Illinois State vs Valparaiso Prediction, Picks & Odds | 07 Jan 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Illinois State vs Valparaiso

The Illinois State Redbirds square off against the Valparaiso Beacons, with tip-off scheduled for 20:00 on Wednesday, January 7.

Illinois State should be able to cover the -6.5 line against Valparaiso. We’re confident of a strong showing and betting the favorites against the spread is the best play at odds of -108.

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Illinois State Redbirds previous game saw them claim a 73-47 home win over Evansville Purple Aces.

Valparaiso Beacons were winners last time out. It was a 66-59 home victory against UIC Flames.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 86-78 in favor of Illinois State when they last played Valparaiso. The past 10 clashes between these teams have seen eight Valparaiso wins.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Illinois State	12-4	1270	1055	215	9-1	3-3	1L
Valparaiso	7-8	1043	1059	-16	6-3	1-5	2W

View Full Standings

Illinois State vs Valparaiso Prediction & Picks

This Illinois State vs Valparaiso betting guide features sharp analysis across major markets, including an expert match prediction, correct score bet and a strategic bet builder.

Game Prediction

Illinois State should be taken against the spread at -6.5 with our pick being for them to achieve a comfortable margin of victory in this college contest. Back the favorites at the -108 that's available.

Knowing which players are injured gives us a valuable edge when making basketball predictions. After reviewing the form guide, we turn to the latest stats to shape our college hoops picks.

Key Illinois State vs Valparaiso stats:

• The -6.5 line has been covered by Illinois State in 4 consecutive games.
• The -6.5 line has been covered by Illinois State in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The -6.5 line has been covered by Illinois State in 14 of their last 20 games.

Illinois State -6.5 Probability

According to the best sportsbooks, there’s a 51.8% likelihood of our pick landing a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

If you’re looking for a good alternative to betting on Illinois State on the spread, then consider the Winning Margin. You can choose from a range of fixed intervals and odds.

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Our Game Prediction

Illinois State -6.5 @ -108 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Illinois State 78 - 67 Valparaiso

Should you want a bet that can land a monster return, then look no further than the correct score lines. Back Illinois State to win 78-67 and leverage a huge payout if this happens.

Illinois State vs Valparaiso Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

With a 78% chance of securing victory, Illinois State are favorites for this college game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -357. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Valparaiso are trading at +270.

The spread currently stands at 7.5 and the total points line is 138.5. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. If you fancy Over 138.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

You can find a nice selection of game lines and team props for most college basketball matchups, with the top betting apps creating many different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Illinois State

-357

Valpo

+270

Point Spread

Illinois State -7.5

-108

Valpo +7.5

-112

Total Points

Under 138.5

-110

Over 138.5

-110

If you have a view on Total Points, Three-Pointers, Assists, Double-Doubles or Triple-Doubles, then the player prop betting could be up your street. It’s a great way of wagering on individual performance.

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, college basketball micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to wager on the Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Illinois State Stats

Valparaiso Stats

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• -6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 143.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 148.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 137.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 137.5 on the Road: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.30 pts and allowed 62.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 74.20 pts and allowed 73.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 141.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 134.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 137.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 137.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 70.50 pts and allowed 70.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 68.80 pts and allowed 65.20 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Missouri Valley	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Murray State	14-3	1491	1308	183	10-0	4-3	10W
Belmont	14-3	1423	1179	244	8-2	6-1	1W
Illinois State	12-4	1270	1055	215	9-1	3-3	1L
Northern Iowa	12-4	1114	937	177	8-2	4-2	1L
Bradley	10-6	1240	1146	94	9-2	1-4	2L
Drake	8-7	1158	1044	114	5-6	3-1	1W
Indiana State	8-8	1212	1181	31	6-1	2-7	2L
Southern Illinois	8-9	1305	1247	58	5-2	3-7	1L
Valparaiso	7-8	1043	1059	-16	6-3	1-5	2W
UIC	6-10	1217	1162	55	5-4	1-6	1W
Evansville	4-13	1134	1237	-103	3-8	1-5	8L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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