Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Friday

NBA Betting Preview: Heat vs Hawks

The Miami Heat take the court against the Atlanta Hawks in this NBA contest. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

The Heat and the Hawks are unlikely to reach the 242.5 points line in our opinion. Therefore, chance an Under bet at -110 and hope the teams don’t reach that number.

Miami Heat have triumphed in back-to-back road games. The latest saw them beat New Orleans Pelicans 123-111 at Smoothie King Center. Bam Adebayo dropped 27 points, as Jaime Jaquez Jr. finished with 23 and Kel'el Ware 16.

Atlanta Hawks triumphed in their last game. It was on the road where Philadelphia 76ers were beaten 117-107 at Xfinity Mobile Arena. Jalen Johnson recorded 32 points and 10 rebounds, while CJ McCollum scored 23 points and Dyson Daniels 15.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Hawks beat the Heat when the teams last met. It was a 127-115 scoreline at Kaseya Center. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved the Heat winning six times.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Heat	29	27	0.518	119.6	117.2	2.4	16-11	13-16	4-5	15-16	5-5	1W
Hawks	27	30	0.474	117.3	118.4	-1.1	10-15	17-15	5-5	14-20	5-5	1W

View Full Standings

5 wins and 5 losses in the past 10 games. The Heat are averaging 118.0 points, 51.1 rebounds, 27.8 assists, 9.6 steals and 3.9 blocks while shooting 44.7% from the field and 78.5% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 111.6 points and 48.3 rebounds per contest.

Bam Adebayo is averaging 20.8 points and 10.5 rebounds, Jaime Jaquez Jr. 4.9 assists and Andrew Wiggins 1.8 (38.3%) 3-pointers.

The Hawks have won 5 and lost 5 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 116.6 points, 43.5 rebounds, 27.8 assists, 9.0 steals and 4.8 blocks per game while shooting 45.6% from the field and 77.8% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 117.0 points and 49.1 rebounds.

CJ McCollum is averaging 20.1 points and 2.9 (42.0%) 3-pointers made, while Jalen Johnson has an average of 9.1 rebounds and 7.1 assists.

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction & Picks

We’ve got your Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks bets covered, including our expert match prediction, correct score recommendation and a hand-picked bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

Don’t expect fireworks in this NBA contest. The two teams might not score a huge combined total and our pick is to back Under 242.5 points at odds of -110.

Our expert NBA handicappers start by reviewing the latest team news for each franchise, followed by a close look at recent form. That information is then applied to the most relevant stats to reach a well-informed verdict.

Key Heat vs Hawks stats:

• The 242.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 6 Heat games.
• The 242.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Heat games.
• The 242.5 line hasn’t been covered in 15 of the last 20 Heat games on the road.
• The 242.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Hawks games at home.
• The 242.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Hawks games.
• The 242.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Hawks games.
• The 242.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 10 games between these teams.

Under 242.5 Probability

According to the best sportsbooks, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Those bettors wanting more bang for their buck can move the Total line as they see fit. You can wager Under a certain points level in order to get the bigger odds.

Don’t place a bet without checking our comprehensive guide to today’s best free bets and welcome bonuses.

Our Game Prediction

Under 242.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 20, 01:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Heat 122 - 114 Hawks

We’re going for the Heat to win by a 122-114 scoreline, something which is available at huge odds. This speculative wager can provide a big return for a small stake.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Miami Heat are regarded as having a 61% chance of winning this NBA game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -156. The market suggests that Atlanta Hawks are least likely to win at +132.

The spread is 3.5 and the total points line is currently 242.5. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. If you fancy Under 242.5, then the odds are -110.

The good news is that you can access hundreds of team props and game lines for most basketball contests. The best betting apps have a massive range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

Heat

-156

Hawks

+132

Point Spread

Heat -3.5

-108

Hawks +3.5

-112

Total Points

Under 242.5

-110

Over 242.5

-110

The best gambling sites offer player prop betting to their customers. These can be a great alternative if you want to focus on an individual’s performance within a game and it often involves wagering over or under a line.

There are some exciting basketball micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer. The long-ball option pays better, and in today’s game, you can never discount the three-pointer.

The Hawks have a 5-5 record in their last 10 home games, putting up 115.20 points on average and giving up 114.20.

The Heat have six wins and four losses in the last 10 road games, posting 118.90 points per matchup while yielding 114.40.

The previous meeting at State Farm Arena saw the Heat defeat the Hawks 126-111. Over the last 10 head-to-head meetings at State Farm Arena, the Heat have claimed six wins compared to the Hawks who have four.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O242.5	U242.5
Atlanta Hawks Home Stats		5-5	229.40	115.20	114.20	3	7
Miami Heat Away Stats		6-4	233.30	118.90	114.40	3	7

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O242.5 = Games Over 242.5 Points
• U242.5 = Games Under 242.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Heat Stats

Atlanta Hawks Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 229.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 233.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 242.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 242.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 118.00 pts and allowed 111.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 118.90 pts and allowed 114.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 233.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 229.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 242.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 242.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 116.60 pts and allowed 117.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 115.20 pts and allowed 114.20 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.70 (53%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.40 (33%)
• Free Throws Made: 20.40 (78.46%)
• Rebounds: Total 51.1, Offensive 13.20, Defensive 37.90
• Assists: 27.80
• Blocks: 3.90
• Steals: 9.60
• Turnovers : 12.90
• Personal Fouls: 19.10

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 27.90 (52%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.80 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.70 (77.59%)
• Rebounds: Total 50.7, Offensive 15.40, Defensive 35.30
• Assists: 29.20
• Blocks: 3.90
• Steals: 9.60
• Turnovers : 13.90
• Personal Fouls: 17.80

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.90 (52%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.00 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 16.80 (77.78%)
• Rebounds: Total 43.5, Offensive 11.40, Defensive 32.10
• Assists: 27.80
• Blocks: 4.80
• Steals: 9.00
• Turnovers : 11.80
• Personal Fouls: 19.60

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.50 (52%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.70 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 14.10 (77.9%)
• Rebounds: Total 45.3, Offensive 11.90, Defensive 33.40
• Assists: 30.90
• Blocks: 6.00
• Steals: 8.20
• Turnovers : 12.60
• Personal Fouls: 17.70

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	36	19	0.655	115.4	108.4	7	18-9	18-10	7-5	24-13	8-2	2W
Knicks	35	21	0.625	117.9	112.1	5.8	21-8	14-13	10-3	24-14	7-3	1L
Raptors	33	23	0.589	113.7	112.1	1.6	16-13	17-10	4-9	25-15	6-4	1W
76ers	30	25	0.545	116	115.9	0.1	15-15	15-10	8-6	19-19	6-4	3L
Nets	15	39	0.278	107.2	114.9	-7.7	8-19	7-20	3-9	11-23	3-7	2L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	41	13	0.759	117.4	109.3	8.1	22-6	19-7	8-3	27-7	8-2	4W
Cavaliers	35	21	0.625	119.8	115.3	4.5	19-11	16-10	7-3	21-13	9-1	6W
Bucks	23	30	0.434	111.8	115.2	-3.4	12-12	11-18	7-4	17-18	5-5	2W
Bulls	24	32	0.429	116.5	120.4	-3.9	15-13	9-19	3-9	16-23	1-9	7L
Pacers	15	41	0.268	111	118.5	-7.5	10-18	5-23	3-9	11-27	4-6	1L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Magic	29	25	0.537	115.4	114.9	0.5	18-10	11-15	6-5	19-18	6-4	1W
Heat	29	27	0.518	119.6	117.2	2.4	16-11	13-16	4-5	15-16	5-5	1W
Hawks	27	30	0.474	117.3	118.4	-1.1	10-15	17-15	5-5	14-20	5-5	1W
Hornets	26	30	0.464	115.4	113.6	1.8	12-15	14-15	8-4	16-20	8-2	1L
Wizards	15	39	0.278	112.1	122.8	-10.7	10-18	5-21	2-6	10-23	5-5	1W

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	42	14	0.75	119.7	108	11.7	22-7	20-7	8-3	32-9	5-5	1L
Nuggets	35	21	0.625	120.3	116.3	4	15-11	20-10	4-2	20-10	4-6	1L
Timberwolves	34	22	0.607	119.7	114.8	4.9	19-10	15-12	6-5	19-17	7-3	2W
Trail Blazers	27	29	0.482	116.3	118.3	-2	16-13	11-16	5-5	21-16	4-6	1W
Jazz	18	38	0.321	118.3	125.9	-7.6	11-18	7-20	1-9	10-25	3-7	1L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	33	21	0.611	116	116	0	15-10	18-11	5-6	22-14	6-4	1W
Suns	32	24	0.571	113.3	112	1.3	18-10	14-14	8-6	22-17	5-5	2L
Warriors	29	27	0.518	115.4	113.8	1.6	18-11	11-16	6-4	19-16	4-6	2L
Clippers	27	28	0.491	112	112.4	-0.4	14-11	13-17	7-4	17-16	6-4	2W
Kings	12	45	0.211	109.9	120.8	-10.9	9-20	3-25	2-8	8-29	0-10	15L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	39	16	0.709	118.2	111.8	6.4	20-6	19-10	10-3	25-13	8-2	7W
Rockets	34	20	0.63	114.5	109.5	5	18-7	16-13	6-5	19-16	6-4	1W
Grizzlies	20	33	0.377	115.3	117.5	-2.2	11-15	9-18	5-6	16-21	2-8	4L
Mavericks	19	35	0.352	113.9	117.4	-3.5	14-16	5-19	3-9	11-25	1-9	9L
Pelicans	15	41	0.268	114.6	120.4	-5.8	9-20	6-21	6-7	9-26	5-5	1L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	41	13	0.759	117.4	109.3	8.1	22-6	19-7	8-3	27-7	8-2	4W
Celtics	36	19	0.655	115.4	108.4	7	18-9	18-10	7-5	24-13	8-2	2W
Knicks	35	21	0.625	117.9	112.1	5.8	21-8	14-13	10-3	24-14	7-3	1L
Cavaliers	35	21	0.625	119.8	115.3	4.5	19-11	16-10	7-3	21-13	9-1	6W
Raptors	33	23	0.589	113.7	112.1	1.6	16-13	17-10	4-9	25-15	6-4	1W
76ers	30	25	0.545	116	115.9	0.1	15-15	15-10	8-6	19-19	6-4	3L
Magic	29	25	0.537	115.4	114.9	0.5	18-10	11-15	6-5	19-18	6-4	1W
Heat	29	27	0.518	119.6	117.2	2.4	16-11	13-16	4-5	15-16	5-5	1W
Hawks	27	30	0.474	117.3	118.4	-1.1	10-15	17-15	5-5	14-20	5-5	1W
Hornets	26	30	0.464	115.4	113.6	1.8	12-15	14-15	8-4	16-20	8-2	1L
Bucks	23	30	0.434	111.8	115.2	-3.4	12-12	11-18	7-4	17-18	5-5	2W
Bulls	24	32	0.429	116.5	120.4	-3.9	15-13	9-19	3-9	16-23	1-9	7L
Nets	15	39	0.278	107.2	114.9	-7.7	8-19	7-20	3-9	11-23	3-7	2L
Wizards	15	39	0.278	112.1	122.8	-10.7	10-18	5-21	2-6	10-23	5-5	1W
Pacers	15	41	0.268	111	118.5	-7.5	10-18	5-23	3-9	11-27	4-6	1L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	42	14	0.75	119.7	108	11.7	22-7	20-7	8-3	32-9	5-5	1L
Spurs	39	16	0.709	118.2	111.8	6.4	20-6	19-10	10-3	25-13	8-2	7W
Rockets	34	20	0.63	114.5	109.5	5	18-7	16-13	6-5	19-16	6-4	1W
Nuggets	35	21	0.625	120.3	116.3	4	15-11	20-10	4-2	20-10	4-6	1L
Lakers	33	21	0.611	116	116	0	15-10	18-11	5-6	22-14	6-4	1W
Timberwolves	34	22	0.607	119.7	114.8	4.9	19-10	15-12	6-5	19-17	7-3	2W
Suns	32	24	0.571	113.3	112	1.3	18-10	14-14	8-6	22-17	5-5	2L
Warriors	29	27	0.518	115.4	113.8	1.6	18-11	11-16	6-4	19-16	4-6	2L
Clippers	27	28	0.491	112	112.4	-0.4	14-11	13-17	7-4	17-16	6-4	2W
Trail Blazers	27	29	0.482	116.3	118.3	-2	16-13	11-16	5-5	21-16	4-6	1W
Grizzlies	20	33	0.377	115.3	117.5	-2.2	11-15	9-18	5-6	16-21	2-8	4L
Mavericks	19	35	0.352	113.9	117.4	-3.5	14-16	5-19	3-9	11-25	1-9	9L
Jazz	18	38	0.321	118.3	125.9	-7.6	11-18	7-20	1-9	10-25	3-7	1L
Pelicans	15	41	0.268	114.6	120.4	-5.8	9-20	6-21	6-7	9-26	5-5	1L
Kings	12	45	0.211	109.9	120.8	-10.9	9-20	3-25	2-8	8-29	0-10	15L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	41	13	0.759	117.4	109.3	8.1	22-6	19-7	8-3	27-7	8-2	4W
Thunder	42	14	0.75	119.7	108	11.7	22-7	20-7	8-3	32-9	5-5	1L
Spurs	39	16	0.709	118.2	111.8	6.4	20-6	19-10	10-3	25-13	8-2	7W
Celtics	36	19	0.655	115.4	108.4	7	18-9	18-10	7-5	24-13	8-2	2W
Rockets	34	20	0.63	114.5	109.5	5	18-7	16-13	6-5	19-16	6-4	1W
Cavaliers	35	21	0.625	119.8	115.3	4.5	19-11	16-10	7-3	21-13	9-1	6W
Nuggets	35	21	0.625	120.3	116.3	4	15-11	20-10	4-2	20-10	4-6	1L
Knicks	35	21	0.625	117.9	112.1	5.8	21-8	14-13	10-3	24-14	7-3	1L
Lakers	33	21	0.611	116	116	0	15-10	18-11	5-6	22-14	6-4	1W
Timberwolves	34	22	0.607	119.7	114.8	4.9	19-10	15-12	6-5	19-17	7-3	2W
Raptors	33	23	0.589	113.7	112.1	1.6	16-13	17-10	4-9	25-15	6-4	1W
Suns	32	24	0.571	113.3	112	1.3	18-10	14-14	8-6	22-17	5-5	2L
76ers	30	25	0.545	116	115.9	0.1	15-15	15-10	8-6	19-19	6-4	3L
Magic	29	25	0.537	115.4	114.9	0.5	18-10	11-15	6-5	19-18	6-4	1W
Warriors	29	27	0.518	115.4	113.8	1.6	18-11	11-16	6-4	19-16	4-6	2L
Heat	29	27	0.518	119.6	117.2	2.4	16-11	13-16	4-5	15-16	5-5	1W
Clippers	27	28	0.491	112	112.4	-0.4	14-11	13-17	7-4	17-16	6-4	2W
Trail Blazers	27	29	0.482	116.3	118.3	-2	16-13	11-16	5-5	21-16	4-6	1W
Hawks	27	30	0.474	117.3	118.4	-1.1	10-15	17-15	5-5	14-20	5-5	1W
Hornets	26	30	0.464	115.4	113.6	1.8	12-15	14-15	8-4	16-20	8-2	1L
Bucks	23	30	0.434	111.8	115.2	-3.4	12-12	11-18	7-4	17-18	5-5	2W
Bulls	24	32	0.429	116.5	120.4	-3.9	15-13	9-19	3-9	16-23	1-9	7L
Grizzlies	20	33	0.377	115.3	117.5	-2.2	11-15	9-18	5-6	16-21	2-8	4L
Mavericks	19	35	0.352	113.9	117.4	-3.5	14-16	5-19	3-9	11-25	1-9	9L
Jazz	18	38	0.321	118.3	125.9	-7.6	11-18	7-20	1-9	10-25	3-7	1L
Nets	15	39	0.278	107.2	114.9	-7.7	8-19	7-20	3-9	11-23	3-7	2L
Wizards	15	39	0.278	112.1	122.8	-10.7	10-18	5-21	2-6	10-23	5-5	1W
Pacers	15	41	0.268	111	118.5	-7.5	10-18	5-23	3-9	11-27	4-6	1L
Pelicans	15	41	0.268	114.6	120.4	-5.8	9-20	6-21	6-7	9-26	5-5	1L
Kings	12	45	0.211	109.9	120.8	-10.9	9-20	3-25	2-8	8-29	0-10	15L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

Top Basketball Pages