Louisville vs Tennessee Prediction, Picks & Odds | 16 Dec 2025

College Basketball Betting Preview: Louisville vs Tennessee

The Louisville Cardinals battle the Tennessee Volunteers, with tip-off scheduled for 19:00 on Tuesday, December 16.

Under 158.5 points could be on the money for this Louisville vs Tennessee game. Our prediction is based on a low-scoring contest and the odds of -110 looks like a value bet.

If you’re into our Totals play, don’t skip our comprehensive BetMGM review. And while you’re at it, grab the latest promo code.

Louisville Cardinals claimed a victory in their previous game. A 99-73 home win occurred against Memphis Tigers.

Tennessee Volunteers were beaten 75-62 in their last game, being turned over at home to Illinois Fighting Illini.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last matchup between Tennessee and Louisville saw the former win. It was a 77-55 scoreline.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Louisville	9-1	943	681	262	7-0	2-1	2W
Tennessee	7-3	809	660	149	6-2	1-1	3L

View Full Standings

Louisville vs Tennessee Prediction & Picks

This Louisville vs Tennessee betting breakdown features a main match prediction, a correct score insight and a sharply constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Game Prediction

Don’t expect fireworks in this college matchup. The two teams might not score a huge combined total and our pick is to back Under 158.5 points at odds of -110.

Recent form is always part of the equation and we combine it with team news as soon as it’s available. To deliver expert basketball predictions, our handicappers also analyze the latest college hoops stats to ensure we’re working with the best information possible.

Key Louisville vs Tennessee stats:

• The 158.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Louisville games on the road.
• The 158.5 line hasn’t been covered in 12 of the last 19 Louisville games on the road.
• The 158.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 7 Tennessee games.
• The 158.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Tennessee games.
• The 158.5 line hasn’t been covered in 18 of the last 20 Tennessee games.

Under 158.5 Probability

If you go by the best sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of landing a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

There’s the chance to boost your odds about an Under pick. The Match Result & Total lines provide a prime opportunity to squeeze more juice by predicting the winner too.

Before you make your picks, explore our detailed betting guide filled with free bets, the latest promo codes and welcome bonuses.

Our Game Prediction

Under 158.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Louisville 78 - 76 Tennessee

For a fun bet, consider backing Louisville to claim a 78-76 win. Although it’s a speculative wager, we are expecting things to be close between the two teams.

Louisville vs Tennessee Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

When you consider the latest Moneyline odds, you can find Tennessee at -125 whereas Louisville are +104. This means the top sportsbooks give the road team a 49% chance of winning.

The spread is calculated to be 1.5, while total points comes in at 156.5. Having a wager on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball bets. There’s the chance to back Under 156.5 at -105.

Consider every angle when placing your college hoops bets. The top basketball betting sites offer a huge selection of game lines and team props, and it’s all about finding a wager that fits your prediction of the game.

Moneyline

Louisville

+104

Tennessee

-125

Point Spread

Louisville +1.5

-114

Tennessee -1.5

-106

Total Points

Under 156.5

-105

Over 156.5

-115

The gambling sites also allow you to place player prop bets such as Points, Assists, Steals and Rebounds. This means you can focus on an individual player’s performance rather than wager on the actual outcome of the game in question.

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to college basketball micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Louisville Stats

Tennessee Stats

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 162.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 149.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 158.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 158.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 94.30 pts and allowed 68.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 79.20 pts and allowed 70.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 146.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 146.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 158.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
• Over 158.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.90 pts and allowed 66.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 81.80 pts and allowed 64.80 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southeastern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Vanderbilt	10-0	954	729	225	7-0	3-0	10W
Georgia	9-1	983	706	277	7-1	2-0	3W
LSU	9-1	885	706	179	6-1	3-0	1W
Missouri	10-2	1041	838	203	9-0	1-2	2W
Arkansas	8-2	881	725	156	7-1	1-1	3W
Texas A&M	8-3	1022	844	178	6-1	2-2	1W
Auburn	8-3	951	845	106	7-2	1-1	1W
Tennessee	7-3	809	660	149	6-2	1-1	3L
Alabama	7-3	931	809	122	5-3	2-0	1L
South Carolina	7-3	801	682	119	7-1	0-2	2W
Oklahoma	7-3	847	751	96	5-0	2-3	1W
Kentucky	7-4	927	730	197	7-3	0-1	2W
Texas	7-4	954	803	151	6-2	1-2	1L
Florida	6-4	820	722	98	6-1	0-3	1W
Ole Miss	6-4	749	679	70	6-1	0-3	1W
Mississippi State	5-5	787	781	6	4-3	1-2	1W

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	10-0	868	596	272	7-0	3-0	10W
California	10-1	909	761	148	10-0	0-1	7W
Louisville	9-1	943	681	262	7-0	2-1	2W
Virginia	9-1	871	675	196	7-0	2-1	4W
North Carolina	9-1	811	647	164	8-0	1-1	3W
Virginia Tech	10-2	998	863	135	8-0	2-2	4W
Miami	9-2	960	732	228	7-1	2-1	4W
SMU	9-2	975	849	126	8-0	1-2	1L
Stanford	8-2	823	732	91	5-2	3-0	1W
Notre Dame	9-3	928	817	111	8-0	1-3	4W
Clemson	8-3	900	730	170	7-0	1-3	1W
Wake Forest	8-3	953	800	153	6-1	2-2	2W
NC State	7-4	964	804	160	6-2	1-2	1L
Syracuse	6-4	726	650	76	5-1	1-3	1L
Georgia Tech	6-4	724	692	32	6-2	0-2	1W
Florida State	5-5	853	809	44	5-3	0-2	4L
Boston College	5-6	774	742	32	4-5	1-1	1L
Pittsburgh	5-6	779	772	7	5-3	0-3	3L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

Top Basketball Pages