Miami Heat
Dallas Mavericks
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Heat vs Mavericks

The Miami Heat face the Dallas Mavericks in this NBA game. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Heat Should Shine In This Game

We are confident that the Heat will cover the spread. -4 seems a more than generous line and you can get -112 that they will win by a bigger margin against the Mavericks.

Trusting our spread pick? Claim the latest BetMGM promo code and learn more about the site in our comprehensive review before placing your wager.

106-102 Heat Triumph in Last H2H Matchup

Miami Heat have enjoyed successive road wins. Their most recent game was a 140-123 home victory at Kaseya Center where they beat LA Clippers. Norman Powell tallied 30 points, while Bam Adebayo put up 27 and Tyler Herro 22.

Dallas Mavericks won their last game 131-121, making it back-to-back successes. This was a road victory at Ball Arena against Denver Nuggets. Anthony Davis got 32 points and 13 rebounds, Ryan Nembhard had 28 points and 10 assists, with Cooper Flagg scoring 24 points.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Heat won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 106-102 triumph when facing the Mavs at Kaseya Center. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved the Mavs winning six times.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Heat logo Heat 27 24 0.529 120 117.8 2.2 16-9 11-15 3-4 14-14 6-4 1W
Mavericks logo Mavericks 19 30 0.388 114.1 116.6 -2.5 14-14 5-16 3-7 11-21 5-5 4L
View Full Standings
Miami Heat – Last 10 Games

7 wins and 3 losses in the past 10 games. The Heat are averaging 123.0 points, 48.1 rebounds, 30.0 assists, 8.1 steals and 5.5 blocks while shooting 46.9% from the field and 78.0% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 116.9 points and 48.2 rebounds per contest.

Norman Powell is averaging 22.9 points and 3.2 (45.7%) 3-pointers made. Kel'el Ware averages 12.6 rebounds and Davion Mitchell 7.9 assists.

Dallas Mavericks – Last 10 Games

The Mavs have won 4 and lost 6 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 115.2 points, 44.7 rebounds, 24.3 assists, 7.9 steals and 5.8 blocks per game while shooting 45.1% from the field and 76.3% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 118.2 points and 48.9 rebounds.

Cooper Flagg is averaging 17.7 points, Naji Marshall 6.4 rebounds and Brandon Williams 5.2 assists, while Klay Thompson has an average of 3.5 (41.2%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Miami Heat lineup: Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell.

Dallas Mavericks lineup: Max Christie, Anthony Davis, Ryan Nembhard, Naji Marshall, Cooper Flagg.

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Picks

We cover the key Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks betting angles, showcasing our expert match prediction, best correct score selection, top player props and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

Heat should enjoy a comfortable victory and a wager against the spread could be the best way forward in this NBA matchup. Back this selection off -4 to cover the line at odds of -112.

The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com regularly track injury updates and pair that with current form. We also tap into a deep stats database to highlight the key numbers that help shape our basketball predictions.

Key Heat vs Mavericks stats:

  • The -4 line has been covered by Heat in 3 of their last 5 games.
  • The -4 line has been covered by Heat in 2 consecutive games on the road.

Heat -4 Probability

The best betting sites make it a 52.9% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our analysts have this number closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

Selling points can be a great option and allows bettors to enjoy a bigger return on the same selection. For a more conservative spread pick, you can alternatively buy points.

Before placing your bets, take advantage of our guide packed with up-to-date free bets and the latest bonus offers.

Our Game Prediction
Heat -4 @ -112 Bet Now BetMGM logo
BetMGM logo
BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (04:56, 03 December 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 04:56, 03 December 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Norman Powell Over 20.5 Points -115 BetMGM logo

Norman Powell (Heat) has an average of 26.6 points in the past 5 games on the road. We think this is the pick of the prop bets, with odds of -115 available when it comes to backing him on Player Points.

Latest Norman Powell Player Prop Odds


Naji Marshall Over 5.5 Rebounds -103 BetMGM logo

Naji Marshall (Mavs) has racked up Over 5.5 rebounds in 3 straight games. We think this could be a telling statistic and we’ll wager him to cover the line which is available at odds of -103.

Latest Naji Marshall Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Heat -4
Totals Under 240.5
Player Points Norman Powell Over 20.5

We’ve got a same game parlay with three options: Heat -4, Under 240.5 and Norman Powell (Heat) to score Over 20.5 points.

A same game parlay is a great alternative for bettors who want to focus their wagering on a single basketball game. You can predict different outcomes and see their odds combined before going ahead and placing this tailored bet.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Heat Heat logo 122 - 115 Mavericks logo Mavericks

The Heat will be chasing down a victory and a winning scoreline of 122-115 might be along the right lines. There are enormous odds available about this bet.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Books Giving Heat Plenty of Respect

The sportsbooks have Miami Heat at -179 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the favorites are 64% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. Dallas Mavericks are the underdogs at +150 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

There is a spread of 4.5 and total points has a line of 237.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. Those who wager Under 237.5 can get -106.

Whether you are wagering in-game or pre-game, the best NBA sportsbooks let you feast on a wide range of game lines and team props. The selections are practically endless, and it’s great to have lots of options.

Betting Lines & Odds
Tyler Herro Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

The favorite to land the most baskets is Tyler Herro. Odds of -120 can be found for him scoring Over 23.5 points and there is -109 for him to go Under.

Player Points
Player Assists
Davion Mitchell (Heat)
Over 6.5
-127
Under 6.5
-105
BetMGM Logo
Cooper Flagg (Mavericks)
Over 3.5
+125
Under 3.5
-167
BetMGM Logo
Jaime Jaquez Jr (Heat)
Over 3.5
-147
Under 3.5
+110
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Anthony Davis (Mavericks)
Over 10.5
-127
Under 10.5
-105
BetMGM Logo
P.J. Washington (Mavericks)
Over 7.5
+107
Under 7.5
-143
BetMGM Logo
Micro Betting

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to basketball micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
American Airlines Center
American Airlines Center
Mavs Have Won the Previous Three Head-to-Head Matchups at American Airlines Center

The Mavs have a 3-7 record in their last 10 home games, posting 111.80 points per contest while yielding 114.20.

The Heat have gone 4-6 across their last 10 games away from home, averaging 123.40 points scored and 120.20 points allowed.

The Mavs earned a 118-113 win against the Heat in the teams’ last meeting at American Airlines Center. Across the previous 8 head-to-head meetings at American Airlines Center, both teams have notched four wins.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O240.5 U240.5
Dallas Mavericks logo Dallas Mavericks Home Stats 3-7 226.00 111.80 114.20 2 8
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Away Stats 4-6 243.60 123.40 120.20 6 4
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O240.5 = Games Over 240.5 Points
  • U240.5 = Games Under 240.5 Points
Last 5 & H2H
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Stats
Dallas Mavericks logo Dallas Mavericks Stats
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Miami Heat Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Andrew Wiggins 18 33.1 315 52 17.5 2.9 1.8 5.1 1.1 1.1
Tyler Herro 4 30.85 99 11 24.8 2.8 3.3 4.8 0.8 1.0
Norman Powell 17 30.64 425 40 25.0 2.4 3.2 3.7 0.2 1.2

Dallas Mavericks Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Cooper Flagg 21 33.88 358 71 17.0 3.4 1.0 6.6 0.6 1.4
PJ Washington 19 31.69 304 43 16.0 2.3 1.6 7.8 1.2 1.0
Anthony Davis 7 30.01 148 20 21.1 2.9 0.7 9.9 1.6 1.3

Injuries & Suspensions

Miami Heat Injury Table

Type
Name
Info
Terry Rozier
Suspended

Dallas Mavericks Injury Table

Type
Name
Info
Dereck Lively
Injured
Kyrie Irving
Injured
Dante Exum
Injured
PJ Washington
Injured

Starting Lineups

Dallas Mavericks logo Dallas Mavericks Confirmed Lineup
0 Max Christie
3 Anthony Davis
9 Ryan Nembhard
13 Naji Marshall
32 Cooper Flagg
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup
9 Pelle Larsson
13 Bam Adebayo
14 Tyler Herro
22 Andrew Wiggins
45 Davion Mitchell

Previous Miami Heat Lineups

01 Dec NBA
Clippers 123-140 Heat
29 Nov NBA
Pistons 138-135 Heat
26 Nov NBA
Bucks 103-106 Heat
24 Nov NBA
Mavericks 102-106 Heat
23 Nov NBA
Heat 127-117 76ers
21 Nov NBA
Heat 143-107 Bulls
19 Nov NBA
Warriors 96-110 Heat
17 Nov NBA
Knicks 113-115 Heat
14 Nov NBA
Heat 132-140 Knicks
12 Nov NBA
Cavaliers 130-116 Heat

Previous Dallas Mavericks Lineups

01 Dec NBA
Mavericks 131-121 Nuggets
29 Nov NBA
Mavericks 114-110 Clippers
28 Nov NBA
Mavericks 119-129 Lakers
24 Nov NBA
Mavericks 102-106 Heat
22 Nov NBA
Grizzlies 102-96 Mavericks
21 Nov NBA
Pelicans 115-118 Mavericks
19 Nov NBA
Knicks 113-111 Mavericks
17 Nov NBA
Mavericks 96-120 Timberwolves
16 Nov NBA
Trail Blazers 133-138 Mavericks
14 Nov NBA
Clippers 133-127 Mavericks

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Knicks 31 18 0.633 117.6 112.1 5.5 20-6 11-12 8-3 21-11 6-4 6W
Celtics 31 18 0.633 116.1 109.1 7 16-8 15-10 7-4 22-12 7-3 2W
Raptors 30 21 0.588 113.6 112.2 1.4 14-11 16-10 4-9 22-14 6-4 1W
76ers 28 21 0.571 116.9 115.7 1.2 15-13 13-8 8-5 19-17 6-4 4W
Nets 13 35 0.271 107.1 114.7 -7.6 6-17 7-18 3-9 9-20 2-8 1L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 36 12 0.75 117.3 109.7 7.6 20-5 16-7 8-3 23-6 8-2 2W
Cavaliers 30 21 0.588 119.3 116.2 3.1 17-11 13-10 7-3 19-13 8-2 1W
Bulls 24 26 0.48 117.2 119.9 -2.7 15-11 9-15 3-8 16-18 5-5 1L
Bucks 18 29 0.383 111.1 115.6 -4.5 9-12 9-17 5-4 14-17 2-8 5L
Pacers 13 37 0.26 110.7 118.4 -7.7 10-17 3-20 3-8 9-24 4-6 1L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Heat 27 24 0.529 120 117.8 2.2 16-9 11-15 3-4 14-14 6-4 1W
Magic 25 23 0.521 115.5 115.6 -0.1 15-9 10-14 6-5 17-17 4-6 1L
Hawks 24 27 0.471 117.2 118.3 -1.1 9-14 15-13 4-3 12-18 4-6 2L
Hornets 23 28 0.451 116 114.2 1.8 11-13 12-15 6-4 14-19 8-2 7W
Wizards 13 35 0.271 112.3 122.5 -10.2 9-16 4-19 2-5 8-19 3-7 1W
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 39 11 0.78 120.3 108 12.3 21-5 18-6 8-3 30-7 6-4 1W
Nuggets 33 17 0.66 119.9 115.7 4.2 14-10 19-7 4-2 19-9 6-4 1L
Timberwolves 31 20 0.608 119.5 114.5 5 17-8 14-12 5-5 18-15 4-6 1L
Trail Blazers 23 27 0.46 115.1 117.9 -2.8 13-12 10-15 4-4 18-14 4-6 5L
Jazz 15 35 0.3 118 127 -9 10-17 5-18 1-8 9-24 1-9 6L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 29 19 0.604 116.1 116.3 -0.2 12-8 17-11 4-6 20-12 5-5 1L
Suns 30 20 0.6 113.8 111.4 2.4 17-7 13-13 8-5 20-14 6-4 1L
Warriors 27 23 0.54 116.7 114 2.7 17-8 10-15 5-3 17-14 6-4 1L
Clippers 23 26 0.469 112.7 112.9 -0.2 13-10 10-16 6-4 13-15 7-3 1L
Kings 12 39 0.235 110.2 120.4 -10.2 9-16 3-23 2-7 8-25 1-9 9L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 33 16 0.673 116.9 111.9 5 17-6 16-10 8-3 19-13 6-4 1W
Rockets 31 17 0.646 116 110 6 17-4 14-13 6-5 17-15 8-2 3W
Grizzlies 19 29 0.396 115 116.8 -1.8 11-15 8-14 5-6 15-17 3-7 1W
Mavericks 19 30 0.388 114.1 116.6 -2.5 14-14 5-16 3-7 11-21 5-5 4L
Pelicans 13 39 0.25 114 120.6 -6.6 8-19 5-20 6-7 7-26 4-6 2L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 36 12 0.75 117.3 109.7 7.6 20-5 16-7 8-3 23-6 8-2 2W
Knicks 31 18 0.633 117.6 112.1 5.5 20-6 11-12 8-3 21-11 6-4 6W
Celtics 31 18 0.633 116.1 109.1 7 16-8 15-10 7-4 22-12 7-3 2W
Raptors 30 21 0.588 113.6 112.2 1.4 14-11 16-10 4-9 22-14 6-4 1W
Cavaliers 30 21 0.588 119.3 116.2 3.1 17-11 13-10 7-3 19-13 8-2 1W
76ers 28 21 0.571 116.9 115.7 1.2 15-13 13-8 8-5 19-17 6-4 4W
Heat 27 24 0.529 120 117.8 2.2 16-9 11-15 3-4 14-14 6-4 1W
Magic 25 23 0.521 115.5 115.6 -0.1 15-9 10-14 6-5 17-17 4-6 1L
Bulls 24 26 0.48 117.2 119.9 -2.7 15-11 9-15 3-8 16-18 5-5 1L
Hawks 24 27 0.471 117.2 118.3 -1.1 9-14 15-13 4-3 12-18 4-6 2L
Hornets 23 28 0.451 116 114.2 1.8 11-13 12-15 6-4 14-19 8-2 7W
Bucks 18 29 0.383 111.1 115.6 -4.5 9-12 9-17 5-4 14-17 2-8 5L
Nets 13 35 0.271 107.1 114.7 -7.6 6-17 7-18 3-9 9-20 2-8 1L
Wizards 13 35 0.271 112.3 122.5 -10.2 9-16 4-19 2-5 8-19 3-7 1W
Pacers 13 37 0.26 110.7 118.4 -7.7 10-17 3-20 3-8 9-24 4-6 1L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 39 11 0.78 120.3 108 12.3 21-5 18-6 8-3 30-7 6-4 1W
Spurs 33 16 0.673 116.9 111.9 5 17-6 16-10 8-3 19-13 6-4 1W
Nuggets 33 17 0.66 119.9 115.7 4.2 14-10 19-7 4-2 19-9 6-4 1L
Rockets 31 17 0.646 116 110 6 17-4 14-13 6-5 17-15 8-2 3W
Timberwolves 31 20 0.608 119.5 114.5 5 17-8 14-12 5-5 18-15 4-6 1L
Lakers 29 19 0.604 116.1 116.3 -0.2 12-8 17-11 4-6 20-12 5-5 1L
Suns 30 20 0.6 113.8 111.4 2.4 17-7 13-13 8-5 20-14 6-4 1L
Warriors 27 23 0.54 116.7 114 2.7 17-8 10-15 5-3 17-14 6-4 1L
Clippers 23 26 0.469 112.7 112.9 -0.2 13-10 10-16 6-4 13-15 7-3 1L
Trail Blazers 23 27 0.46 115.1 117.9 -2.8 13-12 10-15 4-4 18-14 4-6 5L
Grizzlies 19 29 0.396 115 116.8 -1.8 11-15 8-14 5-6 15-17 3-7 1W
Mavericks 19 30 0.388 114.1 116.6 -2.5 14-14 5-16 3-7 11-21 5-5 4L
Jazz 15 35 0.3 118 127 -9 10-17 5-18 1-8 9-24 1-9 6L
Pelicans 13 39 0.25 114 120.6 -6.6 8-19 5-20 6-7 7-26 4-6 2L
Kings 12 39 0.235 110.2 120.4 -10.2 9-16 3-23 2-7 8-25 1-9 9L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 39 11 0.78 120.3 108 12.3 21-5 18-6 8-3 30-7 6-4 1W
Pistons 36 12 0.75 117.3 109.7 7.6 20-5 16-7 8-3 23-6 8-2 2W
Spurs 33 16 0.673 116.9 111.9 5 17-6 16-10 8-3 19-13 6-4 1W
Nuggets 33 17 0.66 119.9 115.7 4.2 14-10 19-7 4-2 19-9 6-4 1L
Rockets 31 17 0.646 116 110 6 17-4 14-13 6-5 17-15 8-2 3W
Celtics 31 18 0.633 116.1 109.1 7 16-8 15-10 7-4 22-12 7-3 2W
Knicks 31 18 0.633 117.6 112.1 5.5 20-6 11-12 8-3 21-11 6-4 6W
Timberwolves 31 20 0.608 119.5 114.5 5 17-8 14-12 5-5 18-15 4-6 1L
Lakers 29 19 0.604 116.1 116.3 -0.2 12-8 17-11 4-6 20-12 5-5 1L
Suns 30 20 0.6 113.8 111.4 2.4 17-7 13-13 8-5 20-14 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 30 21 0.588 119.3 116.2 3.1 17-11 13-10 7-3 19-13 8-2 1W
Raptors 30 21 0.588 113.6 112.2 1.4 14-11 16-10 4-9 22-14 6-4 1W
76ers 28 21 0.571 116.9 115.7 1.2 15-13 13-8 8-5 19-17 6-4 4W
Warriors 27 23 0.54 116.7 114 2.7 17-8 10-15 5-3 17-14 6-4 1L
Heat 27 24 0.529 120 117.8 2.2 16-9 11-15 3-4 14-14 6-4 1W
Magic 25 23 0.521 115.5 115.6 -0.1 15-9 10-14 6-5 17-17 4-6 1L
Bulls 24 26 0.48 117.2 119.9 -2.7 15-11 9-15 3-8 16-18 5-5 1L
Hawks 24 27 0.471 117.2 118.3 -1.1 9-14 15-13 4-3 12-18 4-6 2L
Clippers 23 26 0.469 112.7 112.9 -0.2 13-10 10-16 6-4 13-15 7-3 1L
Trail Blazers 23 27 0.46 115.1 117.9 -2.8 13-12 10-15 4-4 18-14 4-6 5L
Hornets 23 28 0.451 116 114.2 1.8 11-13 12-15 6-4 14-19 8-2 7W
Grizzlies 19 29 0.396 115 116.8 -1.8 11-15 8-14 5-6 15-17 3-7 1W
Mavericks 19 30 0.388 114.1 116.6 -2.5 14-14 5-16 3-7 11-21 5-5 4L
Bucks 18 29 0.383 111.1 115.6 -4.5 9-12 9-17 5-4 14-17 2-8 5L
Jazz 15 35 0.3 118 127 -9 10-17 5-18 1-8 9-24 1-9 6L
Nets 13 35 0.271 107.1 114.7 -7.6 6-17 7-18 3-9 9-20 2-8 1L
Wizards 13 35 0.271 112.3 122.5 -10.2 9-16 4-19 2-5 8-19 3-7 1W
Pacers 13 37 0.26 110.7 118.4 -7.7 10-17 3-20 3-8 9-24 4-6 1L
Pelicans 13 39 0.25 114 120.6 -6.6 8-19 5-20 6-7 7-26 4-6 2L
Kings 12 39 0.235 110.2 120.4 -10.2 9-16 3-23 2-7 8-25 1-9 9L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak