Los Angeles Sparks vs New York Liberty Prediction, Picks & Odds | 03 Jul 2025
Liberty Set for Big Win
The Liberty can enjoy a huge win and we’re heading to the spread. Back the big favorites off -11 to cover the line against the Sparks at -110.
Liberty Have Claimed 8 Wins in 10 on H2H
Los Angeles Sparks were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to Chicago Sky by a 92-85 scoreline at Crypto.com Arena.
New York Liberty suffered a defeat in their last game. A 90-81 scoreline occurred on the road at Gateway Center Arena against Atlanta Dream.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The scoreline was 94-88 in favor of the Sparks when they last played the Liberty, with the matchup taking place at Crypto.com Arena. The past 10 clashes between these teams have seen eight Liberty wins.
| WNBA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5
Liberty
|
24 | 16 | 3405 | 3240 | 165 | 16-5 | 8-11 | 1L |
9
Sparks
|
19 | 20 | 3355 | 3429 | -74 | 8-12 | 11-8 | 2W |
Los Angeles Sparks vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks
There’s a case for taking the -110 that Liberty can overcome the -11 in this WNBA matchup. They should be capable of a sizeable win and that means we’re backing the favorites against the spread.
The formbook is always a good place to start ahead of making WNBA picks. Team news is also an important port of call, while the stats we present always tell an interesting story.
Key Sparks vs Liberty stats:
Liberty -11 Probability
According to the latest odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. However, our cappers research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.
There’s the opportunity to sell points and that means moving the line until you’re happy with the bet. It means a riskier wager but a bigger return on the odds available.
Best Bet
Liberty -11 @ -110
Player Prop Picks
Kelsey Plum (Sparks) is available at +102 to secure Over 5.5 assists. We’re happy to wager that she is able to cover the line, with this Player Assists bet making appeal.
Latest Kelsey Plum Player Prop Odds
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Natasha Cloud (Liberty) is available at -101 to secure Over 6.5 assists. We’re tempted to back her to cover the Player Assists line, with plenty of juice on offer.
Latest Natasha Cloud Player Prop Odds
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Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve loaded up a same game parlay with the combined picks of Liberty -11, Under 171 and Kelsey Plum (Sparks) to have Over 5.5 assists.
A same game parlay is a fantastic way of cheering on different selections within the same basketball game. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single bet. The odds can combine to great effect.
Correct Score Prediction
77
-
91
Liberty
The Liberty are capable of landing a victory and we’re going for a correct score line of 91-77 at huge odds. There’s a big return that can be achieved with this wager.
Los Angeles Sparks vs New York Liberty Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Liberty Heavy Favorites in Eyes of the Books
The sportsbooks are taking no chances with their Moneyline odds of -588 about New York Liberty which reflects they have a 85% chance of winning this WNBA game. Los Angeles Sparks are the underdogs at +420 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.
The spread is calculated to be 10.5, while total points comes in at 171. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. If you want to bet Under 171, there are odds of -108.
Whether you are wagering pre-game or in-game, you can feast on a wide range of game lines and team props. The selections are practically endless and it’s great to have lots of options.
Breanna Stewart Favorite to Get the Most Buckets
Breanna Stewart is the market leader to hit the most buckets. She is priced at -120 to score Over 21.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -108.
Micro Betting
There are always opportunities to enjoy micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find team and player props in-game and basketball bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as if the next shot will be a Two or Three-Pointer.
Last 5 & H2H
- WNBA: 04/07 2025 Sparks 79 Liberty 89
- WNBA: 29/08 2024 Liberty 88 Sparks 94
- WNBA: 16/08 2024 Liberty 103 Sparks 68
- WNBA: 22/06 2024 Sparks 88 Liberty 98
- WNBA: 21/06 2024 Sparks 80 Liberty 93
- WNBA: 08/09 2023 Sparks 89 Liberty 96
- WNBA: 02/08 2023 Liberty 76 Sparks 69
- WNBA: 30/07 2023 Liberty 87 Sparks 79
- WNBA: 04/08 2022 Sparks 61 Liberty 64
- WNBA: 03/08 2022 Sparks 73 Liberty 102
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Los Angeles Sparks Stats
New York Liberty Stats
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games
- +11.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road
- -11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
- -11.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 176.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 173.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 175.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
- Over 175.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 89.10 pts and allowed 87.10 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 86.70 pts and allowed 87.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 168.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 164.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 175.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
- Over 175.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 86.30 pts and allowed 81.90 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 86.20 pts and allowed 78.10 pts in the last 10 home games
WNBA Table Select Season
| Team | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
Lynx
|
32 | 8 | 3478 | 3068 | 410 | 19-2 | 13-6 | 2W |
2
Aces
|
26 | 14 | 3308 | 3263 | 45 | 14-5 | 12-9 | 12W |
3
Dream
|
26 | 14 | 3347 | 3084 | 263 | 13-6 | 13-8 | 2W |
4
Mercury
|
25 | 14 | 3240 | 3105 | 135 | 14-6 | 11-8 | 4W |
|
5
Liberty
|
24 | 16 | 3405 | 3240 | 165 | 16-5 | 8-11 | 1L |
6
Valkyries
|
21 | 18 | 3072 | 2997 | 75 | 12-7 | 9-11 | 3W |
7
Fever
|
21 | 19 | 3381 | 3287 | 94 | 11-9 | 10-10 | 1L |
8
Storm
|
22 | 20 | 3464 | 3367 | 97 | 9-11 | 13-9 | 1L |
|
9
Sparks
|
19 | 20 | 3355 | 3429 | -74 | 8-12 | 11-8 | 2W |
10
Mystics
|
16 | 25 | 3194 | 3345 | -151 | 10-10 | 6-15 | 7L |
11
Sun
|
10 | 30 | 3052 | 3435 | -383 | 6-14 | 4-16 | 2L |
12
Sky
|
9 | 30 | 2957 | 3353 | -396 | 5-15 | 4-15 | 4L |
13
Wings
|
9 | 32 | 3340 | 3620 | -280 | 5-16 | 4-16 | 8L |
Indiana Fever
Phoenix Mercury
New York Liberty
Golden State Valkyries
América
Avaí
Kazakhstan
Wales