Michigan State vs Purdue Prediction, Picks & Odds | 26 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Michigan State vs Purdue

The Michigan State Spartans square off against the Purdue Boilmakers, with tip-off scheduled for 20:00 on Thursday, February 26.

There could be lots of baskets when Michigan State clash with Purdue, with our prediction being Over 140.5 points in total. Odds of -115 look well worth taking for this outcome.

Michigan State Spartans won their previous game, beating Ohio State Buckeyes at home. It was a 66-60 win.

Purdue Boilmakers won their last game, beating Indiana Hoosiers at home. It was a 93-64 win.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Michigan State won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 75-66 victory was registered against Purdue. The past 10 games between the teams have seen Purdue win eight times.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Purdue	22-5	2239	1870	369	15-3	7-2	1W
Michigan State	22-5	2118	1786	332	16-2	6-3	2W

View Full Standings

Michigan State vs Purdue Prediction & Picks

Head into Michigan State vs Purdue with expert betting insights, including our main match prediction, best correct score pick and a value-driven bet builder. Dive into each section below for more.

Game Prediction

The teams are capable of exceeding the set points total line which leads us to predict Over 140.5 as a great pick at -115 for this college matchup.

The college hoops handicappers at Sportsgambler.com always keep close tabs on team news as it develops. We also rely on recent form and key stats to help shape our basketball picks and guide the final call.

Key Michigan State vs Purdue stats:

• The 140.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 MSU games on the road.
• The 140.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 MSU games.
• The 140.5 line has been covered in the last 3 MSU games on the road.
• The 140.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Purdue games at home.
• The 140.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Purdue games at home.
• The 140.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Purdue games.

Over 140.5 Probability

The best betting sites make it a 53.5% chance that our pick will deliver a return. Based on our cappers in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

There are ways to get bigger odds by betting Over on the Totals. Bettors often look to move the line so they can land a more profitable return if the selection wins.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 140.5 Points @ -115 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Michigan State 71 - 76 Purdue

We’re going for the Boilermakers to win by a 76-71 scoreline, something which is available at huge odds. This speculative wager can provide a big return for a small stake.

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Michigan State vs Purdue Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With the sportsbooks giving them a 78% probability of winning this college game, Purdue might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -357 Moneyline betting odds. Michigan State are the underdogs at +280 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

There is a spread of 7.5 and total points has a line of 142.5. Basketball fans regularly enjoy the opportunity to bet on the Totals. The Over 142.5 selection is available to back at -110.

Consider every angle when placing your college hoops bets. The top basketball betting sites offer a huge selection of game lines and team props, and it’s all about finding a wager that fits your prediction of the game.

Moneyline

MSU

+280

Purdue

-357

Point Spread

MSU +7.5

-114

Purdue -7.5

-106

Total Points

Under 142.5

-110

Over 142.5

-110

If you have a view on Rebounds, Steals, Blocks, Assists or Points, then the player props could be an option. It’s a fantastic way of betting on a player to perform well and the gambling sites provide lots of choice.

Among the various options for wagering on college basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Michigan State Stats

Purdue Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 146.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 143.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 140.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 140.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 77.50 pts and allowed 69.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 74.80 pts and allowed 68.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 148.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 156.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 140.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 140.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 77.70 pts and allowed 70.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 84.40 pts and allowed 71.60 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big Ten	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Michigan	26-2	2496	1923	573	16-1	10-1	1W
Nebraska	24-4	2197	1831	366	18-2	6-2	2W
Purdue	22-5	2239	1870	369	15-3	7-2	1W
Michigan State	22-5	2118	1786	332	16-2	6-3	2W
Illinois	22-6	2384	1933	451	14-4	8-2	1L
Iowa	20-8	2126	1815	311	16-2	4-6	1W
Wisconsin	19-9	2316	2132	184	14-2	5-7	1L
UCLA	19-9	2183	2000	183	16-2	3-7	2W
USC	18-10	2229	2149	80	11-5	7-5	4L
Ohio State	17-11	2227	2048	179	12-5	5-6	2L
Indiana	17-11	2221	2020	201	14-4	3-7	3L
Washington	14-14	2137	2019	118	9-5	5-9	1W
Minnesota	13-15	1982	1905	77	11-7	2-8	1L
Northwestern	12-16	2074	2040	34	9-8	3-8	2W
Oregon	11-17	2006	2074	-68	9-9	2-8	2W
Rutgers	11-17	1968	2122	-154	10-7	1-10	2L
Maryland	11-17	1984	2167	-183	9-6	2-11	1L
Penn State	11-17	2097	2226	-129	9-9	2-8	3L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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