Mississippi State vs Auburn Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Mar 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Mississippi State vs Auburn

The Mississippi State Bulldogs face the Auburn Tigers, with tip-off scheduled for 15:00 on Wednesday, March 11.

You can get -105 that there are Over 159.5 points and there’s plenty of juice in those odds. Mississippi State and Auburn should be able to keep the score ticking for our prediction to win.

Mississippi State Bulldogs lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Georgia Bulldogs 102-96.

Auburn Tigers were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 96-84 reverse against Alabama Crimson Tide.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Mississippi State won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 91-85 victory was registered against Auburn. Auburn have triumphed in eight of the previous 10 clashes between these teams.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Auburn	16-15	2589	2487	102	13-6	3-9	1L
Mississippi State	13-18	2423	2539	-116	9-10	4-8	5L

View Full Standings

Mississippi State vs Auburn Prediction & Picks

Take on Mississippi State vs Auburn with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice and a value-driven bet builder. Scroll down for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

Over 159.5 points seems like a realistic outcome for this college contest. We’re taking odds of -105 considering that the total line looks to be too low here.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and analyzing the form guide are key steps before making basketball predictions. We also put strong emphasis on stats, where a data-led approach often leads to smarter college hoops picks.

Key Mississippi State vs Auburn stats:

• The 159.5 line has been covered in the last 5 MS State games on the road.
• The 159.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 MS State games.
• The 159.5 line has been covered in 11 of the last 20 MS State games on the road.
• The 159.5 line has been covered in the last 4 Auburn games.
• The 159.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Auburn games.
• The 159.5 line has been covered in 13 of the last 20 Auburn games.

Over 159.5 Probability

Based on the latest odds from the top sportsbooks, our pick carries a 51.3% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

There are ways to get bigger odds by betting Over on the Totals. Bettors often look to move the line so they can land a more profitable return if the selection wins.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 159.5 Points @ -105 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

MS State 76 - 87 Auburn

Let’s roll the dice and try Auburn to achieve a 87-76 winning scoreline. There are huge betting odds for this potential outcome and it’s a fun type of wager to enjoy.

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Mississippi State vs Auburn Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Auburn are regarded as having a 75% chance of winning this college game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -294. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Mississippi State are trading at +235.

The spread is 7.5 and the total points line is currently 158.5. Basketball fans regularly enjoy the opportunity to bet on the Totals. If you fancy Over 158.5, this outcome can be backed at -105.

The best betting apps provide a wide range of team props and game lines for most college basketball matchups. Be sure to explore all the available options before placing your bet.

Moneyline

MS State

+235

Auburn

-294

Point Spread

MS State +7.5

-110

Auburn -7.5

-110

Total Points

Under 158.5

-115

Over 158.5

-105

Prop betting is very popular, with bettors looking to wager on player props such as Points, Assists, Rebounds, Steals and Three-Pointers. It’s a great way of betting on individual player performance and the gambling sites will provide lots of options.

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for college basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to bet on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Mississippi State Stats

Auburn Stats

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games
• -7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 169.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 169.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 159.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 159.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.00 pts and allowed 90.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 80.90 pts and allowed 88.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 165.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 164.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 159.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 159.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.20 pts and allowed 85.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 85.80 pts and allowed 79.00 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southeastern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Florida	25-6	2719	2222	497	17-2	8-4	11W
Vanderbilt	24-7	2695	2329	366	14-3	10-4	2W
Arkansas	23-8	2797	2479	318	17-3	6-5	2W
Alabama	23-8	2856	2591	265	15-5	8-3	1W
Georgia	22-9	2802	2457	345	15-5	7-4	3W
Tennessee	21-10	2482	2152	330	15-5	6-5	1L
Texas A&M	21-10	2744	2463	281	14-4	7-6	2W
Missouri	20-11	2477	2333	144	15-3	5-8	2L
Kentucky	19-12	2518	2285	233	15-6	4-6	2L
Texas	18-13	2615	2382	233	13-6	5-7	2L
Oklahoma	17-14	2565	2402	163	12-5	5-9	4W
Auburn	16-15	2589	2487	102	13-6	3-9	1L
LSU	15-16	2524	2425	99	10-9	5-7	3L
Mississippi State	13-18	2423	2539	-116	9-10	4-8	5L
South Carolina	13-18	2324	2361	-37	11-8	2-10	1W
Ole Miss	12-19	2334	2354	-20	9-9	3-10	2L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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