Dayton vs Cincinnati Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Nov 2025

College Basketball Betting Preview: Dayton vs Cincinnati

The Dayton Flyers battle the Cincinnati Bearcats, with tip-off scheduled for 19:00 on Tuesday, November 11. Our betting preview features expert NCAAB predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

We’re confident that the underdogs can either win or suffer a narrow defeat. That makes Dayton at +6.5 the best wager when they clash with Cincinnati and -102 are available.

Dayton Flyers won their previous game, beating UMBC Retrievers at home. It was a 77-71 win.

Cincinnati Bearcats won their last game which was at home. It was a 74-64 triumph against Georgia State Panthers.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw Cincinnati claim a 66-59 win over Dayton.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Dayton	23-11	2528	2376	152	16-4	7-7	1L
Cincinnati	18-15	2413	2230	183	16-4	2-11	1L

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Dayton vs Cincinnati Prediction & Picks

Get the full betting picture for Dayton vs Cincinnati, including a key match prediction, our best correct score selection, top player prop picks and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

If you agree that Dayton can go fairly close in this college matchup, then bet the underdogs against the spread here. The +6.5 makes plenty of appeal at odds of -102.

It’s important to know which players are unavailable for the upcoming college hoops action along with the current form of each team. If you're after stats, you're in the right place because they form the foundation of our basketball predictions.

Key Dayton vs Cincinnati stats:

• The +6.5 line has been covered by Dayton in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +6.5 line has been covered by Dayton in 17 of their last 20 games.
• The +6.5 line has been covered by Dayton in 2 consecutive games.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Cincinnati in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Cincinnati in 12 of their last 20 games.

Dayton +6.5 Probability

If you go by the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 50.5% chance of winning. After careful examination, our cappers calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. This college basketball wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you want a viable alternative to backing Dayton on the spread, then the Winning Margin could be up your street. Choose from a range of options.

Before you bet, take a look at our complete guide to the best free bets and new customer bonuses on offer now.

Our Game Prediction

Dayton +6.5 @ -102 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Nov 10, 23:07). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Day Day Thomas Over 11.5 Points -120

Day Day Thomas (Cincinnati) can be backed to register Over 11.5 points at -120. There’s an opportunity to wager on Player Points and the total looks attractive for this player.

Latest Day Day Thomas Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 11.5

-120

Under 11.5

-110

Assists

Over 3.5

+130

Under 3.5

-175

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Moustapha Thiam Under 11.5 Points +105

Moustapha Thiam (Cincinnati) can be wagered to register Under 11.5 points at +105. This gives us confidence that he might not cover the line and you can bet on Player Points.

Latest Moustapha Thiam Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 11.5

-141

Under 11.5

+105

Rebounds

Over 6.5

-110

Under 6.5

-118

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Dayton 75 - 79 Cincinnati

There’s every chance that this is going to be a close game and we’ll have a play on Cincinnati enjoying a 79-75 winning scoreline. Hopefully this can go close.

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Dayton vs Cincinnati Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a 74% chance of securing victory, Cincinnati are favorites for this college game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -278. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Dayton are trading at +225.

The spread is calculated to be 5.5, while total points comes in at 148.5. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. If you’re wanting to back Over 148.5, the odds are -115.

If you’re planning to place a bet on a college hoops matchup, visit the top basketball betting sites and check out the many available game lines and team props. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Dayton

+225

Cincinnati

-278

Point Spread

Dayton +5.5

-105

Cincinnati -5.5

-115

Total Points

Under 148.5

-105

Over 148.5

-115

Moustapha Thiam is favorite when it comes to getting the most points. You can get -141 that he goes Over 11.5 points and +105 when it comes to Under.

Moustapha Thiam (Cincinnati)

Over 11.5

-141

Under 11.5

+105

Day Day Thomas (Cincinnati)

Over 11.5

-120

Under 11.5

-110

Day Day Thomas (Cincinnati)

Over 3.5

+130

Under 3.5

-175

Moustapha Thiam (Cincinnati)

Over 6.5

-110

Under 6.5

-118

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to college basketball micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Field Goal. Check out the live player, score and team props to see if you can find an angle.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Dayton Stats

Cincinnati Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 149.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 149.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 146.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 146.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 77.60 pts and allowed 71.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 74.10 pts and allowed 75.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 141.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 140.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 146.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 146.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 72.30 pts and allowed 69.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 74.30 pts and allowed 66.40 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big 12	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Arizona	32-2	2929	2339	590	21-1	11-1	9W
Houston	28-6	2623	2137	486	20-2	8-4	1L
Iowa State	27-7	2781	2215	566	19-1	8-6	1L
Kansas	23-10	2496	2290	206	17-2	6-8	1L
Texas Tech	22-10	2573	2324	249	16-4	6-6	3L
BYU	23-11	2853	2561	292	17-4	6-7	1L
TCU	22-11	2584	2378	206	16-5	6-6	1L
UCF	21-11	2591	2511	80	15-5	6-6	1L
Oklahoma State	19-14	2781	2736	45	14-5	5-9	1L
West Virginia	18-14	2214	2072	142	15-6	3-8	1L
Cincinnati	18-15	2413	2230	183	16-4	2-11	1L
Colorado	17-15	2559	2542	17	15-7	2-8	2L
Arizona State	17-16	2519	2585	-66	13-6	4-10	1L
Baylor	16-16	2642	2469	173	12-8	4-8	1L
Kansas State	12-20	2546	2619	-73	11-8	1-12	2L
Utah	10-22	2379	2531	-152	9-9	1-13	6L

Atlantic 10	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Saint Louis	28-5	2879	2294	585	21-2	7-3	1L
VCU	27-7	2773	2430	343	19-3	8-4	6W
George Mason	23-9	2347	2160	187	17-3	6-6	1L
Dayton	23-11	2528	2376	152	16-4	7-7	1L
Saint Joseph's	22-11	2419	2306	113	16-3	6-8	1L
Davidson	20-13	2367	2225	142	12-8	8-5	1L
Duquesne	18-15	2584	2481	103	13-7	5-8	1L
George Washington	18-15	2708	2433	275	13-5	5-10	1L
Fordham	17-15	2235	2095	140	12-8	5-7	1L
Rhode Island	16-16	2236	2182	54	10-7	6-9	2L
St. Bonaventure	17-17	2596	2532	64	10-7	7-10	1L
Richmond	15-17	2455	2366	89	11-8	4-9	4L
La Salle	9-23	2148	2370	-222	7-9	2-14	2L
Loyola Chicago	9-24	2204	2500	-296	6-12	3-12	1L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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