Merrimack vs Tarleton State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Nov 2025

College Basketball Betting Preview: Merrimack vs Tarleton State

The Merrimack Warriors square off against the Tarleton State Texans, with tip-off scheduled for 20:00 on Tuesday, November 11. Our betting preview features expert NCAAB predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

Total Line Looks Too High and We’ll Go Under

We’re not sure that Merrimack and Tarleton State will reach a certain points threshold. Our prediction is to take the -112 that there are Under 142.5 points.

Going with our Totals selection? Make sure you’ve locked in the latest BetMGM promo code and checked out our full review before placing your wager.

Merrimack Lost Big Last Time Out

Merrimack Warriors lost on the road in their previous game. Auburn Tigers won 95-57.

Tarleton State Texans last game saw them claim a 85-77 home win over Texas A&M–Corpus Christi Islanders.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Tarleton State	1-2	221	269	-48	1-0	0-2	1W
Merrimack	0-2	123	170	-47	0-1	0-1	2L

View Full Standings

Merrimack vs Tarleton State Prediction & Picks

Our Merrimack vs Tarleton State betting guide delivers expert insight, including a main match pick, our correct score angle and bet builder recommendations. Dive into each section below for more.

Game Prediction

The -112 about Under 142.5 points makes lots of appeal. We’re not sure that the teams can combine to reach that number for this college matchup.

Our basketball predictions are always well-researched, starting with a combination of the latest college hoops team news and current form. Once we’ve got a solid read on the matchup, we layer in the key data to back it up.

Key Merrimack vs Tarleton State stats:

• The 142.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Merrimack games.
• The 142.5 line hasn’t been covered in 15 of the last 20 Merrimack games.
• The 142.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Tarleton State games at home.
• The 142.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Tarleton State games at home.

Under 142.5 Probability

Based on the latest odds from the top sportsbooks, our pick carries a 52.9% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

It’s all about getting the best odds and one way of maximising your Unders bet is by combining it with the winner on the Match Result & Total lines.

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Best Bet

Under 142.5 Points @ -112 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Merrimack 68 - 69 Tarleton State

Don’t pass up the opportunity to have a speculative wager on the Texans to achieve a 69-68 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams.

Merrimack vs Tarleton State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Think Tarleton State Likeliest to Win

With an estimated 69% chance of winning, the sportsbooks are taking no chances with their -227 betting odds about Tarleton State triumphing in this college game. The market suggests that Merrimack are least likely to win at +176.

The spread is calculated to be 4.5, while total points comes in at 141.5. A Total wager relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you want to bet Under 141.5, there are odds of -108.

Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game, you can feast on a wide range of team props and game lines at the top basketball sportsbooks. The selections are practically endless, and it’s fantastic to have so many options.

Moneyline

Merrimack

+176

Tarleton State

-227

Point Spread

Merrimack +4.5

-105

Tarleton State -4.5

-115

Total Points

Under 141.5

-108

Over 141.5

-116

Player Props & Micro Betting

We’re fond of player props as an alternative to betting on the game result. The gambling sites will have Points, Assists, Three-Pointers, Rebounds and Steals among the choices and you can take a particular view.

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some bettors prefer to look at the college basketball micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Merrimack Stats

Tarleton State Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 134.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 135.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 142.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 142.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 66.60 pts and allowed 67.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 68.30 pts and allowed 67.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 134.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 132.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 142.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 142.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 63.70 pts and allowed 71.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 69.50 pts and allowed 63.10 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Western Athletic	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Abilene Christian	2-0	165	126	39	2-0	0-0	2W
Cal Baptist	2-0	156	136	20	1-0	1-0	2W
UT Arlington	2-1	264	175	89	2-0	0-1	1W
Utah Valley	1-1	193	136	57	1-0	0-1	1L
Utah Tech	2-2	324	318	6	1-0	1-2	2L
Tarleton State	1-2	221	269	-48	1-0	0-2	1W
Southern Utah	0-2	136	176	-40	0-1	0-1	2L

Metro Atlantic Athletic	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Siena	2-0	144	112	32	1-0	1-0	2W
Iona	1-0	81	73	8	1-0	0-0	1W
Niagara	2-1	198	199	-1	1-0	1-1	2W
Sacred Heart	1-1	183	138	45	1-0	0-1	1L
Manhattan	1-1	208	173	35	1-0	0-1	1L
Marist	1-1	137	122	15	0-0	1-1	1W
Quinnipiac	1-1	145	157	-12	1-0	0-1	1W
Saint Peter's	1-1	143	160	-17	1-0	0-1	1W
Fairfield	1-2	201	211	-10	0-0	1-2	1L
Canisius	1-2	202	220	-18	1-0	0-2	1L
Mount St. Mary's	0-2	116	143	-27	0-1	0-1	2L
Merrimack	0-2	123	170	-47	0-1	0-1	2L
Rider	0-2	106	168	-62	0-0	0-2	2L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak