Miami Heat
Basketball NBA Tip-off in: days hours minutes seconds
Dallas Mavericks
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Heat vs Mavericks

The Miami Heat face the Dallas Mavericks in this NBA game. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Heat Should Shine In This Game

We are confident that the Heat will cover the spread. -4 seems a more than generous line and you can get -112 that they will win by a bigger margin against the Mavericks.

Trusting our spread pick? Claim the latest BetMGM promo code and learn more about the site in our comprehensive review before placing your wager.

106-102 Heat Triumph in Last H2H Matchup

Miami Heat have enjoyed successive road wins. Their most recent game was a 140-123 home victory at Kaseya Center where they beat LA Clippers. Norman Powell tallied 30 points, while Bam Adebayo put up 27 and Tyler Herro 22.

Dallas Mavericks won their last game 131-121, making it back-to-back successes. This was a road victory at Ball Arena against Denver Nuggets. Anthony Davis got 32 points and 13 rebounds, Ryan Nembhard had 28 points and 10 assists, with Cooper Flagg scoring 24 points.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Heat won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 106-102 triumph when facing the Mavs at Kaseya Center. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved the Mavs winning six times.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Heat logo Heat 14 7 0.667 124.3 118.4 5.9 10-2 4-5 2-1 8-4 7-3 1W
Mavericks logo Mavericks 7 15 0.318 111.1 116.1 -5 4-9 3-6 1-5 4-10 4-6 2W
View Full Standings
Miami Heat – Last 10 Games

7 wins and 3 losses in the past 10 games. The Heat are averaging 123.0 points, 48.1 rebounds, 30.0 assists, 8.1 steals and 5.5 blocks while shooting 46.9% from the field and 78.0% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 116.9 points and 48.2 rebounds per contest.

Norman Powell is averaging 22.9 points and 3.2 (45.7%) 3-pointers made. Kel'el Ware averages 12.6 rebounds and Davion Mitchell 7.9 assists.

Dallas Mavericks – Last 10 Games

The Mavs have won 4 and lost 6 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 115.2 points, 44.7 rebounds, 24.3 assists, 7.9 steals and 5.8 blocks per game while shooting 45.1% from the field and 76.3% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 118.2 points and 48.9 rebounds.

Cooper Flagg is averaging 17.7 points, Naji Marshall 6.4 rebounds and Brandon Williams 5.2 assists, while Klay Thompson has an average of 3.5 (41.2%) 3-pointers made.

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Picks

We cover the key Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks betting angles, showcasing our expert match prediction, best correct score selection, top player props and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

Heat should enjoy a comfortable victory and a wager against the spread could be the best way forward in this NBA matchup. Back this selection off -4 to cover the line at odds of -112.

The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com regularly track injury updates and pair that with current form. We also tap into a deep stats database to highlight the key numbers that help shape our basketball predictions.

Key Heat vs Mavericks stats:

  • The -4 line has been covered by Heat in 3 of their last 5 games.
  • The -4 line has been covered by Heat in 2 consecutive games on the road.

Heat -4 Probability

The best betting sites make it a 52.9% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our analysts have this number closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

Selling points can be a great option and allows bettors to enjoy a bigger return on the same selection. For a more conservative spread pick, you can alternatively buy points.

Before placing your bets, take advantage of our guide packed with up-to-date free bets and the latest bonus offers.

Our Game Prediction
Heat -4 @ -112 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.
Published 04:56, 03 December 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Norman Powell Over 20.5 Points -116 BetMGM logo

Norman Powell (Heat) has an average of 26.6 points in the past 5 games on the road. We think this is the pick of the prop bets, with odds of -116 available when it comes to backing him on Player Points.

Latest Norman Powell Player Prop Odds

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Naji Marshall Over 5.5 Rebounds -103 BetMGM logo

Naji Marshall (Mavs) has racked up Over 5.5 rebounds in 3 straight games. We think this could be a telling statistic and we’ll wager him to cover the line which is available at odds of -103.

Latest Naji Marshall Player Prop Odds

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Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Heat -4
Totals Under 240.5
Player Points Norman Powell Over 20.5

We’ve got a same game parlay with three options: Heat -4, Under 240.5 and Norman Powell (Heat) to score Over 20.5 points.

A same game parlay is a great alternative for bettors who want to focus their wagering on a single basketball game. You can predict different outcomes and see their odds combined before going ahead and placing this tailored bet.

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Correct Score Prediction

Heat Heat logo 122 - 115 Mavericks logo Mavericks

The Heat will be chasing down a victory and a winning scoreline of 122-115 might be along the right lines. There are enormous odds available about this bet.

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Giving Heat Plenty of Respect

The sportsbooks have Miami Heat at -179 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the favorites are 64% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. Dallas Mavericks are the underdogs at +150 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

There is a spread of 4 and total points has a line of 240.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. Those who wager Under 240.5 can get -110.

Whether you are wagering in-game or pre-game, the best NBA sportsbooks let you feast on a wide range of game lines and team props. The selections are practically endless, and it’s great to have lots of options.

Betting Lines & Odds
Anthony Davis Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

The favorite to land the most baskets is Anthony Davis. Odds of -110 can be found for him scoring Over 23.5 points and there is -118 for him to go Under.

Player Points
Player Assists
Davion Mitchell (Heat)
Over 6.5
-143
Under 6.5
+110
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Cooper Flagg (Mavericks)
Over 3.5
+120
Under 3.5
-156
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Jaime Jaquez Jr (Heat)
Over 3.5
-130
Under 3.5
+101
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Player Rebounds
Anthony Davis (Mavericks)
Over 11.5
+102
Under 11.5
-132
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Cooper Flagg (Mavericks)
Over 6.5
-125
Under 6.5
-103
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Best Betting Offers
American Airlines Center
American Airlines Center
Mavs Have Won the Previous Three Head-to-Head Matchups at American Airlines Center

The Mavs have a 3-7 record in their last 10 home games, posting 111.80 points per contest while yielding 114.20.

The Heat have gone 4-6 across their last 10 games away from home, averaging 123.40 points scored and 120.20 points allowed.

The Mavs earned a 118-113 win against the Heat in the teams’ last meeting at American Airlines Center. Across the previous 8 head-to-head meetings at American Airlines Center, both teams have notched four wins.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O240.5 U240.5
Dallas Mavericks logo Dallas Mavericks Home Stats 3-7 226.00 111.80 114.20 2 8
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Away Stats 4-6 243.60 123.40 120.20 6 4
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O240.5 = Games Over 240.5 Points
  • U240.5 = Games Under 240.5 Points
Last 5 & H2H
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Stats
Dallas Mavericks logo Dallas Mavericks Stats
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Miami Heat Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL

Dallas Mavericks Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL

Injuries & Suspensions

Miami Heat Injury Table

Type
Name
Info
Keshad Johnson
Injured
Pelle Larsson
Injured
Terry Rozier
Suspended

Dallas Mavericks Injury Table

Type
Name
Info
Daniel Gafford
Injured
PJ Washington
Injured
Dante Exum
Injured
Kyrie Irving
Injured
Dereck Lively
Injured

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

Previous Miami Heat Lineups

01 Dec NBA
Clippers 123-140 Heat
29 Nov NBA
Pistons 138-135 Heat
26 Nov NBA
Bucks 103-106 Heat
24 Nov NBA
Mavericks 102-106 Heat
23 Nov NBA
Heat 127-117 76ers
21 Nov NBA
Heat 143-107 Bulls
19 Nov NBA
Warriors 96-110 Heat
17 Nov NBA
Knicks 113-115 Heat
14 Nov NBA
Heat 132-140 Knicks
12 Nov NBA
Cavaliers 130-116 Heat

Previous Dallas Mavericks Lineups

01 Dec NBA
Mavericks 131-121 Nuggets
29 Nov NBA
Mavericks 114-110 Clippers
28 Nov NBA
Mavericks 119-129 Lakers
24 Nov NBA
Mavericks 102-106 Heat
22 Nov NBA
Grizzlies 102-96 Mavericks
21 Nov NBA
Pelicans 115-118 Mavericks
19 Nov NBA
Knicks 113-111 Mavericks
17 Nov NBA
Mavericks 96-120 Timberwolves
16 Nov NBA
Trail Blazers 133-138 Mavericks
14 Nov NBA
Clippers 133-127 Mavericks

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Knicks 13 6 0.684 120.4 112.9 7.5 10-1 3-5 4-0 10-6 7-3 4W
Raptors 14 7 0.667 117.6 112.9 4.7 7-2 7-5 3-2 13-4 8-2 2L
Celtics 11 9 0.55 114.9 110.9 4 6-4 5-5 2-4 8-6 7-3 1W
76ers 10 9 0.526 118.2 118.8 -0.6 5-6 5-3 5-2 9-9 4-6 1L
Nets 4 16 0.2 108.8 118.5 -9.7 1-9 3-7 1-7 4-13 3-7 1W
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 17 4 0.81 118.8 113.2 5.6 9-2 8-2 4-2 13-4 8-2 2W
Cavaliers 13 9 0.591 119.5 115.7 3.8 8-4 5-5 6-0 11-8 5-5 1W
Bulls 9 11 0.45 120 123.2 -3.2 6-2 3-9 1-4 6-8 3-7 4L
Bucks 9 13 0.409 116 118.2 -2.2 6-6 3-7 2-3 7-9 2-8 1L
Pacers 4 17 0.19 110.2 119.4 -9.2 4-7 0-10 1-5 3-9 3-7 1L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Heat 14 7 0.667 124.3 118.4 5.9 10-2 4-5 2-1 8-4 7-3 1W
Magic 13 8 0.619 119.5 114.3 5.2 8-3 5-5 3-2 10-7 8-2 3W
Hawks 13 9 0.591 118 115.8 2.2 4-4 9-5 3-1 7-7 6-4 1L
Hornets 6 15 0.286 115.2 120 -4.8 5-6 1-9 1-4 5-10 2-8 1L
Wizards 3 16 0.158 113.3 127.6 -14.3 2-6 1-10 1-2 2-12 2-8 1W
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 20 1 0.952 122.2 106.7 15.5 10-0 10-1 4-1 16-1 10-0 12W
Nuggets 14 6 0.7 124.6 115.9 8.7 6-4 8-2 2-1 12-5 6-4 1L
Timberwolves 12 8 0.6 119.2 114.1 5.1 7-3 5-5 3-3 7-7 6-4 2W
Trail Blazers 8 12 0.4 118.3 121.2 -2.9 3-6 5-6 3-3 7-9 3-7 2L
Jazz 7 13 0.35 118.5 125.4 -6.9 6-6 1-7 0-4 4-10 4-6 1W
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 15 5 0.75 119.1 115.9 3.2 7-3 8-2 2-2 12-4 8-2 1L
Suns 13 9 0.591 117 113.7 3.3 8-4 5-5 5-2 12-8 6-4 1W
Warriors 11 10 0.524 114.5 113.6 0.9 7-2 4-8 3-1 10-6 5-5 1W
Kings 5 16 0.238 111.8 122.9 -11.1 3-7 2-9 1-3 4-14 2-8 3L
Clippers 5 16 0.238 112.3 118.8 -6.5 3-7 2-9 1-4 4-9 2-8 5L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Rockets 13 5 0.722 121.8 111.2 10.6 5-2 8-3 2-1 6-4 8-2 1L
Spurs 13 6 0.684 118.8 113.6 5.2 8-2 5-4 5-0 8-6 6-4 1L
Grizzlies 9 12 0.429 113.4 116.5 -3.1 4-6 5-6 4-2 8-6 5-5 3W
Mavericks 7 15 0.318 111.1 116.1 -5 4-9 3-6 1-5 4-10 4-6 2W
Pelicans 3 18 0.143 111.2 122.1 -10.9 2-9 1-9 1-5 1-16 1-9 3L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 17 4 0.81 118.8 113.2 5.6 9-2 8-2 4-2 13-4 8-2 2W
Knicks 13 6 0.684 120.4 112.9 7.5 10-1 3-5 4-0 10-6 7-3 4W
Heat 14 7 0.667 124.3 118.4 5.9 10-2 4-5 2-1 8-4 7-3 1W
Raptors 14 7 0.667 117.6 112.9 4.7 7-2 7-5 3-2 13-4 8-2 2L
Magic 13 8 0.619 119.5 114.3 5.2 8-3 5-5 3-2 10-7 8-2 3W
Cavaliers 13 9 0.591 119.5 115.7 3.8 8-4 5-5 6-0 11-8 5-5 1W
Hawks 13 9 0.591 118 115.8 2.2 4-4 9-5 3-1 7-7 6-4 1L
Celtics 11 9 0.55 114.9 110.9 4 6-4 5-5 2-4 8-6 7-3 1W
76ers 10 9 0.526 118.2 118.8 -0.6 5-6 5-3 5-2 9-9 4-6 1L
Bulls 9 11 0.45 120 123.2 -3.2 6-2 3-9 1-4 6-8 3-7 4L
Bucks 9 13 0.409 116 118.2 -2.2 6-6 3-7 2-3 7-9 2-8 1L
Hornets 6 15 0.286 115.2 120 -4.8 5-6 1-9 1-4 5-10 2-8 1L
Nets 4 16 0.2 108.8 118.5 -9.7 1-9 3-7 1-7 4-13 3-7 1W
Pacers 4 17 0.19 110.2 119.4 -9.2 4-7 0-10 1-5 3-9 3-7 1L
