Melbourne United vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 19 Feb 2026

NBL Betting Preview: Melbourne United vs South East Melbourne Phoenix

Melbourne United host South East Melbourne Phoenix, with tip-off set for 03:30 on Thursday 19 February.

South East Melbourne should be taken against the spread at -5.5 with our prediction being for them to achieve a comfortable margin of victory when clashing with Melbourne. Back the favorites at the -112 that's available.

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Melbourne United were defeated last time out. They were beaten at home to Illawarra Hawks by a 100-91 scoreline.

South East Melbourne Phoenix won their previous game, beating Tasmania JackJumpers at home. It was a 120-104 victory.

Head-to-Head Statistics

South East Melbourne had the edge in the most recent encounter between these teams. They recorded a 111-86 win over Melbourne. The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in seven Melbourne victories.

NBL	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
3  SEM Phoenix	22	10	3233	2966	267	11-5	11-5	1W
5  Melbourne United	19	13	2946	2814	132	10-6	9-7	1L

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Melbourne United vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Prediction & Betting Tips

Make the most of Melbourne United vs South East Melbourne Phoenix with our betting analysis that includes an expert match prediction, expected scoreline and a hand-picked bet builder designed for value.

Game Prediction

There’s an attractive line of -5.5 when it comes to South East Melbourne for this NBL matchup. The -112 that the favorites cover the spread has lots of juice and our pick is that they will make it happen.

The team news that filters through can have a knock-on effect as far as the NBL lines and odds are concerned. We use this information along with the form guide, while the latest stats are also taken into consideration.

Key Melbourne vs South East Melbourne league stats:

• The -5.5 line has been covered by SEM Phoenix in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -5.5 line has been covered by SEM Phoenix in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -5.5 line has been covered by SEM Phoenix in 2 consecutive games on the road.
• The +5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Melbourne in 2 consecutive games at home.

Phoenix -5.5 Probability

The top betting sites imply that our pick has a 52.9% prospect of winning. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this basketball wager.

If you want bigger odds, then you can move the line by selling points. Choose how many to sell until you are happy with the juice available.

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Our Game Prediction

SEM Phoenix -5.5 @ -112 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (08:02, 18 February 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Melbourne United 90 - 98 SEM Phoenix

For those wanting a big return from a small stake, consider the correct score lines. For example, SEM Phoenix can be backed to win 98-90 at enormous betting odds.

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Melbourne United vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have South East Melbourne Phoenix as -217 favorites for this NBL game, implying that they are 68% likely to win. Melbourne United are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +170.

The spread is currently 5.5, with the total points line at 191.5. Basketball fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. If you want to bet Under 191.5, there are odds of -110.

Most NBL games come with lots of team props and game lines, and the best basketball betting sites make sure you’ve got plenty to choose from. Don’t forget to browse both pre-game and in-game markets before you place a wager.

Moneyline

Melbourne

+170

SEM Phoenix

-217

Point Spread

Melbourne +5.5

-110

SEM Phoenix -5.5

-112

Total Points

Under 191.5

-110

Over 191.5

-112

You shouldn’t overlook the player props when it comes to betting on individual games. Many gambling sites will give you the chance to get with or bet against a specific player when it comes to number of Points, Assists, Steals and Blocks.

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for NBL bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Latest 0 regular season and play-off games stats.

Melbourne United Stats

SEM Phoenix Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 172.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 175.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 191.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
• Over 191.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 86.30 pts and allowed 85.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 88.90 pts and allowed 86.20 pts in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 207.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 193.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 191.5: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games
• Over 191.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 108.20 pts and allowed 99.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 102.00 pts and allowed 91.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

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NBL Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/20201997

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Sydney Kings	23	9	3159	2802	357	13-4	10-5	10W
2  Adelaide 36ers	23	9	2968	2804	164	12-5	11-4	2W
3  SEM Phoenix	22	10	3233	2966	267	11-5	11-5	1W
4  Perth Wildcats	20	12	2910	2766	144	9-7	11-5	1L
5  Melbourne United	19	13	2946	2814	132	10-6	9-7	1L
6  JackJumpers	14	19	2873	2884	-11	6-10	8-9	2L
7  Illawarra Hawks	13	20	3074	3205	-131	7-9	6-11	2W
8  NZ Breakers	12	20	2907	2974	-67	6-9	6-11	1L
9  Cairns Taipans	9	23	2670	3079	-409	4-13	5-10	1L
10  Brisbane Bullets	6	26	2633	3079	-446	2-13	4-13	12L

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