Middle Tennessee vs New Mexico State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 10 Jan 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Middle Tennessee vs New Mexico State

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders face the New Mexico State, with tip-off scheduled for 20:00 on Saturday, January 10.

It’s time to go for New Mexico State against the spread, especially with an attractive -3.5 line at -120. Our prediction is that this can be comfortably achieved in their meeting with Middle Tenn.

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Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders suffered a defeat in their previous game. A 83-80 scoreline occurred on the road against UTEP Miners.

New Mexico State were winners last time out. It was a 80-64 home victory against Western Kentucky Hilltoppers.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw Middle Tenn claim a 71-66 win over NM State. Each team has landed two wins in the previous 4 games between the sides.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
New Mexico State	9-5	1089	963	126	8-1	1-4	1W
Middle Tennessee	9-6	1154	1055	99	8-2	1-4	1L

View Full Standings

Middle Tennessee vs New Mexico State Prediction & Picks

Our Middle Tennessee vs New Mexico State betting guide delivers expert insight, including a main match pick, our correct score angle and bet builder recommendations. Dive into each section below for more.

Game Prediction

Bet on New Mexico State against the spread, with an attractive line of -3.5 that the favorites get the job done. There are odds of -120 that are currently on offer for this college contest.

Team news plays a key role in our basketball forecasts and we’re always tracking players with injury concerns. We also stay on top of the college hoops form guide, supported by detailed stats that help paint a clearer picture of what to expect.

Key Middle Tennessee vs New Mexico State stats:

• The -3.5 line has been covered by NM State in 9 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by NM State in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by NM State in 3 consecutive games at home.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Middle Tenn in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

NM State -3.5 Probability

The best sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 54.6% chance of this pick winning. Our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It's therefore regarded as a value wager.

As a wagering alternative, you can choose to buy or sell points when it comes to your selection. Buy if you want a safer bet and sell to get more juice from the line.

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Our Game Prediction

NM State -3.5 @ -120 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Middle Tennessee 71 - 79 NM State

There’s the chance to back the Aggies in lots of different ways and this includes predicting the correct winning score. We’ll go for a 79-71 victory in their favor.

Middle Tennessee vs New Mexico State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The New Mexico State odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -200 betting favorites to land victory in this college game which means a 67% chance of winning. For those wanting to back Middle Tennessee, you will find +164 about the underdogs.

The current spread is 3.5 and the total points line is 142.5. Having a wager on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball bets. If you fancy Over 142.5, this outcome can be backed at -115.

There are stacks of game lines and team props s when it comes to wagering on college basketball and we recommend visiting the top betting apps to find the bet that matches your view on the contest.

Moneyline

Middle Tenn

+164

NM State

-200

Point Spread

Middle Tenn +3.5

-102

NM State -3.5

-120

Total Points

Under 142.5

-105

Over 142.5

-115

We’re fond of player props as an alternative to betting on the game result. The gambling sites will have Points, Assists, Three-Pointers, Rebounds and Steals among the choices and you can take a particular view.

Among the various options for wagering on college basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Middle Tennessee Stats

New Mexico State Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 142.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 146.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 142.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 142.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 71.70 pts and allowed 70.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 71.80 pts and allowed 74.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 146.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 143.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 142.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 142.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 77.50 pts and allowed 69.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 79.70 pts and allowed 63.30 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Conference USA	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Liberty	12-3	1210	1010	200	8-1	4-2	6W
New Mexico State	9-5	1089	963	126	8-1	1-4	1W
Middle Tennessee	9-6	1154	1055	99	8-2	1-4	1L
Missouri State	9-6	1128	1063	65	8-2	1-4	1L
FIU	9-6	1286	1165	121	9-2	0-4	1L
Western Kentucky	9-6	1228	1155	73	8-2	1-4	1L
Kennesaw State	9-6	1335	1141	194	7-1	2-5	1W
Sam Houston	9-6	1287	1127	160	5-0	4-6	1W
Jacksonville State	8-7	1106	969	137	6-4	2-3	1W
Louisiana Tech	8-7	1029	899	130	8-1	0-6	3L
UTEP	5-10	1061	1093	-32	5-3	0-7	1W
Delaware	5-10	986	1062	-76	4-6	1-4	1L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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