Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 May 2025

Will Sparks Stay in Reach of the Favorites?

We’re making the Sparks against the spread our prediction when they face the Mercury. The betting line is favorably set at +5.5 and you can secure -108 that this happens.

Mercury 85-81 Winners in Last H2H Matchup

Los Angeles Sparks were defeated in their last game, losing at home to Minnesota Lynx by a 89-75 scoreline at Crypto.com Arena.

Phoenix Mercury won their season opener, beating Seattle Storm at home. It was a 81-59 victory at Footprint Center.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Mercury beat the Sparks in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 85-81 scoreline at Crypto.com Arena. The Mercury have four straight wins against the Sparks. They have won 6 of the 10 previous head-to-head meetings.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Mercury	24	14	3160	3042	118	13-6	11-8	3W
9  Sparks	17	19	3108	3190	-82	7-11	10-8	1L

View Full Standings

Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks

If you agree that Sparks can go fairly close in this WNBA showdown, then bet the underdogs against the spread here. The +5.5 makes plenty of appeal at odds of -108.

The form is always taken into consideration and it’s great to combine this with team news as it becomes available. In order to provide an expert WNBA verdict, the latest stats are analysed so that we have the best information.

Key Sparks vs Mercury stats:

• The +5.5 line has been covered by Sparks in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +5.5 line has been covered by Sparks in 3 consecutive games on the road.
• The -5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sparks +5.5 Probability

The sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 51.8% likelihood of this pick winning. After careful examination, our cappers have this probability close to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

There are several options available including selling points. If you want more juice from your wager, then you can go down this route and take your own view.

Best Bet

Sparks +5.5 @ -108 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Kelsey Plum Under 5.5 Assists -102

Kelsey Plum (Sparks) can be wagered to finish with Under 5.5 assists at -102. Should you agree with our verdict that the total is too high, you can bet this Player Assists wager.

---

Satou Sabally Under 4.5 Assists -119

Satou Sabally (Mercury) can be wagered to total Under 4.5 assists at -119. She’s not guaranteed to cover the Player Assists line and we’re happy to take this bet.

Correct Score Prediction

Sparks 77 - 78 Mercury

There might not be too much between these teams, with our correct score prediction being a 78-77 win for the Mercury. There are enormous odds available when it comes to this pick.

Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Moneyline Odds Suggest Mercury Victory

Sportsbooks’ favorites Phoenix Mercury are regarded as likeliest victors for this WNBA game and the -227 about them triumphing means a 69% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. Los Angeles Sparks are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +180.

5.5 is the spread and 159.5 is the total points line. Basketball fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. Those who wager Under 159.5 can get -110.

Consider every angle when placing your basketball wagers. The betting sites have a huge selection of team props and game lines and it’s all about finding a bet which matches your prediction of the contest.

Moneyline

Sparks

+180

Mercury

-227

Point Spread

Sparks +5.5

-114

Mercury -5.5

-106

Total Points

Under 159.5

-110

Over 159.5

-110

Kelsey Plum Favorite to Get Most Points

Kelsey Plum is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can get -116 that she goes Over 23.5 points or the same odds when it comes to Under.

Kelsey Plum (Sparks)

Over 23.5

-116

Under 23.5

-116

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 22.5

-115

Under 22.5

-118

Dearica Hamby (Sparks)

Over 17.5

-109

Under 17.5

-125

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 16.5

-106

Under 16.5

-128

Azura Stevens (Sparks)

Over 13.5

-120

Under 13.5

-112

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-110

Under 8.5

-123

Kelsey Plum (Sparks)

Over 5.5

-130

Under 5.5

-105

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 3.5

-172

Under 3.5

+125

Dearica Hamby (Sparks)

Over 9.5

-111

Under 9.5

-122

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-137

Under 8.5

-100

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 7.5

+106

Under 7.5

-143

Azura Stevens (Sparks)

Over 7.5

+105

Under 7.5

-143

Micro Betting

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, team and player props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Los Angeles Sparks Stats

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 159.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 162.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 162.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 162.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 77.40 pts and allowed 82.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 80.60 pts and allowed 82.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 165.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 159.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 162.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 162.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.80 pts and allowed 85.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 78.20 pts and allowed 81.40 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	30	8	3288	2927	361	18-2	12-6	1L
2  Aces	26	14	3308	3263	45	14-5	12-9	12W
3  Dream	24	14	3154	2930	224	12-6	12-8	1L
4  Mercury	24	14	3160	3042	118	13-6	11-8	3W
5  Liberty	24	15	3342	3160	182	16-5	8-10	2W
6  Fever	20	18	3242	3137	105	11-9	9-9	1W
7  Storm	21	19	3300	3207	93	8-10	13-9	1W
8  Valkyries	19	18	2898	2872	26	10-7	9-11	1W
9  Sparks	17	19	3108	3190	-82	7-11	10-8	1L
10  Mystics	16	23	3054	3165	-111	10-10	6-13	5L
11  Sun	10	28	2906	3248	-342	6-12	4-16	1W
12  Sky	9	29	2888	3274	-386	5-15	4-14	3L
13  Wings	9	30	3191	3424	-233	5-16	4-14	6L