Kentucky vs Michigan State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 18 Nov 2025

College Basketball Betting Preview: Kentucky vs Michigan State

The Kentucky Wildcats battle the Michigan State Spartans, with tip-off scheduled for 18:30 on Tuesday, November 18.

We’ve lined up a prediction which requires Michigan State to keep close to Kentucky. We think that the line of +5.5 can be covered and you can secure -110.

Kentucky Wildcats claimed a victory in their previous game. A 99-53 home win occurred against Eastern Illinois Panthers.

Michigan State Spartans won their last game, beating San Jose State Spartans at home. It was a 79-60 win.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Michigan State beat Kentucky in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 86-77 (OT) scoreline.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Michigan State	24-5	2271	1924	347	16-2	8-3	4W
Kentucky	19-10	2356	2105	251	15-5	4-5	2W

View Full Standings

Kentucky vs Michigan State Prediction & Picks

From our main match prediction to correct score advice, must-watch player props and a custom bet builder — this Kentucky vs Michigan State betting preview covers it all.

Game Prediction

Our pick is that Michigan State will be able to cover the spread in this college contest, with +5.5 looking favorable for our bet. Take the -110 that is currently available.

To deliver the best possible basketball picks, we start by locking in the team news and taking time to review the latest form. There’s also no shortage of data to crunch from the most up-to-date college hoops stats available.

Key Kentucky vs Michigan State stats:

• The +5.5 line has been covered by MSU in 20 consecutive games at home.
• The -5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Kentucky in 9 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Kentucky in 17 of their last 19 games on the road.
• The -5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Kentucky in 3 consecutive games on the road.

Michigan State +5.5 Probability

If you go by the best sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of landing a return. However, our cappers have this figure between 55-60% based on their in-depth research. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Those wanting an alternative to the point spread can consider Winning Margin where there are several options. Take a view on Michigan State and their performance.

Take your betting up a notch with the latest promos, free bets and top betting offers inside our easy-to-use bonus guide.

Our Game Prediction

Michigan State +5.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Nov 17, 23:06). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jaxon Kohler Over 13.5 Points -118

Jaxon Kohler (Michigan State) can be wagered to record Over 13.5 points at -118. There’s an opportunity to wager on Player Points and the total looks attractive for this player.

Latest Jaxon Kohler Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

-100

Under 14.5

-130

Rebounds

Over 9.5

-101

Under 9.5

-128

---

Denzel Aberdeen Under 12.5 Points -106

Denzel Aberdeen (Kentucky) can be backed to score Under 12.5 points at -106. When it comes to his Player Points outcome, we are fairly confident he will total below the line.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Kentucky 75 - 73 Michigan State

We’re expecting this to be a close game and we’ll take the Cats to win 75-73. This is available at huge odds for those that want to have a speculative wager.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Kentucky vs Michigan State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With the sportsbooks giving them a 64% probability of winning this college game, Kentucky might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -179 Moneyline betting odds. Michigan State are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +146.

The spread is currently 3.5, with the total points line at 152.5. There are many ways to bet on basketball including the Totals. Those that want to back Under 152.5 can find odds of -110 available.

The good news is that you can access a wide range of team props and game lines for most college basketball contests. The best betting apps have a huge range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

Kentucky

-179

MSU

+146

Point Spread

Kentucky -3.5

-112

MSU +3.5

-108

Total Points

Under 152.5

-110

Over 152.5

-110

In terms of landing the most baskets, favorite Otega Oweh is available at +110 to rack up Over 16.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -143 is available.

Otega Oweh (Kentucky)

Over 16.5

+110

Under 16.5

-143

Jaxon Kohler (MSU)

Over 14.5

-100

Under 14.5

-130

Denzel Aberdeen (Kentucky)

Over 14.5

-100

Under 14.5

-130

Coen Carr (MSU)

Over 12.5

-108

Under 12.5

-120

Jeremy Fears Jr. (MSU)

Over 11.5

-111

Under 11.5

-116

Jeremy Fears Jr. (MSU)

Over 7.5

-143

Under 7.5

+110

Jaxon Kohler (MSU)

Over 9.5

-101

Under 9.5

-128

Among the various options for wagering on college basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Kentucky Stats

Michigan State Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 157.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 165.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 153.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 153.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 84.20 pts and allowed 73.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 78.90 pts and allowed 86.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 141.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 141.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 153.5: Has not been covered in any of the previous 10 games
• Over 153.5 at Home: Has not been covered in any of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 75.00 pts and allowed 66.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 75.70 pts and allowed 65.50 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big Ten	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Michigan	27-2	2580	1993	587	16-1	11-1	2W
Nebraska	25-4	2279	1898	381	18-2	7-2	3W
Michigan State	24-5	2271	1924	347	16-2	8-3	4W
Illinois	22-7	2454	2017	437	14-5	8-2	2L
Purdue	22-7	2387	2028	359	15-4	7-3	2L
Wisconsin	20-9	2406	2205	201	14-2	6-7	1W
Iowa	20-9	2195	1886	309	16-2	4-7	1L
UCLA	19-10	2256	2078	178	16-2	3-8	1L
Ohio State	18-11	2309	2122	187	13-5	5-6	1W
USC	18-11	2296	2231	65	11-6	7-5	5L
Indiana	17-12	2285	2097	188	14-5	3-7	4L
Minnesota	14-15	2060	1978	82	12-7	2-8	1W
Washington	14-15	2210	2109	101	9-6	5-9	1L
Northwestern	13-16	2137	2102	35	10-8	3-8	3W
Rutgers	12-17	2037	2187	-150	10-7	2-10	1W
Penn State	12-17	2168	2295	-127	10-9	2-8	1W
Oregon	11-18	2068	2137	-69	9-9	2-9	1L
Maryland	11-18	2049	2236	-187	9-7	2-11	2L

Southeastern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Florida	23-6	2527	2071	456	16-2	7-4	9W
Alabama	22-7	2672	2409	263	14-5	8-2	8W
Vanderbilt	22-7	2520	2161	359	14-3	8-4	1L
Arkansas	21-8	2604	2310	294	16-3	5-5	1L
Tennessee	20-9	2322	2007	315	15-4	5-5	2L
Missouri	20-9	2329	2165	164	15-2	5-7	2W
Georgia	20-9	2602	2273	329	14-5	6-4	1W
Kentucky	19-10	2356	2105	251	15-5	4-5	2W
Texas A&M	19-10	2554	2287	267	13-4	6-6	2L
Texas	18-11	2445	2189	256	13-5	5-6	1W
Auburn	15-14	2417	2317	100	12-6	3-8	2L
Oklahoma	15-14	2397	2253	144	11-5	4-9	2W
LSU	15-14	2359	2243	116	10-8	5-6	1L
Mississippi State	13-16	2253	2329	-76	9-9	4-7	3L
Ole Miss	12-17	2187	2201	-14	9-7	3-10	1W
South Carolina	12-17	2201	2222	-21	11-7	1-10	2L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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