Las Vegas Aces vs Los Angeles Sparks Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Sep 2025

WNBA Betting Preview: Las Vegas Aces vs Los Angeles Sparks

The Las Vegas Aces meet the Los Angeles Sparks in this WNBA matchup at Crypto.com Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Thursday, September 11. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

We’re not sure that the Aces and the Sparks will reach a certain points threshold. Our prediction is to take the -112 that there are Under 168.5 points.

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Las Vegas Aces won their previous game which was at home. It was a 92-61 triumph at Michelob Ultra Arena against Chicago Sky.

Los Angeles Sparks won their last game 88-83. This was a road victory at PHX Arena against Phoenix Mercury.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was the Aces who came out on top when they last played the Sparks. At Crypto.com Arena, a 89-74 win was recorded. The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in six Aces victories.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
2  Aces	30	14	3680	3552	128	17-5	13-9	16W
9  Sparks	21	23	3769	3882	-113	9-13	12-10	1L

View Full Standings

Las Vegas Aces vs Los Angeles Sparks Prediction & Picks

Get the edge with our Las Vegas Aces vs Los Angeles Sparks betting tips: a trusted match prediction, likely correct score outcome, key player prop picks and an expert-crafted bet builder.

Game Prediction

The -112 about Under 168.5 points makes plenty of appeal. We’re not sure that the teams can combine to reach that number for this WNBA contest.

The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com regularly track injury updates and pair that with current form. We also tap into a deep stats database to highlight the key numbers that help shape our basketball predictions.

Key Aces vs Sparks stats:

• The 168.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Aces games.
• The 168.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Aces games on the road.
• The 168.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Aces games.
• The 168.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Sparks games at home.
• The 168.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Sparks games at home.

Under 168.5 Probability

The best betting apps imply that our pick has a 52.9% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our cappers have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

We recommend moving the line if you want more juice from your Total wager. If you’re going Under, then consider a slightly riskier bet which has a bigger payout.

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Our Game Prediction

Under 168.5 Points @ -112 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jackie Young Over 14.5 Points -141

Jackie Young (Aces) can be wagered to score Over 14.5 points at -141. There’s an opportunity to wager on Player Points and the total looks attractive for this player.

Latest Jackie Young Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

-130

Under 14.5

-100

Assists

Over 5.5

-130

Under 5.5

-100

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-213

Under 3.5

+160

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A'ja Wilson Under 24.5 Points -132

A'ja Wilson (Aces) can be wagered to register Under 24.5 points at -132. Should you agree with our verdict that she doesn’t reach this total, you can go under the line.

Latest A'ja Wilson Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 24.5

-105

Under 24.5

-123

Rebounds

Over 9.5

-135

Under 9.5

+105

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Correct Score Prediction

Aces 88 - 74 Sparks

There are a range of correct score lines to choose from and we’re taking a chance on the Aces to record a 88-74 victory. There’s a massive return if we get this right.

Las Vegas Aces vs Los Angeles Sparks Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The favorites are 85% likely to win according to the sportsbooks’ latest Moneyline odds, with Las Vegas Aces priced at -556 to triumph in this WNBA game. At +390, Los Angeles Sparks are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The current spread is 11 and the total points line is 170. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball wagers. If you fancy Under 170, then the odds are -110.

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Moneyline

Aces

-556

Sparks

+390

Point Spread

Aces -11

-106

Sparks +11

-114

Total Points

Under 170

-110

Over 170

-110

A'ja Wilson is favorite when it comes to getting the most points. You can get -105 that she goes Over 24.5 points and -123 when it comes to Under.

A'ja Wilson (Aces)

Over 24.5

-105

Under 24.5

-123

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 14.5

-130

Under 14.5

-100

Chelsea Gray (Aces)

Over 9.5

-167

Under 9.5

+127

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 5.5

-130

Under 5.5

-100

Chelsea Gray (Aces)

Over 5.5

-145

Under 5.5

+111

A'ja Wilson (Aces)

Over 9.5

-135

Under 9.5

+105

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 3.5

-213

Under 3.5

+160

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Las Vegas Aces Stats

Los Angeles Sparks Stats

Moneyline

• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -11.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +11.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 161.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 166.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 168.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 168.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 86.90 pts and allowed 74.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 84.80 pts and allowed 81.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 169.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 174.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 168.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 168.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 83.70 pts and allowed 85.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 87.90 pts and allowed 87.00 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	34	10	3787	3373	414	20-2	14-8	1W
2  Aces	30	14	3680	3552	128	17-5	13-9	16W
3  Dream	30	14	3712	3378	334	16-6	14-8	6W
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L
5  Liberty	27	17	3713	3534	179	17-5	10-12	3W
6  Fever	24	20	3734	3586	148	13-9	11-11	3W
7  Storm	23	21	3614	3524	90	10-12	13-9	1W
8  Valkyries	23	21	3420	3359	61	14-8	9-13	3L
9  Sparks	21	23	3769	3882	-113	9-13	12-10	1L
10  Mystics	16	28	3394	3589	-195	10-12	6-16	10L
11  Sun	11	33	3337	3782	-445	7-15	4-18	2L
12  Sky	10	34	3335	3777	-442	6-16	4-18	4L
13  Wings	10	34	3594	3871	-277	6-16	4-18	1W

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