Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Sunday

NBA Betting Preview: Heat vs Wizards

The Miami Heat face the Washington Wizards in this NBA contest. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

There’s a strong case to be made for the Heat against the spread when playing the Wizards. Our prediction is that the favorites can cover the -11 line at -112 considering they should be superior.

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Miami Heat have been defeated in back-to-back games. On the road, they recently suffered a 98-96 loss against Boston Celtics at TD Garden. Andrew Wiggins poured in 26 points, with Norman Powell contributing 24 and Bam Adebayo adding 16.

Washington Wizards were beaten last game and this was on the road at Barclays Center. Brooklyn Nets claimed a 127-113 win. Will Riley scored 27 points, with Justin Champagnie putting up 21 and Sharife Cooper contributing 14.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last matchup between the Wizards and the Heat saw the former win. It was a 119-118 scoreline at Kaseya Center. The Heat have won seven of the past 10 games that these teams have played.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Heat	27	26	0.509	119.5	117.6	1.9	16-10	11-16	3-5	14-16	5-5	2L
Wizards	14	37	0.275	112.3	122.7	-10.4	9-17	5-20	2-5	9-21	4-6	1L

View Full Standings

The Heat have 5 wins and 5 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 120.1 points, 50.2 rebounds, 29.0 assists, 9.2 steals and 3.5 blocks while shooting 45.4% from the field and 79.1% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 114.9 points and 47.0 rebounds per matchup.

Bam Adebayo is averaging 21.9 points, 10.4 rebounds and 2.2 (34.9%) 3-pointers made, while Jaime Jaquez Jr. averages 4.5 assists.

The Wizards have won 4 and lost 6 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 110.9 points, 42.0 rebounds, 25.6 assists, 9.5 steals and 6.1 blocks per game while shooting 44.5% from the field and 79.4% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 117.6 points and 47.2 rebounds.

Alex Sarr is averaging 15.1 points and 6.8 rebounds, while Bub Carrington has an average of 4.5 assist and 2.8 (37.3%) 3-pointers.

Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards Prediction & Picks

Explore our top Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards betting tips, including an expert match prediction, correct score forecast and a bet builder ready to use. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.

Game Prediction

Heat should enjoy a substantial victory in this NBA matchup and that’s why we’re taking the -11 about them on the spread. Bank on our pick to cover the line at -112.

The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com regularly track injury updates and pair that with current form. We also tap into a deep stats database to highlight the key numbers that help shape our basketball predictions.

Key Heat vs Wizards stats:

• The +11 line hasn’t been covered by Wizards in 3 of their last 5 games.

Heat -11 Probability

If you go by the top NBA sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.9% chance of landing a return. However, our analysts in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

In the hunt for bigger odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the line. This allows you to shoot for a franchise to perform better than expected by the sportsbooks.

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Our Game Prediction

Heat -11 @ -112 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (20:55, 07 February 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Heat 123 - 108 Wizards

A 123-108 win for the Heat is clearly a risky wager although this could be an exciting correct score option where there’s the chance to enjoy a huge potential return.

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Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Miami Heat have short betting odds and they’re overwhelming -455 favorites for this NBA game. This means the sportsbooks give them a 82% chance of winning. Washington Wizards are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +360.

The spread currently stands at 11 and the total points line is 235.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. Those who wager Under 235.5 can get -110.

You can find hundreds of game lines and team props for every contest, with the top betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Heat

-455

Wizards

+360

Point Spread

Heat -11

-112

Wizards +11

-108

Total Points

Under 235.5

-110

Over 235.5

-110

As an alternative to the game lines, check out the player prop bets that are available. It’s especially great if you have a view when it comes to Turnovers, Steals, Blocks and Points, while there are lots of other options.

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to basketball and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.

The Wizards are 4-6 in their last 10 home games, posting 109.70 points per contest while yielding 119.40.

The Heat have four wins and six losses in the last 10 games on the road, putting up 112.70 points on average and giving up 117.70.

When the teams last met at Capital One Arena, the Heat beat the Wizards 120-94. Over the last 10 head-to-head meetings at Capital One Arena, the Heat have claimed six wins compared to the Wizards who have four.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O235.5	U235.5
Washington Wizards Home Stats		4-6	229.10	109.70	119.40	2	8
Miami Heat Away Stats		4-6	230.40	112.70	117.70	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O235.5 = Games Over 235.5 Points
• U235.5 = Games Under 235.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Heat Stats

Washington Wizards Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -11 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -11 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +11 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +11 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 235.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 230.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 235.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 235.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 120.10 pts and allowed 114.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 112.70 pts and allowed 117.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 228.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 229.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 235.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 235.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 110.90 pts and allowed 117.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 109.70 pts and allowed 119.40 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.10 (54%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.30 (34%)
• Free Throws Made: 20.00 (79.05%)
• Rebounds: Total 50.2, Offensive 13.50, Defensive 36.70
• Assists: 29.00
• Blocks: 3.50
• Steals: 9.20
• Turnovers : 12.90
• Personal Fouls: 17.90

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 27.80 (50%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.90 (33%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.40 (77.31%)
• Rebounds: Total 49.2, Offensive 13.70, Defensive 35.50
• Assists: 27.80
• Blocks: 3.50
• Steals: 8.10
• Turnovers : 15.10
• Personal Fouls: 18.20

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 26.30 (51%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.90 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 16.60 (79.43%)
• Rebounds: Total 42, Offensive 12.70, Defensive 29.30
• Assists: 25.60
• Blocks: 6.10
• Steals: 9.50
• Turnovers : 15.10
• Personal Fouls: 20.30

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 26.60 (50%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.50 (34%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.00 (80.17%)
• Rebounds: Total 43.7, Offensive 13.20, Defensive 30.50
• Assists: 24.30
• Blocks: 6.40
• Steals: 9.70
• Turnovers : 15.90
• Personal Fouls: 20.20

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	34	18	0.654	115.6	108.4	7.2	17-8	17-10	7-4	23-12	8-2	5W
Knicks	33	19	0.635	117.5	112.3	5.2	21-6	12-13	8-3	22-12	8-2	1L
Raptors	31	22	0.585	114	112.4	1.6	15-12	16-10	4-9	23-14	6-4	1W
76ers	29	22	0.569	116.8	115.4	1.4	15-13	14-9	8-5	19-17	6-4	1L
Nets	14	37	0.275	107.3	114.9	-7.6	7-18	7-19	3-9	10-21	2-8	1W

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	38	13	0.745	117.5	109.7	7.8	22-6	16-7	8-3	24-7	7-3	1W
Cavaliers	31	21	0.596	119.4	115.7	3.7	17-11	14-10	7-3	19-13	8-2	2W
Bulls	24	28	0.462	117	120.2	-3.2	15-11	9-17	3-9	16-20	4-6	3L
Bucks	21	29	0.42	112	115.7	-3.7	12-12	9-17	7-4	16-17	4-6	3W
Pacers	13	39	0.25	110.7	118.4	-7.7	10-18	3-21	3-9	9-25	3-7	3L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Magic	26	24	0.52	115	115.5	-0.5	16-9	10-15	6-5	18-17	4-6	1W
Heat	27	26	0.509	119.5	117.6	1.9	16-10	11-16	3-5	14-16	5-5	2L
Hawks	26	27	0.491	117.5	118.3	-0.8	10-14	16-13	5-3	13-18	6-4	2W
Hornets	24	28	0.462	115.8	113.9	1.9	11-13	13-15	6-4	14-19	9-1	8W
Wizards	14	37	0.275	112.3	122.7	-10.4	9-17	5-20	2-5	9-21	4-6	1L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	40	12	0.769	120.2	107.9	12.3	22-5	18-7	8-3	30-9	5-5	2L
Nuggets	33	19	0.635	120.1	116.2	3.9	14-10	19-9	4-2	19-9	4-6	3L
Timberwolves	32	21	0.604	119.5	114.8	4.7	17-9	15-12	5-5	18-16	5-5	1L
Trail Blazers	24	28	0.462	115.6	118.1	-2.5	14-13	10-15	4-4	19-15	4-6	1W
Jazz	16	36	0.308	118.3	126.8	-8.5	10-17	6-19	1-8	9-24	2-8	1L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	31	19	0.62	116.4	116.2	0.2	13-8	18-11	4-6	20-12	7-3	2W
Suns	31	21	0.596	113.8	111.4	2.4	17-8	14-13	8-6	21-15	6-4	1L
Warriors	28	24	0.538	115.9	113.6	2.3	17-9	11-15	6-3	18-14	5-5	1W
Clippers	24	27	0.471	112.3	113.1	-0.8	13-11	11-16	7-4	14-15	6-4	1W
Kings	12	41	0.226	110.5	120.4	-9.9	9-18	3-23	2-8	8-27	0-10	11L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	35	16	0.686	117.2	112	5.2	18-6	17-10	9-3	21-13	7-3	3W
Rockets	31	19	0.62	115.2	110.1	5.1	17-6	14-13	6-5	18-15	6-4	1W
Grizzlies	20	30	0.4	115.3	117.4	-2.1	11-15	9-15	5-6	16-18	3-7	1L
Mavericks	19	32	0.373	114	116.8	-2.8	14-16	5-16	3-8	11-22	4-6	6L
Pelicans	14	40	0.259	114.6	120.9	-6.3	8-19	6-21	6-7	8-26	4-6	1W

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	38	13	0.745	117.5	109.7	7.8	22-6	16-7	8-3	24-7	7-3	1W
Celtics	34	18	0.654	115.6	108.4	7.2	17-8	17-10	7-4	23-12	8-2	5W
Knicks	33	19	0.635	117.5	112.3	5.2	21-6	12-13	8-3	22-12	8-2	1L
Cavaliers	31	21	0.596	119.4	115.7	3.7	17-11	14-10	7-3	19-13	8-2	2W
Raptors	31	22	0.585	114	112.4	1.6	15-12	16-10	4-9	23-14	6-4	1W
76ers	29	22	0.569	116.8	115.4	1.4	15-13	14-9	8-5	19-17	6-4	1L
Magic	26	24	0.52	115	115.5	-0.5	16-9	10-15	6-5	18-17	4-6	1W
Heat	27	26	0.509	119.5	117.6	1.9	16-10	11-16	3-5	14-16	5-5	2L
Hawks	26	27	0.491	117.5	118.3	-0.8	10-14	16-13	5-3	13-18	6-4	2W
Hornets	24	28	0.462	115.8	113.9	1.9	11-13	13-15	6-4	14-19	9-1	8W
Bulls	24	28	0.462	117	120.2	-3.2	15-11	9-17	3-9	16-20	4-6	3L
Bucks	21	29	0.42	112	115.7	-3.7	12-12	9-17	7-4	16-17	4-6	3W
Nets	14	37	0.275	107.3	114.9	-7.6	7-18	7-19	3-9	10-21	2-8	1W
Wizards	14	37	0.275	112.3	122.7	-10.4	9-17	5-20	2-5	9-21	4-6	1L
Pacers	13	39	0.25	110.7	118.4	-7.7	10-18	3-21	3-9	9-25	3-7	3L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	40	12	0.769	120.2	107.9	12.3	22-5	18-7	8-3	30-9	5-5	2L
Spurs	35	16	0.686	117.2	112	5.2	18-6	17-10	9-3	21-13	7-3	3W
Nuggets	33	19	0.635	120.1	116.2	3.9	14-10	19-9	4-2	19-9	4-6	3L
Rockets	31	19	0.62	115.2	110.1	5.1	17-6	14-13	6-5	18-15	6-4	1W
Lakers	31	19	0.62	116.4	116.2	0.2	13-8	18-11	4-6	20-12	7-3	2W
Timberwolves	32	21	0.604	119.5	114.8	4.7	17-9	15-12	5-5	18-16	5-5	1L
Suns	31	21	0.596	113.8	111.4	2.4	17-8	14-13	8-6	21-15	6-4	1L
Warriors	28	24	0.538	115.9	113.6	2.3	17-9	11-15	6-3	18-14	5-5	1W
Clippers	24	27	0.471	112.3	113.1	-0.8	13-11	11-16	7-4	14-15	6-4	1W
Trail Blazers	24	28	0.462	115.6	118.1	-2.5	14-13	10-15	4-4	19-15	4-6	1W
Grizzlies	20	30	0.4	115.3	117.4	-2.1	11-15	9-15	5-6	16-18	3-7	1L
Mavericks	19	32	0.373	114	116.8	-2.8	14-16	5-16	3-8	11-22	4-6	6L
Jazz	16	36	0.308	118.3	126.8	-8.5	10-17	6-19	1-8	9-24	2-8	1L
Pelicans	14	40	0.259	114.6	120.9	-6.3	8-19	6-21	6-7	8-26	4-6	1W
Kings	12	41	0.226	110.5	120.4	-9.9	9-18	3-23	2-8	8-27	0-10	11L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	40	12	0.769	120.2	107.9	12.3	22-5	18-7	8-3	30-9	5-5	2L
Pistons	38	13	0.745	117.5	109.7	7.8	22-6	16-7	8-3	24-7	7-3	1W
Spurs	35	16	0.686	117.2	112	5.2	18-6	17-10	9-3	21-13	7-3	3W
Celtics	34	18	0.654	115.6	108.4	7.2	17-8	17-10	7-4	23-12	8-2	5W
Nuggets	33	19	0.635	120.1	116.2	3.9	14-10	19-9	4-2	19-9	4-6	3L
Knicks	33	19	0.635	117.5	112.3	5.2	21-6	12-13	8-3	22-12	8-2	1L
Rockets	31	19	0.62	115.2	110.1	5.1	17-6	14-13	6-5	18-15	6-4	1W
Lakers	31	19	0.62	116.4	116.2	0.2	13-8	18-11	4-6	20-12	7-3	2W
Timberwolves	32	21	0.604	119.5	114.8	4.7	17-9	15-12	5-5	18-16	5-5	1L
Cavaliers	31	21	0.596	119.4	115.7	3.7	17-11	14-10	7-3	19-13	8-2	2W
Suns	31	21	0.596	113.8	111.4	2.4	17-8	14-13	8-6	21-15	6-4	1L
Raptors	31	22	0.585	114	112.4	1.6	15-12	16-10	4-9	23-14	6-4	1W
76ers	29	22	0.569	116.8	115.4	1.4	15-13	14-9	8-5	19-17	6-4	1L
Warriors	28	24	0.538	115.9	113.6	2.3	17-9	11-15	6-3	18-14	5-5	1W
Magic	26	24	0.52	115	115.5	-0.5	16-9	10-15	6-5	18-17	4-6	1W
Heat	27	26	0.509	119.5	117.6	1.9	16-10	11-16	3-5	14-16	5-5	2L
Hawks	26	27	0.491	117.5	118.3	-0.8	10-14	16-13	5-3	13-18	6-4	2W
Clippers	24	27	0.471	112.3	113.1	-0.8	13-11	11-16	7-4	14-15	6-4	1W
Hornets	24	28	0.462	115.8	113.9	1.9	11-13	13-15	6-4	14-19	9-1	8W
Bulls	24	28	0.462	117	120.2	-3.2	15-11	9-17	3-9	16-20	4-6	3L
Trail Blazers	24	28	0.462	115.6	118.1	-2.5	14-13	10-15	4-4	19-15	4-6	1W
Bucks	21	29	0.42	112	115.7	-3.7	12-12	9-17	7-4	16-17	4-6	3W
Grizzlies	20	30	0.4	115.3	117.4	-2.1	11-15	9-15	5-6	16-18	3-7	1L
Mavericks	19	32	0.373	114	116.8	-2.8	14-16	5-16	3-8	11-22	4-6	6L
Jazz	16	36	0.308	118.3	126.8	-8.5	10-17	6-19	1-8	9-24	2-8	1L
Nets	14	37	0.275	107.3	114.9	-7.6	7-18	7-19	3-9	10-21	2-8	1W
Wizards	14	37	0.275	112.3	122.7	-10.4	9-17	5-20	2-5	9-21	4-6	1L
Pelicans	14	40	0.259	114.6	120.9	-6.3	8-19	6-21	6-7	8-26	4-6	1W
Pacers	13	39	0.25	110.7	118.4	-7.7	10-18	3-21	3-9	9-25	3-7	3L
Kings	12	41	0.226	110.5	120.4	-9.9	9-18	3-23	2-8	8-27	0-10	11L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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