Wizards 3 16 0.158 113.3 127.6 -14.3 2-6 1-10 1-2 2-12 2-8 1W
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 20 1 0.952 122.2 106.7 15.5 10-0 10-1 4-1 16-1 10-0 12W
Lakers 15 5 0.75 119.1 115.9 3.2 7-3 8-2 2-2 12-4 8-2 1L
Rockets 13 5 0.722 121.8 111.2 10.6 5-2 8-3 2-1 6-4 8-2 1L
Nuggets 14 6 0.7 124.6 115.9 8.7 6-4 8-2 2-1 12-5 6-4 1L
Spurs 13 6 0.684 118.8 113.6 5.2 8-2 5-4 5-0 8-6 6-4 1L
Timberwolves 12 8 0.6 119.2 114.1 5.1 7-3 5-5 3-3 7-7 6-4 2W
Suns 13 9 0.591 117 113.7 3.3 8-4 5-5 5-2 12-8 6-4 1W
Warriors 11 10 0.524 114.5 113.6 0.9 7-2 4-8 3-1 10-6 5-5 1W
Grizzlies 9 12 0.429 113.4 116.5 -3.1 4-6 5-6 4-2 8-6 5-5 3W
Trail Blazers 8 12 0.4 118.3 121.2 -2.9 3-6 5-6 3-3 7-9 3-7 2L
Jazz 7 13 0.35 118.5 125.4 -6.9 6-6 1-7 0-4 4-10 4-6 1W
Mavericks 7 15 0.318 111.1 116.1 -5 4-9 3-6 1-5 4-10 4-6 2W
Kings 5 16 0.238 111.8 122.9 -11.1 3-7 2-9 1-3 4-14 2-8 3L
Clippers 5 16 0.238 112.3 118.8 -6.5 3-7 2-9 1-4 4-9 2-8 5L
Pelicans 3 18 0.143 111.2 122.1 -10.9 2-9 1-9 1-5 1-16 1-9 3L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 20 1 0.952 122.2 106.7 15.5 10-0 10-1 4-1 16-1 10-0 12W
Pistons 17 4 0.81 118.8 113.2 5.6 9-2 8-2 4-2 13-4 8-2 2W
Lakers 15 5 0.75 119.1 115.9 3.2 7-3 8-2 2-2 12-4 8-2 1L
Rockets 13 5 0.722 121.8 111.2 10.6 5-2 8-3 2-1 6-4 8-2 1L
Nuggets 14 6 0.7 124.6 115.9 8.7 6-4 8-2 2-1 12-5 6-4 1L
Knicks 13 6 0.684 120.4 112.9 7.5 10-1 3-5 4-0 10-6 7-3 4W
Spurs 13 6 0.684 118.8 113.6 5.2 8-2 5-4 5-0 8-6 6-4 1L
Heat 14 7 0.667 124.3 118.4 5.9 10-2 4-5 2-1 8-4 7-3 1W
Raptors 14 7 0.667 117.6 112.9 4.7 7-2 7-5 3-2 13-4 8-2 2L
Magic 13 8 0.619 119.5 114.3 5.2 8-3 5-5 3-2 10-7 8-2 3W
Timberwolves 12 8 0.6 119.2 114.1 5.1 7-3 5-5 3-3 7-7 6-4 2W
Hawks 13 9 0.591 118 115.8 2.2 4-4 9-5 3-1 7-7 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 13 9 0.591 119.5 115.7 3.8 8-4 5-5 6-0 11-8 5-5 1W
Suns 13 9 0.591 117 113.7 3.3 8-4 5-5 5-2 12-8 6-4 1W
Celtics 11 9 0.55 114.9 110.9 4 6-4 5-5 2-4 8-6 7-3 1W
76ers 10 9 0.526 118.2 118.8 -0.6 5-6 5-3 5-2 9-9 4-6 1L
Warriors 11 10 0.524 114.5 113.6 0.9 7-2 4-8 3-1 10-6 5-5 1W
Bulls 9 11 0.45 120 123.2 -3.2 6-2 3-9 1-4 6-8 3-7 4L
Grizzlies 9 12 0.429 113.4 116.5 -3.1 4-6 5-6 4-2 8-6 5-5 3W
Bucks 9 13 0.409 116 118.2 -2.2 6-6 3-7 2-3 7-9 2-8 1L
Trail Blazers 8 12 0.4 118.3 121.2 -2.9 3-6 5-6 3-3 7-9 3-7 2L
Jazz 7 13 0.35 118.5 125.4 -6.9 6-6 1-7 0-4 4-10 4-6 1W
Mavericks 7 15 0.318 111.1 116.1 -5 4-9 3-6 1-5 4-10 4-6 2W
Hornets 6 15 0.286 115.2 120 -4.8 5-6 1-9 1-4 5-10 2-8 1L
Clippers 5 16 0.238 112.3 118.8 -6.5 3-7 2-9 1-4 4-9 2-8 5L
Kings 5 16 0.238 111.8 122.9 -11.1 3-7 2-9 1-3 4-14 2-8 3L
Nets 4 16 0.2 108.8 118.5 -9.7 1-9 3-7 1-7 4-13 3-7 1W
Pacers 4 17 0.19 110.2 119.4 -9.2 4-7 0-10 1-5 3-9 3-7 1L
Wizards 3 16 0.158 113.3 127.6 -14.3 2-6 1-10 1-2 2-12 2-8 1W
Pelicans 3 18 0.143 111.2 122.1 -10.9 2-9 1-9 1-5 1-16 1-9 3L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak