Las Vegas Aces vs Connecticut Sun Prediction, Picks & Odds | 06 Jul 2025

Back Sun to Cover the Spread

We don’t think the Sun will be heavily beaten against the Aces. Our prediction is to take them at an appealing +16.5, with betting odds of -110 available.

8 Wins for Aces in Last 10 H2H Encounters

Las Vegas Aces were defeated in their previous game. On the road, they suffered a 81-54 reverse against Indiana Fever at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

Connecticut Sun were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 102-63 reverse against Minnesota Lynx at Target Center.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Aces had the edge in the most recent matchup between these teams. At Michelob Ultra Arena, they recorded a 85-59 win over the Sun. It’s been six victories on the bounce for the Aces when playing the Sun. On the head-to-head front, they have won 8 of the past 10.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
2  Aces	26	14	3308	3263	45	14-5	12-9	12W
11  Sun	10	28	2906	3248	-342	6-12	4-16	1W

View Full Standings

Las Vegas Aces vs Connecticut Sun Prediction & Picks

Sun can give a good account of themselves against the big favorites in this WNBA contest. The underdogs can prevent a huge loss and there is -110 available that they cover +16.5.

We take note of any injuries affecting each franchise before going ahead with our WNBA predictions. The form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the basketball action.

Key Aces vs Sun stats:

• The +16.5 line has been covered by Sun in 4 consecutive games at home.
• The +16.5 line has been covered by Sun in 18 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +16.5 line has been covered by Sun in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -16.5 line hasn’t been covered by Aces in 6 consecutive games on the road.
• The -16.5 line hasn’t been covered by Aces in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The -16.5 line hasn’t been covered by Aces in 18 of their last 20 games.
• The +16.5 line has been covered by Sun in 7 of their last 10 games against Aces.

Sun +16.5 Probability

The sportsbooks make it a 52.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our analysts in-depth research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

We recommend moving the line if you are searching for bigger odds about the same selection. Take your pick and get the juice that you want from your bet in the process.

Best Bet

Sun +16.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Chelsea Gray Under 4.5 Rebounds -156

Chelsea Gray (Aces) is available at -156 to total Under 4.5 rebounds. The total looks reasonably high and we anticipate she will fall short of the line when it comes to the Player Rebounds.

Latest Chelsea Gray Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 12.5

-100

Under 12.5

-130

Assists

Over 4.5

-116

Under 4.5

-111

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-130

Under 3.5

-100

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Tina Charles Under 4.5 Rebounds +110

Tina Charles (Sun) is available at +110 to finish with Under 4.5 rebounds. We can’t pass up the chance to back Unders considering the Player Rebounds line that is on offer.

Latest Tina Charles Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 13.5

-114

Under 13.5

-114

Rebounds

Over 4.5

-143

Under 4.5

+110

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Correct Score Prediction

Aces 88 - 75 Sun

There’s the chance to land amazing odds when it comes to the Aces winning on the correct score lines. We’ll try a 88-75 victory in their favor and this should be in the right ball park.

Las Vegas Aces vs Connecticut Sun Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Taking No Chances With Aces

Las Vegas Aces have short betting odds and they’re overwhelming -3333 favorites for this WNBA game. This means the sportsbooks give them a 97% chance of winning. Connecticut Sun are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +1200.

The spread currently stands at 17.5 and the total points line is 157. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you want to wager Over 157, there are odds of -110.

Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game, you can feast on hundreds of game lines and team props. The selections are practically endless and it’s great to have so many options.

Moneyline

Aces

-3333

Sun

+1200

Point Spread

Aces -17.5

-114

Sun +17.5

-106

Total Points

Under 157

-110

Over 157

-110

A'ja Wilson Favorite to Score the Most Points

The favorite to hit the most buckets is A'ja Wilson. Odds of +118 can be found for her scoring Over 23.5 points and there is -154 for her to go Under.

A'ja Wilson (Aces)

Over 23.5

+118

Under 23.5

-154

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 16.5

-111

Under 16.5

-116

Tina Charles (Sun)

Over 13.5

-114

Under 13.5

-114

Chelsea Gray (Aces)

Over 12.5

-100

Under 12.5

-130

Jewell Loyd (Aces)

Over 11.5

+103

Under 11.5

-133

Olivia Nelson-Ododa (Sun)

Over 9.5

+139

Under 9.5

-182

Jacy Sheldon (Sun)

Over 9.5

+158

Under 9.5

-208

Chelsea Gray (Aces)

Over 4.5

-116

Under 4.5

-111

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 4.5

+128

Under 4.5

-167

A'ja Wilson (Aces)

Over 3.5

+113

Under 3.5

-147

A'ja Wilson (Aces)

Over 9.5

-141

Under 9.5

+109

Olivia Nelson-Ododa (Sun)

Over 6.5

+117

Under 6.5

-152

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 4.5

+113

Under 4.5

-147

Tina Charles (Sun)

Over 4.5

-143

Under 4.5

+110

Chelsea Gray (Aces)

Over 3.5

-130

Under 3.5

-100

Jewell Loyd (Aces)

Over 3.5

-159

Under 3.5

+122

Micro Betting

There are always opportunities to enjoy micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find team and player props in-game and basketball bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as if the next shot will be a Two or Three-Pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Las Vegas Aces Stats

Connecticut Sun Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -16.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games
• -16.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +16.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +16.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 160.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 158.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 157: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 157 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.70 pts and allowed 81.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 75.10 pts and allowed 83.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 159.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 166.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 157: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 157 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 71.20 pts and allowed 88.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 80.20 pts and allowed 86.20 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	30	8	3288	2927	361	18-2	12-6	1L
2  Aces	26	14	3308	3263	45	14-5	12-9	12W
3  Dream	24	14	3154	2930	224	12-6	12-8	1L
4  Mercury	24	14	3160	3042	118	13-6	11-8	3W
5  Liberty	24	15	3342	3160	182	16-5	8-10	2W
6  Fever	20	18	3242	3137	105	11-9	9-9	1W
7  Storm	21	19	3300	3207	93	8-10	13-9	1W
8  Valkyries	19	18	2898	2872	26	10-7	9-11	1W
9  Sparks	17	19	3108	3190	-82	7-11	10-8	1L
10  Mystics	16	23	3054	3165	-111	10-10	6-13	5L
11  Sun	10	28	2906	3248	-342	6-12	4-16	1W
12  Sky	9	29	2888	3274	-386	5-15	4-14	3L
13  Wings	9	30	3191	3424	-233	5-16	4-14	6L