Liberty vs New Mexico State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Liberty vs New Mexico State

The Liberty Flames go up against the New Mexico State, with tip-off scheduled for 21:00 on Wednesday, February 11.

Liberty are available at -112 when it comes to backing them against the spread. The attractive -3.5 line could be covered with ease against New Mexico State and this looks like a value wager.

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Liberty Flames won their previous game which was at home. It was a 79-76 triumph against Missouri State Bears.

New Mexico State were beaten last game and this was on the road. UTEP Miners claimed a 91-88 (OT) win.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Liberty triumphed 73-71 when they last played NM State. Liberty have four straight victories against NM State. They have won 4 of the 5 previous head-to-head matchups.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Liberty	20-3	1823	1554	269	12-1	8-2	14W
New Mexico State	11-12	1742	1631	111	8-5	3-7	1L

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Liberty vs New Mexico State Prediction & Picks

This Liberty vs New Mexico State betting breakdown features a main match prediction, a correct score insight and a sharply constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Game Prediction

There’s an attractive line of -3.5 when it comes to Liberty for this college showdown. The -112 that the favorites cover the spread has lots of juice and our pick is that they will make it happen.

The college hoops handicappers at Sportsgambler.com start by analyzing recent form and staying on top of injury news before making any basketball picks. From there, we interpret the story the stats are telling to help shape our predictions.

Key Liberty vs New Mexico State stats:

• The -3.5 line has been covered by Liberty in 5 consecutive games on the road.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by Liberty in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by Liberty in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by NM State in 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by NM State in 3 of their last 5 games against Liberty.

Liberty -3.5 Probability

The best betting apps make it a 52.9% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our analysts have this probability close to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

If you want to secure a bigger potential payout on your wager, there’s the possibility to move the line. Take a look at the various prices and see which spread you think will be covered.

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Our Game Prediction

Liberty -3.5 @ -112 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Liberty 78 - 70 NM State

There is a speculative wager that can be enjoyed on the Flames when it comes to the correct score lines. Taking them to win 78-70 should provide some entertainment.

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Liberty vs New Mexico State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Sportsbooks’ favorites Liberty are regarded as likeliest victors for this college game and the -167 about them triumphing means a 63% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. At +140, New Mexico State are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

3.5 is the spread and 143.5 is the total points line. A Total bet is always available and can often provide value selections. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 143.5 at -105.

If you’re betting on college basketball, we recommend heading to the top betting sites and scanning through the wide range of team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to wager pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Liberty

-167

NM State

+140

Point Spread

Liberty -3.5

-112

NM State +3.5

-108

Total Points

Under 143.5

-115

Over 143.5

-105

We’re fond of player props as an alternative to betting on the game result. The gambling sites will have Points, Assists, Three-Pointers, Rebounds and Steals among the choices and you can take a particular view.

An increasing number of bettors are now enjoying micro betting on college basketball and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Liberty Stats

New Mexico State Stats

Moneyline

• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 143.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 145.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 143.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 143.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.30 pts and allowed 66.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 73.50 pts and allowed 72.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 146.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 145.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 143.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 143.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 73.30 pts and allowed 73.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 77.10 pts and allowed 68.50 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Conference USA	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Liberty	20-3	1823	1554	269	12-1	8-2	14W
Sam Houston	16-8	1991	1770	221	9-1	7-7	1L
Kennesaw State	14-9	1962	1748	214	11-1	3-8	1L
Jacksonville State	13-10	1682	1524	158	9-5	4-5	2W
Missouri State	13-10	1733	1669	64	10-3	3-7	1L
Louisiana Tech	13-10	1586	1457	129	12-2	1-8	1W
Western Kentucky	13-11	1855	1786	69	10-5	3-6	1W
Middle Tennessee	11-12	1716	1654	62	9-5	2-7	5L
FIU	11-12	1896	1812	84	9-4	2-8	1L
New Mexico State	11-12	1742	1631	111	8-5	3-7	1L
UTEP	9-15	1682	1731	-49	8-6	1-9	1W
Delaware	7-16	1528	1663	-135	5-9	2-7	1W

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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