Kentucky vs Michigan State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 18 Nov 2025

College Basketball Betting Preview: Kentucky vs Michigan State

The Kentucky Wildcats battle the Michigan State Spartans, with tip-off scheduled for 18:30 on Tuesday, November 18.

We’ve lined up a prediction which requires Michigan State to keep close to Kentucky. We think that the line of +5.5 can be covered and you can secure -110.

Feeling good about our spread pick? Don’t miss the exclusive BetMGM promo code and our detailed site review as you get ready to make your move.

Kentucky Wildcats claimed a victory in their previous game. A 99-53 home win occurred against Eastern Illinois Panthers.

Michigan State Spartans won their last game, beating San Jose State Spartans at home. It was a 79-60 win.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Michigan State beat Kentucky in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 86-77 (OT) scoreline.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Michigan State	3-0	228	195	33	3-0	0-0	3W
Kentucky	3-1	371	259	112	3-0	0-1	1W

View Full Standings

Kentucky vs Michigan State Prediction & Picks

From our main match prediction to correct score advice, must-watch player props and a custom bet builder — this Kentucky vs Michigan State betting preview covers it all.

Game Prediction

Our pick is that Michigan State will be able to cover the spread in this college contest, with +5.5 looking favorable for our bet. Take the -110 that is currently available.

To deliver the best possible basketball picks, we start by locking in the team news and taking time to review the latest form. There’s also no shortage of data to crunch from the most up-to-date college hoops stats available.

Key Kentucky vs Michigan State stats:

• The +5.5 line has been covered by MSU in 20 consecutive games at home.
• The -5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Kentucky in 9 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Kentucky in 17 of their last 19 games on the road.
• The -5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Kentucky in 3 consecutive games on the road.

Michigan State +5.5 Probability

If you go by the best sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of landing a return. However, our cappers have this figure between 55-60% based on their in-depth research. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Those wanting an alternative to the point spread can consider Winning Margin where there are several options. Take a view on Michigan State and their performance.

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Our Game Prediction

Michigan State +5.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jaxon Kohler Over 13.5 Points -118

Jaxon Kohler (Michigan State) can be wagered to record Over 13.5 points at -118. There’s an opportunity to wager on Player Points and the total looks attractive for this player.

Latest Jaxon Kohler Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 13.5

-118

Under 13.5

-110

Rebounds

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-108

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Denzel Aberdeen Under 12.5 Points -106

Denzel Aberdeen (Kentucky) can be backed to score Under 12.5 points at -106. When it comes to his Player Points outcome, we are fairly confident he will total below the line.

Correct Score Prediction

Kentucky 75 - 73 Michigan State

We’re expecting this to be a close game and we’ll take the Cats to win 75-73. This is available at huge odds for those that want to have a speculative wager.

Kentucky vs Michigan State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

With the sportsbooks giving them a 68% probability of winning this college game, Kentucky might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -208 Moneyline betting odds. Michigan State are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +172.

The spread is currently 4.5, with the total points line at 152.5. There are many ways to bet on basketball including the Totals. Those that want to back Under 152.5 can find odds of -105 available.

The good news is that you can access a wide range of team props and game lines for most college basketball contests. The best betting apps have a huge range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

Kentucky

-208

MSU

+172

Point Spread

Kentucky -4.5

-114

MSU +4.5

-106

Total Points

Under 152.5

-105

Over 152.5

-115

In terms of landing the most baskets, favorite Jaxon Kohler is available at -118 to rack up Over 13.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -110 is available.

Jaxon Kohler (MSU)

Over 13.5

-118

Under 13.5

-110

Otega Oweh (Kentucky)

Over 13.5

-112

Under 13.5

-115

Denzel Aberdeen (Kentucky)

Over 12.5

-122

Under 12.5

-106

Coen Carr (MSU)

Over 12.5

-109

Under 12.5

-119

Jeremy Fears Jr. (MSU)

Over 11.5

-105

Under 11.5

-123

Jeremy Fears Jr. (MSU)

Over 7.5

-102

Under 7.5

-127

Jaxon Kohler (MSU)

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-108

Among the various options for wagering on college basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Kentucky Stats

Michigan State Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 157.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 165.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 153.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 153.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 84.20 pts and allowed 73.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 78.90 pts and allowed 86.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 141.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 141.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 153.5: Has not been covered in any of the previous 10 games
• Over 153.5 at Home: Has not been covered in any of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 75.00 pts and allowed 66.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 75.70 pts and allowed 65.50 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big Ten	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Illinois	4-0	391	267	124	4-0	0-0	4W
Purdue	4-0	353	287	66	3-0	1-0	4W
Oregon	4-0	297	266	31	4-0	0-0	4W
Michigan State	3-0	228	195	33	3-0	0-0	3W
Michigan	3-0	273	225	48	2-0	1-0	3W
Rutgers	3-0	237	185	52	3-0	0-0	3W
Wisconsin	4-0	373	260	113	4-0	0-0	4W
Ohio State	4-0	351	286	65	4-0	0-0	4W
Iowa	3-0	259	189	70	3-0	0-0	3W
Penn State	4-0	326	251	75	3-0	1-0	4W
USC	3-0	295	214	81	3-0	0-0	3W
Nebraska	4-0	356	268	88	4-0	0-0	4W
Northwestern	4-0	337	241	96	3-0	1-0	4W
Indiana	4-0	368	259	109	4-0	0-0	4W
Washington	3-1	328	267	61	2-0	1-1	1W
Minnesota	3-1	314	258	56	3-0	0-1	1W
Maryland	3-1	316	277	39	2-1	1-0	2W
UCLA	3-1	302	268	34	3-1	0-0	1L

Southeastern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Georgia	5-0	497	313	184	5-0	0-0	5W
Vanderbilt	4-0	406	291	115	3-0	1-0	4W
Tennessee	4-0	361	249	112	4-0	0-0	4W
Missouri	5-0	457	352	105	4-0	1-0	5W
LSU	3-0	287	199	88	3-0	0-0	3W
Ole Miss	4-0	339	260	79	4-0	0-0	4W
South Carolina	3-0	255	212	43	3-0	0-0	3W
Kentucky	3-1	371	259	112	3-0	0-1	1W
Auburn	3-1	355	282	73	3-1	0-0	1L
Texas	3-1	321	248	73	3-0	0-1	3W
Arkansas	3-1	347	277	70	3-0	0-1	2W
Florida	3-1	351	301	50	3-0	0-1	3W
Alabama	2-1	274	245	29	1-1	1-0	1L
Mississippi State	2-1	241	226	15	2-1	0-0	1W
Oklahoma	2-2	364	323	41	2-0	0-2	1L
Texas A&M	2-2	339	311	28	2-1	0-1	2L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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