Mississippi State vs Ole Miss Prediction, Picks & Odds | 14 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Mississippi State vs Ole Miss

The Mississippi State Bulldogs face the Ole Miss Rebels, with tip-off scheduled for 18:30 on Saturday, February 14.

Over 144.5 points are expected to be scored when Mississippi State and Ole Miss meet, with this prediction available at odds of -110 and this looks like a value bet.

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Mississippi State Bulldogs lost when they last took to the court. They were turned over 73-64 at home to Tennessee Volunteers.

Ole Miss Rebels lost when they last took to the court. They were turned over 93-74 at home to Alabama Crimson Tide.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last matchup between Ole Miss and Mississippi State saw the former win. It was a 68-67 scoreline. Mississippi State have won seven of the past 10 games that these teams have played.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Ole Miss	11-13	1773	1752	21	9-4	2-9	6L
Mississippi State	11-13	1844	1881	-37	8-8	3-5	3L

View Full Standings

Mississippi State vs Ole Miss Prediction & Picks

Our Mississippi State vs Ole Miss betting tips provide expert coverage of all major angles, including our main match prediction, correct score recommendation and best bet builder insights.

Game Prediction

The best betting angle could be wagering on the totals for this college matchup. Our pick is for Over 144.5 points to be scored at odds of -110 which makes plenty of appeal.

We closely track recent form and look for patterns that may impact the outcome. The same goes for injuries to key players. When combined with the most relevant college hoops stats, this gives us a strong foundation for accurate basketball picks.

Key Mississippi State vs Ole Miss stats:

• The 144.5 line has been covered in the last 14 MS State games on the road.
• The 144.5 line has been covered in 16 of the last 20 MS State games on the road.
• The 144.5 line has been covered in the last 3 Ole Miss games.
• The 144.5 line has been covered in 13 of the last 20 Ole Miss games at home.
• The 144.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Ole Miss games.

Over 144.5 Probability

If you go by the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this college basketball bet.

There’s a chance to secure larger odds when you wager on the Totals. The leading sportsbooks allow you to move the line for an Over pick until you’re happy with the potential return.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 144.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

MS State 72 - 78 Ole Miss

For those wanting a big return from a small stake, consider the correct score lines. For example, the Rebels can be backed to win 78-72 at huge betting odds.

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Mississippi State vs Ole Miss Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a 67% chance of securing victory, Ole Miss are favorites for this college game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -204. At +168, Mississippi State are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The spread is currently 3.5, with the total points line at 144.5. There are many ways to bet on basketball including the Totals. If you’re wanting to back Over 144.5, the odds are -110.

If you’re wagering on college basketball, we recommend heading to the top betting apps and scanning through the many game lines and team props. There’s a chance to wager pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

MS State

+168

Ole Miss

-204

Point Spread

MS State +3.5

-102

Ole Miss -3.5

-120

Total Points

Under 144.5

-110

Over 144.5

-110

Prop bets don’t involve betting on a team to win and instead might look at a player’s individual performance. For example, the number of Points they might score or the number of Assists they might have.

There are always opportunities to enjoy college basketball micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find player and team props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as if the next shot will be a Two or Three-Pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Mississippi State Stats

Ole Miss Stats

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 150.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 165.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 144.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 144.5 on the Road: Covered in the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 70.40 pts and allowed 79.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 80.10 pts and allowed 85.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 153.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 146.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 144.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 144.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 73.30 pts and allowed 80.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 75.30 pts and allowed 71.00 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southeastern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Vanderbilt	21-4	2210	1840	370	13-2	8-2	2W
Florida	18-6	2070	1703	367	13-2	5-4	4W
Arkansas	18-6	2131	1837	294	13-3	5-3	2W
Kentucky	17-7	1958	1712	246	14-4	3-3	3W
Tennessee	17-7	1953	1669	284	13-3	4-4	1W
Alabama	17-7	2205	1992	213	11-5	6-2	3W
Missouri	17-7	1933	1773	160	13-1	4-6	3W
Georgia	17-7	2180	1865	315	12-5	5-2	1L
Texas A&M	17-8	2245	1964	281	12-3	5-5	4L
Texas	15-9	2045	1791	254	12-4	3-5	3W
Auburn	14-10	2024	1888	136	11-5	3-5	3L
LSU	14-10	1955	1810	145	10-6	4-4	2L
Oklahoma	12-12	1992	1865	127	9-4	3-8	1W
Ole Miss	11-13	1773	1752	21	9-4	2-9	6L
Mississippi State	11-13	1844	1881	-37	8-8	3-5	3L
South Carolina	11-13	1836	1809	27	10-6	1-7	5L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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