Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Wednesday

NBA Betting Preview: Heat vs Magic

The Heat at +8 looks a great number for the underdogs when they face the Magic. Take the -105 that this betting line gets covered.

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The Miami Heat ended last season by being swept 4–0 by the Cleveland Cavaliers in the first round of the playoffs. In Game 4, they suffered a heavy 138–83 home defeat at Kaseya Center to close out the series. Nikola Jovic scored 24 points, with Bam Adebayo getting 13 and Pelle Larsson 12.

The Orlando Magic ended their 2024–25 campaign with a 4–1 series loss to the Boston Celtics in the first round of the playoffs. In Game 5, they suffered a 120–89 road defeat at TD Garden to close out the series. Franz Wagner recorded 25 points, Paolo Banchero had 19, with Wendell Carter Jr. bagging 12 points and 10 rebounds.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Heat have claimed victories in the last two matchups against the Magic. At Kia Center, the scoreline was 89-88 and then we saw 125-119 (OT) at Kaseya Center. The past 10 games between the teams have seen the Heat win six times.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Magic	15	11	0.577	117.9	114.1	3.8	10-5	5-6	5-2	12-9	6-4	1L
Heat	14	11	0.56	121.7	118.2	3.5	10-3	4-8	2-3	8-6	5-5	4L

View Full Standings

4 wins and 6 losses in the past 10 games. The Heat are averaging 111.3 points, 45.6 rebounds, 26.5 assists, 6.8 steals and 4.7 blocks while shooting 47.7% from the field and 68.9% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 115.5 points and 43.6 rebounds per matchup.

Tyler Herro is averaging 20.2 points and 2.3 (34.8%) 3-pointers made. Bam Adebayo averages 8.8 rebounds and Davion Mitchell 6.7 assists.

The Magic have won 5 and lost 5 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 103.7 points, 42.3 rebounds, 22.4 assists, 8.1 steals and 5.3 blocks per game while shooting 45.3% from the field and 71.7% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 104.7 points and 42.5 rebounds.

Paolo Banchero is averaging 21.2 points and 1.6 (38.1%) 3-pointers made. Wendell Carter Jr. has an average of 7.6 rebounds and Franz Wagner 3.9 assists.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Miami Heat lineup: Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell.

Orlando Magic lineup: Desmond Bane, Jalen Suggs, Paolo Banchero, Franz Wagner, Wendell Carter Jr..

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Prediction & Picks

Approach Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic fully prepared with our expert match prediction, likely score outcome, standout player prop picks and a hand-picked bet builder.

Game Prediction

Heat are more than capable of staying close to the favorites so there’s a case for backing them against the spread in this NBA matchup. Take the -105 for the +8 that is available.

Injuries can influence the outcome and our NBA handicappers factor that in alongside the latest form guide. We apply the same approach to the stats to build the clearest picture of how the game might unfold.

Key Heat vs Magic stats:

• The +8 line has been covered by Heat in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The +8 line has been covered by Heat in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -8 line hasn’t been covered by Magic in 5 consecutive games.
• The -8 line hasn’t been covered by Magic in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -8 line hasn’t been covered by Magic in 14 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -8 line hasn’t been covered by Magic in 3 consecutive games against Heat.

Heat +8 Probability

The best NBA sportsbooks make it a 51.3% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Based on our cappers in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

There are several alternatives to the spread and we particularly like the Winning Margin lines. It’s great whether you’re expecting things to be close or comprehensive.

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Our Game Prediction

Heat +8 @ -105 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Franz Wagner Over 3.5 Assists -135

Franz Wagner (Magic) has had Over 3.5 assists in 5 of the past 5 games. The line is attractive when it comes to betting on Player Assists and you can get -135 that he is able to land a return.

Latest Franz Wagner Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 20.5

-120

Under 20.5

-110

Assists

Over 3.5

-141

Under 3.5

+107

Rebounds

Over 5.5

-104

Under 5.5

-128

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Nikola Jovic Over 9.5 Points -118

Nikola Jovic (Heat) has recorded an average of 14.75 points in the past 4 games. We think that the line looks really appealing at -118 for this Player Points wager as we’re expecting him to cover this total.

Latest Nikola Jovic Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 9.5

-118

Under 9.5

-114

Assists

Over 2.5

+117

Under 2.5

-152

Rebounds

Over 4.5

+106

Under 4.5

-141

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Correct Score Prediction

Heat 103 - 108 Magic

The Magic are capable of landing a victory and we’re going for a correct score line of 108-103 at huge odds. There’s a big return that can be achieved with this wager.

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Orlando Magic as -345 favorites for this NBA game, implying that they are 78% likely to win. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +280 about Miami Heat.

The spread currently stands at 8.5 and the total points line is 216.5. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball wagers. If you’re going for Under 216.5, this outcome can be backed at -112.

The best basketball betting sites offer a huge selection of team props and game lines when it comes to most NBA contests. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Heat

+280

Magic

-345

Point Spread

Heat +8.5

-112

Magic -8.5

-108

Total Points

Under 216.5

-112

Over 216.5

-108

Paolo Banchero is favorite when it comes to landing the most baskets. You can get -120 that he goes Over 23.5 points and -112 when it comes to Under.

Paolo Banchero (Magic)

Over 23.5

-120

Under 23.5

-112

Franz Wagner (Magic)

Over 20.5

-120

Under 20.5

-110

Norman Powell (Heat)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-118

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 18.5

-118

Under 18.5

-114

Desmond Bane (Magic)

Over 17.5

-120

Under 17.5

-110

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 16.5

-127

Under 16.5

-106

Wendell Carter Jr (Magic)

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-112

Nikola Jovic (Heat)

Over 9.5

-118

Under 9.5

-114

Kel'el Ware (Heat)

Over 9.5

-100

Under 9.5

-132

Jalen Suggs (Magic)

Over 8.5

-127

Under 8.5

-105

Davion Mitchell (Heat)

Over 8.5

-120

Under 8.5

-112

Anthony Black (Magic)

Over 8.5

-105

Under 8.5

-123

Tyus Jones (Magic)

Over 7.5

-104

Under 7.5

-128

Davion Mitchell (Heat)

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-147

Paolo Banchero (Magic)

Over 4.5

+114

Under 4.5

-152

Franz Wagner (Magic)

Over 3.5

-141

Under 3.5

+107

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 3.5

+102

Under 3.5

-135

Desmond Bane (Magic)

Over 3.5

-156

Under 3.5

+118

Tyus Jones (Magic)

Over 3.5

-130

Under 3.5

-103

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-106

Nikola Jovic (Heat)

Over 2.5

+117

Under 2.5

-152

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 8.5

-127

Under 8.5

-105

Paolo Banchero (Magic)

Over 7.5

+112

Under 7.5

-149

Wendell Carter Jr (Magic)

Over 7.5

-115

Under 7.5

-115

Kel'el Ware (Heat)

Over 7.5

-123

Under 7.5

-108

Franz Wagner (Magic)

Over 5.5

-104

Under 5.5

-128

Desmond Bane (Magic)

Over 4.5

-139

Under 4.5

+104

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 4.5

-123

Under 4.5

-108

Nikola Jovic (Heat)

Over 4.5

+106

Under 4.5

-141

Norman Powell (Heat)

Over 2.5

-127

Under 2.5

-105

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Heat Stats

Orlando Magic Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +1 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -1 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• -1 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 232.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 239.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 232.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 232.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 119.10 pts and allowed 113.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 121.40 pts and allowed 118.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 234.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 228.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 232.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 232.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 121.10 pts and allowed 113.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 117.60 pts and allowed 110.50 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 31.50 (53%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 11.80 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 20.70 (76.1%)
• Rebounds: Total 47.7, Offensive 12.10, Defensive 35.60
• Assists: 28.70
• Blocks: 5.60
• Steals: 8.60
• Turnovers : 13.00
• Personal Fouls: 17.50

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.80 (54%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.10 (38%)
• Free Throws Made: 20.50 (75.65%)
• Rebounds: Total 45.7, Offensive 10.80, Defensive 34.90
• Assists: 30.00
• Blocks: 4.30
• Steals: 9.20
• Turnovers : 13.70
• Personal Fouls: 19.30

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 32.50 (54%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 11.50 (34%)
• Free Throws Made: 21.60 (80.9%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.9, Offensive 12.60, Defensive 32.30
• Assists: 27.20
• Blocks: 4.50
• Steals: 9.40
• Turnovers : 11.60
• Personal Fouls: 19.50

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.80 (55%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 11.60 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 23.20 (83.75%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.8, Offensive 10.30, Defensive 34.50
• Assists: 26.00
• Blocks: 4.90
• Steals: 8.40
• Turnovers : 13.80
• Personal Fouls: 19.80

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Orlando Magic Confirmed Lineup

3 Desmond Bane

4 Jalen Suggs

5 Paolo Banchero

22 Franz Wagner

34 Wendell Carter Jr.

Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup

5 Nikola Jovic

13 Bam Adebayo

22 Andrew Wiggins

24 Norman Powell

45 Davion Mitchell

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Knicks	18	7	0.72	121	112.2	8.8	13-1	5-6	5-1	14-7	9-1	5W
Celtics	15	10	0.6	116.6	110.8	5.8	8-4	7-6	4-4	11-7	7-3	1L
76ers	14	10	0.583	116.8	115.7	1.1	8-7	6-3	5-2	12-9	6-4	1W
Raptors	15	11	0.577	115.8	113.9	1.9	8-6	7-5	3-4	13-7	4-6	4L
Nets	6	18	0.25	109.5	117.3	-7.8	2-10	4-8	1-7	5-13	4-6	1L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	20	5	0.8	119.6	113.3	6.3	12-2	8-3	5-3	15-5	7-3	3W
Cavaliers	15	11	0.577	119	115.8	3.2	9-6	6-5	6-0	12-8	5-5	1W
Bucks	11	15	0.423	115.1	117.3	-2.2	8-7	3-8	3-4	9-11	3-7	1W
Bulls	10	14	0.417	117.8	122.7	-4.9	6-5	4-9	1-5	7-10	2-8	1W
Pacers	6	19	0.24	111	118.7	-7.7	5-8	1-11	2-5	4-10	4-6	1L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Magic	15	11	0.577	117.9	114.1	3.8	10-5	5-6	5-2	12-9	6-4	1L
Heat	14	11	0.56	121.7	118.2	3.5	10-3	4-8	2-3	8-6	5-5	4L
Hawks	14	12	0.538	117.9	117.5	0.4	4-6	10-6	4-1	8-8	5-5	1L
Hornets	7	18	0.28	114.7	118.7	-4	5-8	2-10	1-4	6-12	3-7	2L
Wizards	3	20	0.13	113	128.3	-15.3	2-9	1-11	1-3	2-16	2-8	4L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	24	2	0.923	123	106.3	16.7	12-1	12-1	5-1	20-2	9-1	1L
Nuggets	18	6	0.75	125.5	115.9	9.6	6-4	12-2	2-1	13-5	7-3	4W
Timberwolves	16	9	0.64	119.9	115	4.9	8-4	8-5	3-3	11-8	6-4	1W
Jazz	9	15	0.375	118.1	125.8	-7.7	6-7	3-8	0-5	5-11	4-6	1W
Trail Blazers	9	16	0.36	117.5	121.5	-4	3-6	6-10	3-3	7-11	3-7	3L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	17	7	0.708	118.3	116.8	1.5	7-4	10-3	2-2	12-5	7-3	1L
Suns	14	11	0.56	114.8	114.4	0.4	8-4	6-7	5-2	13-10	5-5	1L
Warriors	13	13	0.5	113.7	112.3	1.4	7-4	6-9	3-1	10-8	4-6	1L
Kings	6	19	0.24	111.2	122.6	-11.4	3-8	3-11	1-3	4-16	3-7	2L
Clippers	6	19	0.24	111.6	116.7	-5.1	3-7	3-12	1-4	4-12	2-8	3L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	16	6	0.727	120.6	110.4	10.2	8-2	8-4	2-2	9-5	7-3	1W
Spurs	18	7	0.72	119.7	115.1	4.6	9-2	9-5	7-0	12-6	7-3	3W
Grizzlies	11	14	0.44	114.1	115.9	-1.8	6-7	5-7	4-3	10-8	7-3	1L
Mavericks	10	16	0.385	112.1	115.9	-3.8	7-9	3-7	2-5	5-11	6-4	2W
Pelicans	4	22	0.154	114.2	123.5	-9.3	3-12	1-10	1-6	2-19	2-8	1W

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	20	5	0.8	119.6	113.3	6.3	12-2	8-3	5-3	15-5	7-3	3W
Knicks	18	7	0.72	121	112.2	8.8	13-1	5-6	5-1	14-7	9-1	5W
Celtics	15	10	0.6	116.6	110.8	5.8	8-4	7-6	4-4	11-7	7-3	1L
76ers	14	10	0.583	116.8	115.7	1.1	8-7	6-3	5-2	12-9	6-4	1W
Raptors	15	11	0.577	115.8	113.9	1.9	8-6	7-5	3-4	13-7	4-6	4L
Cavaliers	15	11	0.577	119	115.8	3.2	9-6	6-5	6-0	12-8	5-5	1W
Magic	15	11	0.577	117.9	114.1	3.8	10-5	5-6	5-2	12-9	6-4	1L
Heat	14	11	0.56	121.7	118.2	3.5	10-3	4-8	2-3	8-6	5-5	4L
Hawks	14	12	0.538	117.9	117.5	0.4	4-6	10-6	4-1	8-8	5-5	1L
Bucks	11	15	0.423	115.1	117.3	-2.2	8-7	3-8	3-4	9-11	3-7	1W
Bulls	10	14	0.417	117.8	122.7	-4.9	6-5	4-9	1-5	7-10	2-8	1W
Hornets	7	18	0.28	114.7	118.7	-4	5-8	2-10	1-4	6-12	3-7	2L
Nets	6	18	0.25	109.5	117.3	-7.8	2-10	4-8	1-7	5-13	4-6	1L
Pacers	6	19	0.24	111	118.7	-7.7	5-8	1-11	2-5	4-10	4-6	1L
Wizards	3	20	0.13	113	128.3	-15.3	2-9	1-11	1-3	2-16	2-8	4L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	24	2	0.923	123	106.3	16.7	12-1	12-1	5-1	20-2	9-1	1L
Nuggets	18	6	0.75	125.5	115.9	9.6	6-4	12-2	2-1	13-5	7-3	4W
Rockets	16	6	0.727	120.6	110.4	10.2	8-2	8-4	2-2	9-5	7-3	1W
Spurs	18	7	0.72	119.7	115.1	4.6	9-2	9-5	7-0	12-6	7-3	3W
Lakers	17	7	0.708	118.3	116.8	1.5	7-4	10-3	2-2	12-5	7-3	1L
Timberwolves	16	9	0.64	119.9	115	4.9	8-4	8-5	3-3	11-8	6-4	1W
Suns	14	11	0.56	114.8	114.4	0.4	8-4	6-7	5-2	13-10	5-5	1L
Warriors	13	13	0.5	113.7	112.3	1.4	7-4	6-9	3-1	10-8	4-6	1L
Grizzlies	11	14	0.44	114.1	115.9	-1.8	6-7	5-7	4-3	10-8	7-3	1L
Mavericks	10	16	0.385	112.1	115.9	-3.8	7-9	3-7	2-5	5-11	6-4	2W
Jazz	9	15	0.375	118.1	125.8	-7.7	6-7	3-8	0-5	5-11	4-6	1W
Trail Blazers	9	16	0.36	117.5	121.5	-4	3-6	6-10	3-3	7-11	3-7	3L
Kings	6	19	0.24	111.2	122.6	-11.4	3-8	3-11	1-3	4-16	3-7	2L
Clippers	6	19	0.24	111.6	116.7	-5.1	3-7	3-12	1-4	4-12	2-8	3L
Pelicans	4	22	0.154	114.2	123.5	-9.3	3-12	1-10	1-6	2-19	2-8	1W

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	24	2	0.923	123	106.3	16.7	12-1	12-1	5-1	20-2	9-1	1L
Pistons	20	5	0.8	119.6	113.3	6.3	12-2	8-3	5-3	15-5	7-3	3W
Nuggets	18	6	0.75	125.5	115.9	9.6	6-4	12-2	2-1	13-5	7-3	4W
Rockets	16	6	0.727	120.6	110.4	10.2	8-2	8-4	2-2	9-5	7-3	1W
Knicks	18	7	0.72	121	112.2	8.8	13-1	5-6	5-1	14-7	9-1	5W
Spurs	18	7	0.72	119.7	115.1	4.6	9-2	9-5	7-0	12-6	7-3	3W
Lakers	17	7	0.708	118.3	116.8	1.5	7-4	10-3	2-2	12-5	7-3	1L
Timberwolves	16	9	0.64	119.9	115	4.9	8-4	8-5	3-3	11-8	6-4	1W
Celtics	15	10	0.6	116.6	110.8	5.8	8-4	7-6	4-4	11-7	7-3	1L
76ers	14	10	0.583	116.8	115.7	1.1	8-7	6-3	5-2	12-9	6-4	1W
Cavaliers	15	11	0.577	119	115.8	3.2	9-6	6-5	6-0	12-8	5-5	1W
Magic	15	11	0.577	117.9	114.1	3.8	10-5	5-6	5-2	12-9	6-4	1L
Raptors	15	11	0.577	115.8	113.9	1.9	8-6	7-5	3-4	13-7	4-6	4L
Heat	14	11	0.56	121.7	118.2	3.5	10-3	4-8	2-3	8-6	5-5	4L
Suns	14	11	0.56	114.8	114.4	0.4	8-4	6-7	5-2	13-10	5-5	1L
Hawks	14	12	0.538	117.9	117.5	0.4	4-6	10-6	4-1	8-8	5-5	1L
Warriors	13	13	0.5	113.7	112.3	1.4	7-4	6-9	3-1	10-8	4-6	1L
Grizzlies	11	14	0.44	114.1	115.9	-1.8	6-7	5-7	4-3	10-8	7-3	1L
Bucks	11	15	0.423	115.1	117.3	-2.2	8-7	3-8	3-4	9-11	3-7	1W
Bulls	10	14	0.417	117.8	122.7	-4.9	6-5	4-9	1-5	7-10	2-8	1W
Mavericks	10	16	0.385	112.1	115.9	-3.8	7-9	3-7	2-5	5-11	6-4	2W
Jazz	9	15	0.375	118.1	125.8	-7.7	6-7	3-8	0-5	5-11	4-6	1W
Trail Blazers	9	16	0.36	117.5	121.5	-4	3-6	6-10	3-3	7-11	3-7	3L
Hornets	7	18	0.28	114.7	118.7	-4	5-8	2-10	1-4	6-12	3-7	2L
Nets	6	18	0.25	109.5	117.3	-7.8	2-10	4-8	1-7	5-13	4-6	1L
Pacers	6	19	0.24	111	118.7	-7.7	5-8	1-11	2-5	4-10	4-6	1L
Clippers	6	19	0.24	111.6	116.7	-5.1	3-7	3-12	1-4	4-12	2-8	3L
Kings	6	19	0.24	111.2	122.6	-11.4	3-8	3-11	1-3	4-16	3-7	2L
Pelicans	4	22	0.154	114.2	123.5	-9.3	3-12	1-10	1-6	2-19	2-8	1W
Wizards	3	20	0.13	113	128.3	-15.3	2-9	1-11	1-3	2-16	2-8	4L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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