Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Picks & Odds | 08 Jun 2025

Thunder Expected to Win Big

No. 4 Indiana Pacers (50-32, 20-20 Away) play No. 1 Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14, 35-6 at Home) in Game 2 of this NBA Finals matchup at Paycom Center. The Pacers lead the series 1-0.

There’s a case for taking the -108 that the Thunder can overcome the -11 against the Pacers. They should be capable of a sizeable win and that means we’re backing the favorites against the spread.

Pacers Landed 111-110 Victory in Previous H2H

When Indiana Pacers and Oklahoma City Thunder went head-to-head on Thursday night, the Pacers claimed a 111-110 win at Paycom Center.

Pascal Siakam bagged 19 points and 10 rebounds for the Pacers, while Obadiah Toppin had 17 points and Myles Turner 15. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander racked up 38 points for the Thunder, with Jalen Williams recording 17 and Luguentz Dort 15.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved the Pacers winning six times.

NBA Reg. Season	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

View Full Standings

The Pacers have 7 wins and 3 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 115.9 points, 39.5 rebounds, 26.5 assists, 7.3 steals and 5.5 blocks while shooting 48.9% from the field and 78.4% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 114.0 points and 43.3 rebounds per contest.

Pascal Siakam is averaging 22.8 points and 5.8 rebounds, while Tyrese Haliburton averages 8.7 assist and 2.5 (34.7%) 3-pointers.

The Thunder have won 7 and lost 3 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 113.1 points, 42.2 rebounds, 23.3 assists, 11.2 steals and 4.3 blocks per game while shooting 46.4% from the field and 79.9% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 106.9 points and 46.6 rebounds.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31.8 points and 6.7 assists, while Chet Holmgren has an average of 7.9 rebounds and Luguentz Dort 2.4 (36.4%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Indiana Pacers lineup: Tyrese Haliburton, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Myles Turner, Pascal Siakam.

Oklahoma City Thunder lineup: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace.

Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Picks

There’s a case to be made for Thunder on the spread in this NBA matchup. Our prediction is that the betting favorites can cover the -11 line at odds of -108 considering they should be superior.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the form guide are important duties ahead of making NBA picks. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can be effective.

Key Pacers vs Thunder stats:

• The -11 line has been covered by Thunder in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -11 line has been covered by Thunder in 15 of their last 20 games at home.

Thunder -11 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 51.8% chance of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

We recommend moving the line if you are searching for bigger odds about the same selection. Take your pick and get the juice that you want from your bet in the process.

Best Bet

Thunder -11 @ -108 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Aaron Nesmith Over 0.5 Assists -233

Aaron Nesmith (Pacers) has racked up Over 0.5 assists in 7 of the past 10 games. We expect this trend to continue which means him covering the Player Assists line at available betting odds of -233.

Latest Aaron Nesmith Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 11.5

-127

Under 11.5

-105

Assists

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

+175

Rebounds

Over 4.5

-149

Under 4.5

+112

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Luguentz Dort Over 3.5 Rebounds -125

Luguentz Dort (Thunder) has had Over 3.5 rebounds in 3 straight games. In our opinion, there is value when it comes to him covering the line, with odds of -125 now available.

Latest Luguentz Dort Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-112

Assists

Over 1.5

+139

Under 1.5

-182

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-149

Under 3.5

+112

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Correct Score Prediction

Pacers 104 - 119 Thunder

The Thunder to win by a 119-104 scoreline could be worth a chance. There’s a big potential return if you can land this bet on the money and it should provide some entertainment.

Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Thunder Heavy Favorites to Win

Oklahoma City Thunder have short betting odds and they’re overwhelming -556 favorites for this NBA game. This means the sportsbooks give them a 85% chance of winning. Indiana Pacers are the underdogs at +420 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

There is a spread of 11 and total points has a line of 228. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball wagers. If you want to bet Under 228, there are odds of -108.

You can find a huge selection of game lines and team props for every contest, with the betting sites creating many different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Pacers

+420

Thunder

-556

Point Spread

Pacers +11

-105

Thunder -11

-115

Total Points

Under 228

-108

Over 228

-112

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Favorite to Get Most Points

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is favorite when it comes to getting the most points. You can get -108 that he goes Over 34.5 points and -125 when it comes to Under.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 34.5

-108

Under 34.5

-125

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 21.5

-108

Under 21.5

-123

Pascal Siakam (Pacers)

Over 18.5

-115

Under 18.5

-115

Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers)

Over 16.5

-125

Under 16.5

-108

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 14.5

-128

Under 14.5

-104

Myles Turner (Pacers)

Over 13.5

-105

Under 13.5

-127

Aaron Nesmith (Pacers)

Over 11.5

-127

Under 11.5

-105

Andrew Nembhard (Pacers)

Over 11.5

-115

Under 11.5

-115

Obi Toppin (Pacers)

Over 10.5

-103

Under 10.5

-130

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-112

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 8.5

-127

Under 8.5

-105

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 7.5

-118

Under 7.5

-114

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 7.5

-100

Under 7.5

-133

Bennedict Mathurin (Pacers)

Over 7.5

-100

Under 7.5

-133

T.J. McConnell (Pacers)

Over 6.5

-120

Under 6.5

-110

Aaron Wiggins (Thunder)

Over 4.5

-123

Under 4.5

-105

Isaiah Joe (Thunder)

Over 3.5

-116

Under 3.5

-111

Thomas Bryant (Pacers)

Over 3.5

-105

Under 3.5

-125

Ben Sheppard (Pacers)

Over 2.5

-135

Under 2.5

+105

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 7.5

+110

Under 7.5

-143

Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers)

Over 7.5

-135

Under 7.5

+102

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 5.5

+115

Under 5.5

-152

Andrew Nembhard (Pacers)

Over 4.5

-154

Under 4.5

+115

T.J. McConnell (Pacers)

Over 3.5

-105

Under 3.5

-127

Pascal Siakam (Pacers)

Over 2.5

-179

Under 2.5

+132

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-114

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-154

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 1.5

+118

Under 1.5

-156

Myles Turner (Pacers)

Over 1.5

+180

Under 1.5

-250

Obi Toppin (Pacers)

Over 1.5

-101

Under 1.5

-128

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 1.5

+139

Under 1.5

-182

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 1.5

-110

Under 1.5

-120

Aaron Nesmith (Pacers)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

+175

Bennedict Mathurin (Pacers)

Over 0.5

-145

Under 0.5

+114

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 8.5

-108

Under 8.5

-122

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 7.5

-103

Under 7.5

-130

Pascal Siakam (Pacers)

Over 7.5

+110

Under 7.5

-147

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 5.5

+102

Under 5.5

-133

Myles Turner (Pacers)

Over 5.5

-147

Under 5.5

+110

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 5.5

-139

Under 5.5

+105

Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers)

Over 4.5

-152

Under 4.5

+114

Aaron Nesmith (Pacers)

Over 4.5

-149

Under 4.5

+112

Obi Toppin (Pacers)

Over 4.5

+104

Under 4.5

-139

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 3.5

+128

Under 3.5

-167

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 3.5

-149

Under 3.5

+112

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-132

Andrew Nembhard (Pacers)

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-147

Bennedict Mathurin (Pacers)

Over 2.5

-103

Under 2.5

-125

T.J. McConnell (Pacers)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-167

Aaron Wiggins (Thunder)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-169

Thomas Bryant (Pacers)

Over 2.5

-109

Under 2.5

-119

Isaiah Joe (Thunder)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-169

Ben Sheppard (Pacers)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-116

Micro Betting

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some basketball bettors prefer to look at the micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Indiana Pacers Stats

Oklahoma City Thunder Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 221.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 230.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 214.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 214.5 on the Road: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 110.40 pts and allowed 110.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 115.70 pts and allowed 114.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 225.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 225.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 214.5: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games
• Over 214.5 at Home: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 113.30 pts and allowed 112.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 121.40 pts and allowed 103.70 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 26.10 (53%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.30 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 21.30 (78.89%)
• Rebounds: Total 40.3, Offensive 8.80, Defensive 31.50
• Assists: 24.20
• Blocks: 6.00
• Steals: 9.90
• Turnovers : 15.40
• Personal Fouls: 23.90

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 27.20 (55%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.40 (42%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.10 (77.35%)
• Rebounds: Total 42.7, Offensive 9.20, Defensive 33.50
• Assists: 26.60
• Blocks: 6.30
• Steals: 6.50
• Turnovers : 15.50
• Personal Fouls: 23.00

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.50 (52%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 11.30 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 22.40 (83.58%)
• Rebounds: Total 40.8, Offensive 10.50, Defensive 30.30
• Assists: 20.00
• Blocks: 5.20
• Steals: 10.30
• Turnovers : 12.90
• Personal Fouls: 21.30

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.30 (53%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.80 (38%)
• Free Throws Made: 22.40 (82.66%)
• Rebounds: Total 43.5, Offensive 10.90, Defensive 32.60
• Assists: 25.40
• Blocks: 6.40
• Steals: 12.20
• Turnovers : 10.30
• Personal Fouls: 21.30

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder Confirmed Lineup

2 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

5 Luguentz Dort

7 Chet Holmgren

8 Jalen Williams

22 Cason Wallace

Indiana Pacers Confirmed Lineup

0 Tyrese Haliburton

2 Andrew Nembhard

23 Aaron Nesmith

33 Myles Turner

43 Pascal Siakam

NBA Regular Season Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak