Kohler (MSU)

Over 12.5

-114

Under 12.5

-114

Andrej Stojakovic (Illinois)

Over 12.5

-110

Under 12.5

-118

Coen Carr (MSU)

Over 11.5

-110

Under 11.5

-118

David Mirkovic (Illinois)

Over 11.5

-109

Under 11.5

-119

Tomislav Ivisic (Illinois)

Over 9.5

-123

Under 9.5

-104

Jake Davis (Illinois)

Over 7.5

+110

Under 7.5

-143

Keaton Wagler (Illinois)

Over 4.5

-149

Under 4.5

+115

David Mirkovic (Illinois)

Over 2.5

+136

Under 2.5

-179

Jaxon Kohler (MSU)

Over 7.5

-112

Under 7.5

-115

Coen Carr (MSU)

Over 6.5

+186

Under 6.5

-250

David Mirkovic (Illinois)

Over 6.5

-147

Under 6.5

+113

Tomislav Ivisic (Illinois)

Over 6.5

-149

Under 6.5

+115

Andrej Stojakovic (Illinois)

Over 4.5

-149

Under 4.5

+115

An increasing number of bettors are now enjoying micro betting on college basketball and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Illinois Stats

Michigan State Stats

Moneyline

• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 145.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 152.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 143.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 143.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.90 pts and allowed 65.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 78.90 pts and allowed 74.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 140.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 147.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 143.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 143.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.40 pts and allowed 63.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 81.50 pts and allowed 66.20 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big Ten	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Michigan	21-1	2010	1516	494	14-1	7-0	7W
Nebraska	21-2	1839	1520	319	15-1	6-1	1W
Illinois	20-3	1946	1545	401	13-3	7-0	12W
Purdue	19-4	1908	1581	327	14-2	5-2	2W
Michigan State	19-4	1814	1493	321	13-2	6-2	2L
Iowa	17-5	1721	1397	324	13-1	4-4	5W
USC	17-6	1873	1732	141	11-3	6-3	2W
UCLA	16-7	1815	1603	212	13-2	3-5	1W
Wisconsin	16-7	1908	1729	179	12-2	4-5	1L
Ohio State	15-7	1808	1605	203	10-3	5-4	1W
Indiana	16-8	1946	1710	236	13-3	3-5	1W
Washington	12-11	1796	1686	110	8-4	4-7	1L
Minnesota	11-12	1655	1587	68	10-6	1-6	1W
Northwestern	10-13	1730	1667	63	8-7	2-6	2L
Penn State	10-13	1751	1834	-83	9-7	1-6	1L
Rutgers	9-15	1682	1834	-152	9-6	0-9	7L
Maryland	8-14	1584	1755	-171	7-6	1-8	4L
Oregon	8-15	1649	1708	-59	7-8	1-7	9L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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