Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Prediction, Picks & Odds | 07 Mar 2025

Going Over the Total Points Makes Sense

We’re expecting Over 216 points to be scored by the Wolves and the Heat combined. There’s an attractive -110 for our prediction and we’re anticipating that the scoreboard will tick over.

Wolves Have Won 7 Out of 10 on the H2H

Minnesota Timberwolves have won their previous three games. A 125-110 triumph recently occurred on the road at Spectrum Center when playing Charlotte Hornets. Jaden McDaniels scored 29 points, with Anthony Edwards getting 29 and Julius Randle 25.

Miami Heat suffered a defeat in their last game. A 112-107 scoreline occurred on the road at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse against Cleveland Cavaliers. Bam Adebayo had 34 points and 12 rebounds, with Duncan Robinson scoring 14 points and Haywood Highsmith 13.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Heat won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 95-94 victory was registered against the Wolves at Target Center. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved the Wolves winning seven times.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

View Full Standings

5 wins and 5 losses in the past 10 games. The Wolves are averaging 117.1 points, 44.2 rebounds, 27.3 assists, 9.1 steals and 4.1 blocks while shooting 44.5% from the field and 83.9% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 113.1 points and 49.7 rebounds per contest.

Anthony Edwards is averaging 24.3 points, 4.8 assists and 3.2 (31.7%) 3-pointers made, while Naz Reid averages 10.6 rebounds.

The Heat have won 4 and lost 6 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 111.4 points, 42.0 rebounds, 26.9 assists, 7.4 steals and 3.7 blocks per game while shooting 48.3% from the field and 81.0% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 110.9 points and 41.6 rebounds.

Tyler Herro is averaging 22.4 points and 6.0 assists, while Bam Adebayo has an average of 8.9 rebounds and Duncan Robinson 2.6 (42.6%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Minnesota Timberwolves lineup: Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley, Naz Reid, Julius Randle.

Miami Heat lineup: Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Kevin Love, Davion Mitchell.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks

We’ll take a chance on a total bet after finding that the line is set at a generous 216. Bank on this number to be surpassed at -110 for this NBA contest.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the form guide are important duties ahead of making NBA picks. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can be effective.

Key Timberwolves vs Heat stats:

• The 216 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Wolves games on the road.
• The 216 line has been covered in 14 of the last 20 Wolves games.
• The 216 line has been covered in the last 2 Wolves games.
• The 216 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Heat games at home.
• The 216 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Heat games.

Over 216 Probability

The sportsbooks make it a 52.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

There are ways to boost the odds on an Over wager and some bettors go down the Bet Builder route. It’s effectively a same game parlay where you throw in other selections.

Best Bet

Over 216 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jaden McDaniels Over 13.5 Points -100

Jaden McDaniels (Wolves) has recorded an average of 20.8 points in the past 5 road games. This leads us nicely to back him to cover the Player Points line, with odds of -100 on offer for this bet.

Latest Jaden McDaniels Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

-118

Under 14.5

-114

Assists

Over 2.5

+136

Under 2.5

-179

Rebounds

Over 6.5

-120

Under 6.5

-110

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Naz Reid Over 8.5 Rebounds -147

Naz Reid (Wolves) has racked up Over 8.5 rebounds in 5 straight road games. We’re expecting history to repeat itself and for him to cover the Player Rebounds line at -147.

Latest Naz Reid Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 16.5

-125

Under 16.5

-106

Rebounds

Over 8.5

-147

Under 8.5

+110

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Correct Score Prediction

Timberwolves 112 - 111 Heat

We’ll throw a dart when it comes to the Timberwolves landing a 112-111 win. This correct score prediction is available at tasty odds and could be an entertaining wager to place.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Wolves Betting Favorites on the Moneyline

Minnesota Timberwolves are -161 favorites and that means a 62% chance of winning this NBA game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. Miami Heat are the underdogs at +136 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

There is a spread of 3.5 and total points has a line of 218. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you’re going for Over 218, then the odds are -108.

Those wanting to back the Wolves to win the Race to 20 betting can get odds of -135 that the favorites oblige. If you want to back the Heat, then odds of +105 can be found.

The betting sites offer a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to most basketball contests. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Timberwolves

-161

Heat

+136

Point Spread

Timberwolves -3.5

-110

Heat +3.5

-110

Total Points

Under 218

-112

Over 218

-108

Anthony Edwards Favorite to Score the Most Points

Anthony Edwards is favorite when it comes to hitting the most buckets. You can get -118 that he goes Over 25.5 points and -114 when it comes to Under.

Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)

Over 25.5

-118

Under 25.5

-114

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 25.5

-108

Under 25.5

-122

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 19.5

-104

Under 19.5

-128

Julius Randle (Timberwolves)

Over 17.5

-128

Under 17.5

-104

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 17.5

-108

Under 17.5

-123

Naz Reid (Timberwolves)

Over 16.5

-125

Under 16.5

-106

Jaden McDaniels (Timberwolves)

Over 14.5

-118

Under 14.5

-114

Donte DiVincenzo (Timberwolves)

Over 12.5

-108

Under 12.5

-123

Duncan Robinson (Heat)

Over 11.5

-123

Under 11.5

-108

Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves)

Over 9.5

-110

Under 9.5

-120

Davion Mitchell (Heat)

Over 8.5

-109

Under 8.5

-120

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 6.5

+120

Under 6.5

-159

Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)

Over 4.5

-161

Under 4.5

+120

Julius Randle (Timberwolves)

Over 4.5

+105

Under 4.5

-139

Davion Mitchell (Heat)

Over 4.5

-103

Under 4.5

-130

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 3.5

-147

Under 3.5

+110

Donte DiVincenzo (Timberwolves)

Over 3.5

-114

Under 3.5

-118

Jaden McDaniels (Timberwolves)

Over 2.5

+136

Under 2.5

-179

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 10.5

-110

Under 10.5

-120

Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves)

Over 9.5

-127

Under 9.5

-106

Naz Reid (Timberwolves)

Over 8.5

-147

Under 8.5

+110

Julius Randle (Timberwolves)

Over 7.5

-141

Under 7.5

+107

Jaden McDaniels (Timberwolves)

Over 6.5

-120

Under 6.5

-110

Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)

Over 5.5

-133

Under 5.5

-100

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 5.5

+118

Under 5.5

-159

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-112

Donte DiVincenzo (Timberwolves)

Over 3.5

-137

Under 3.5

+104

Duncan Robinson (Heat)

Over 2.5

-175

Under 2.5

+128

Micro Betting

Among the various options for wagering on basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Minnesota Timberwolves Stats

Miami Heat Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -4 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -4 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +4 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +4 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 230.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 233.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 216: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 216 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 117.10 pts and allowed 113.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 118.60 pts and allowed 115.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 222.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 227.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 216: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 216 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 111.40 pts and allowed 110.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 113.80 pts and allowed 113.90 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 26.10 (53%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 15.20 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.30 (83.91%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.2, Offensive 11.10, Defensive 33.10
• Assists: 27.30
• Blocks: 4.10
• Steals: 9.10
• Turnovers : 10.30
• Personal Fouls: 19.40

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 26.00 (54%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 15.10 (38%)
• Free Throws Made: 21.30 (80.99%)
• Rebounds: Total 40.1, Offensive 9.10, Defensive 31.00
• Assists: 27.30
• Blocks: 5.20
• Steals: 10.20
• Turnovers : 10.50
• Personal Fouls: 19.50

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 27.90 (58%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.70 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 17.50 (81.02%)
• Rebounds: Total 42, Offensive 9.50, Defensive 32.50
• Assists: 26.90
• Blocks: 3.70
• Steals: 7.40
• Turnovers : 13.10
• Personal Fouls: 16.20

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.50 (58%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.60 (38%)
• Free Throws Made: 13.00 (84.42%)
• Rebounds: Total 42, Offensive 8.10, Defensive 33.90
• Assists: 30.60
• Blocks: 3.30
• Steals: 5.90
• Turnovers : 11.00
• Personal Fouls: 13.60

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup

9 Pelle Larsson

13 Bam Adebayo

14 Tyler Herro

42 Kevin Love

45 Davion Mitchell

Minnesota Timberwolves Confirmed Lineup

3 Jaden McDaniels

5 Anthony Edwards

10 Mike Conley

11 Naz Reid

30 Julius Randle

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak