Miami Heat
Memphis Grizzlies
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Heat vs Grizzlies

Back Grizzlies to Overpower Heat

There’s a good opportunity to cover the spread by backing the Grizzlies at -3.5. We can get odds of -110 and our prediction is that they’ll overcome the Heat.

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7 Grizzlies Victories in Previous 10 H2H Matchups

Miami Heat began their campaign on the road, falling 125-121 to the Orlando Magic at Kia Center. Norman Powell poured in 28 points, with Andrew Wiggins contributing 18 and Davion Mitchell adding 16.

Memphis Grizzlies opened their season with a 128-122 home victory over the New Orleans Pelicans at FedExForum. Ja Morant scored 35 points, while Jaren Jackson Jr. finished with 18 and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 15.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Grizzlies beat the Heat in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 110-108 scoreline at Kaseya Center. The Grizzlies have triumphed in their previous three meetings against the Heat. On the head-to-head front, it has been 7 wins out of 10.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Heat logo Heat 14 11 0.56 121.7 118.2 3.5 10-3 4-8 2-3 8-6 5-5 4L
Grizzlies logo Grizzlies 11 13 0.458 113.6 115.3 -1.7 6-6 5-7 4-3 10-7 7-3 2W
View Full Standings
Miami Heat – Last 10 Games

The Heat have 3 wins and 7 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 111.7 points, 45.6 rebounds, 26.5 assists, 7.0 steals and 4.5 blocks while shooting 47.5% from the field and 69.9% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 117.5 points and 43.7 rebounds per matchup.

Tyler Herro is averaging 18.2 points and 2.1 (33.9%) 3-pointers made. Bam Adebayo averages 10.0 rebounds and Davion Mitchell 7.0 assists.

Memphis Grizzlies – Last 10 Games

The Grizzlies have won 3 and lost 7 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 113.2 points, 44.3 rebounds, 23.7 assists, 6.6 steals and 5.7 blocks per game while shooting 46.0% from the field and 83.0% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 118.4 points and 43.8 rebounds.

Ja Morant is averaging 19.1 points and 4.2 assists, while Zach Edey has an average of 8.4 rebounds and Desmond Bane 2.4 (37.5%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Miami Heat lineup: Kel'el Ware, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell.

Memphis Grizzlies lineup: Jaylen Wells, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jaren Jackson Jr., Ja Morant, Jock Landale.

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction & Picks

Tackle Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies with all the betting insight you need, including our match prediction, scoreline forecast, key player prop selections and a hand-picked bet builder.

Game Prediction

Grizzlies should be taken against the spread at -3.5 with our pick being for the favorites to achieve a comfortable margin of victory in this NBA contest. Back them at the odds of -110 that are available.

Injuries are always factored in by the handicappers at Sportsgambler.com. Our basketball picks are also shaped by recent form, with up-to-date NBA stats playing a key role before any selections are locked in.

Key Heat vs Grizzlies stats:

  • The -3.5 line has been covered by Grizzlies in 3 of their last 5 games at home.
  • The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Heat in 5 consecutive games.
  • The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Heat in 6 of their last 10 games.
  • The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Heat in 12 of their last 20 games on the road.
  • The -3.5 line has been covered by Grizzlies in 6 of their last 10 games against Heat.

Grizzlies -3.5 Probability

Based on the odds from the top betting apps, our pick has a 52.4% prospect of winning. Our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

Those wanting an alternative to the spread can consider Winning Margin where there are several options. Take a view on the Grizzlies and their performance.

Elevate your wagering experience with the latest free bets, promos and top betting offers listed in our comprehensive bonus guide.

Our Game Prediction
Grizzlies -3.5 @ -110 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.
Published 00:06, 24 October 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Ja Morant Under 7.5 Assists -143 BetMGM logo

Ja Morant (Grizzlies) hasn't covered the 7.5 assists total in 7 of the past 8 games. There’s no reason to oppose the stats, so we’ll take the -143 that he is unable to cover the Player Assists line here.

Latest Ja Morant Player Prop Odds

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Santi Aldama Under 6.5 Rebounds -147 BetMGM logo

Santi Aldama (Grizzlies) hasn't covered the 6.5 rebounds total in 7 of the past 9 games. We’re going to bet on him to fall short when it comes to Player Rebounds and this prop pick is available at -147.

Latest Santi Aldama Player Prop Odds

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Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Grizzlies -3.5
Totals Under 233.5
Player Assists Ja Morant Under 7.5

Get in the game with a same game parlay. Our picks are Grizzlies to cover the -3.5 spread, Under 233.5 on the total and Ja Morant (Grizzlies) to get Under 7.5 assists.

The betting sites now allow you to place a same game parlay on each individual game. It means that you can create a personalised basketball wager at bigger odds, with there generally being no limit as to the number of selections.

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Correct Score Prediction

Heat Heat logo 111 - 118 Grizzlies logo Grizzlies

You don’t need a big stake to enjoy a monster return by getting this correct score right. We’re going for the Grizzlies to claim a 118-111 victory and hopefully this goes close.

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Grizzlies Trading at Shorter Odds Than Heat

With the sportsbooks giving them a 61% probability of winning this NBA game, Memphis Grizzlies might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -159 Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to back Miami Heat, you will find +134 about the underdogs.

The spread currently stands at 3.5 and the total points line is 233.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. If you want to bet Under 233.5, there are odds of -112.

If you’re planning to place a basketball wager, visit the best NBA sportsbooks and check out the huge selection of available team props and game lines. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Betting Lines & Odds
Ja Morant Favorite to Score the Most Points

Ja Morant is the favorite to score most points. Odds of -110 can be found for him scoring Over 24.5 points and there is -120 for him to go Under.

Player Points
Ja Morant (Grizzlies)
Over 24.5
-110
Under 24.5
-120
BetMGM Logo
Jaren Jackson Jr (Grizzlies)
Over 22.5
-109
Under 22.5
-120
BetMGM Logo
Player Assists
Ja Morant (Grizzlies)
Over 7.5
+108
Under 7.5
-143
BetMGM Logo
Davion Mitchell (Heat)
Over 6.5
-128
Under 6.5
-104
BetMGM Logo
Jaren Jackson Jr (Grizzlies)
Over 2.5
+148
Under 2.5
-200
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Santi Aldama (Grizzlies)
Over 6.5
+110
Under 6.5
-147
BetMGM Logo
Jaren Jackson Jr (Grizzlies)
Over 5.5
-143
Under 5.5
+107
BetMGM Logo
Micro Betting

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some basketball bettors prefer to look at the micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Best Betting Offers
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Grizzlies Home Record Stands at Six Losses From Last Ten

The Grizzlies have a 4-6 record in their last 10 home games, putting up 120.80 points per contest and giving up 117.30.

The Heat have lost three straight on the road. They are 6-4 in their last 10 road games, averaging 119.10 points on offense and surrendering 108.60 on defense.

The last time the teams met at FedExForum, the Grizzlies defeated the Heat 125-91. In their previous 9 head-to-head matchups at FedExForum, the Heat have tallied five wins, compared to the Grizzlies with four.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O233.5 U233.5
Memphis Grizzlies logo Memphis Grizzlies Home Stats 4-6 238.10 120.80 117.30 4 6
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Away Stats 6-4 227.70 119.10 108.60 3 7
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O233.5 = Games Over 233.5 Points
  • U233.5 = Games Under 233.5 Points
Last 5 & H2H
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Stats
Memphis Grizzlies logo Memphis Grizzlies Stats
Moneyline
  • 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Miami Heat Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Norman Powell 1 36.4 28 4 28.0 4.0 4.0 9.0 1.0 1.0
Davion Mitchell 1 34.8 16 12 16.0 12.0 2.0 6.0 1.0 2.0
Bam Adebayo 1 34.2 15 2 15.0 2.0 1.0 12.0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 1 30.7 15 3 15.0 3.0 2.0 4.0 - -
Ja Morant 1 28.7 35 3 35.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 - 1.0
Jaylen Wells 1 27.5 14 4 14.0 4.0 4.0 3.0 - 1.0

Injuries & Suspensions

Miami Heat Injury Table

Type
Name
Info
Tyler Herro
Injured
Kasparas Jakucionis
Injured
Terry Rozier
Suspended

Memphis Grizzlies Injury Table

Type
Name
Info
Scotty Pippen Jr.
Injured
Vince Williams Jr.
Injured
Ty Jerome
Injured
Brandon Clarke
Injured
Zach Edey
Injured

Starting Lineups

Memphis Grizzlies logo Memphis Grizzlies Confirmed Lineup
0 Jaylen Wells
3 Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
8 Jaren Jackson Jr.
12 Ja Morant
31 Jock Landale
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup
7 Kel'el Ware
13 Bam Adebayo
22 Andrew Wiggins
24 Norman Powell
45 Davion Mitchell

Previous Miami Heat Lineups

22 Oct NBA
Heat 121-125 Magic
28 Apr NBA Playoffs
Cavaliers 138-83 Heat
26 Apr NBA Playoffs
Cavaliers 124-87 Heat
23 Apr NBA Playoffs
Heat 112-121 Cavaliers
20 Apr NBA Playoffs
Heat 100-121 Cavaliers
18 Apr NBA Playoffs
Heat 123-114 Hawks
16 Apr NBA Playoffs
Heat 109-90 Bulls
13 Apr NBA
Wizards 119-118 Heat
11 Apr NBA
Heat 153-104 Pelicans
09 Apr NBA
Heat 111-119 Bulls

Previous Memphis Grizzlies Lineups

22 Oct NBA
Pelicans 122-128 Grizzlies
26 Apr NBA Playoffs
Thunder 117-115 Grizzlies
24 Apr NBA Playoffs
Thunder 114-108 Grizzlies
22 Apr NBA Playoffs
Grizzlies 99-118 Thunder
20 Apr NBA Playoffs
Grizzlies 80-131 Thunder
18 Apr NBA Playoffs
Mavericks 106-120 Grizzlies
15 Apr NBA Playoffs
Grizzlies 116-121 Warriors
13 Apr NBA
Mavericks 97-132 Grizzlies
11 Apr NBA
Grizzlies 109-117 Nuggets
10 Apr NBA
Timberwolves 141-125 Grizzlies

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Knicks 17 7 0.708 120.5 111.9 8.6 13-1 4-6 5-1 13-7 8-2 4W
Celtics 15 9 0.625 117.3 110.6 6.7 8-4 7-5 4-4 11-6 8-2 5W
Raptors 15 11 0.577 115.8 113.9 1.9 8-6 7-5 3-4 13-7 4-6 4L
76ers 13 10 0.565 116.9 116.1 0.8 7-7 6-3 5-2 11-9 5-5 1L
Nets 6 17 0.261 109.4 117.2 -7.8 2-10 4-7 1-7 5-13 4-6 1W
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 19 5 0.792 118.7 113.3 5.4 11-2 8-3 5-3 14-5 7-3 2W
Cavaliers 14 11 0.56 118.6 115.4 3.2 9-6 5-5 6-0 11-8 4-6 1L
Bucks 10 15 0.4 115.1 118 -2.9 7-7 3-8 3-4 8-11 2-8 2L
Bulls 9 14 0.391 117.3 122.6 -5.3 6-5 3-9 1-5 6-10 2-8 7L
Pacers 6 18 0.25 111.3 118.8 -7.5 5-8 1-10 2-5 4-9 5-5 2W
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Magic 15 10 0.6 117.8 113.4 4.4 10-4 5-6 5-2 12-8 7-3 1W
Hawks 14 11 0.56 118 116.5 1.5 4-6 10-5 4-1 8-7 5-5 1W
Heat 14 11 0.56 121.7 118.2 3.5 10-3 4-8 2-3 8-6 5-5 4L
Hornets 7 17 0.292 114.2 118.3 -4.1 5-7 2-10 1-4 6-11 3-7 1L
Wizards 3 19 0.136 112.4 128.3 -15.9 2-8 1-11 1-3 2-15 2-8 3L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 24 1 0.96 123.6 106.2 17.4 12-0 12-1 5-1 20-1 10-0 16W
Nuggets 17 6 0.739 125 116.3 8.7 6-4 11-2 2-1 12-5 7-3 3W
Timberwolves 15 9 0.625 119.6 114.8 4.8 8-4 7-5 3-3 10-8 6-4 1L
Trail Blazers 9 15 0.375 117.4 120.6 -3.2 3-6 6-9 3-3 7-10 3-7 2L
Jazz 8 15 0.348 117.6 125.8 -8.2 6-7 2-8 0-5 4-11 3-7 2L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 17 7 0.708 118.3 116.8 1.5 7-4 10-3 2-2 12-5 7-3 1L
Suns 14 11 0.56 114.8 114.4 0.4 8-4 6-7 5-2 13-10 5-5 1L
Warriors 13 12 0.52 113.5 111.7 1.8 7-3 6-9 3-1 10-7 4-6 2W
Kings 6 18 0.25 111.4 122 -10.6 3-7 3-11 1-3 4-15 3-7 1L
Clippers 6 18 0.25 111.6 116.8 -5.2 3-7 3-11 1-4 4-11 2-8 2L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Rockets 15 6 0.714 120.9 110.3 10.6 7-2 8-4 2-2 8-5 7-3 1L
Spurs 17 7 0.708 120.1 115.4 4.7 9-2 8-5 7-0 11-6 7-3 2W
Grizzlies 11 13 0.458 113.6 115.3 -1.7 6-6 5-7 4-3 10-7 7-3 2W
Mavericks 9 16 0.36 111.8 116.1 -4.3 6-9 3-7 2-5 5-11 5-5 1W
Pelicans 3 22 0.12 113 123.7 -10.7 2-12 1-10 1-6 1-19 1-9 7L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 19 5 0.792 118.7 113.3 5.4 11-2 8-3 5-3 14-5 7-3 2W
Knicks 17 7 0.708 120.5 111.9 8.6 13-1 4-6 5-1 13-7 8-2 4W
Celtics 15 9 0.625 117.3 110.6 6.7 8-4 7-5 4-4 11-6 8-2 5W
Magic 15 10 0.6 117.8 113.4 4.4 10-4 5-6 5-2 12-8 7-3 1W
Raptors 15 11 0.577 115.8 113.9 1.9 8-6 7-5 3-4 13-7 4-6 4L
76ers 13 10 0.565 116.9 116.1 0.8 7-7 6-3 5-2 11-9 5-5 1L
Cavaliers 14 11 0.56 118.6 115.4 3.2 9-6 5-5 6-0 11-8 4-6 1L
Heat 14 11 0.56 121.7 118.2 3.5 10-3 4-8 2-3 8-6 5-5 4L
Hawks 14 11 0.56 118 116.5 1.5 4-6 10-5 4-1 8-7 5-5 1W
Bucks 10 15 0.4 115.1 118 -2.9 7-7 3-8 3-4 8-11 2-8 2L
Bulls 9 14 0.391 117.3 122.6 -5.3 6-5 3-9 1-5 6-10 2-8 7L
Hornets 7 17 0.292 114.2 118.3 -4.1 5-7 2-10 1-4 6-11 3-7 1L
Nets 6 17 0.261 109.4 117.2 -7.8 2-10 4-7 1-7 5-13 4-6 1W
Pacers 6 18 0.25 111.3 118.8 -7.5 5-8 1-10 2-5 4-9 5-5 2W
Wizards 3 19 0.136 112.4 128.3 -15.9 2-8 1-11 1-3 2-15 2-8 3L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 24 1 0.96 123.6 106.2 17.4 12-0 12-1 5-1 20-1 10-0 16W
Nuggets 17 6 0.739 125 116.3 8.7 6-4 11-2 2-1 12-5 7-3 3W
Rockets 15 6 0.714 120.9 110.3 10.6 7-2 8-4 2-2 8-5 7-3 1L
Lakers 17 7 0.708 118.3 116.8 1.5 7-4 10-3 2-2 12-5 7-3 1L
Spurs 17 7 0.708 120.1 115.4 4.7 9-2 8-5 7-0 11-6 7-3 2W
Timberwolves 15 9 0.625 119.6 114.8 4.8 8-4 7-5 3-3 10-8 6-4 1L
Suns 14 11 0.56 114.8 114.4 0.4 8-4 6-7 5-2 13-10 5-5 1L
Warriors 13 12 0.52 113.5 111.7 1.8 7-3 6-9 3-1 10-7 4-6 2W
Grizzlies 11 13 0.458 113.6 115.3 -1.7 6-6 5-7 4-3 10-7 7-3 2W
Trail Blazers 9 15 0.375 117.4 120.6 -3.2 3-6 6-9 3-3 7-10 3-7 2L
Mavericks 9 16 0.36 111.8 116.1 -4.3 6-9 3-7 2-5 5-11 5-5 1W
Jazz 8 15 0.348 117.6 125.8 -8.2 6-7 2-8 0-5 4-11 3-7 2L
Kings 6 18 0.25 111.4 122 -10.6 3-7 3-11 1-3 4-15 3-7 1L
Clippers 6 18 0.25 111.6 116.8 -5.2 3-7 3-11 1-4 4-11 2-8 2L
Pelicans 3 22 0.12 113 123.7 -10.7 2-12 1-10 1-6 1-19 1-9 7L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 24 1 0.96 123.6 106.2 17.4 12-0 12-1 5-1 20-1 10-0 16W
Pistons 19 5 0.792 118.7 113.3 5.4 11-2 8-3 5-3 14-5 7-3 2W
Nuggets 17 6 0.739 125 116.3 8.7 6-4 11-2 2-1 12-5 7-3 3W
Rockets 15 6 0.714 120.9 110.3 10.6 7-2 8-4 2-2 8-5 7-3 1L
Lakers 17 7 0.708 118.3 116.8 1.5 7-4 10-3 2-2 12-5 7-3 1L
Knicks 17 7 0.708 120.5 111.9 8.6 13-1 4-6 5-1 13-7 8-2 4W
Spurs 17 7 0.708 120.1 115.4 4.7 9-2 8-5 7-0 11-6 7-3 2W
Celtics 15 9 0.625 117.3 110.6 6.7 8-4 7-5 4-4 11-6 8-2 5W
Timberwolves 15 9 0.625 119.6 114.8 4.8 8-4 7-5 3-3 10-8 6-4 1L
Magic 15 10 0.6 117.8 113.4 4.4 10-4 5-6 5-2 12-8 7-3 1W
Raptors 15 11 0.577 115.8 113.9 1.9 8-6 7-5 3-4 13-7 4-6 4L
76ers 13 10 0.565 116.9 116.1 0.8 7-7 6-3 5-2 11-9 5-5 1L
Hawks 14 11 0.56 118 116.5 1.5 4-6 10-5 4-1 8-7 5-5 1W
Cavaliers 14 11 0.56 118.6 115.4 3.2 9-6 5-5 6-0 11-8 4-6 1L
Heat 14 11 0.56 121.7 118.2 3.5 10-3 4-8 2-3 8-6 5-5 4L
Suns 14 11 0.56 114.8 114.4 0.4 8-4 6-7 5-2 13-10 5-5 1L
Warriors 13 12 0.52 113.5 111.7 1.8 7-3 6-9 3-1 10-7 4-6 2W
Grizzlies 11 13 0.458 113.6 115.3 -1.7 6-6 5-7 4-3 10-7 7-3 2W
Bucks 10 15 0.4 115.1 118 -2.9 7-7 3-8 3-4 8-11 2-8 2L
Bulls 9 14 0.391 117.3 122.6 -5.3 6-5 3-9 1-5 6-10 2-8 7L
Trail Blazers 9 15 0.375 117.4 120.6 -3.2 3-6 6-9 3-3 7-10 3-7 2L
Mavericks 9 16 0.36 111.8 116.1 -4.3 6-9 3-7 2-5 5-11 5-5 1W
Jazz 8 15 0.348 117.6 125.8 -8.2 6-7 2-8 0-5 4-11 3-7 2L
Hornets 7 17 0.292 114.2 118.3 -4.1 5-7 2-10 1-4 6-11 3-7 1L
Nets 6 17 0.261 109.4 117.2 -7.8 2-10 4-7 1-7 5-13 4-6 1W
Pacers 6 18 0.25 111.3 118.8 -7.5 5-8 1-10 2-5 4-9 5-5 2W
Clippers 6 18 0.25 111.6 116.8 -5.2 3-7 3-11 1-4 4-11 2-8 2L
Kings 6 18 0.25 111.4 122 -10.6 3-7 3-11 1-3 4-15 3-7 1L
Wizards 3 19 0.136 112.4 128.3 -15.9 2-8 1-11 1-3 2-15 2-8 3L
Pelicans 3 22 0.12 113 123.7 -10.7 2-12 1-10 1-6 1-19 1-9 7L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak