Minas vs Pato Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 21 Jan 2026

NBB Betting Preview: Minas vs Pato

Minas host Pato, with tip-off set for 17:00 on Wednesday 21 January.

There’s everything to like about Pato +22.5 when they meet Minas. You can get odds of -118 and we need them to avoid a sizeable defeat.

Minas triumphed in their last game. It was on the road where São José dos Campos were beaten 95-91.

Pato suffered a defeat in their previous game. A 89-81 scoreline occurred on the road against Cruzeiro.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Minas had the edge in the most recent encounter between these teams. They recorded a 76-75 win over Pato. Minas have racked up five straight victories over Pato. On the head-to-head front, they have won 9 of the past 10.

NBB	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Minas	21	7	2435	2303	132	12-2	9-5	1L
16  Pato	7	21	2053	2224	-171	5-9	2-12	2L

View Full Standings

Minas vs Pato Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Minas vs Pato tips include the main match prediction, a correct score forecast and bet builder picks. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.

Game Prediction

It’s all about Pato to stay ahead of the curve against the favorites. We really like this pick and the spread of +22.5 looks generous at -118 for this NBB matchup.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the form guide are important duties ahead of making Brazilian NBB predictions. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can be effective.

Key Minas vs Pato league stats:

• The +22.5 line has been covered by Pato in 5 consecutive games on the road.
• The +22.5 line has been covered by Pato in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +22.5 line has been covered by Pato in 18 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The -22.5 line hasn’t been covered by Minas in 12 consecutive games.
• The -22.5 line hasn’t been covered by Minas in 18 of their last 20 games.
• The -22.5 line hasn’t been covered by Minas in 2 consecutive games against Pato.

Pato +22.5 Probability

The top betting sites are estimating that there is a 54.1% likelihood of this pick winning. Our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

There are lots of ways to wager on Pato and that includes Winning Margin. Choose from a range of fixed intervals and get rewarded if you’re on the money.

Don’t place a bet without checking our guide full of top-tier betting offers, from free bets to welcome bonus incentives.

Our Game Prediction

Pato +22.5 @ -118 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 20, 21:55). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Minas 93 - 73 Pato

Should you wish to go for a speculative bet, try Minas to win 93-73 on the correct score lines. This should be a fun wager which could potentially yield a huge return.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Minas vs Pato Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Pato are such big underdogs for this NBB game that many sportsbooks aren’t even offering the Moneyline. However, the spread is an attractive option for bettors as it presents a more level playing field.

22.5 is the spread and 162 is the total points line. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball wagers. If you fancy Over 162, this outcome can be backed at -118.

There are a wide range of team props and game lines when it comes to betting on the NBB and we recommend visiting the top basketball betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the contest.

Moneyline

Minas

-

Pato

-

Point Spread

Minas -22.5

-118

Pato +22.5

-118

Total Points

Under 162

-118

Over 162

-118

If you have a view on Total Points, Three-Pointers, Assists, Double-Doubles or Triple-Doubles, then the player prop betting could be up your street. It’s a great way of wagering on individual performance.

Among the various options for wagering on the NBB, you will find that micro betting is provided. They focus on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.

Latest 0 regular season and play-off games stats.

Minas Stats

Pato Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -22.5 Betting Line: Have not covered the spread in any of the last 10 games
• -22.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +22.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +22.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 169.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 162.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 162: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 162 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 88.20 pts and allowed 81.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 85.50 pts and allowed 77.40 pts in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 159.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 162.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 162: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 162 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.40 pts and allowed 82.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 75.20 pts and allowed 87.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

NBB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Pinheiros	23	5	2401	2083	318	13-1	10-4	2W
2  Franca	23	6	2587	2186	401	13-3	10-3	1W
3  Flamengo	22	6	2434	2175	259	11-2	11-4	1L
4  Minas	21	7	2435	2303	132	12-2	9-5	1L
5  Brasília	20	8	2303	2035	268	11-1	9-7	1W
6  Corinthians	20	8	2347	2184	163	12-2	8-6	6W
7  Paulistano	18	11	2378	2256	122	12-3	6-8	2W
8  São José	18	12	2483	2397	86	12-4	6-8	1W
9  Bauru	18	12	2416	2338	78	12-4	6-8	6W
10  União Corinthians	15	13	2227	2279	-52	11-2	4-11	3W
11  Mogi das Cruzes	15	14	2197	2034	163	10-5	5-9	1L
12  Unifacisa	14	14	2265	2247	18	9-6	5-8	1L
13  Caxias do Sul	12	16	2039	2164	-125	7-6	5-10	1L
14  Cruzeiro	9	18	2139	2300	-161	6-9	3-9	1W
15  Rio Claro	9	20	2249	2517	-268	7-7	2-13	1W
16  Pato	7	21	2053	2224	-171	5-9	2-12	2L
17  Cearense	6	22	2150	2452	-302	4-11	2-11	1L
18  Botafogo	6	22	2029	2326	-297	5-8	1-14	1W
19  Osasco	4	24	2100	2451	-351	3-11	1-13	15L
20  Vasco	4	25	2024	2305	-281	1-12	3-13	5L

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