Mount St. Mary's vs Fairfield Prediction, Picks & Odds | 01 Mar 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Mount St. Mary's vs Fairfield

The Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers face the Fairfield Stags, with tip-off scheduled for 14:00 on Sunday, March 1.

We’re going for a modest total when Mount St. Mary's and Fairfield take to the court. Under 143.5 points could be on the money and our prediction is currently available at -105.

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers were defeated in their previous game. On the road, they suffered a 77-69 reverse against Sacred Heart Pioneers.

Fairfield Stags were winners last time out. It was a 72-58 home victory against Siena Saints.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Fairfield won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 69-62 victory was registered against Mount St. Mary's. Fairfield have triumphed in five of the previous 6 clashes between these teams.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Fairfield	19-11	2275	2172	103	12-3	7-8	3W
Mount St. Mary's	14-16	2051	2134	-83	8-5	6-11	1L

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Mount St. Mary's vs Fairfield Prediction & Picks

Explore our best Mount St. Mary's vs Fairfield picks, including a main match prediction, correct score forecast and a bet builder ready to use. Scroll down for full analysis.

Game Prediction

The total line looks too big at 143.5 and we can take advantage. Go under this number at -105 and hope that there aren’t too many fireworks in this college game.

Our expert basketball picks always start with checking the latest team news and understanding how it might impact the matchup. From there, we dive into the most valuable college hoops stats to uncover the insights that matter most.

Key Mount St. Mary's vs Fairfield stats:

• The 143.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 St. Mary's games.
• The 143.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 St. Mary's games.
• The 143.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Fairfield games at home.
• The 143.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Fairfield games at home.

Under 143.5 Probability

Looking at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 51.3% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. It's therefore regarded as a value wager.

Betting Under can be done at various odds thanks to the sportsbooks allowing bettors to move the line. Choose the selection which can yield a profitable return.

Make the most of your next wager by unlocking the best betting offers along with the latest sign-up bonuses and promotions.

Our Game Prediction

Under 143.5 Points @ -105 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 28, 21:03). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Mount St. Mary's 68 - 69 Fairfield

For a fun bet, consider backing Fairfield to claim a 69-68 win. Although it’s a speculative wager, we are expecting things to be close between the two teams.

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Mount St. Mary's vs Fairfield Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Fairfield as -233 favorites for this college game, implying that they are 70% likely to win. At +188, Mount St. Mary's are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The current spread is 4.5 and total points is 143.5. Basketball bettors love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. If you want to bet Under 143.5, there are odds of -105.

If you’re wagering on college basketball, we recommend heading to the top betting apps and scanning through the many game lines and team props. There’s a chance to wager pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

St. Mary's

+188

Fairfield

-233

Point Spread

St. Mary's +4.5

-110

Fairfield -4.5

-110

Total Points

Under 143.5

-105

Over 143.5

-115

As an alternative to the game lines and team props, check out the player props that are available. These can be a great alternative if you want to focus on a player’s performance. The best gambling sites will provide lots of options.

There are always opportunities to enjoy college basketball micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find player and team props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as if the next shot will be a Two or Three-Pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Mount St. Mary's Stats

Fairfield Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 136.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 140.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 143.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 143.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 69.40 pts and allowed 67.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 70.30 pts and allowed 70.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 141.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 138.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 143.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 143.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 72.30 pts and allowed 69.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 75.40 pts and allowed 62.60 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Metro Atlantic Athletic	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Merrimack	20-10	2075	2025	50	11-1	9-9	1L
Marist	18-10	1970	1783	187	11-3	7-7	2W
Siena	19-11	2119	1999	120	8-4	11-7	1L
Fairfield	19-11	2275	2172	103	12-3	7-8	3W
Quinnipiac	18-12	2269	2163	106	10-5	8-7	3L
Saint Peter's	16-11	1936	1854	82	13-1	3-10	1W
Iona	17-13	2214	2184	30	11-4	6-9	1W
Mount St. Mary's	14-16	2051	2134	-83	8-5	6-11	1L
Sacred Heart	13-18	2343	2378	-35	8-5	5-13	1W
Manhattan	12-18	2244	2386	-142	8-6	4-12	2L
Canisius	10-20	1888	2117	-229	7-7	3-13	1W
Niagara	8-21	1850	2064	-214	6-6	2-15	1W
Rider	4-24	1779	2128	-349	4-9	0-15	1L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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