Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty Prediction, Picks & Odds | 08 Jul 2025

Go Under 165 as Your Best Bet

Don’t expect fireworks in this contest. The Aces and the Liberty might not score a huge combined total and our prediction is to back Under 165 points at odds of -110.

Liberty Have Claimed 8 Wins in 10 on H2H

Las Vegas Aces triumphed in their previous game. It was on the road where Connecticut Sun were beaten 86-68 at Mohegan Sun Arena.

New York Liberty were beaten 79-70 at Barclays Center in their last game, being turned over at home to Seattle Storm.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Liberty have claimed back-to-back victories over the Aces. At Michelob Ultra Arena they won 76-62 before winning 92-78 at Barclays Center. It’s been eight Liberty wins in the past 10 games between these teams.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
3  Aces	26	14	3308	3263	45	14-5	12-9	12W
5  Liberty	24	16	3405	3240	165	16-5	8-11	1L

View Full Standings

Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks

In our opinion, the teams are unlikely to reach the 165 points line. Therefore, chance an Under bet at -110 and hope the number isn’t reached in this WNBA contest.

Knowing the players that are injured give us a helping hand when putting together WNBA forecasts. Once we’ve also looked at the form guide, we use the available stats and make predictions.

Key Aces vs Liberty stats:

• The 165 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Aces games on the road.
• The 165 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Aces games on the road.
• The 165 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Aces games.
• The 165 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Liberty games at home.
• The 165 line hasn’t been covered in 12 of the last 20 Liberty games at home.

Under 165 Probability

The sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 52.4% prospect of winning. Our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

More juice from your Unders bet can be found by combining this selection on the Match Result & Total lines. Choose the odds which match your prediction.

Best Bet

Under 165 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Sabrina Ionescu Under 4.5 Rebounds -102

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty) is available at -102 to finish with Under 4.5 rebounds. We’re pretty confident that this Player Rebounds wager will end up falling short of the line.

Latest Sabrina Ionescu Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 18.5

-103

Under 18.5

-125

Assists

Over 5.5

-182

Under 5.5

+139

Rebounds

Over 4.5

-135

Under 4.5

+104

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Jewell Loyd Under 10.5 Points -112

Jewell Loyd (Aces) can be backed to score Under 10.5 points at -112. We’re happy to take this selection when it comes to her failing to cover the total on Player Points.

Latest Jewell Loyd Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 10.5

-115

Under 10.5

-112

Rebounds

Over 4.5

+113

Under 4.5

-147

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Correct Score Prediction

Aces 75 - 85 Liberty

For those wanting a big return from a small stake, consider the correct score lines. For example, the Liberty can be backed to win 85-75 at massive betting odds.

Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Liberty Likely to Win According to Latest Odds

With a 64% chance of securing victory, New York Liberty are favorites for this WNBA game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -175. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Las Vegas Aces are trading at +142.

The current spread is 3.5 and the total points line is 165.5. There are many ways to wager on basketball including the Totals. Those that want to back Under 165.5 can find odds of -110 available.

You can find a wide range of team props and game lines for every contest, with the betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Aces

+142

Liberty

-175

Point Spread

Aces +3.5

-110

Liberty -3.5

-110

Total Points

Under 165.5

-110

Over 165.5

-110

A'ja Wilson Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

A'ja Wilson is the favorite to hit the most buckets. You can back -116 that she gets Over 22.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -111.

A'ja Wilson (Aces)

Over 22.5

-116

Under 22.5

-111

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 21.5

-100

Under 21.5

-130

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 18.5

-103

Under 18.5

-125

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 16.5

+110

Under 16.5

-143

Chelsea Gray (Aces)

Over 10.5

-123

Under 10.5

-105

Jewell Loyd (Aces)

Over 10.5

-115

Under 10.5

-112

Natasha Cloud (Liberty)

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-114

Natasha Cloud (Liberty)

Over 6.5

-111

Under 6.5

-116

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 5.5

-182

Under 5.5

+139

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 4.5

+115

Under 4.5

-149

Chelsea Gray (Aces)

Over 4.5

-141

Under 4.5

+108

A'ja Wilson (Aces)

Over 3.5

+146

Under 3.5

-192

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 3.5

-167

Under 3.5

+128

A'ja Wilson (Aces)

Over 9.5

-123

Under 9.5

-105

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 7.5

-120

Under 7.5

-108

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 4.5

-135

Under 4.5

+104

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 4.5

+120

Under 4.5

-156

Chelsea Gray (Aces)

Over 4.5

+128

Under 4.5

-167

Jewell Loyd (Aces)

Over 4.5

+113

Under 4.5

-147

Natasha Cloud (Liberty)

Over 3.5

-159

Under 3.5

+122

Micro Betting

There are always opportunities to enjoy micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find team and player props in-game and basketball bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as if the next shot will be a Two or Three-Pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Las Vegas Aces Stats

New York Liberty Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 157.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 157.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 165: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 165 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.40 pts and allowed 79.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 76.00 pts and allowed 81.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 169.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 157.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 165: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 165 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 83.10 pts and allowed 85.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 84.70 pts and allowed 73.00 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	31	8	3382	2997	385	18-2	13-6	1W
2  Dream	26	14	3347	3084	263	13-6	13-8	2W
3  Aces	26	14	3308	3263	45	14-5	12-9	12W
4  Mercury	25	14	3240	3105	135	14-6	11-8	4W
5  Liberty	24	16	3405	3240	165	16-5	8-11	1L
6  Valkyries	21	18	3072	2997	75	12-7	9-11	3W
7  Storm	22	19	3379	3276	103	9-10	13-9	2W
8  Fever	21	19	3381	3287	94	11-9	10-10	1L
9  Sparks	18	20	3264	3344	-80	8-12	10-8	1W
10  Mystics	16	25	3194	3345	-151	10-10	6-15	7L
11  Sun	10	30	3052	3435	-383	6-14	4-16	2L
12  Sky	9	30	2957	3353	-396	5-15	4-15	4L
13  Wings	9	31	3269	3524	-255	5-16	4-15	7L