Miami Heat
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Milwaukee Bucks
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Heat vs Bucks

The Miami Heat go head-to-head with the Milwaukee Bucks in this NBA game. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Our Best Bet is Heat on the Spread

The Heat should claim a comfortable win and a bet on the spread could be the best way forward. Back this pick off -5.5 to cover the line against the Bucks at -110.

106-103 Victory for Heat in Last H2H

Miami Heat have won their previous three games. The latest was a 136-120 home triumph at Kaseya Center against Memphis Grizzlies. Andrew Wiggins tallied 28 points, while Norman Powell put up 25 and Tyler Herro 14.

Milwaukee Bucks lost when they last took to the court. At Fiserv Forum, they were turned over 122-94 at home to Toronto Raptors. Kevin Porter Jr. had 21 points and 10 assists, with Ryan Rollins registering 21 points and Cam Thomas 15.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Heat won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 106-103 triumph when facing the Bucks at Kaseya Center. In the past 10 H2H meetings, the Bucks have won six.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Heat logo Heat 31 27 0.534 120 116.9 3.1 17-11 14-16 5-5 16-16 6-4 3W
Bucks logo Bucks 24 31 0.436 112 115.4 -3.4 12-13 12-18 7-4 17-19 6-4 1L
View Full Standings
Miami Heat – Last 10 Games

The Heat have 6 wins and 4 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 120.9 points, 51.9 rebounds, 29.7 assists, 10.0 steals and 4.0 blocks while shooting 46.0% from the field and 76.5% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 109.8 points and 46.6 rebounds per contest.

Bam Adebayo is averaging 19.5 points and 10.0 rebounds, Jaime Jaquez Jr. 4.5 assists and Andrew Wiggins 2.4 (48.0%) 3-pointers.

Milwaukee Bucks – Last 10 Games

The Bucks have won 6 and lost 4 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 111.3 points, 44.1 rebounds, 24.7 assists, 6.0 steals and 4.6 blocks per game while shooting 48.0% from the field and 77.1% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 112.6 points and 43.4 rebounds.

Ryan Rollins is averaging 17.4 points and 3.1 (53.4%) 3-pointers made. Jericho Sims has an average of 6.5 rebounds and Kevin Porter Jr. 5.9 assists.

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction & Picks

Our Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks betting preview covers everything you need, including a key match prediction, correct score insight, top player prop bets and a value-packed bet builder recommendation.

Game Prediction

We’re backing Heat against the spread in this NBA matchup. It could be shrewd to wager the favorites to cover the attractive -5.5 line, with odds of -110 on offer.

To deliver the best possible basketball predictions, we start by locking in the team news and taking time to review the latest form. There’s also no shortage of data to crunch from the most up-to-date NBA stats available.

Key Heat vs Bucks stats:

  • The -5.5 line has been covered by Heat in 4 of their last 5 games.
  • The -5.5 line has been covered by Heat in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
  • The -5.5 line has been covered by Heat in 3 consecutive games.

Heat -5.5 Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you’re hunting for larger odds and feel confident your selection is going to perform well, then consider moving the line and land a bigger potential return.

Getting ready to bet? Don’t miss out on the latest betting offers! Check out our in-depth guide packed with the best welcome bonuses just for you.

Our Game Prediction
Heat -5.5 @ -110 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 24, 00:03). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 00:03, 24 February 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Bam Adebayo Over 2.5 Assists -130 BetMGM logo

Bam Adebayo (Heat) has racked up Over 2.5 assists in 5 straight games. We’re happy to take the -130 for this Player Assists prop bet as he is capable of a big performance against the Celtics.

Latest Bam Adebayo Player Prop Odds


Andrew Wiggins Over 4.5 Rebounds -133 BetMGM logo

Andrew Wiggins (Heat) has recorded Over 4.5 rebounds in 5 straight games. The stats suggest that he can oblige with our Overs bet and we’re more than happy to take the -133 available.

Latest Andrew Wiggins Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Heat -5.5
Totals Under 228.5
Player Assists Bam Adebayo Over 2.5

Our same game parlay pick is Heat -5.5 on the spread, Under 228.5 and Bam Adebayo (Heat) to get Over 2.5 assists.

The same game parlay option is great for basketball bettors wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Heat Heat logo 115 - 107 Bucks logo Bucks

There’s the chance to land amazing odds when it comes to the Heat winning on the correct score lines. We’ll try a 115-107 victory in their favor and this should be in the right ball park.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Books Giving Heat Plenty of Respect

The Miami Heat odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -213 betting favorites to land victory in this NBA game which means a 68% chance of winning. Milwaukee Bucks are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +180.

The current spread is 5.5 and the total points line is 228.5. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. If you’re going for Under 228.5, this outcome can be backed at -115.

If you’re planning to place a basketball wager, visit the best NBA sportsbooks and check out the huge selection of available team props and game lines. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Betting Lines & Odds
Norman Powell Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

The favorite to hit the most buckets is Norman Powell. Odds of -102 can be found for him scoring Over 20.5 points and there is -127 for him to go Under.

Player Points
Player Assists
Kevin Porter Jr. (Bucks)
Over 7.5
+112
Under 7.5
-145
BetMGM Logo
Davion Mitchell (Heat)
Over 6.5
-100
Under 6.5
-130
BetMGM Logo
Ryan Rollins (Bucks)
Over 4.5
-147
Under 4.5
+113
BetMGM Logo
Jaime Jaquez Jr (Heat)
Over 4.5
+118
Under 4.5
-154
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
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Fiserv Forum
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Bucks Home Record Reads Six Defeats From Last Ten

The Bucks have gone 4-6 across their last 10 home games, putting up 111.90 points per contest and giving up 118.20.

The Heat have notched three consecutive victories on the road. They have gone 7-3 across their last 10 road games, posting 120.50 points per contest while yielding 111.70.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O228.5 U228.5
Milwaukee Bucks logo Milwaukee Bucks Home Stats 4-6 230.10 111.90 118.20 4 6
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Away Stats 7-3 232.20 120.50 111.70 7 3
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O228.5 = Games Over 228.5 Points
  • U228.5 = Games Under 228.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Stats
Milwaukee Bucks logo Milwaukee Bucks Stats
Moneyline
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Miami Heat Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Bam Adebayo 50 31.2 915 144 18.3 2.9 1.6 9.8 0.7 1.0
Andrew Wiggins 52 31.15 838 143 16.1 2.8 2.0 5.1 0.9 1.2
Norman Powell 47 30.43 1074 123 22.9 2.6 2.9 3.6 0.2 1.2

Milwaukee Bucks Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Kevin Porter Jr. 30 33.55 531 230 17.7 7.7 1.4 5.0 0.4 2.2
Ryan Rollins 53 32.08 908 285 17.1 5.4 2.5 4.6 0.4 1.5
A.J. Green 51 30.12 525 104 10.3 2.0 3.0 2.6 0.1 0.5

Injuries & Suspensions

Miami Heat Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Milwaukee Bucks Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

Previous Miami Heat Lineups

21 Feb NBA
Grizzlies 120-136 Heat
20 Feb NBA
Heat 128-97 Hawks
11 Feb NBA
Heat 123-111 Pelicans
09 Feb NBA
Jazz 115-111 Heat
08 Feb NBA
Heat 132-101 Wizards
06 Feb NBA
Heat 96-98 Celtics
03 Feb NBA
Hawks 127-115 Heat
01 Feb NBA
Bulls 91-134 Heat
31 Jan NBA
Bulls 125-118 Heat
29 Jan NBA
Heat 116-113 Bulls

Previous Milwaukee Bucks Lineups

22 Feb NBA
Raptors 122-94 Bucks
20 Feb NBA
Bucks 139-118 Pelicans
12 Feb NBA
Bucks 110-93 Thunder
11 Feb NBA
Bucks 116-108 Magic
09 Feb NBA
Bucks 99-118 Magic
06 Feb NBA
Pacers 99-105 Bucks
04 Feb NBA
Pelicans 137-141 Bucks
03 Feb NBA
Bulls 115-131 Bucks
01 Feb NBA
Bucks 79-107 Celtics
29 Jan NBA
Bucks 99-109 Wizards

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 37 19 0.661 115.3 108 7.3 18-9 19-10 7-5 24-13 8-2 3W
Knicks 37 21 0.638 117.5 111.8 5.7 22-8 15-13 10-3 25-14 7-3 2W
Raptors 34 23 0.596 113.9 111.7 2.2 16-13 18-10 4-9 26-15 6-4 2W
76ers 31 26 0.544 116.2 116 0.2 15-15 16-11 8-6 19-19 5-5 1W
Nets 15 41 0.268 106.8 114.7 -7.9 8-19 7-22 3-9 11-24 3-7 4L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 42 14 0.75 117.3 109.4 7.9 22-7 20-7 9-3 28-7 8-2 1L
Cavaliers 36 22 0.621 119.7 115.4 4.3 19-11 17-11 7-3 22-13 8-2 1L
Bucks 24 31 0.436 112 115.4 -3.4 12-13 12-18 7-4 17-19 6-4 1L
Bulls 24 34 0.414 116.1 120.3 -4.2 15-15 9-19 3-10 16-25 1-9 9L
Pacers 15 43 0.259 111.5 119 -7.5 10-19 5-24 3-9 11-28 3-7 3L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Magic 30 26 0.536 115.2 114.7 0.5 18-10 12-16 6-5 19-18 6-4 1W
Heat 31 27 0.534 120 116.9 3.1 17-11 14-16 5-5 16-16 6-4 3W
Hawks 28 31 0.475 116.9 118.3 -1.4 11-16 17-15 5-6 15-21 4-6 1W
Hornets 27 31 0.466 115.6 113.7 1.9 12-16 15-15 9-4 17-21 7-3 1W
Wizards 16 40 0.286 112.5 122.8 -10.3 11-19 5-21 2-7 11-24 4-6 1L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 44 14 0.759 119.5 107.7 11.8 24-7 20-7 8-3 32-9 6-4 2W
Nuggets 36 22 0.621 120.8 116.3 4.5 15-11 21-11 5-2 21-11 4-6 1L
Timberwolves 35 23 0.603 119.5 115 4.5 20-11 15-12 6-5 20-17 6-4 1L
Trail Blazers 28 30 0.483 115.7 118.2 -2.5 16-14 12-16 5-6 22-17 5-5 1W
Jazz 18 40 0.31 118 125.9 -7.9 11-18 7-22 1-9 10-27 3-7 3L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 34 22 0.607 115.7 116.1 -0.4 16-11 18-11 6-6 23-14 6-4 1L
Suns 33 25 0.569 112.6 111.6 1 19-11 14-14 8-6 22-18 4-6 1L
Warriors 30 27 0.526 115.6 113.9 1.7 19-11 11-16 6-4 20-16 4-6 1W
Clippers 27 30 0.474 112.1 112.6 -0.5 14-12 13-18 7-5 17-17 5-5 2L
Kings 13 46 0.22 110.3 121 -10.7 9-20 4-26 2-8 9-30 1-9 1W
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 41 16 0.719 118.5 111.9 6.6 21-6 20-10 10-3 26-13 9-1 9W
Rockets 35 21 0.625 114.5 109.4 5.1 19-7 16-14 6-5 20-16 6-4 1W
Grizzlies 21 35 0.375 115.5 117.8 -2.3 12-16 9-19 5-6 17-22 3-7 2L
Mavericks 20 36 0.357 114.3 117.7 -3.4 14-16 6-20 3-9 11-26 1-9 1W
Pelicans 16 42 0.276 114.8 120.6 -5.8 10-21 6-21 6-7 9-26 4-6 1W
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 42 14 0.75 117.3 109.4 7.9 22-7 20-7 9-3 28-7 8-2 1L
Celtics 37 19 0.661 115.3 108 7.3 18-9 19-10 7-5 24-13 8-2 3W
Knicks 37 21 0.638 117.5 111.8 5.7 22-8 15-13 10-3 25-14 7-3 2W
Cavaliers 36 22 0.621 119.7 115.4 4.3 19-11 17-11 7-3 22-13 8-2 1L
Raptors 34 23 0.596 113.9 111.7 2.2 16-13 18-10 4-9 26-15 6-4 2W
76ers 31 26 0.544 116.2 116 0.2 15-15 16-11 8-6 19-19 5-5 1W
Magic 30 26 0.536 115.2 114.7 0.5 18-10 12-16 6-5 19-18 6-4 1W
Heat 31 27 0.534 120 116.9 3.1 17-11 14-16 5-5 16-16 6-4 3W
Hawks 28 31 0.475 116.9 118.3 -1.4 11-16 17-15 5-6 15-21 4-6 1W
Hornets 27 31 0.466 115.6 113.7 1.9 12-16 15-15 9-4 17-21 7-3 1W
Bucks 24 31 0.436 112 115.4 -3.4 12-13 12-18 7-4 17-19 6-4 1L
Bulls 24 34 0.414 116.1 120.3 -4.2 15-15 9-19 3-10 16-25 1-9 9L
Wizards 16 40 0.286 112.5 122.8 -10.3 11-19 5-21 2-7 11-24 4-6 1L
Nets 15 41 0.268 106.8 114.7 -7.9 8-19 7-22 3-9 11-24 3-7 4L
Pacers 15 43 0.259 111.5 119 -7.5 10-19 5-24 3-9 11-28 3-7 3L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 44 14 0.759 119.5 107.7 11.8 24-7 20-7 8-3 32-9 6-4 2W
Spurs 41 16 0.719 118.5 111.9 6.6 21-6 20-10 10-3 26-13 9-1 9W
Rockets 35 21 0.625 114.5 109.4 5.1 19-7 16-14 6-5 20-16 6-4 1W
Nuggets 36 22 0.621 120.8 116.3 4.5 15-11 21-11 5-2 21-11 4-6 1L
Lakers 34 22 0.607 115.7 116.1 -0.4 16-11 18-11 6-6 23-14 6-4 1L
Timberwolves 35 23 0.603 119.5 115 4.5 20-11 15-12 6-5 20-17 6-4 1L
Suns 33 25 0.569 112.6 111.6 1 19-11 14-14 8-6 22-18 4-6 1L
Warriors 30 27 0.526 115.6 113.9 1.7 19-11 11-16 6-4 20-16 4-6 1W
Trail Blazers 28 30 0.483 115.7 118.2 -2.5 16-14 12-16 5-6 22-17 5-5 1W
Clippers 27 30 0.474 112.1 112.6 -0.5 14-12 13-18 7-5 17-17 5-5 2L
Grizzlies 21 35 0.375 115.5 117.8 -2.3 12-16 9-19 5-6 17-22 3-7 2L
Mavericks 20 36 0.357 114.3 117.7 -3.4 14-16 6-20 3-9 11-26 1-9 1W
Jazz 18 40 0.31 118 125.9 -7.9 11-18 7-22 1-9 10-27 3-7 3L
Pelicans 16 42 0.276 114.8 120.6 -5.8 10-21 6-21 6-7 9-26 4-6 1W
Kings 13 46 0.22 110.3 121 -10.7 9-20 4-26 2-8 9-30 1-9 1W
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 44 14 0.759 119.5 107.7 11.8 24-7 20-7 8-3 32-9 6-4 2W
Pistons 42 14 0.75 117.3 109.4 7.9 22-7 20-7 9-3 28-7 8-2 1L
Spurs 41 16 0.719 118.5 111.9 6.6 21-6 20-10 10-3 26-13 9-1 9W
Celtics 37 19 0.661 115.3 108 7.3 18-9 19-10 7-5 24-13 8-2 3W
Knicks 37 21 0.638 117.5 111.8 5.7 22-8 15-13 10-3 25-14 7-3 2W
Rockets 35 21 0.625 114.5 109.4 5.1 19-7 16-14 6-5 20-16 6-4 1W
Cavaliers 36 22 0.621 119.7 115.4 4.3 19-11 17-11 7-3 22-13 8-2 1L
Nuggets 36 22 0.621 120.8 116.3 4.5 15-11 21-11 5-2 21-11 4-6 1L
Lakers 34 22 0.607 115.7 116.1 -0.4 16-11 18-11 6-6 23-14 6-4 1L
Timberwolves 35 23 0.603 119.5 115 4.5 20-11 15-12 6-5 20-17 6-4 1L
Raptors 34 23 0.596 113.9 111.7 2.2 16-13 18-10 4-9 26-15 6-4 2W
Suns 33 25 0.569 112.6 111.6 1 19-11 14-14 8-6 22-18 4-6 1L
76ers 31 26 0.544 116.2 116 0.2 15-15 16-11 8-6 19-19 5-5 1W
Magic 30 26 0.536 115.2 114.7 0.5 18-10 12-16 6-5 19-18 6-4 1W
Heat 31 27 0.534 120 116.9 3.1 17-11 14-16 5-5 16-16 6-4 3W
Warriors 30 27 0.526 115.6 113.9 1.7 19-11 11-16 6-4 20-16 4-6 1W
Trail Blazers 28 30 0.483 115.7 118.2 -2.5 16-14 12-16 5-6 22-17 5-5 1W
Hawks 28 31 0.475 116.9 118.3 -1.4 11-16 17-15 5-6 15-21 4-6 1W
Clippers 27 30 0.474 112.1 112.6 -0.5 14-12 13-18 7-5 17-17 5-5 2L
Hornets 27 31 0.466 115.6 113.7 1.9 12-16 15-15 9-4 17-21 7-3 1W
Bucks 24 31 0.436 112 115.4 -3.4 12-13 12-18 7-4 17-19 6-4 1L
Bulls 24 34 0.414 116.1 120.3 -4.2 15-15 9-19 3-10 16-25 1-9 9L
Grizzlies 21 35 0.375 115.5 117.8 -2.3 12-16 9-19 5-6 17-22 3-7 2L
Mavericks 20 36 0.357 114.3 117.7 -3.4 14-16 6-20 3-9 11-26 1-9 1W
Jazz 18 40 0.31 118 125.9 -7.9 11-18 7-22 1-9 10-27 3-7 3L
Wizards 16 40 0.286 112.5 122.8 -10.3 11-19 5-21 2-7 11-24 4-6 1L
Pelicans 16 42 0.276 114.8 120.6 -5.8 10-21 6-21 6-7 9-26 4-6 1W
Nets 15 41 0.268 106.8 114.7 -7.9 8-19 7-22 3-9 11-24 3-7 4L
Pacers 15 43 0.259 111.5 119 -7.5 10-19 5-24 3-9 11-28 3-7 3L
Kings 13 46 0.22 110.3 121 -10.7 9-20 4-26 2-8 9-30 1-9 1W
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak