Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Picks & Odds | 02 Sep 2025

WNBA Betting Preview: Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury

The Indiana Fever face the Phoenix Mercury in this WNBA matchup at PHX Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Tuesday, September 2. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

The best betting angle could be the Mercury against the spread. You can land -106 that the market leaders are able to cover the -5.5 line and they are more than capable in their meeting with the Fever.

Indiana Fever were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road at Chase Center. Golden State Valkyries claimed a 75-63 win.

Phoenix Mercury were winners last time out. It was a 80-63 home victory against New York Liberty at PHX Arena.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 95-60 win for the Mercury at PHX Arena when they last played the Fever. The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in six Fever victories.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
5  Fever	25	14	3769	3547	222	13-6	12-8	1W
11  Mercury	13	24	3109	3247	-138	5-12	8-12	2L

View Full Standings

Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks

Unlock a complete betting breakdown for Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury, featuring our expert match prediction, expected final score, standout player prop picks and a ready-to-play bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re backing Mercury against the spread in this WNBA contest. It could be shrewd to bet on the favorites to cover the appealing -5.5 line, with -106 on offer.

To deliver the best possible basketball predictions, we start by locking in the team news and taking time to review the latest form. There’s also no shortage of data to crunch from the most up-to-date WNBA stats available.

Key Fever vs Mercury stats:

• The -5.5 line has been covered by Mercury in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -5.5 line has been covered by Mercury in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The +5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Fever in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

Mercury -5.5 Probability

According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 51.5% chance of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This WNBA wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

We recommend moving the line if you are searching for bigger odds about the same selection. Take your pick and get the juice that you want from your bet in the process.

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Our Game Prediction

Mercury -5.5 @ -106 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Sep 2, 02:52). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Satou Sabally Over 5.5 Rebounds -106

Satou Sabally (Mercury) is available at -106 to record Over 5.5 rebounds. We recommend taking the pick that she is able to cover the line, with this Player Rebounds bet hopefully providing a return.

Latest Satou Sabally Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

-125

Under 14.5

-103

Rebounds

Over 5.5

+132

Under 5.5

-172

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Alyssa Thomas Over 9.5 Assists -106

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) is available at -106 to have Over 9.5 assists. We’re sweet on her covering the Player Assists total and landing our Overs bet.

Latest Alyssa Thomas Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

-114

Under 14.5

-114

Assists

Over 9.5

-100

Under 9.5

-130

Rebounds

Over 9.5

+104

Under 9.5

-135

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Fever 77 - 85 Mercury

The Mercury will be chasing down a victory and a winning scoreline of 85-77 might be along the right lines. There are enormous odds available about this bet.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Phoenix Mercury are regarded as having a 78% chance of winning this WNBA game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -345. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Indiana Fever are trading at +260.

7.5 is the spread and 166.5 is the total points line. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball wagers. Those expecting a low total can back Under 166.5 at -110.

If you’re wagering on women's basketball, we recommend heading to the best sportsbooks and scanning through the huge selection of game lines and team props. There’s a chance to bet pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Fever

+260

Mercury

-345

Point Spread

Fever +7.5

-108

Mercury -7.5

-112

Total Points

Under 166.5

-110

Over 166.5

-110

The favorite to score most points is Kelsey Mitchell. You can get -119 that she scores Over 19.5 points or -109 that she goes Under.

Kelsey Mitchell (Fever)

Over 19.5

-119

Under 19.5

-109

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 15.5

-122

Under 15.5

-106

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 14.5

-125

Under 14.5

-103

Aliyah Boston (Fever)

Over 14.5

-115

Under 14.5

-112

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 14.5

-114

Under 14.5

-114

Odyssey Sims (Fever)

Over 9.5

-135

Under 9.5

+105

Natasha Howard (Fever)

Over 9.5

-128

Under 9.5

-101

Lexie Hull (Fever)

Over 9.5

+128

Under 9.5

-167

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 9.5

-100

Under 9.5

-130

Odyssey Sims (Fever)

Over 4.5

+117

Under 4.5

-152

Kelsey Mitchell (Fever)

Over 3.5

-119

Under 3.5

-109

Aliyah Boston (Fever)

Over 3.5

+115

Under 3.5

-149

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 9.5

+104

Under 9.5

-135

Aliyah Boston (Fever)

Over 8.5

-103

Under 8.5

-125

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 5.5

+132

Under 5.5

-172

Natasha Howard (Fever)

Over 5.5

-154

Under 5.5

+119

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 3.5

+128

Under 3.5

-167

Lexie Hull (Fever)

Over 3.5

-167

Under 3.5

+128

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some basketball bettors prefer to look at the micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Indiana Fever Stats

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 193.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 176.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 173.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 173.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 99.10 pts and allowed 94.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 86.70 pts and allowed 89.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 171.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 174.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 173.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 173.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.50 pts and allowed 86.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 85.70 pts and allowed 89.10 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 202620252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	31	8	3571	3248	323	14-6	17-2	1L
2  Valkyries	26	11	3051	2824	227	15-5	11-6	1W
3  Aces	26	13	3531	3388	143	12-7	14-6	2W
4  Dream	25	13	3460	3246	214	12-6	13-7	4W
5  Fever	25	14	3769	3547	222	13-6	12-8	1W
6  Liberty	23	15	3448	3329	119	13-5	10-10	1W
7  Mystics	22	15	3057	3076	-19	13-7	9-8	1W
8  Wings	22	16	3367	3265	102	12-6	10-10	2W
9  Fire	15	22	3215	3377	-162	8-11	7-11	2L
10  Sky	15	23	3320	3415	-95	10-10	5-13	1L
11  Mercury	13	24	3109	3247	-138	5-12	8-12	2L
12  Sparks	13	25	3316	3516	-200	6-13	7-12	1L
13  Tempo	11	26	3229	3467	-238	7-13	4-13	1L
14  Sun	9	27	2845	3133	-288	6-12	3-15	2L
15  Storm	7	31	3150	3360	-210	5-13	2-18	3L

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