Melbourne United vs Illawarra Hawks Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 14 Feb 2026

NBL Betting Preview: Melbourne United vs Illawarra Hawks

Melbourne United host Illawarra Hawks, with tip-off set for 22:30 on Saturday 14 February.

We wouldn’t be surprised to see Illawarra triumph and it makes sense to take +6.5 on the spread at odds of -119 when they go up against Melbourne.

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Melbourne United won their last game 89-85. This was a road victory against Cairns Taipans.

Illawarra Hawks were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to Sydney Kings by a 120-94 scoreline.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Melbourne have won back-to-back encounters against Illawarra. It was a 105-102 victory on the road that was followed by a 97-75 home triumph. It’s been six Illawarra wins in the past 10 games between these teams.

NBL	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
5  Melbourne United	19	12	2855	2714	141	10-5	9-7	1W
8  Illawarra Hawks	11	20	2871	3044	-173	7-9	4-11	2L

View Full Standings

Melbourne United vs Illawarra Hawks Prediction & Betting Tips

Make the most of Melbourne United vs Illawarra Hawks with our betting analysis that includes an expert match prediction, expected scoreline and a hand-picked bet builder designed for value.

Game Prediction

We’re sweet on Illawarra putting up a fight in this NBL showdown and that compels us to back the underdogs against the spread. You can get -119 when it comes to the +6.5 that is available.

A good deal of research goes into our basketball picks. We start by studying the latest form and getting a handle on injuries. The key NBL stats can then be used as the missing piece of the jigsaw.

Key Melbourne vs Illawarra league stats:

• The +6.5 line has been covered by Illawarra in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +6.5 line has been covered by Illawarra in 11 of their last 20 games.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Melbourne in 4 consecutive games.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Melbourne in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Melbourne in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Melbourne in 8 of their last 10 games against Illawarra.

Hawks +6.5 Probability

Based on the latest odds from the top betting apps, our pick carries a 54.3% chance of winning In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this basketball wager.

There’s a chance to secure bigger odds and this can be achieved by moving the line. Squeeze more juice from your pick by taking an alternative betting view.

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Our Game Prediction

Illawarra +6.5 @ -119 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Melbourne United 92 - 89 Illawarra Hawks

For a fun bet, consider backing Melbourne United to claim a 92-89 win. Although it’s a speculative wager, we are expecting things to be close between the two teams.

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Melbourne United vs Illawarra Hawks Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Melbourne United as -238 favorites for this NBL game, implying that they are 70% likely to win. Illawarra Hawks are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +188.

The spread is calculated to be 5.5, while total points comes in at 187.5. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. If you want to bet Under 187.5, there are odds of -114.

There are a wide range of team props and game lines when it comes to betting on the NBL and we recommend visiting the top basketball betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the contest.

Moneyline

Melbourne

-238

Illawarra

+188

Point Spread

Melbourne -5.5

-115

Illawarra +5.5

-108

Total Points

Under 187.5

-114

Over 187.5

-108

Prop betting is very popular, with bettors looking to wager on player props such as Points, Assists, Rebounds, Steals and Three-Pointers. It’s a great way of betting on individual player performance and the gambling sites will provide lots of options.

There are always opportunities to enjoy NBL micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find player and team props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as if the next shot will be a Two or Three-Pointer.

Latest 0 regular season and play-off games stats.

Melbourne United Stats

Illawarra Hawks Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games
• -6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 171.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 174.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 187.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 187.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 86.40 pts and allowed 84.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 89.00 pts and allowed 85.70 pts in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 203.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 196.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 187.5: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games
• Over 187.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 100.20 pts and allowed 103.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 96.40 pts and allowed 100.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

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NBL Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/20201997

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Adelaide 36ers	23	9	2968	2804	164	12-5	11-4	2W
2  Sydney Kings	22	9	3057	2718	339	12-4	10-5	9W
3  SEM Phoenix	21	10	3113	2862	251	10-5	11-5	1L
4  Perth Wildcats	20	11	2826	2664	162	9-7	11-4	4W
5  Melbourne United	19	12	2855	2714	141	10-5	9-7	1W
6  JackJumpers	14	17	2699	2661	38	6-9	8-8	2W
7  NZ Breakers	12	20	2907	2974	-67	6-9	6-11	1L
8  Illawarra Hawks	11	20	2871	3044	-173	7-9	4-11	2L
9  Cairns Taipans	9	23	2670	3079	-409	4-13	5-10	1L
10  Brisbane Bullets	6	26	2633	3079	-446	2-13	4-13	12L

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