Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, Picks & Odds | 24 Oct 2025

NBA Betting Preview: Heat vs Grizzlies

The Miami Heat go up against the Memphis Grizzlies in this NBA matchup at FedExForum, with tip-off scheduled for 20:00 on Friday, October 24. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and the official starting lineups.

Back Grizzlies to Overpower Heat

There’s a good opportunity to cover the spread by backing the Grizzlies at -3.5. We can get odds of -110 and our prediction is that they’ll overcome the Heat.

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7 Grizzlies Victories in Previous 10 H2H Matchups

Miami Heat began their campaign on the road, falling 125-121 to the Orlando Magic at Kia Center. Norman Powell poured in 28 points, with Andrew Wiggins contributing 18 and Davion Mitchell adding 16.

Memphis Grizzlies opened their season with a 128-122 home victory over the New Orleans Pelicans at FedExForum. Ja Morant scored 35 points, while Jaren Jackson Jr. finished with 18 and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 15.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Grizzlies beat the Heat in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 110-108 scoreline at Kaseya Center. The Grizzlies have triumphed in their previous three meetings against the Heat. On the head-to-head front, it has been 7 wins out of 10.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Grizzlies	1	0	1	128	122	6	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Heat	0	1	0	121	125	-4	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L

View Full Standings

The Heat have 3 wins and 7 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 111.7 points, 45.6 rebounds, 26.5 assists, 7.0 steals and 4.5 blocks while shooting 47.5% from the field and 69.9% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 117.5 points and 43.7 rebounds per matchup.

Tyler Herro is averaging 18.2 points and 2.1 (33.9%) 3-pointers made. Bam Adebayo averages 10.0 rebounds and Davion Mitchell 7.0 assists.

The Grizzlies have won 3 and lost 7 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 113.2 points, 44.3 rebounds, 23.7 assists, 6.6 steals and 5.7 blocks per game while shooting 46.0% from the field and 83.0% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 118.4 points and 43.8 rebounds.

Ja Morant is averaging 19.1 points and 4.2 assists, while Zach Edey has an average of 8.4 rebounds and Desmond Bane 2.4 (37.5%) 3-pointers made.

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction & Picks

Tackle Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies with all the betting insight you need, including our match prediction, scoreline forecast, key player prop selections and a hand-picked bet builder.

Game Prediction

Grizzlies should be taken against the spread at -3.5 with our pick being for the favorites to achieve a comfortable margin of victory in this NBA contest. Back them at the odds of -110 that are available.

Injuries are always factored in by the handicappers at Sportsgambler.com. Our basketball picks are also shaped by recent form, with up-to-date NBA stats playing a key role before any selections are locked in.

Key Heat vs Grizzlies stats:

• The -3.5 line has been covered by Grizzlies in 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Heat in 5 consecutive games.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Heat in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Heat in 12 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by Grizzlies in 6 of their last 10 games against Heat.

Grizzlies -3.5 Probability

Based on the odds from the top betting apps, our pick has a 52.4% prospect of winning. Our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this wager.

Those wanting an alternative to the spread can consider Winning Margin where there are several options. Take a view on the Grizzlies and their performance.

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Best Bet

Grizzlies -3.5 @ -110 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Andrew Wiggins Under 17.5 Points -118

Andrew Wiggins (Heat) has averaged 13.2 points in the past 5 games. It therefore follows that he might fall short on Player Points and you can get -118 that he doesn’t cover the line.

Latest Andrew Wiggins Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 17.5

-109

Under 17.5

-119

Assists

Over 2.5

-152

Under 2.5

+117

Rebounds

Over 4.5

-130

Under 4.5

+101

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Ja Morant Under 7.5 Assists -127

Ja Morant (Grizzlies) has failed to cover the 7.5 assists total in 7 of the past 8 games. He might fall short when it comes to covering the Player Assists line and you can get -127 for this prop bet.

Latest Ja Morant Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 24.5

-106

Under 24.5

-122

Assists

Over 7.5

-101

Under 7.5

-128

Rebounds

Over 4.5

-118

Under 4.5

-110

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Correct Score Prediction

Heat 111 - 118 Grizzlies

You don’t need a big stake to enjoy a monster return by getting this correct score right. We’re going for the Grizzlies to claim a 118-111 victory and hopefully this goes close.

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Grizzlies Trading at Shorter Odds Than Heat

With the sportsbooks giving them a 62% probability of winning this NBA game, Memphis Grizzlies might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -164 Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to back Miami Heat, you will find +138 about the underdogs.

