Monaco vs Real Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 26 Dec 2025

EuroLeague Betting Preview: Monaco vs Real Madrid

AS Monaco host Real Madrid, with tip-off set for 13:30 on Friday 26 December.

We are confident that Monaco will cover the spread. -5 seems a more than generous line and you can get -114 that they will win by a bigger margin against Real Madrid.

AS Monaco last game saw them register a 103-77 home win over Bayern Munich.

Real Madrid previous game saw them claim a 95-90 home win over Paris Basketball.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 77-73 in favor of Monaco when they last played Madrid. It’s been five Madrid wins in the past 8 games between these teams.

EuroLeague	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Real Madrid	17	11	2441	2331	110	12-1	5-10	3L
8  Monaco	16	12	2525	2390	135	9-4	7-8	1W

View Full Standings

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Monaco lineup: Elie Okobo, Jaron Blossomgame, Daniel Theis, Alpha Diallo, Mike James.

Real Madrid lineup: Alberto Abalde, Facundo Campazzo, Gabriele Procida, Mario Hezonja, Edy Tavares.

Monaco vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips

This Monaco vs Real Madrid betting guide features sharp analysis across major markets, including an expert match prediction, correct score bet and a strategic bet builder.

Game Prediction

We expect Monaco to cover the -5 line on the spread. This is a good number and that’s why we’re playing them at odds of -114 for this EuroLeague showdown.

The basketball experts at Sportsgambler.com always keep close tabs on team news. We also use a form guide for our EuroLeague picks along with checking out the stats that are going to help inform our final decision.

Key Monaco vs Real Madrid EuroLeague stats:

• The -5 line has been covered by Monaco in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -5 line has been covered by Monaco in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +5 line hasn’t been covered by Madrid in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.

Monaco -5 Probability

If you go by the best betting apps, our pick has a 53.2% chance of winning. After careful examination, our team of tipsters calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

There are options to buy and sell different amounts of points and effectively choose the betting line which makes the most appeal. It all comes down to how safe or risky you want to play things.

Before you bet, take a look at our complete guide to the best free bets and new customer bonuses on offer now.

Our Game Prediction

Monaco -5 @ -114 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Dec 25, 17:54). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Monaco 89 - 81 Real Madrid

Monaco will be chasing down a victory and a winning scoreline of 89-81 might be along the right lines. There are huge odds available about this wager.

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Monaco vs Real Madrid Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With the sportsbooks giving them a 67% probability of winning this EuroLeague game, AS Monaco might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -200 Moneyline odds. Real Madrid are the underdogs at +163 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The current spread is 4.5 and the total points line is 173.5. There are lots of popular ways to bet on basketball including the Totals. Those who wager Under 173.5 can get -109.

If you’re planning to bet on the EuroLeague, make sure to visit on of the top betting sites where you’ll find a wide range of game lines and team props. You can place your wagers before the action starts or during the game.

Moneyline

Monaco

-200

Real Madrid

+163

Point Spread

Monaco -4.5

-110

Real Madrid +4.5

-110

Total Points

Under 173.5

-109

Over 173.5

-111

We’re fond of player props as an alternative to betting on the game result. The gambling sites will have Points, Assists, Three-Pointers, Rebounds and Steals among the choices and you can take a particular view.

EuroLeague micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, player and team props. Check out the two-way lines where you bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.

Latest 0 regular season and play-off games stats.

Monaco Stats

Real Madrid Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 176.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 178.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 175: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 175 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 93.20 pts and allowed 83.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 94.00 pts and allowed 84.20 pts in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 170.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 164.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 175: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 175 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 86.50 pts and allowed 84.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 80.40 pts and allowed 84.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Starting Lineups

Monaco Confirmed Lineup

0 Elie Okobo

4 Jaron Blossomgame

10 Daniel Theis

11 Alpha Diallo

55 Mike James

Real Madrid Confirmed Lineup

6 Alberto Abalde

7 Facundo Campazzo

9 Gabriele Procida

11 Mario Hezonja

22 Edy Tavares

EuroLeague Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Fenerbahce	20	7	2229	2139	90	11-3	9-4	6W
2  Olympiacos	18	9	2427	2248	179	11-3	7-6	2W
3  Valencia	18	10	2516	2401	115	12-2	6-8	2W
4  Real Madrid	17	11	2441	2331	110	12-1	5-10	3L
5  Barcelona	17	11	2378	2349	29	9-5	8-6	1L
6  Hapoel Tel Aviv	16	11	2307	2217	90	8-5	8-6	5L
7  Zalgiris	16	12	2483	2330	153	9-4	7-8	1W
8  Monaco	16	12	2525	2390	135	9-4	7-8	1W
9  Panathinaikos	16	12	2385	2340	45	9-5	7-7	1L
10  Crvena zvezda	16	12	2433	2392	41	10-4	6-8	2L
11  Dubai	14	14	2443	2453	-10	10-3	4-11	2W
12  Olimpia Milano	14	14	2365	2391	-26	8-7	6-7	3W
13  Maccabi	13	15	2483	2551	-68	8-6	5-9	3W
14  Bayern Munich	12	16	2257	2331	-74	10-5	2-11	1L
15  Virtus Bologna	12	16	2277	2364	-87	8-5	4-11	3L
16  Paris	9	18	2402	2474	-72	5-9	4-9	1W
17  Anadolu Efes	9	19	2205	2297	-92	6-10	3-9	3W
18  Baskonia	9	19	2418	2531	-113	8-5	1-14	3L
19  Partizan	9	19	2226	2453	-227	7-7	2-12	1W
20  ASVEL	7	21	2167	2385	-218	6-9	1-12	2L

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