Indiana State vs Valparaiso Prediction, Picks & Odds | 15 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Indiana State vs Valparaiso

The Indiana State Sycamores square off against the Valparaiso Beacons, with tip-off scheduled for 14:00 on Sunday, February 15.

We are happy to get with Indiana State against the spread. -102 is available that they are able to cover +4.5 against Valparaiso and that looks very reasonable.

Rolling with our spread angle? Read our BetMGM sportsbook review, then access the best promo code before placing your bet.

Indiana State Sycamores were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to Murray State Racers by a 74-72 scoreline.

Valparaiso Beacons were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 86-64 reverse against Illinois State Redbirds.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 76-72 (OT) in favor of Valparaiso when they last played Indiana State. Each team has landed five wins in the previous 10 games between the sides.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Valparaiso	12-13	1752	1783	-31	9-4	3-9	1L
Indiana State	10-16	1953	1947	6	7-6	3-10	2L

View Full Standings

Indiana State vs Valparaiso Prediction & Picks

The Indiana State vs Valparaiso betting tips feature sharp analysis across major markets, including a key match prediction, correct score guidance and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

Considering the +4.5 that is on offer for Indiana State, our pick is that the underdogs will cover the spread in this college matchup. They can stay in the game and odds of -102 is available.

It’s important to know which players are unavailable for the upcoming college hoops action along with the current form of each team. If you're after stats, you're in the right place because they form the foundation of our basketball predictions.

Key Indiana State vs Valparaiso stats:

• The +4.5 line has been covered by Indiana State in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +4.5 line has been covered by Indiana State in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +4.5 line has been covered by Indiana State in 2 consecutive games on the road.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Valpo in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Valpo in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Valpo in 7 consecutive games against Indiana State.

Indiana State +4.5 Probability

Looking at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 50.5% chance of winning. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college basketball bet.

We recommend moving the line if you are searching for bigger odds about the same selection. Take your pick and get the juice that you want from your wager in the process.

Boost your betting strategy with exclusive offers, free bets, and welcome bonuses—all in our straightforward guide.

Our Game Prediction

Indiana State +4.5 @ -102 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (21:04, 14 February 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Indiana State 76 - 74 Valparaiso

We’ll roll the dice and go for Indiana State to register a 76-74 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams and we’re happy to take the massive odds.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Indiana State vs Valparaiso Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Valparaiso have the shortest price to win this college game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 70% probability due to their -238 Moneyline betting odds. Indiana State are the underdogs at +195 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The spread is calculated to be 4.5, while total points comes in at 142.5. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 142.5 at -110.

If you’re planning to place a bet on a college hoops matchup, visit the top basketball betting sites and check out the many available game lines and team props. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

IN State

+195

Valpo

-238

Point Spread

IN State +4.5

-102

Valpo -4.5

-120

Total Points

Under 142.5

-110

Over 142.5

-110

We’re fond of player props as an alternative to betting on the game result. The gambling sites will have Points, Assists, Three-Pointers, Rebounds and Steals among the choices and you can take a particular view.

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, college basketball micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to wager on the Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Indiana State Stats

Valparaiso Stats

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 150.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 148.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 142.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 142.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 74.10 pts and allowed 76.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 72.70 pts and allowed 75.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 143.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 135.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 142.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 142.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 70.90 pts and allowed 72.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 70.20 pts and allowed 65.50 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Missouri Valley	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Belmont	23-4	2259	1962	297	13-2	10-2	1W
Murray State	19-8	2291	2139	152	13-2	6-6	1W
Bradley	17-9	2012	1895	117	14-3	3-6	1W
Illinois State	17-9	2006	1755	251	13-3	4-6	1W
Northern Iowa	16-10	1780	1590	190	11-3	5-7	1L
UIC	14-12	1944	1827	117	8-5	6-7	1W
Valparaiso	12-13	1752	1783	-31	9-4	3-9	1L
Southern Illinois	12-14	1941	1849	92	7-6	5-8	2W
Drake	12-15	2087	2029	58	7-10	5-5	5L
Indiana State	10-16	1953	1947	6	7-6	3-10	2L
Evansville	6-20	1752	1949	-197	4-10	2-10	1L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

Top Basketball Pages