The spread currently stands at 3.5 and the total points line is 233.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. If you want to bet Under 233.5, there are odds of -110.

If you’re planning to place a basketball wager, visit the best NBA sportsbooks and check out the huge selection of available team props and game lines. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Heat

+138

Grizzlies

-164

Point Spread

Heat +3.5

-110

Grizzlies -3.5

-110

Total Points

Under 233.5

-110

Over 233.5

-110

Ja Morant Favorite to Score the Most Points

Ja Morant is the favorite to score most points. Odds of -106 can be found for him scoring Over 24.5 points and there is -122 for him to go Under.

Ja Morant (Grizzlies)

Over 24.5

-106

Under 24.5

-122

Jaren Jackson Jr (Grizzlies)

Over 22.5

-123

Under 22.5

-104

Norman Powell (Heat)

Over 22.5

-115

Under 22.5

-112

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 18.5

-116

Under 18.5

-111

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 17.5

-109

Under 17.5

-119

Jaylen Wells (Grizzlies)

Over 12.5

-111

Under 12.5

-116

Santi Aldama (Grizzlies)

Over 11.5

-118

Under 11.5

-110

Davion Mitchell (Heat)

Over 10.5

-149

Under 10.5

+115

Nikola Jovic (Heat)

Over 10.5

-109

Under 10.5

-119

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Grizzlies)

Over 9.5

-112

Under 9.5

-115

Jock Landale (Grizzlies)

Over 9.5

-105

Under 9.5

-123

Kel'el Ware (Heat)

Over 8.5

-120

Under 8.5

-108

Ja Morant (Grizzlies)

Over 7.5

-101

Under 7.5

-128

Davion Mitchell (Heat)

Over 6.5

-115

Under 6.5

-112

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 3.5

-110

Under 3.5

-118

Jaren Jackson Jr (Grizzlies)

Over 2.5

+149

Under 2.5

-196

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 2.5

-152

Under 2.5

+117

Jaylen Wells (Grizzlies)

Over 2.5

+112

Under 2.5

-145

Nikola Jovic (Heat)

Over 2.5

-141

Under 2.5

+109

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Grizzlies)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-130

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 10.5

+103

Under 10.5

-133

Kel'el Ware (Heat)

Over 7.5

+130

Under 7.5

-169

Jaren Jackson Jr (Grizzlies)

Over 6.5

-101

Under 6.5

-128

Santi Aldama (Grizzlies)

Over 6.5

-100

Under 6.5

-130

Jock Landale (Grizzlies)

Over 6.5

+118

Under 6.5

-154

Ja Morant (Grizzlies)

Over 4.5

-118

Under 4.5

-110

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 4.5

-130

Under 4.5

+101

Nikola Jovic (Heat)

Over 4.5

-111

Under 4.5

-116

Norman Powell (Heat)

Over 3.5

-125

Under 3.5

-103

Jaylen Wells (Grizzlies)

Over 3.5

-119

Under 3.5

-109

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Grizzlies)

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-156

Grizzlies Home Record Stands at Six Losses From Last Ten

The Grizzlies have a 4-6 record in their last 10 home games, putting up 120.80 points per contest and giving up 117.30.

The Heat have lost three straight on the road. They are 6-4 in their last 10 road games, averaging 119.10 points on offense and surrendering 108.60 on defense.

The last time the teams met at FedExForum, the Grizzlies defeated the Heat 125-91. In their previous 9 head-to-head matchups at FedExForum, the Heat have tallied five wins, compared to the Grizzlies with four.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O233.5	U233.5
Memphis Grizzlies Home Stats		4-6	238.10	120.80	117.30	4	6
Miami Heat Away Stats		6-4	227.70	119.10	108.60	3	7

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O233.5 = Games Over 233.5 Points
• U233.5 = Games Under 233.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Heat Stats

Memphis Grizzlies Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 229.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 227.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 233.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 233.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 111.70 pts and allowed 117.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 119.10 pts and allowed 108.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 231.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 238.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 233.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 233.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 113.20 pts and allowed 118.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 120.80 pts and allowed 117.30 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.70 (59%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.20 (33%)
• Free Throws Made: 12.30 (69.89%)
• Rebounds: Total 45.6, Offensive 11.80, Defensive 33.80
• Assists: 26.50
• Blocks: 4.50
• Steals: 7.00
• Turnovers : 13.80
• Personal Fouls: 16.40

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.50 (58%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.50 (39%)
• Free Throws Made: 14.60 (73.74%)
• Rebounds: Total 46.3, Offensive 12.10, Defensive 34.20
• Assists: 29.30
• Blocks: 4.30
• Steals: 8.70
• Turnovers : 12.20
• Personal Fouls: 15.80

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.80 (53%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.50 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.10 (83.03%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.3, Offensive 11.30, Defensive 33.00
• Assists: 23.70
• Blocks: 5.70
• Steals: 6.60
• Turnovers : 16.30
• Personal Fouls: 21.60

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.70 (57%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.80 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.00 (82.57%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.7, Offensive 10.10, Defensive 34.60
• Assists: 26.10
• Blocks: 6.10
• Steals: 7.40
• Turnovers : 14.00
• Personal Fouls: 22.00

Live Streaming

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Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
76ers	1	0	1	117	116	1	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Raptors	1	0	1	138	118	20	0-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Knicks	1	0	1	119	111	8	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Celtics	0	1	0	116	117	-1	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Nets	0	1	0	117	136	-19	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	1	0	1	115	111	4	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Bucks	1	0	1	133	120	13	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Pistons	0	1	0	111	115	-4	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Cavaliers	0	1	0	111	119	-8	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Magic	1	0	1	125	121	4	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Hornets	1	0	1	136	117	19	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Heat	0	1	0	121	125	-4	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Wizards	0	1	0	120	133	-13	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Hawks	0	1	0	118	138	-20	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Timberwolves	1	0	1	118	114	4	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Jazz	1	0	1	129	108	21	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Thunder	1	0	1	125	124	1	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Trail Blazers	0	1	0	114	118	-4	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	1	0	1	119	109	10	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Suns	1	0	1	120	116	4	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Kings	0	1	0	116	120	-4	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Lakers	0	1	0	109	119	-10	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Clippers	0	1	0	108	129	-21	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	1	0	1	125	92	33	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Grizzlies	1	0	1	128	122	6	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Rockets	0	1	0	124	125	-1	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Pelicans	0	1	0	122	128	-6	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Mavericks	0	1	0	92	125	-33	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	1	0	1	115	111	4	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Magic	1	0	1	125	121	4	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
76ers	1	0	1	117	116	1	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Raptors	1	0	1	138	118	20	0-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Hornets	1	0	1	136	117	19	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Bucks	1	0	1	133	120	13	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Knicks	1	0	1	119	111	8	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Celtics	0	1	0	116	117	-1	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Pistons	0	1	0	111	115	-4	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Heat	0	1	0	121	125	-4	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Cavaliers	0	1	0	111	119	-8	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Wizards	0	1	0	120	133	-13	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Nets	0	1	0	117	136	-19	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Hawks	0	1	0	118	138	-20	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	1	0	1	125	92	33	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Warriors	1	0	1	119	109	10	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Timberwolves	1	0	1	118	114	4	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Jazz	1	0	1	129	108	21	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Grizzlies	1	0	1	128	122	6	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Suns	1	0	1	120	116	4	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Thunder	1	0	1	125	124	1	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Rockets	0	1	0	124	125	-1	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Trail Blazers	0	1	0	114	118	-4	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Kings	0	1	0	116	120	-4	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Pelicans	0	1	0	122	128	-6	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Lakers	0	1	0	109	119	-10	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Clippers	0	1	0	108	129	-21	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Mavericks	0	1	0	92	125	-33	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hornets	1	0	1	136	117	19	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Bulls	1	0	1	115	111	4	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Warriors	1	0	1	119	109	10	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Grizzlies	1	0	1	128	122	6	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Bucks	1	0	1	133	120	13	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Timberwolves	1	0	1	118	114	4	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Knicks	1	0	1	119	111	8	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Thunder	1	0	1	125	124	1	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Magic	1	0	1	125	121	4	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
76ers	1	0	1	117	116	1	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Suns	1	0	1	120	116	4	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Spurs	1	0	1	125	92	33	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Raptors	1	0	1	138	118	20	0-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Jazz	1	0	1	129	108	21	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Hawks	0	1	0	118	138	-20	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Celtics	0	1	0	116	117	-1	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Nets	0	1	0	117	136	-19	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Cavaliers	0	1	0	111	119	-8	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Mavericks	0	1	0	92	125	-33	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	1	0	111	115	-4	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Rockets	0	1	0	124	125	-1	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	1	0	108	129	-21	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Lakers	0	1	0	109	119	-10	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Heat	0	1	0	121	125	-4	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Pelicans	0	1	0	122	128	-6	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Trail Blazers	0	1	0	114	118	-4	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Kings	0	1	0	116	120	-4	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Wizards	0	1	0	120	133	-13	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak